31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Program Chair: Michael J. Brennan , NOAA/NWS/NHC
Reviewers: Vijay Tallapragada , NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC ; Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , NOAA/AOML/HRD ; Jason P. Dunion , NOAA/AOML/HRD ; Daniel P. Stern , NCAR ; Paul E. Roundy , University at Albany ; Peter J. Sousounis , AIR Worldwide Corporation ; Scott A. Braun , NASA/GSFC ; Eric S. Blake , NOAA/NCEP/NHC ; Sharanya J. Majumdar , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS ; Suzana J. Camargo , International Research Institute for Climate and Society, The Earth Institute at Columbia Univ. ; Chidong Zhang , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS ; Shirley T. Murillo , NOAA/AOML/HRD

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 30 March 2014

4:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 30 March 2014


Registration Opens

Monday, 31 March 2014

7:00 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014


Registration Continues through Friday April 4

8:15 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 31 March 2014

Recording files available
Session 1A
Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Prediction and Interannual Variability
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC
  8:30 AM
1A.2
  8:45 AM
1A.3
Predicting Tropical Cyclone Landfall Risk Through Genesis and Steering Climatology
Ryan Truchelut, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

  9:15 AM
1A.5
Impacts of Extratropical Forcing on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
Gan Zhang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang
  9:30 AM
1A.6A
Recording files available
Session 1B
African Weather and Climate I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas; Amber E. Emory, NASA/GSFC
  8:15 AM
1B.1
  8:30 AM
1B.2
Identification of a Congo Basin Walker Circulation
Naresh Neupane, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook
  8:45 AM
1B.3
  9:00 AM
1B.4
A seamless assessment of the role of convection in the water cycle of the West African Monsoon
Cathryn E. Birch, UK Met Office, Leeds, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker, J. H. Marsham, D. Copsey, and L. Garcia-Carreras
Recording files available
Session 1C
Tropical Cyclone Genesis I
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Todd B. Kimberlain, NOAA
  8:15 AM
1C.1
Tropical cyclogenesis conditions in the Southwestern Indian Ocean
Cherina Meetoo, Laboratoire d'Aérologie (Université de Toulouse and CNRS), Toulouse, France; and F. Roux
  8:30 AM
1C.2
Tropical cyclogenesis prediction using lagged average forecast method with global nonhydrostatic atmospheric model
Masahiro Sawada, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and M. Nakano, T. Nasuno, T. Yamaura, and M. Satoh
  8:45 AM
1C.3
Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Genesis
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu, T. Li, M. E. Kucas, and J. Darlow
  9:15 AM
1C.5
Exploring Genesis Potential Indices
Cindy Bruyere, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and M. Jones
  9:30 AM
1C.6
Updates to the NESDIS Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product
Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, L. Ma, and H. Syed
  9:45 AM
1C.7
Recording files available
Session 1D
Hazard Communication
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Robert Berg, National Hurricane Center
  8:30 AM
1D.2
  9:15 AM
1D.5
Manuel and Ingrid (2013) over Mexico: Effects and Impacts
Graciela B. Raga, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmosfera/Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and L. M. Farfan, M. De la Parra, S. M. Olivera, S. F. Abarca, and J. C. Marin
  9:30 AM
1D.6
Evaluating Operational Forecast Uncertainty for Emergency Planning
Peter S. Dailey, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and J. Gadoury

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 31 March 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014

Recording files available
Session 2A
Air-Sea Interaction I
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Mark A. Bourassa, Florida State University
  10:30 AM
2A.1
Tropical Cyclone-Induced Thermocline Warming and its Regional and Global Impacts
Michael Bueti, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and L. M. Rothstein
  11:00 AM
2A.3
Microphysics of air-sea interface in tropical cyclones
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center, Dania Beach, FL; and R. Lukas, M. A. Donelan, B. K. Haus, and I. Ginis
  11:15 AM
2A.4
  11:30 AM
2A.5
Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interaction in Typhoon Megi (2010) - A Synergy Study based on ITOP Observations and Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Model Simulations
Wei-Tsung Tu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, I. I. Lin, D. S. Ko, S. S. Chen, and C. Y. Lee
  11:45 AM
2A.6
An analytical model of maximum potential intensity for tropical cyclones incorporating the effect of ocean mixing
Yoshiaki Miyamoto, RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan; and R. Rotunno and G. H. Bryan
  12:00 PM
2A.7
E-epsilon model of sea spray-stratified marine atmospheric layer in high wind conditions
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov
Recording files available
Session 2B
African Weather and Climate II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Amato Evan, SIO/Univ. Of California; Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
  10:45 AM
2B.2
  11:00 AM
2B.3
Analysis of tropical high impact weather events using TIGGE data
Susanna Hopsch, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. C. Jones and J. H. Keller
  11:15 AM
2B.4
  11:30 AM
2B.5
Heavy Rainfall Predictability : the THORPEX West Africa case study
Jean Philippe Lafore, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and A. Diongue, F. Beucher, N. Chapelon, R. Roehrig, and T. Diedhiou
  11:45 AM
2B.6A
Internal Processes within African Easterly Waves
Emmanuel Poan, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore, R. Roehrig, and F. Couvreux
  12:00 PM
2B.7
Recording files available
Session 2C
Tropical Cyclone Genesis II
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
  11:15 AM
2C.4
  11:45 AM
2C.6
Mesoscale Convective Systems at Tropical Cyclone Formation Time from Microwave Satellite Observations
Myung-Sook Park, Ulsan National Institute of Science & Technology (UNIST), Ulsan, South Korea

  12:00 PM
2C.7
Recording files available
Session 2D
Storm Surge
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.
  10:30 AM
2D.1
Climatological-hydrodynamic storm surge modeling for Apalachee Bay, Florida
Ning Lin, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and P. Lane, K. Emanuel, R. Sullivan, and J. Donnelly
  10:45 AM
2D.2
Dynamic storm surge prediction with one-way coupled mesoscale modeling system
Sujata Pattanayak, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India; and U. C. Mohanty, K. K. Osuri, S. Gopalakrishnan, and D. Niyogi

  11:00 AM
2D.3
Storm surge estimation due to the incidence of simultaneous tropical cyclones in Mexico
Christian M. Appendini, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mérida, Yucatan, Mexico; and R. Meza-Padilla, A. Pedrozo-Acuña, G. B. Raga, and L. M. Farfán
  11:15 AM
2D.4
Storm surge modelling for the Northern Yucatan Peninsula
WILMER Rey-Sanchez Sr., Instituto de Ingenieria, UNAM, Campus Sisal, Yucatan, Sisal,Yucatan, Yucatan, Mexico; and P. Salles and E. T. Mendoza
  11:30 AM
2D.5
Prediction and Verification of Storm Surge During Hurricane Sandy with the NWS SLOSH Model
Cristina Forbes, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome, A. A. Taylor, and C. Mattocks
  11:45 AM
2D.6
SLOSH Model MOMs: A National View of Inundation
Brian C. Zachry, National Hurricane Center / Storm Surge Unit, Miami, FL; and W. Booth and J. R. Rhome
  12:00 PM
2D.7
Improving Storm Surge Risk Communication
Jamie Rhome, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and R. Berg, W. Booth, and E. Gibney

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014


Lunch

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014

Recording files available
Session 3A
Air-Sea Interaction II
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/HRD
  1:45 PM
3A.2
Oceanic Influences on Super Typhoon Haiyan
Lynn K. (Nick) Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. C. McCaskill and J. K. Brewster

  2:00 PM
3A.3
Sensitivity of Simulated Tropical Cyclones to Air-Sea Flux Parameterizations
Benjamin Green, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang
  2:15 PM
3A.4
Hurricane Isaac (2012): In-situ Observations and Fully Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Model Predictions
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. Curcic, L. Centurioni, and I. Morzel
  2:30 PM
3A.5
Advancing hurricane prediction models through enhanced physics of the air-sea-wave coupling
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Reichl, T. Hara, and B. Thomas
  3:15 PM
3A.8
Recording files available
Session 3B
Convection I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan
  1:45 PM
3B.2
The Spectral Weak Temperature Gradient Approximation
Michael J. Herman, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond
  2:00 PM
3B.3
Modeling the convective response to changes in the thermodynamic environment using the weak temperature gradient approximation: on the treatment of moisture
Sharon Sessions, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and S. Sentic, M. J. Herman, and D. J. Raymond
  2:45 PM
3B.6
  3:15 PM
3B.8
Radiative-Convective Instability
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. A. Wing and E. M. Vincent
Recording files available
Session 3C
Tropical Cyclone Genesis III
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Gary M. Barnes, University of Hawaii
  1:45 PM
3C.2
Cloud Evolution and a Conceptual Model for Tropical Cyclone Formation
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL

  2:15 PM
3C.4
  2:30 PM
3C.5
Reexamination of Tropical Cyclone Formation in Monsoon Troughs over Western North Pacific
Liguang Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Zong
  2:45 PM
3C.6
Propagation and Growth of Monsoon Depressions
William R. Boos, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and J. V. Hurley and V. S. Murthy

  3:00 PM
3C.7
Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Formation for Different Genesis Pathways
Weiwei Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. S. Peng, X. Fu, R. McTaggart-Cowan, and F. Vitart
  3:15 PM
3C.8
Recording files available
Session 3D
Tropical Waves
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Benjamin Andrew Stieneke, North Carolina State University
  1:45 PM
3D.2
Dispersion characteristics of low-level mixed Rossby-gravity waves as inferred from CFSR data
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and C. Y. F. Tam

  2:00 PM
3D.3
Tropical Multi-Scale Oscillations and TC activities in Western Pacific
Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and L. Ching and M. J. Yang
  2:15 PM
3D.4
A global survey of Kelvin waves and tropical cyclogenesis
Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC; and J. P. Kossin
  2:30 PM
3D.5
  3:00 PM
3D.8

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014

Recording files available
Session 4A
Tropical Cyclone Dynamics
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: James D. Doyle, NRL
  4:00 PM
4A.1
  4:15 PM
4A.2
The Response of a Simulated Tropical Cyclone to Moderate Misalignment Forcing
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO

