Session 15A IFEX & HFIP III: Model Evaluation and Diagnostics

Friday, 20 April 2012: 10:30 AM-12:30 PM
Champions DE (Sawgrass Marriott)
Sponsor: 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

**Indicates paper is being considered for the Max Eaton Student Prize**

Chair:
James D. Doyle, NRL, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA
Papers:
  10:30 AM
Can we hope to improve prediction of tropical cyclone intensity?
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and T. Vukicevic

  10:45 AM
Evaluation methods for tropical cyclone forecasts: Moving beyond basic metrics
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, L. Bernardet, and E. Ebert

  11:00 AM
Diagnostics and verification of the tropical cyclone environment in regional models
Brian D. McNoldy, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. D. Musgrave and M. DeMaria

  11:30 AM
Evaluating Cloud Microphysical Parameterizations in COAMPS-TC for Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Prediction
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and G. Thompson, S. Wang, J. Nachamkin, J. Doyle, R. Hodur, T. R. Holt, J. R. Moskaitis, and Q. Zhao

  11:45 AM
Hurricane WRF (HWRF) rapid intensification: verification and diagnostics
Shaowu Bao, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. Bernardet and M. K. Biswas

  12:00 PM
HWRF sensitivity to variations in physical parameterizations
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Bernardet