We have constructed a climatology of AWB events during the boreal cold season from 1979 through 2010 over the North Pacific. The subset of the AWB events that are associated with the MJO is used as the basis of this study. First, a composite analysis will be shown to highlight the large-scale, high amplitude features associated with the MJO and AWB. Then, a representative case study will be shown to illustrate the details of the full relationship.
It will be shown that convection associated with the MJO and convectively coupled Kelvin Waves over the Indian Ocean creates middle tropospheric heating anomalies near the equator, which reduce upper-tropospheric PV across the low latitudes. This process tightens the pre-existing climatologically located meridional PV gradient at the periphery of the tropics. The meridional PV gradient is proportional to the Rossby wave restoring force, and as Rossby waves propagate eastward from the region of stronger to the region of weaker meridional PV gradient, they encounter an insufficient restoring force, causing them to break. The location of the breaking point depends on the strength and zonal extent of the meridional PV gradient as well as the strength and location of the MJO.