  4:30 PM
4A.3
On steady-state tropical cyclones
Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian's University, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and J. Persing
  4:45 PM
4A.4
On Steady-State Tropical Cyclones Continued
John Persing, NPS, Wellington, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Smith, and J. C. McWilliams
  5:00 PM
4A.5
Tropical Cyclone Convection: The Effect of Boundary Layer Wind Profiles
Gerard Kilroy, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith
  5:15 PM
4A.6
Linear & Nonlinear Motion of a Barotropic Vortex
Israel Gonzalez III, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby
  5:30 PM
4A.7
An f-plain Cloud-Resolving Radiative-Convective Equilibrium
Marat F. Khairoutdinov, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and K. A. Emanuel
  5:45 PM
4A.8
Observed 3D to 2D energy cascade in hurricanes
David Byrne, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zurich, Switzerland; and J. Zhang
Recording files available
Session 4B
Convection II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL; Qi Hu, University of Nebraska
  4:00 PM
4B.1
Diurnal variations and climatological rainfall contribution from extreme convective storms over the tropical belt between America and Africa
Manuel D. Zuluaga, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. L. Rasmussen, A. Gingrey, and R. A. Houze, Jr.
  4:15 PM
4B.2
Lagrangian investigation of the precipitation efficiency of convective clouds
Wolfgang Langhans, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and D. M. Romps and K. Yeo
  4:30 PM
4B.3
Moisture and heat budgets within atmospheric rivers in January 2009
Qianwen Luo, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung
  4:45 PM
4B.4
An Observation and CRM Based Analysis of Aerosol-Convection Interaction in the Tropics
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and E. M. Wilcox and T. Yuan
  5:00 PM
4B.5
Automatic Tracking and Stereo Reconstruction of Deep-Convective Cloud Tops
Rusen Oktem, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and D. M. Romps
  5:15 PM
4B.6
Representing effects of aqueous-phase reactions in shallow cumuli in global models
Ji Nie, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Z. Kuang, D. J. Jacob, and J. Guo
  5:30 PM
4B.7
Unified Convection Parameterizations: A Stochastic Eddy-Diffusivity/Mass-Flux (EDMF) Approach
Joao Teixeira, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and K. Suselj, K. suzuki, and M. L. Witek

  5:45 PM
4B.8
Parameterizing large-scale dynamics in single-column models with the weak-pressure-gradient approximation
Jacob P. Edman, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and D. M. Romps
Recording files available
Session 4C
Tropical Cyclone Genesis IV
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ.
  4:15 PM
4C.2
  4:30 PM
4C.3
Influence of Tropical Equatorial Waves on the Formation of Super Typhoon Megi (2010)
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, Najing, China; and F. Zhang

  5:00 PM
4C.5
The Decay of Tropical Storm Gaston (2010)
Saska Gjorgjievska, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond
  5:45 PM
4C.8
Upper-Tropospheric Precursors Associated with Subtropical Cyclone Formation in the North Atlantic Basin
Alicia M. Bentley, University at Albany, State University of New York, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recording files available
Session 4D
Catastrophe Modeling & Other Industry Topics
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation
  4:00 PM
4D.1
Predicting Cyclone Damage Potential from Days out to Decades
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland
  4:45 PM
4D.4
Statistics of Hurricane Damage in the US
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and J. I. Henandez
  5:00 PM
4D.5
An Idealized Hurricane Catastrophe Model
Javiera I. Hernandez, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby
  5:15 PM
4D.6
  5:30 PM
4D.7
  5:45 PM
4D.8
EQECAT's Modeling of the Windfield of Superstorm Sandy-2012
Justin Brolley, EQECAT, Inc, Oakland, CA; and D. F. Smith, J. Mangano, and A. Haseemkunju

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014


Ice Breaker Reception
Location: Tiki Pavilion/Grand Plaza Fountain (Town and Country Resort )

8:00 PM-9:30 PM: Monday, 31 March 2014

Recording files available
Session S1
Field Program Overviews
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Patrick Harr, NPS
  8:00 PM
S1.1
  8:30 PM
S1.2

Tuesday, 1 April 2014

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 5A
Observing Systems and Strategies
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML
  8:00 AM
5A.1
  8:15 AM
5A.2
Performance of the National Data Buoy Center's (NDBC) Stations during Hurricane/Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy and Resulting Technology Development
Richard H. Bouchard, NOAA/NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS; and H. H. Portmann, K. O'Neil, C. Kohler, R. Hervey, and L. LeBlanc
  8:30 AM
5A.3
Using the Absence of Profiler Reflectivity to Study Stratocumulus-Topped Marine Boundary Layer Processes
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and P. E. Johnston
  8:45 AM
5A.4
A statistical test to determine the minimum threshold for open-loop tracking of GNSS radio-occultation signals
Kuo-Nung Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. L. Garrison, B. J. Murphy, J. S. Haase, and P. Muradyan
  9:00 AM
5A.5
Enhanced Spatial & Temporal Sampling of Air/Sea Interaction in Tropical Cyclones by the NASA CYGNSS Mission
Christopher Ruf, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and M. P. Clarizia, A. O'Brien, J. T. Johnson, A. Ridley, and Y. Yi
  9:15 AM
5A.6
Evaluation and Validation of CYGNSS Winds
Zorana Jelenak, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and P. Chang, S. Soisuvarn, A. O'Brien, A. Ridley, D. J. Posselt, M. P. Clarizia, and C. S. Ruf
  9:45 AM
5A.8
Recording files available
Session 5B
Dynamo/CINDY2011 I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Matthew Janiga, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS; Jian LIng, Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP)
  8:15 AM
5B.2
  8:30 AM
5B.3
  8:45 AM
5B.4
Synoptic perturbations and the MJO during the Cindy-Dynamo experiment
jean Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), Paris, France; and R. Roca
  9:00 AM
5B.5A
The Moist Static Energy Budget in NCAR CAM5 Hindcasts during DYNAMO
Walter Hannah, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney

  9:15 AM
5B.6
Preconditioning of convective coupled Kelvin waves on the CINDY/DYNAMO MJO propagation
Sue Chen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. May, M. Flatau, J. Schmidt, and J. D. Doyle
  9:30 AM
5B.7
  9:45 AM
5B.8
Diabatic and Divergence Profiles from SMARTR
Fiaz Ahmed, Texas A&M University, Bryan, TX; and C. Schumacher
  10:00 AM
Dynamo Hindcasts with SP-CAM: Presented by Walter Hannah
Recording files available
Session 5C
Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis and History
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS
 
5C.1 will now be presented as Poster 164A

  8:15 AM
5C.2
Cluster Analysis of Philippine Tropical Cyclones
Irenea L. Corporal-Lodangco, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. B. Richman

  8:30 AM
5C.3
  8:45 AM
5C.4
  9:00 AM
5C.5
Toward a Homogeneous Global Tropical Cyclone Intensity Record
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina at Asheville, Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck III, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, P. A. Hennon, M. C. Kruk, and J. Rennie
  9:15 AM
5C.6
Reanalysis of the 1955-1964 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons
Sandy Delgado, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby and C. W. Landsea
  9:30 AM
5C.7
The Internal Structure of 1969 Hurricane Camille for the Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project
Margaret E. Kieper, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and C. Landsea and H. Jiang
  9:45 AM
5C.8
A Reanalysis of 1969's Hurricane Camille
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and M. E. Kieper and J. L. Beven II
Recording files available
Session 5D
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change I
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kristen L. Corbosiero, University at Albany/SUNY
  8:15 AM
5D.2
  9:00 AM
5D.5
Development of Intense Helicity and Convective Bursts in Hurricane Bonnie (1998)
Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and C. Xin

  9:30 AM
5D.7
Estimates of Eyewall net latent heat release from airborne radar measurements
Gary M. Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii; and C. E. Barnes

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 6A
Data Assimilation I
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
  10:30 AM
6A.1
Ensemble Kalman Assimilation of Global-Hawk-based Data from Tropical Cyclones
Jason Sippel, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Zhang, Y. Weng, G. M. Heymsfield, L. Tian, and S. Braun
  10:45 AM
6A.2
MISR observed cloud-tracked winds over tropical cyclones and their positive forecast impact in NAVGEM simulation of Hurricane Sandy
Kevin J. Mueller, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and N. L. Baker and M. Garay
  11:15 AM
6A.4
Influence of assimilating AIRS temperature and moisture soundings on the analyses and forecasts of tropical cyclone track and structure
Ting-Chi Wu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, J. Li, C. Velden, H. Liu, and J. Anderson
  11:30 AM
6A.5
Assimilation of Non-Local Radio Occultation Measurements and its Impact on WRF Model Prediction of Hurricane Earl in 2010
Xue Meng Chen, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and S. H. Chen, S. Y. Chen, and C. Y. Huang
  12:00 PM
6A.7
Recording files available
Session 6B
Dynamo/Cindy 2011 II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Brandon W. Kerns, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
  10:45 AM
6B.2
Boundary Layer and Air-Sea Interaction in Tropical Convection Using Synthesized Measurements from the NOAA WP-3D
Qing Wang, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. P. Allappattu, D. Khelif, N. Guy, D. P. Jorgensen, M. K. Witte, P. Y. Chuang, and C. J. Zappa
  11:15 AM
6B.4
Atmosphere Ocean Interaction in the MJO and its Embedded Convective Disturbances
S. P. de Szoeke, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and J. Marion and C. W. Fairall

  11:30 AM
6B.5
Air-Sea Interaction during suppressed and active MJO phases in the Indian Ocean
Djamal Khelif, Univ. of California, Irvine, CA; and Q. Wang, D. P. Jorgensen, and R. T. Yamaguchi

  11:45 AM
6B.6
  12:00 PM
6B.7A
Cloud populations, vertical structure and their periodicity at the south of the equatorial Indian Ocean during CINDY2011
Masaki Katsumata, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan
Recording files available
Session 6C
Tropical Cyclone/Large Scale Interactions
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Ryan Truchelut, Florida State University
  10:30 AM
6C.1
Study of Mechanisms for the Decadal Variation of the Relationship between the Frenquency of Northwest Pacific Intense TC and ENSO
Li Tao, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Y. Wang and T. Jin
  10:45 AM
6C.2
Decadal Variarions of Intense Tropical Cylcones Over the Western North Pacific
Haikun Zhao, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and L. Wu
  11:00 AM
6C.3
Relative Roles of ISO Circulation and Moisture Impacts in Tropical Cyclone Development in Western North Pacific
Tim Li, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI; and X. Cao, W. Chen, and M. Peng
  11:15 AM
6C.4
The Influence of ENSO on the Development of Tropical Cloud Clusters in the Western North Pacific
Hsu-Feng Teng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee and H. H. Hsu
  11:30 AM
6C.5
Simulated Impacts of Two Types of El Nino on the Tropical Cyclone Activity over Northwest Pacific
Ya-Hui Chang, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. T. Chen and J. Y. Yu

  11:45 AM
6C.6
The role of tropical cyclones in cross-equatorial total energy transports
Benjamin Alan Schenkel, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and R. E. Hart
  12:00 PM
6C.7
The sensitivity of tropical cyclone activity to off-equatorial thermal forcing in aquaplanet simulations
Andrew P. Ballinger, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and T. M. Merlis, I. M. Held, and M. Zhao

Recording files available
Session 6D
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
  10:30 AM
6D.1
Distributions of convection in rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones
Cheng Tao, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and H. Jiang
  11:15 AM
6D.4
  11:30 AM
6D.5
What Caused the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Megi (2010)?
Chuan-Chieh Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu
  11:45 AM
6D.6
  12:00 PM
6D.7
Intensification of an Asymmetric, Sheared Tropical Cyclone in a WRF Simulation
Leon T. Nguyen, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014


Committee Luncheon
Location: Sunset (Town and Country Resort )

Lunch

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 7A
Data Assimilation II
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Fuqing Zhang, The Pennsylvania State University
  1:30 PM
7A.1
  1:45 PM
7A.2
Testing and Evaluation of the GSI-Hybrid Data Assimilation and its Applications for high resolution tropical storm Forecasts
Chunhua Zhou, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Shao, L. R. Bernardet, I. Jankov, J. S. Whitaker, M. Tong, and J. C. Derber
  2:00 PM
7A.3
Adjoint-Based Analysis of Observation Impact on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts
Brett T. Hoover, Univ. of Wisconsin and Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden and R. H. Langland
  2:15 PM
7A.4
  2:30 PM
7A.5
Observing System Simulation Experiments to evaluate the impact of remotely sensed data on hurricane prediction
Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and T. Vukicevic, L. Bucci, B. Annane, A. Aksoy, J. Delgado, X. Zhang, and S. Gopalakrishnan
  3:00 PM
7A.7
Analysis of Surface Wind Diurnal Cycles in Tropical Regions using Mooring Observations and the CCMP Product
Xiaochun Wang, JIFRESSE, University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA ; and K. Zhu, C. K. Shum, and J. Johnson
Recording files available
Session 7B
Dynamo/Cindy 2011 III
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Jennifer L. Davison, University of Louisville; Zhe Feng, PNNL
  1:30 PM
7B.1
A Case Study of Shallow Cumulus Clouds in DYNAMO
Denny alappattu, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Q. Wang, D. Khelif, N. Guy, D. P. Jorgensen, M. K. Witte, P. Y. Chuang, and C. J. Zappa
  1:45 PM
7B.2
Shallow Convection in the MJO
David Zermeno, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang
  2:00 PM
7B.3
Observed moisture variations associated with shallow convection
Hugo Bellenger, JAMSTEC, Yokosuka-city, Kanagawa, Japan; and K. Yoneyama, M. Katsumata, T. Nishizawa, R. Shirooka, and K. Yasunaga

  2:30 PM
7B.5
Advection of Dry Air by Transient Eddies within an MJO
Kazuaki Yasunaga, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan
  2:45 PM
7B.6
Moistening, Convection, and the Diurnal Cycle during the Pre-onset Periods in DYNAMO
James H. Ruppert Jr., Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson and P. E. Ciesielski
  3:00 PM
7B.7
Moistening Processes Before the Convective Initiation of Madden-Julian Oscillation Events During the CINDY2011/DYNAMO Period
Tomoe Nasuno, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and T. Li, K. Kikuchi, H. Miura, T. Miyakawa, and M. Satoh
Recording files available
Session 7C
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change I
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
  1:30 PM
7C.1
Investigating Tropical Cyclones and Global Teleconnections Using High-Resolution Climate Model and Reanalysis Data
Alison Cobb, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. L. Vidale, K. I. Hodges, M. J. Roberts, and J. Strachan
  1:45 PM
7C.2A
Tropical Cyclone Experiments in the Community Atmosphere Model
Kevin A. Reed, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Bacmeister, M. F. Wehner, and B. Medeiros
  2:00 PM
7C.3
Projecting end-of-century North Atlantic Hurricane Activity using Forecast Statistical Models
Jhordanne J. Jones, University of the West Indies, Mona, Kingston, Jamaica; and T. S. Stephenson and M. A. Taylor
  2:15 PM
7C.4
Projected changes in late 21st century tropical cyclone frequency in CMIP5 models
Kevin J. Tory, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and S. Chand, J. L. McBride, H. Ye, and R. A. Dare
 
Paper 7C.5 will now be presented as poster 111A

  2:30 PM
7C.5A
Estimating the Effects of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclone Activity
Chana D. Seitz, COAPS (Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies), Tallahassee, FL; and T. LaRow
  2:45 PM
7C.6
Impact of Climate Change on the Precipitation Extremes Associated with Tropical Cyclones
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and T. Teng-Ping, C. T. Cheng, and A. Kitoh
  3:00 PM
7C.7
Future Changes in the Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity Projected by a Multi-Decadal Simulation with a 16-km Global Atmospheric GCM
Julia V. Manganello, COLA, Fairfax, VA; and K. I. Hodges, B. Dirmeyer, J. L. Kinter III, B. A. Cash, L. Marx, T. Jung, D. Achuthavarier, J. M. Adams, E. L. Altshuler, B. Huang, E. K. Jin, P. Towers, and N. Wedi
  3:15 PM
7C.8
Simulation of the Present and Future Projection of Seasonal Northwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activities with a Regional Climate Model
Teng-Ping Tzeng, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Lee, H. C. Liang, C. T. Chen, and Y. Wang
Recording files available
Session 7D
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS
  1:30 PM
7D.1
  1:45 PM
7D.2
  2:00 PM
7D.3
Influence of Amplifying Rossby Waves on Tropical Cyclone Intensity,
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and C. M. Nguyen, M. Reeder, and M. D. E. Leroux
  2:30 PM
7D.5
  2:45 PM
7D.6
  3:00 PM
7D.7
  3:15 PM
7D.8

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014


Poster Session P1
Poster Session I
Location: Golden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
 
1
Vertical Shift of Stable Layers under the Different MJO Phases
Kunio Yoneyama, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan

 
2
Heating experiments in CAM4 and the role of the background environment in MJO propagation
Fiaz Ahmed, Texas A&M University, Bryan, TX; and C. Schumacher

 
3
A numerical study of the October and November DYNAMO MJO events using a regional model
Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel and F. Zhang

 
4
Stochastic Forcings Associated with MJO Initiation during DYNAMO
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. Penland

Handout (12.2 MB)

 
5
Intraseasonal Forecasting of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone 05
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Reynolds, J. Doyle, P. May, S. Chen, M. Flatau, and L. W. O'Neill

 
6
Characteristics of satellite derived Latent Heating variability associated with the MJO over the Indian and West Pacific Ocean
Hannah C. Barnes, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr. and M. Zuluaga

 
7
Nonlinear traveling wave solution for the MJO skeleton model
Shengqian Chen, University of Wisconsin at Madison, Madison, WI; and S. N. Stechmann

Handout (152.2 kB)

 
8
Rainfall and Convection Asymmetries of Tropical Cyclones from TRMM Precipitation Radar Observations
Haiyan Jiang, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and Y. Pei and J. Zagrodnik

 
9
The Walker Circulation and the MJO Skeleton: Comparison of Model and Observations
H. Reed Ogrosky, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and S. Stechmann

 
13
Exploring the utility of the planned CYGNSS mission for investigating the initiation and development of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Timothy J. Lang, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, X. Li, T. Chronis, W. A. Brewer, J. Churnside, and S. Rutledge

 
15
Global Tropical Cyclone Storm Size and Environmental Pressure Climatology using CFSR
Jason Butke, AIR Worldwide Corp, Boston, MA; and P. J. Sousounis and K. A. Hill

 
16
Initial condition sensitivity of the structure of Hurricane Irene (2011)
Jason W. Godwin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar

 
17
Further Development and Applications of an Efficient and Configurable Vortex Initialization Technique
Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. Hendricks, E. Rappin, S. J. Majumdar, D. Nolan, and J. D. Doyle

 
19
Evaluation of Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and Moist Processes in NOGAPS Analyses and Short-term Forecasts
Weiwei Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. Peng, and J. A. Ridout

 
20
Taiwan Local Circulation with Mountain Effect during Cold Surge Period
Chi-Chang Liao, National Denfense University, Taipei, Taiwan

Handout (2.8 MB)

 
21
Precipitation in the Wet Tropics of Queensland, Australia
Michael J. Murphy Jr., Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and S. T. Siems

 
23
Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Mesoscale Model Simulations of Future Precipitation Climate in the Central Andes
Stephen D. Nicholls, NASA/GSFC and Maryland Office of Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Greenbelt, MD; and K. I. Mohr

 
25
Investigating Saharan Heat Low Biases in the CMIP5 Dataset
Ross D. Dixon, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont

 
26
Idealized Simulations of Monsoon Depressions
Varun S. Murthy, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and W. R. Boos

 
27
Poleward Shift in Monsoon Low Level Jetstream under Global Warming
Sandeep Sukumaran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and A. M. Ravindran

Handout (1.6 MB)

 
29
Employing the Advanced Dvorak Technique to Deduce Historical Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Timothy L. Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, and K. R. Knapp

 
30
Update on the SATellite CONsensus (SATCON) Algorithm for Estimating TC Intensity
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI; and D. Herndon

 
31
Passive Microwave Signatures of Tropical Cyclone Symmetry as Related to Intensity Change
Daniel S. Harnos, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt

 
32
An Analysis of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones Derived from 13 Years of TRMM Data
Michael Fischer, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Zagrodnik, H. Jiang, and M. E. Kieper

 
33
Real-time Verification of Passive Microwave Imagery-Based Statistical Models of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification
Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, J. Kaplan, A. Wimmers, and J. P. Kossin

 
34
An Update on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation from Satellite Microwave Sounders
Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden

 
35
 
36
Further Development and Validation of ARCHER: The Satellite-Based Automated TC Center-Fixing Algorithm
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden

 
38
A study of the impact of dust on tropical storms using satellite measurements
Yongxiang Hu, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and K. M. Xu

 
39
The Satellite Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center
John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. J. Brennan, H. D. Cobb III, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, A. B. Schumacher, C. Velden, S. A. Monette, J. P. Dunion, G. J. Jedlovec, K. K. Fuell, and M. J. Folmer

 
40
Diurnal Pulsing of Lightning in Strong Tropical Cyclones
Stephanie N. Stevenson, University at Albany - State University of New York, Albany, NY; and K. L. Corbosiero and J. P. Dunion

 
41
Wave and Wind Direction Effects on SFMR Brightness Temperatures
Heather M. Holbach, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and E. Uhlhorn and M. A. Bourassa

 
42
HIWRAP Flights During HS3-2013
Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Mclinden, M. Coon, L. Li, S. Guimond, A. C. Didlake Jr., A. E. Emory, and L. Tian

 
45
HIWRAP Analysis of Tropical Cyclones during GRIP
Stephen Guimond, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. M. Heymsfield and M. McLinden

 
46
VAD and dual-Doppler Analysis of Wind Fields from Doppler Velocity Observed by HIWRAP
Lin Tian, GESTAR/NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Heymsfield and S. Guimond

 
47
Validation of Automated Cloud Height Algorithm (ACHA) Cloud Top Heights in Tropical Cyclones using Observations from the NASA Global Hawk
Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, A. K. Heidinger, E. J. Zipser, D. J. Cecil, P. G. Black, and S. A. Braun

 
49
Mechanism Governing the Size of Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices
Hiroki Tsuji, Kyushu University, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka-ken, Japan; and H. Itoh

 
50A
A new operational convection-permitting NWP system for tropical cyclone forecasting in the SW Indian Ocean
Olivier Bousquet, Météo-France, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion; and D. Mékiès, S. Bielli, M. D. Leroux, D. Barbary, C. Barthe, R. Lee-Ah-Siem, G. Faure, T. Montmerle, P. Brousseau, and M. Plu

Handout (1.2 MB)

 
51
Improving Tropical Cyclone Guidance Tools by Accounting for Variations in Size
John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, S. Longmore, and R. DeMaria
Manuscript (699.9 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

 
53
A 32-year reanalysis intercomparison of tropical cyclone structure in the eastern North Pacific and North Atlantic
Kimberly M. Wood, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie
Manuscript (2.0 MB)

 
54
What controls the size of a tropical cyclone?
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and D. Schönemann and M. Lee

 
55
The influence of vertical resolution to tropical cyclone boundary layer wind structure in HWRF
Eric K. W. Ng, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

 
56
National Hurricane Center Wind Radii Forecast Verification
John P. Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and C. W. Landsea

 
58
Dependency of U.S. Hurricane Economic Loss on Maximum Wind Speed and Storm Size
Alice Ruilin Zhai, La Canada High School, La Canada Flintridge, CA; and J. Jiang
Manuscript (1.0 MB)

Handout (4.1 MB)

 
59
Storm Surge Damage to Buildings
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX
Manuscript (692.2 kB)

 
61
Left Hand Side Wind Maxima in North Atlantic and Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke and K. Hill

Handout (1.4 MB)

 
Poster 62 will now be presented as 13A.5A

 
Poster 62A will also be presented as 5B.5A (All information and uploaded files can be found under 5B.5A)

 
64
Dynamic Energy Efficiency of Heat and of Momentum in Balanced Vortex
Hung-Chi Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. H. Chen, T. Y. Hsu, and E. A. Hendricks

 
65
Effects of Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Storms Activity in the WRF 30-km Regional Climate Model
Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. K. Tsai

 
66
 
Poster 68 has been moved. New paper number 7C.2A

 
71
Impact of ice-phase microphysics on inner-core processes in simulated extremely intense tropical cyclones
Sachie Kanada, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan; and A. Wada and K. Tsuboki
Manuscript (935.1 kB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

 
72
Impact of vertical turbulent mixing on inner-core asymmetric structure and vortex Rossby wave propagation of tropical cyclones
Cen Gao, Dept. of Earth and Environment, International Hurricane Research Center, MIAMI, FL; and P. Zhu

 
73
Asymmetric air streams through tropical cyclones in vertical wind shear: Analysis of the secondary circulation based on trajectory clustering
Michael Riemer, Johannes Gutenberg Universität, Mainz, Germany; and C. Hundt and E. Schömer

 
74
Meso-β-scale environment for the formation of a stationary band complex in idealized numerical experiments
Michael Riemer, Johannes Gutenberg Universität, Mainz, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery

 
76
Vorticity dynamics of Typhoon Nuri (2008) evaluated from different model datasets
Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; and D. J. Raymond and D. Pozo

 
77
Adaptive Mesh Refinement for Tropical Cyclone Prediction
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Kopera, F. X. Giraldo, Q. Jiang, J. D. Doyle, and M. S. Peng

 
78
Tropical Cyclone - Environment interaction in the UTLS
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI

 
80
An examination of the National Hurricane Center Track Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones over Florida and the Gulf of Mexico
John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and H. Vazquez and J. G. Estupiñán

 
81
An integrated measure of tropical cyclone track forecast performance
Hui Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and G. Chen and B. G. Brown

 
82
An Improved Method for Generating Ensembles of Tropical Cyclone Tracks
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
Manuscript (269.6 kB)

 
83
Influence of Topography on Tropical Cyclone Track – Idealized Simulations and Dual-Doppler Radar Analysis
Tsung-Han Li, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, C. K. Yu, and S. R. Lin

 
84
 
85
Environmental and Orographic Effects on Track Deflection of Idealized Tropical Cyclones
Shu-Hua Chen, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and Y. L. Lin

 
87
Objective Consensus Typhoon Track Forecasting Using Multimodel Superensemble
Sanghee Jun, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Seogwipo-si, Jeju-do, South Korea; and J. Kim, W. J. Lee, K. Y. Byun, K. H. Chang, and D. S. Shin

Handout (1.3 MB)

 
88
Typhoon Fanapi (2010) and its Interaction with Taiwan Terrain – Evaluation of the Uncertainty in Track and Rainfall Simulations
Yu-Feng Lin, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and T. H. Yen

 
90
A Study for Determination of the Low Level Circulation Center of Tropical Cyclones in a Weakening Stage with Emphasis on Microwave and Radar Observations
Jinyeon Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seogwipo-si ,Jeju-do, South Korea; and J. Kim, Y. M. Cha, K. H. Chang, H. M. Lee, and D. S. Shin

 
93
An Update on COAMPS-TC Performance: New Validation Tools and Results for Recent Real-time and Retrospective Forecasts
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, Y. Jin, and R. M. Hodur

 
94
Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Center Identification Methods in Numerical Models
Leon T. Nguyen, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari

 
95
Community Support and Testing of the Hurricane WRF model at the Developmental Testbed Center
Ligia R. Bernardet, Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, T. Brown, D. Stark, L. Carson, V. Tallapragada, and S. Trahan

 
96
Development of a new Tropical Cyclone Verification Toolkit (MET-TC)
Kathryn M. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, T. L. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, B. Brown, and L. B. Nance

 
97
An Overview of Recent COAMPS-TC Advancements
James D. Doyle, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur, J. Moskaitis, S. Chen, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, P. A. Reinecke, K. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang

 
98
Evaluation of HWRF for Typhoon Prediction over the western North Pacific Ocean in 2012-2013
Chin-Cheng Tsai, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, D. S. Chen, J. Bao, and L. Y. Chang

 
99
Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasting of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
Beda Luitel, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and G. Villarini and G. A. Vecchi

 
101
Improving wind profile parameterization to better model large hurricane wind fields
Sylvie Lorsolo, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and A. L. Doggett

 
102
A Numerical Sensitivity Study on the Energetics of Tropical Cyclone Megi(2010) during Intensification
Rochelle Cayanan Coronel, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and M. Sawada and T. Iwasaki

Handout (3.7 MB)

 
103
Observations of Inner-Core Structure during the Eyewall Replacement Cycle of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)
Zachary D. Cornelius, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and S. Reynolds, E. R. Sanabia, and B. S. Barrett

 
105
Comparison of the sensitivity of hurricane simulations to convective parameterization and small-scale model noise
Tristan J. Shepherd, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and K. J. E. Walsh

7:30 PM-9:45 PM: Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Recording files available
Session S2
Hurricane Sandy
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/NWS/NHC
  7:30 PM
S2.1
  7:45 PM
S2.2
Genesis of Hurricane Sandy (2012)
Louis L. Lussier III, NPS, Monterey, CA
  8:00 PM
S2.3
Genesis of Hurricane Sandy (2012) Simulated with a Global Mesoscale Model
Bo-Wen Shen, UMCP/ESSIC and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. DeMaria, J. L. F. Li, and S. cheung

Handout (3.1 MB)

  8:15 PM
S2.4
  8:30 PM
S2.5
Hurricane Sandy (2012): A Multiscale Trough Interaction Perspective
Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and A. M. Bentley, C. N. Helms, and P. P. Papin
  8:45 PM
S2.6
Fujiwhara Effect on Track Deflection Associated with Hurricane Sandy (2012) Before Landfalling on the US East Coast
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and J. Spinks, G. M. Smith, and B. W. Shen
  9:15 PM
S2.8
  9:30 PM
S2.9
Long range predictability of Sandy-like storms
Shian-Jiann Lin, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. H. Chen, L. Harris, B. Xiang, and M. Zhao

Wednesday, 2 April 2014

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 8A
NASA Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel Project I
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC
  8:15 AM
8A.2
The Entropy and Water Budgets in Tropical Cyclones Nadine and Gabrielle
Ana Juracic, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and C. Lopez-Carrillo
  8:30 AM
8A.3
Upper-Level Outflow, Predictability, and HS3 Observation Impact
James D. Doyle, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, P. G. Black, E. A. Hendricks, and P. A. Reinecke
  8:45 AM
8A.4
An Examination of the Tropical Cyclone Outflow Layer: NASA HS3 Observations and Comparison with COAMPS-TC Model Predictions
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, E. A. Hendricks, and P. G. Black
  9:00 AM
8A.5
  9:15 AM
8A.6
Interactions between dry air and Hurricane Nadine (2012)
Deanna A. Hence, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. A. Braun
Recording files available
Session 8B
Dynamo/Cindy 2011 IV
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Emily M. Riley, Colorado State University
  9:15 AM
8B.6
Cloud-resolving simulations of the northern DYNAMO sounding array with either imposed or parameterized large scale dynamics
Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel, A. M. Fridlind, and Z. Kuang

  9:30 AM
8B.7
The Intermittency of Precipitation and the MJO
Da Yang, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. P. Ingersoll
  9:45 AM
8B.8
Convective aggregation in equatorial case studies
Christopher E. Holloway, University of Reading, Reading, CA
Recording files available
Session 8C
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change II
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kerry Emanuel, MIT
  8:15 AM
8C.2
Holocene hurricanes: extending data and models to earlier millennia
Robert Korty, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
  8:30 AM
8C.3
Tropical cyclone frequency in simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum
Timothy M. Merlis, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada

  8:45 AM
8C.4
Downscaling Tropical Cyclones in the Last Glacial Maximum and Mid-Holocene
Joseph Galewsky, Univ.of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and S. J. Camargo, R. Korty, and J. Yoo

  9:00 AM
8C.5
Growing threat of intense typhoons to East Asia
Doo-Sun R. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and C. H. Ho and J. H. Kim

  9:15 AM
8C.6
Stronger super typhoons in a warmer world
Nam-Young Kang, Florida Stated University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
Manuscript (596.5 kB)

  9:30 AM
8C.7
Recording files available
Session 8D
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change IV
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC
  8:00 AM
8D.1
A Quasi-Equilibrium Theory for Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and A. B. Schumacher
  8:30 AM
8D.3
Control of Intense Tropical Cyclones by Upper-Ocean Stratification Variability
Emmanuel M. Vincent, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel, J. Vialard, M. Lengaigne, and G. Madec
  8:45 AM
8D.4
Thermodynamic and Flux Observations of the Tropical Cyclone Surface Layer
Alex Kowaleski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans
  9:00 AM
8D.5
  9:30 AM
8D.7
Coastal Ocean Impact on Hurricane Irene Intensity
Greg Seroka, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and T. Miles, Y. Xu, S. Glenn, and O. Schofield
  9:45 AM
8D.8
The Predictability and Dynamics of the Overland Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)
Clark Evans, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and R. S. Schumacher

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 9A
NASA Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel Project II
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Jason Sippel, NASA
  10:30 AM
9A.1
  10:45 AM
9A.2
Exploring Dust Impacts on Tropical Storm Development During HS-3
Ed Nowottnick, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and P. R. Colarco, A. Da Silva, D. Barahona, D. L. Hlavka, and J. R. Spackman
  11:15 AM
9A.4
  11:30 AM
9A.5
  11:45 AM
9A.6
Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)
Daniel J. Cecil, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and S. Biswas, M. W. James, J. B. Roberts, L. Jones, J. Johnson, S. Farrar, S. Sahawneh, C. Ruf, M. Morris, and P. G. Black
  12:00 PM
9A.7
The Global Hawk Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System: Status and Initial Applications
Gary A. Wick, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and T. Hock, M. L. Black, J. Wang, J. R. Spackman, and R. E. Hood
Recording files available
Session 9B
Dynamo/Cindy 2011 V
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ.; Manuel Zuluaga, University of Washington
  10:30 AM
9B.1
Moist static energy budget during CINDY/DYNAMO
Adam H. Sobel, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and S. Wang and D. Kim

  10:45 AM
9B.2
Convective Cold Pool Structure and Boundary Layer Recovery Time in DYNAMO
Ajda Savarin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, B. Kerns, and D. Jorgensen
  11:00 AM
9B.3
On the role of cold pool in organization of convection over tropical Indian Ocean during DYNAMO
Zhe Feng, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. Hagos, C. Burleyson, A. Brewer, S. P. de Szoeke, and A. K. Rowe
  11:15 AM
9B.4
Oceanic influence of atmospheric cold pools during DYNAMO
Elizabeth J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and S. Rutledge, J. N. Moum, C. W. Fairall, S. P. de Szoeke, and A. Brewer
  11:30 AM
9B.5
Ship-based Measurements of Atmospheric Cold Pools and Mass Flux Transport in the Indian Ocean from the DYNAMO Field Program
Aditya Choukulkar, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and W. A. Brewer, C. Fairall, C. R. Williams, S. P. de Szoeke, P. Zuidema, R. J. Alvarez, A. M. Weickmann, and R. M. Hardesty
  11:45 AM
9B.6
Influence of Sumatra on Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclogenesis during DYNAMO
Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski and C. M. Fine
Recording files available
Session 9D
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change V
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC
  10:30 AM
9D.1
Composite Ensemble Sensitivity of Atlantic Hurricane Intensification
Bonnie R. Brown, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
  10:45 AM
9D.2
Probabilistic Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for the North Atlantic
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Jelinek, J. A. Curry, and P. J. Webster
  11:30 AM
9D.5
  12:00 PM
9D.7

10:30 AM-12:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 9C
Tropical Cyclone Remote Sensing I
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin
  10:30 AM
9C.1
New Features and Capabilities of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Timothy Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden
  10:45 AM
9C.2
  11:00 AM
9C.3
Tropical Cyclone Surface Pressure Retrieval From Ocean Vector Wind Sensors
Ralph C. Foster, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Patoux
  11:15 AM
9C.4
Improving Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting with JPSS imager and Sounder Data
Galina Chirokova, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, R. DeMaria, J. F. Dostalek, and D. J. L. Beven
  11:30 AM
9C.5

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014


Lunch

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 10A
Tropical Cyclone Rainbands and Precipitation
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Haiyan Jiang, Florida International University
  2:00 PM
10A.3
Dual-Doppler Radar Investigation of a Convective Rainband during the Impact of the Southwesterly Monsoonal Flow on the Circulation of Typhoon Morakot (2009)
Chih-Hsien Wei, Chung Cheng Institute of Technology, National Defense University, Daxi township, Taoyuan County, Taiwan; and Y. C. Chuang and T. H. Hor
  2:15 PM
10A.4
A Squall-Line-Like Principal Rainband in Typhoon Hagupit (2008) Observed by Airborne Doppler Radar
Xiaowen Tang, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and W. C. Lee and M. M. Bell
  2:30 PM
10A.5
Origin and Maintenance of the Long-lasting, Outer Mesoscale Convective System in Typhoon Fengshen (2008)
Buo-Fu Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and R. L. Elsberry and C. S. Lee
  2:45 PM
10A.6
Remote Effects of Typhoon Vicente (2012) on a Torrential Rain over Beijing on 21 July 2012
Ying Li, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and L. Xue and N. Wei

  3:00 PM
10A.7
Impact of Cloud-radiative Processes on Predecessor Rain Events
Omar A. Nava, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and R. G. Fovell and L. F. Bosart
  3:15 PM
10A.8
Water Budget and Precipitation Efficiency of Typhoon Morakot (2009)
Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan; and H. L. Huang and C. H. Sui
Recording files available
Session 10B
Dynamo/Cindy 2011 VI
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Angela K. Rowe, Univ. of Washington; Tetsuya Takemi, Kyoto University
  1:45 PM
10B.2
  2:00 PM
10B.3
Characterization of the microphysics of ice in tropical convection
Audrey Martini, LATMOS-University Versailles Saint-Quentin, Guyancourt, France; and N. Viltard

  2:30 PM
10B.5
CINDY2011/DYNAMO MJO case simulated by the global cloud resolving model NICAM
Tomoki Miyakawa, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Satoh, H. Miura, H. Tomita, H. Yashiro, A. T. Noda, Y. Yamada, C. Kodama, M. Kimoto, and K. Yoneyama

  2:45 PM
10B.6
Global vs. Local MJO Forecast Skill of the ECMWF model during DYNAMO
Jian Ling, Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Beijing, China; and P. Bauer, P. Bechtold, A. Beljaars, R. Forbes, F. Vitart, M. Ulate, and C. Zhang
  3:00 PM
10B.7
Extended-range Multi-scale Prediction in the Tropics for the DYNAMO time period
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and X. Hong, J. A. Ridout, J. D. Doyle, and M. K. Flatau
  3:15 PM
10B.8
Analysis of the MJO-wind speed relationship in the Indian Ocean using observations and models
Emily M. Riley, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney, S. C. van den Heever, and B. E. Mapes
Recording files available
Session 10C
Tropical Cyclone Remote Sensing II
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: John A. Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS
  1:30 PM
10C.1
Satellite-based Tropical Cyclone Monitoring Capabilities
Jeffrey Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. A. Richardson, J. E. Solbrig, M. Surratt, S. Yang, C. R. Sampson, T. F. Lee, and J. Kent
  1:45 PM
10C.2
Relationships between TC intensity and eyewall structure: radial profiles of inner-core IR brightness temperature
Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and E. R. Sanabia and C. M. Fine
  2:00 PM
10C.3
  2:15 PM
10C.4
A Geostationary Satellite Technique to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Size
Klaus Dolling, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo
  2:30 PM
10C.5
A Comparison of Two Microwave Retrieval Schemes in the Vicinity of Tropical Storms
John F. Dostalek, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and G. Chirokova, K. D. Musgrave, and M. DeMaria
  2:45 PM
10C.6
Evaluation of TRMM 3B42 daily precipitation estimates of tropical cyclones rainfall over the Pacific and Australia region
Yingjun Chen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. Ebert, K. J. E. Walsh, and N. E. Davidson
  3:15 PM
10C.8
Use of MADRAS on Megha-Tropiques to study Hurricane Sandy and Typhoon Bophat Evolution
Nicolas Viltard, LATMOS-CNRS, Guyancourt, France; and A. Martini

Recording files available
Session 10D
Tropical Large Scale Circulation and Intraseasonal Variability I
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Paul E. Roundy, University at Albany
  1:30 PM
10D.1
Potential predictability of the MJO in the ISVHE multimodel framework
Neena Joseph Mani, JIFRESSE/UCLA and JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and J. Y. Lee, D. E. Waliser, B. Wang, and X. Jiang
  2:00 PM
10D.3
  2:15 PM
10D.4
Water vapor tendency associated with MJO represented in global reanalysis products
Satoru Yokoi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan

  2:30 PM
10D.5
  3:15 PM
10D.8

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 11A
Numerical Modeling I
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC
  4:00 PM
11A.1
  4:15 PM
11A.2
Upgrades to the Operational GFDL Model Planned for 2014
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok, M. J. Morin, I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. Yablonsky, and R. E. Tuleya
  4:30 PM
11A.3
  4:45 PM
11A.4
  5:00 PM
11A.5
 
11A.6 will now be presented as Poster 50A

  5:15 PM
11A.7
Real-Time Prediction of the Tropics using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS)
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Skamarock, J. B. Klemp, D. A. Ahijevych, W. Wang, and M. Duda
  5:30 PM
11A.8
Recording files available
Session 11B
Climate I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Shang-Ping Xie, Univesity of California at San Diego; Leila Carvalho, University of California
  4:00 PM
11B.1
Local Changes in the Hadley and Walker Circulations in the last 30 Years
Juliane Schwendike, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia; and M. Reeder, G. Berry, and C. Jakob
  4:15 PM
11B.2
The influence of regional feedbacks on circulation sensitivity
Nicole Feldl, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and G. H. Roe and D. M. W. Frierson

  4:30 PM
11B.3
  5:00 PM
11B.5
Connecting tropical cloud dynamics to global climate sensitivity
Steven C. Sherwood, Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Sydney, Australia; and S. Bony and J. L. Dufresne
  5:15 PM
11B.6
Cloud-Precipitation-Radiation-Dynamics Interaction in Global Climate Models: A Snow and Radiation Interaction Sensitivity Experiment
Jui-Lin F. Li, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and W. L. Lee, D. E. Waliser, J. D. Neelin, E. J. Fetzer, J. Stachnik, S. Wong, and Q. Yue
  5:30 PM
11B.7
Understanding the Future Changes of Equatorial Pacific Trade Winds in the CMIP5
Baoqiang Xiang, NOAA/GFDL, UCAR, Princeton, New Jersey; and B. Wang, J. Li, M. Zhao, and S. J. Lin
  5:45 PM
11B.8
Quantifying synoptic scale errors in CMIP5 simulation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone
Matthew J. Niznik, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ; and B. R. Lintner, A. J. Matthews, and M. J. Widlansky

Recording files available
Session 11C
Tropical Cyclone Secondary Eyewalls and Eyewall Replacement
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University
  4:00 PM
11C.1
Unbalanced Dynamics of Secondary Eyewall Formation in Tropical Cyclones - Part I: Momentum Budget
Yi-Hsuan Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and M. T. Montgomery
  4:15 PM
11C.2
Unbalanced Dynamics of Secondary Eyewall Formation in Tropical Cyclones - Part II: Analyses from Higher-Resolution Simulations
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. P. Kuan, Y. M. Cheng, and Y. H. Huang
  4:30 PM
11C.3
Analysis of a simulated tropical cyclone eyewall replacement cycle
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and D. S. Nolan
  4:45 PM
11C.4
Balanced and unbalanced aspects of secondary eyewall formation
Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery
  5:30 PM
11C.7
Primary and Secondary Eyewall Convective Forcing in Hurricane Rita (2005)
Michael M. Bell, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and A. M. Foerster and S. L. McElhinney
  5:45 PM
11C.8
Recording files available
Session 11D
Tropical Large Scale Circulation and Intraseasonal Variability II
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
  4:00 PM
11D.1
MJO Structure Under Suppressed External Forcing
Marcus N. Morgan II, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. Ray

  4:15 PM
11D.2
  4:45 PM
11D.4
Circumnavigating Kelvin Waves that Initiate and Dissipate the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. T. Haertel and A. Budsock
  5:15 PM
11D.6
  5:30 PM
11D.7
Finding Energy Pathways from a Tropical Energy Bubble to a Mid-Latitude Jet Using Wave Activity Flux Vectors
Stephen A. Ogden, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 2 April 2014


31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Banquet
Location: Tiki Pavilion/Grand Plaza Fountain (Town and Country Resort )

Thursday, 3 April 2014

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 3 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 12A
Numerical Modeling II
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD
  8:00 AM
12A.1
  8:15 AM
12A.2
The Spin-up Process of a Cyclone Vortex in a Tropical Cyclone Initialization Scheme and Its Impact on the initial TC Structure
Chih-Ying Chen, National Central University, JhongLi, Taoyuan, Taiwan; and Y. L. Chen and H. V. Nguyen
Manuscript (1.8 MB)

  8:30 AM
12A.3
The Impact of Cloud Microphysics on the Genesis of Hurricane Julia (2010)
Stefan Cecelski, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang
  8:45 AM
12A.4
The use of gamma distributions to quantify the dependence of cloud particle size distributions in tropical cyclones on cloud and environmental parameters
Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. Mascio, T. L. Hsieh, M. Freer, A. Dooley, and B. F. Jewett
  9:45 AM
12A.8
Objective Updraft Tracking in Mesoscale Models – Hurricane Rainband Convective Properties
Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. M. Rozoff
Recording files available
Session 12B
Climate II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Xiaofan Li, Zhejiang University
  8:15 AM
12B.2
Observed Changes in Organized Tropical Deep Convection as Identified by Cloud Regime Analysis
Jackson Tan, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. Jakob
  8:30 AM
12B.3
Tropical rainfall change in warming climate
Shang-Ping Xie, Univesity of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA
  8:45 AM
12B.4
The role of coastline-induced precipitation in the tropics
Martin Bergemann, Monash Universtity, Melbourne, Australia; and C. Jakob and T. P. Lane
  9:00 AM
12B.5
The effect of cloud-radiative feedback on tropical deep convection and its coupling with large-scale dynamics
Usama M. Anber, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, NY; and S. Wang and A. H. Sobel
  9:15 AM
12B.6
Recording files available
Session 12C
Tropical Cyclone Remote Sensing III
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL
  8:00 AM
12C.1
Advances in Airborne Radio Occultation Profiling in the Tropical Environment of Pre-Hurricane Karl
Brian J. Murphy, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and J. S. Haase, K. N. Wang, J. L. Garrison, X. M. Chen, S. H. Chen, and P. Muradyan
  8:15 AM
12C.2
Radar-derived Buoyancy in Hurricane Rita (2005)
Annette M. Foerster, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and M. M. Bell
  8:30 AM
12C.3
Wide Swath Radar Altimeter for real-time reporting of hurricane wave height and Directional Wave Spectra
Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing Inc., Amherst, MA; and N. Slavich, S. Seeger, C. W. Fairall, and E. Walsh
  8:45 AM
12C.4
Analysis of hurricane morphology, internal waves and boundary layer rolls observed from satellite SAR images
Xiaofeng Li, Global Science and Technology, Inc., College Park, MD; and Z. Zhao, B. Liu, J. Zhang, X. yang, W. Pichel, and M. DeMaria
  9:00 AM
12C.5
Further Improvement of SFMR Surface Wind Speeds in Heavy Precipitation
Bradley W. Klotz, NOAA/AOML - Univ. of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, R. A. Black, and S. Lorsolo
  9:15 AM
12C.6
  9:30 AM
12C.7
  9:45 AM
12C.8
Optimized Tropical Cyclone Wind Retrievals from ASCAT, OceanSAT-2, and QuikSCAT
Bryan W. Stiles, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and S. M. Hristova-Veleva, M. J. Brennan, and R. Danielson

Recording files available
Session 12D
Tropical Large Scale Circulation and Intraseasonal Variability III
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University
  8:00 AM
12D.1
A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO
Sulian Thual, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY ; and A. J. Majda and S. N. Stechmann
  8:15 AM
12D.2
Identifying the MJO Skeleton in Observational Data
Samuel N. Stechmann, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and A. J. Majda
  8:30 AM
12D.3
Symmetric and antisymmetric signals in MJO deep convection
Wen-wen Tung, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and D. Giannakis and A. J. Majda

  8:45 AM
12D.4
Realistic initiation and dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in a coarse resolution aquaplanet GCM
Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and B. Khouider and A. J. Majda
  9:00 AM
12D.5
Vertical Structure and Physical Processes of the MJO: A Global Model Evaluation Project
Duane E. Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Jiang, N. P. Klingaman, P. K. Xavier, S. J. Woolnough, J. Petch, and B. Guan

  9:30 AM
12D.7
The MJO in a Coarse-Resolution GCM with a Stochastic Multicloud Parameterization
Qiang Deng, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and B. Khouider and A. J. Majda

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 3 April 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 13A
Numerical Modeling III
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
  10:30 AM
13A.1
A Climatology of ECMWF Ensemble Hurricane Track Forecast Variability
Travis J. Elless, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
  11:30 AM
13A.5A
Coupled HWRF-HYCOM Modeling System for Typhoon Forecasts
Hyun-Sook Kim, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. Kieu, V. Tallapragada, S. Trahan, and D. Iredell

  11:45 AM
13A.6
Forced and internal variability of tropical cyclone track density in the western North Pacific
Wei Mei, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and S. P. Xie, M. Zhao, and Y. Wang

Handout (8.0 MB)

  12:00 PM
13A.7
Effect of Topography on Tropical Cyclone Tracks
Chi Kit Tang, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan
Recording files available
Session 13B
Climate III
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Ming Zhao, NOAA/GFDL; Bradford Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy
  10:30 AM
13B.1
Transient Aspects of the Hadley Circulation
Gabriela Mora Rojas, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and A. O. Gonzalez, W. H. Schubert, R. K. Taft, and P. E. Ciesielski
  10:45 AM
13B.2
Interhemispheric teleconnections from Atlantic Warm Pool heat source in intermediate and simple models
Xuan Ji, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin, S. K. Lee, and C. R. Mechoso
  11:00 AM
13B.3
Origin of Seasonal Predictability for Summer Climate over the Northwestern Pacific
Yu Kosaka, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and S. P. Xie, N. C. Lau, and G. A. Vecchi
  11:15 AM
13B.4
  11:45 AM
13B.6
Boundary layer shock-like dynamics of the ITCZ
Alex Omar Gonzalez, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert
  12:00 PM
13B.7
The Trade Wind Regime of eastern Australia
Michael J. Murphy Jr., Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and S. T. Siems
Recording files available
Session 13C
Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Heather Archambault, NPS; Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC
  10:30 AM
13C.1
Climatology of extra tropical transitioning duration in the North Western Pacific
Emilie Scherer, Risk Management Solutions, London, England; and J. Imbers, T. Loridan, M. Dixon, E. Bellone, and S. Khare
  11:00 AM
13C.3A
  11:15 AM
13C.4
The impact of tropical cyclones on midlatitude Rossby wave packets: a climatological perspective
Julian F. Quinting, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. C. Jones
  11:30 AM
13C.5
  11:45 AM
13C.6
  12:00 PM
13C.7
Investigating the downstream impact of tropical cyclones using ensemble sensitivity analysis
J. H. Keller, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany; and S. C. Jones
Recording files available
Session 13D
Tropical Large Scale Circulation and Intraseasonal Variability IV
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Samuel N. Stechmann, University of Wisconsin-Madison
  10:30 AM
13D.1
Phase-dependent perturbation kinetic energy of the Madden-Julian oscillation
Matthew C. Bowers, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung
  10:45 AM
13D.2
Applications, Sensitivities, and Development of an RMM-like Index for the MJO Skeleton Model
Justin P. Stachnik, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser, A. J. Majda, and S. N. Stechmann
  11:00 AM
13D.3
Clouds and Winds Associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation: A New Perspective from MISR and the Use of Fused Datasets to Study MJO Initiation
Michael Garay, NASA / California Institute of Technology Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA; and K. J. Mueller
  11:15 AM
13D.4
  11:30 AM
13D.5
Weak temperature gradient simulations; sensitivity to the thermodynamic environment
Stipo Sentic, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and S. L. Sessions and Z. Fuchs
  11:45 AM
13D.6
Intraseasonal variability in easterly wave kinetic energy budgets in west Africa and the east Pacific
Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. J. Alaka Jr. and A. V. Rydbeck

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014


Lunch

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 14A
Numerical Modeling IV
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML/HRD
  1:30 PM
14A.1
  2:00 PM
14A.3
  2:15 PM
14A.4
The Impacts of Effective Diffusion on the Axisymmetrization Process
Stephen Guimond, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. M. Reisner
  2:30 PM
14A.5
  2:45 PM
14A.6
Effects of surface exchange coefficients on the intensity and structure of axisymmetric hurricanes
Tristan J. Shepherd, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and K. J. E. Walsh and J. D. Kepert
  3:00 PM
14A.7
Is Von-Karman constant really a universal constant?
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and J. Furst
Recording files available
Session 14B
Monsoon I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Cochairs: Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France; Hanh Nguyen, Bureau of Meteorology
  1:30 PM
14B.1
  1:45 PM
14B.2
Mechanisms of 20th and 21st Century Asian Monsoon Changes in CMIP5 Models and Observations
Xiaoqiong Li, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. Ting and C. Li
  2:15 PM
14B.4
The Role of African topography in the South Asian Monsoon
Ho-Hsuan Wei, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Bordoni
  2:30 PM
14B.5
Comparison of “cloudbursts “ in Nepal and Indian Himalayas: from tropical-extratropical interaction perspective
Archana Shrestha, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison,, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and L. Back

Handout (13.7 MB)

  2:45 PM
14B.6
  3:15 PM
14B.8
Interannual variability in the large scale dynamics of the South Asian summer monsoon
Jennifer M. Walker, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Bordoni and T. Schneider
Recording files available
Session 14C
Tropical Cyclone Structure I
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kevin J. Tory, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research
  1:30 PM
14C.1
The spatial contribution of translation speed to tropical cyclone wind structure
Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau
  1:45 PM
14C.2
  2:15 PM
14C.4
Investigation of the atmospheric environments associated with TC size changes
Diana R. Stovern, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie
  2:45 PM
14C.6
Beyond the wind radius: a complete, observationally-constrained tropical cyclone radial wind profile
Daniel R. Chavas, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and K. Emanuel and N. Lin
  3:00 PM
14C.7
The analysis of 15m/s wind radius of Typhoon in NMSC/KMA
Ok Hee Kim, Korea Meteorelogical Administration, Jincheon-gun, Chungcheongbuk-d, South Korea
  3:15 PM
14C.8
Statistical Prediction of Integrated Kinetic Energy in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Michael E. Kozar, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and V. Misra

1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 14D
HFIP I
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC
  1:30 PM
14D.1
Significant Advances to the NCEP Operational HWRF Modeling System for Improved Hurricane Forecasts
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and S. Trahan, Y. C. Kwon, Z. Zhang, C. Kieu, Q. Liu, W. Wang, M. Tong, D. Sheinin, E. Liu, B. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, X. Zhang, L. R. Bernardet, R. M. Yablonsky, J. W. Bao, R. J. Pasch, J. L. Franklin, D. A. Zelinsky, B. Strahl, W. Lapenta, R. L. Gall, and F. Toepfer
  1:45 PM
14D.2
Improved Telescopic Nesting and Accurate Storm Tracking in the NCEP Operational HWRF Model
Samuel Trahan, NCEP EMC (IMSG), College Park, MD; and Z. Zhang, Y. C. Kwon, H. Y. Chuang, V. Tallapragada, T. Marchok, X. Zhang, S. Gopalakrishnan, and G. Thompson
  2:00 PM
14D.3
Representing Multi-Scale Interactions in HWRF Modeling System
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and T. Quirino, Q. Liu, R. St. Fleur, Z. Zhang, and S. Gopalakrishnan
  2:15 PM
14D.4
Assimilation of Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations with HWRF Hybrid Data Assimilation System
Mingjing Tong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and V. Tallapragada, E. Liu, B. Zhang, W. Wang, C. Kieu, and Q. Liu
  3:00 PM
14D.7
Recent Developments to the COAMPS-TC Dynamic Initialization Schemes
Eric A. Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, R. M. Hodur, J. D. Doyle, Y. Jin, and J. R. Moskaitis
  3:15 PM
14D.8
MPIPOM-TC: A new ocean modeling system with flexible initialization for improved coupled hurricane-ocean model forecasts
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and B. Thomas

3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014


Coffee Break

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 3 April 2014


Poster Session P2
Poster Session II
Location: Golden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
 
106
Impact of the tropopause temperature on the intensity of tropical cyclones
Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, and L. M. Polvani

 
107
The Role of Boundary Layer Dynamics on Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Yuan-Ming Cheng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

 
108
A Novel Approach to Modeling Tropical Cyclone Structure Change
Cécile Penland, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Fiorino

Handout (3.0 MB)

 
109
Effects of Ice Microphysics on Hurricane Intensity
Casey Peirano, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Straka, C. P. Riedel, and O. Kintigh

 
110
Enhancements to the SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. M. Rozoff, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, and M. DeMaria

Handout (3.7 MB)

 
Poster 111 will now be presented as 5C.1A

 
112
Adopting Model Uncertainties for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and T. Vukicevic and B. Tang

 
113
Extreme Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea
Owen H. Shieh, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Fiorino, M. E. Kucas, and B. Wang

 
115
Shorter Time Scale Definitions for the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. J. Silver

 
116
A triggering mechanism of the axisymmetric spontaneous intensification of tropical cyclones
Yoshiaki Miyamoto, RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science, Kobe, Hyogo, Japan; and T. Takemi

 
117
Effects of Observed Conditions on Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity
Jenni L. Evans, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. Kowaleski

Handout (1.5 MB)

 
Poster 119 will now be presented as 15A.8A

 
120
Numerical experiments for tropical cyclone intensity to the ocean around the warm strong currents
Mayumi K. Yoshioka, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and H. Aiki and K. Tsuboki

 
Poster 121 will now be presented as 13C.3A

 
122
Tropical Cyclone - Ocean Interaction in Typhoon Fanapi (2010) - A Synergy Study Based on ITOP Observations, EnKF Data Assimilation, and Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Models
Shao-Liang Sung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, I. I. Lin, S. S. Chen, and C. Y. Lee

 
124
What is the sea-surface temperature threshold for tropical cyclone formation?
Kevin J. Tory, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and R. A. Dare

Handout (335.0 kB)

 
125
Computing Deep-Tropospheric Vertical Wind Shear Analyses for Tropical Cyclone Applications: The Methodology Matters!
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin Space Science and Engineering Center, Madison, WI; and J. Sears

 
126
Hurricane Eyewall Evolution in a Forced Shallow Water Model
Eric A. Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert, Y. H. Chen, H. C. Kuo, and M. S. Peng

 
127
Boundary layer dynamical structure during secondary eyewall formation
Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and J. C. McWilliams

 
128
Tertiary eyewalls: observations and boundary layer response
Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and Y. T. Yang, H. C. Kuo, B. D. McNoldy, and M. T. Montgomery

 
129
 
130
Highly idealized three-dimensional nonlinear simulations and some aspects of the problem of the secondary eyewall formation
Konstantinos Menelaou, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and P. M. K. Yau

 
137
Characteristics of Tropical Easterly Wave Pouches during Tropical Cyclone Formation
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and I. E. Hankes, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, T. J. Dunkerton, and S. W. Nesbitt

 
143
Development of a Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI) for the North Atlantic
Jason Dunion, University of Miami/CIMAS-NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Kaplan, A. B. Schumacher, J. Cossuth, and M. DeMaria

 
Poster 144 will now be presented as 2B.6A

 
146
Verification of TC genesis forecasts from global models: Updates and real-time applications
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg, R. E. Hart, and J. Cossuth

 
147
An analysis of tropical storm formation using ensemble data assimilation and high-resolution numerical simulations
Andrew B. Penny, NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Hacker, P. A. Harr, and R. Creasey

 
148
Impacts of the Upper-tropospheric Processes on Tropical Cyclone Formation
Cody L. Fritz, University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang and S. A. Braun

 
150
Multi-Scale Predictability Aspects of Superstorm Sandy
James D. Doyle, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, P. A. Reinecke, C. M. Amerault, and R. H. Langland

 
152
Objective, Automatic Tracking of Pre-Genesis Tropical Disturbances within the Deviation Angle Variance Method
Oscar G. Rodriguez-Herrera, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. M. Wood, K. Dolling, W. Black, E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo
Manuscript (2.4 MB)

 
153
Using Ensemble Analysis to Investigate the Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010)
Ashford D'Arcy Reyes, Howard University, Washington, DC

 
154
 
155
Landfall intensity of tropical cyclones and ENSO
Doo-Sun R. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. S. Kim

 
156
Relationship between Typhoon Activities and ENSO Evolution in 2009/2010
Jiyoung Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Dongjak-gu, South Korea; and M. S. Lim and D. S. Shin

Handout (478.7 kB)

 
157
Interannual Variability of the Atlantic Hadley Circulation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Activity
Gan Zhang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. S. Peng, J. H. Chen, and S. J. Lin

 
159
 
Poster 160 will now be presented as 1A.6A

 
161
Outlook for Seasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Events in Atlantic and Western North Pacific
Hsiao-Chung Tsai, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and M. S. Jordan

 
162
RPI2.0 2013 Seasonal Landfall Competition Results
Mark P. Guishard, Risk Prediction Initiative, BIOS, St. George's, Bermuda; and C. King, F. Niehoerster, and R. Murnane

 
Poster 164 wiill now be presented as 7C.5A

 
164A
Intense Tropical Cyclone Occurrences in Mindanao (Philippines)
Nikos Viktor B. Penaranda, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia

 
166
Intercomparison of global tropical cyclone activity using four cumulus parameterizations in tropical channel climate simulations
Atsushi Hashimoto, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Chiba, Japan; and J. M. Done and H. Hirakuchi

 
168
 
169
Recurving Tropical Cyclones as Precursors to Blocking
Heather M. Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr

 
171
The influence of ET on poleward Rossby Wave Breaking
Lisa-Ann Quandt, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. H. Keller, A. Schneidereit, S. C. Jones, and D. Peters

 
172
Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global Scale Forcings
Gabriele Villarini, IIHR HYDROSCIENCE & ENGINEERING, IOWA CITY, IA; and D. A. Lavers, E. Scoccimarro, M. Zhao, M. F. Wehner, G. A. Vecchi, and T. R. Knutson

 
173
Evaluation of ACCESS-TC Precipitation Forecasts using CRA
Yingjun Chen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. Ebert, N. E. Davidson, and K. J. E. Walsh

 
174
Environmnetal Discourses in Borana Oromo: A Focus on Narratives
Teshome Tafesse, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, n/a, Ethiopia

 
176
A tropical cyclone tornado parameter for use in situational awareness forecasting
Matthew Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and B. M. Hays and M. C. Link

 
177
Sounding-based prediction of supercell motions in tropical cyclones
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and C. Self

 
179
Statistical Characteristics of Typhoon-Induced Rainfall in Taiwan
Tzu-Hsiung Yen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. F. Lin

 
180
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan
Lung-Yao Chang, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan; and D. Y. C. Chen, L. F. Hsiao, C. C. Tsai, L. Feng, C. S. Lee, H. C. Kuo, and M. J. Yang

 
181
 
182
Formation of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Rainbands in a 3-D Cloud-Resolving Model
Diamilet Perez-Betancourt, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

 
184
Radar and Thermodynamic Properties of Isolated Convective Cells in the Rainband Region
Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. Baird, K. Crooks, and C. M. Rozoff

 
185
The Impact of Typhoon Danas on the Typhoon Fitow Flood Event in East China
Anna M. Trevino, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and P. J. Sousounis and A. Chen

 
186
North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding
Gabriele Villarini, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and R. Goska, J. A. Smith, and G. A. Vecchi

 
187
Spatial and Temporal Distributions of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Using Data from the Global Forecast System and Stage IV Precipitation
Ryan Walsh, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart

 
188
Objectbased verification of tropical precipitation forecasts during the YOTC period
Marlon Maranan, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. F. Quinting, J. H. Keller, and S. C. Jones

 
189
Tropical Convection Observed During the Hawaiian Educational Radar Opportunity (HERO)
Michael M. Bell, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and R. Ballard, A. M. Foerster, A. Frambach, K. A. Kosiba, W. C. Lee, S. L. McElhinney, and J. M. Wurman

 
190
 
191
Mechanisms for convection initiation over North-East Australia
Cathryn E. Birch, UK Met Office, Leeds, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom; and M. J. Reeder and M. J. Roberts

 
193
Response of Atmospheric Convection to Vertical Wind Shear: Cloud-Radiation Interaction
Usama M. Anber, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, NY; and S. Wang and A. H. Sobel

 
194
Dynamical Environments of Organised Deep Convection in Climate Models
Jackson Tan, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. Jakob
Manuscript (714.6 kB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

 
195
Threshold Models for Rainfall and Convection: Deterministic versus Stochastic Triggers
Scott Hottovy, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Stechmann

Handout (2.3 MB)

 
196
Verification and Optimization method for the Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment (TAPEX)
Delia Yen-Chu Chen, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. C. Wu, C. C. Chiang, L. R. Huang, L. Y. Chang, L. F. Hsiao, L. Feng, and C. S. Lee

 
Poster 197 wiill now be presented as 6B.7A

 
198
Explaining low convective echo top heights during a strong DYNAMO westerly wind burst
Elizabeth J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Peters, R. S. Schumacher, and S. A. Rutledge

 
199
Climate Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity Simulated by GFDL CM2.5
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, South Korea; and G. A. Vecchi, T. R. Knutson, T. L. Delworth, and M. Zhao

 
202
Sensitivity to planetary boundary layer parameterizations in realistic hurricane simulations
Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; and S. F. Abarca, L. M. Farfan, and G. B. Raga

 
203

Friday, 4 April 2014

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 4 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 15A
Numerical Modeling V
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Eric Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML
  8:00 AM
15A.1
Moist Convective Instability, Rainfall Rate, and Gross Moist Stability
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. Gjorgjievska and S. L. Sessions
  8:15 AM
15A.2
A multicloud model for meso-scale convective systems
Boualem Khouider, Univ. of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and M. W. Moncrieff
  8:45 AM
15A.4
Deterministic Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones Using a Variable-Resolution Global Model
Colin M. Zarzycki, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski
  9:15 AM
15A.6
How the different analyses forcing fields affect the tropical cyclone simulation?
Shih-How Lo, National Taiwan Normal University, TAIPEI, Taiwan; and C. T. Chen and C. C. Wang

  9:45 AM
15A.8A
Recording files available
Session 15B
Monsoon II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Larissa E. Back, University of Wisconsin
  8:00 AM
15B.1
Response of aquaplanet monsoons to changes in longwave radiation
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. M. Merlis
  8:15 AM
15B.2
Cloud-Radiation Interaction in the West African Monsoon: An Idealized Study
Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and D. Bouniol and F. Guichard
  8:30 AM
15B.3
Evaluation of cloud properties over the Maritime Continent in ACCESS using CloudSat and CALIPSO simulators
Hanh Nguyen, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. N. Franklin and A. Protat
  8:45 AM
15B.4
  9:00 AM
15B.5
Extended range forecast of intraseasonal variability of western north Pacific monsoon and typhoons in 2004 using a global nonhydrostatic model
Masuo Nakano, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Sawada, T. Nasuno, and M. Satoh

  9:15 AM
15B.6
Intensive observation PALAU2013 and data rescue study for Philippine summer monsoon onset
Hisayuki Kubota, Research Institute for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, J. Matsumoto, E. O. Cayanan, and F. D. Hilario
  9:30 AM
15B.7
Case Studies from the 2013 North American Monsoon Transect Experiment
James M. Moker Jr., University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra, C. Castro, and A. Avelino
Recording files available
Session 15C
Tropical Cyclone Structure II
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Daniel P. Stern, NCAR
  8:00 AM
15C.1
Tropical cyclone outflow layer structure and dynamics using G-IV dropsondes
John Molinari, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro
  8:15 AM
15C.2
  8:30 AM
15C.3
Outflow layer influences on tropical cyclone structure and intensity
Eric Rappin, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY

  8:45 AM
15C.4
  9:00 AM
15C.5
Recording files available
Session 15D
HFIP II
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: David A. Zelinsky, Systems Research Group, Inc., Colorado Springs, CO, and National Hurricane Center, NCEP/NWS, Miami, FL
  8:00 AM
15D.1
Further Development of a Statistical-Dynamical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria
  8:15 AM
15D.2
  8:30 AM
15D.3
Results From The 2013 HFIP Realtime Demo GFS Ensemble
Philip Pegion, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and T. Hamill
  8:45 AM
15D.4
Multiple Model Ensemble Forecasts for Tropical Cyclone Track and Genesis
Jiayi Peng, EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
  9:15 AM
15D.6
Evaluation of GFDL hurricane ensemble wind speed probability guidance
Matthew J. Morin, DRC / High Performance Technologies Group, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok and M. Bender
  9:30 AM
15D.7
Forecast verification methods for tropical cyclone forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Ebert, E. Gilleland, and L. J. Wilson
  9:45 AM
15D.8
Experimental Model Evaluations for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, K. M. Newman, J. L. Vigh, and C. L. Williams

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 4 April 2014


Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:15 PM: Friday, 4 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 16A
Tropical Cyclone Landfall and Operational Issues I
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC
  10:30 AM
16A.1
  10:45 AM
16A.2
On the limits of measuring the maximum wind speeds in hurricanes
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang and E. W. Uhlhorn
  11:00 AM
16A.3
Operational Implications for NEXRAD WSR-88D Wind Speed Reduction Factors
Richard J. Krupar III, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder
  11:15 AM
16A.4
A Study of the Constraints of the Dvorak Technique
John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and J. Cangialosi and T. B. Kimberlain
  12:00 PM
16A.7
An Introduction of Typhoon Forecast Operation at CTFC
Lin Dong, National Meteorological Center, Beijing, China; and C. Qian

Recording files available
Session 16B
U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes and Climate I
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kevin Walsh, University of Melbourne
  10:30 AM
16B.1
Overview of the characteristics of tropical cyclones in the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Models
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and D. Shaevitz, Y. Lu, A. S. Daloz, J. G. Dwyer, K. Emanuel, J. P. Kossin, A. H. Sobel, G. A. Vecchi, K. Walsh, M. Zhao, J. Jonas, D. Kim, T. LaRow, Y. K. Lim, C. M. Patricola, M. J. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, P. L. Vidale, H. Wang, and M. F. Wehner
  10:45 AM
16B.2
Robust direct effect of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration on global tropical cyclone frequency - A multi-model inter-comparison
Ming Zhao, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Held, G. A. Vecchi, E. Scoccimarro, H. Wang, M. F. Wehner, Y. K. Lim, T. E. LaRow, S. J. Camargo, K. J. E. Walsh, S. gualdi, A. Kumar, S. Schubert, and K. A. Reed
  11:00 AM
16B.3
Cluster analysis of explicitly and downscaled simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks
Anne Sophie Daloz, UW-Madison Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin, and K. A. Emanuel
  11:15 AM
17B.7
The tracking scheme dependence of simulated future tropical cyclone activity trends
Michael Horn, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and K. Walsh, M. Zhao, S. A. Camargo, J. A. Jonas, D. Shaevitz, E. Scoccimarro, H. Wang, H. Murakami, K. Oouchi, and A. Kumar

  11:30 AM
16B.5
Projected changes in the length of the tropical cyclone season
John G. Dwyer, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, M. Biasutti, K. A. Emanuel, G. A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao
  11:45 AM
16B.6
Fine resolution simulation of the effect of climate change on tropical cyclones in the South Pacific
Kevin J.E. Walsh, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and S. T. Garner, T. R. Knutson, C. Kerr, J. J. Sirutis, and J. Katzfey
  12:00 PM
16B.7
Intense precipitation events associated with landfalling tropical cyclones in a warmer climate
Enrico Scoccimarro, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia/Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy; and S. gualdi, G. Villarini, M. Zhao, G. A. Vecchi, K. Walsh, and A. Navarra
  12:15 PM
The dependence of simulated future tropical cyclone activity on tracking methods: Presented by Michael Horn
Recording files available
Session 16C
Tropical Cyclone Structure III
Location: Pacific Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Brian Strahl, Joint Typhoon Warning Center
  10:30 AM
16C.1
  10:45 AM
16C.2
An Observational Study of Hurricane Georges (1998) as a Mature Tropical Cyclone
Neil Thomas Sanger, Air Force Weather, Barksdale Air Force Base, LA; and M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Smith, and M. M. Bell
  11:00 AM
16C.3
Observations of Supergradient Winds in the Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer
Shannon L. McElhinney, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and M. M. Bell
  11:15 AM
16C.4
Tropical cyclone boundary layer shocks and shock-like structures
Christopher J. Slocum, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert
  11:30 AM
16C.5
  11:45 AM
16C.6
Interactions between Roll Vortices and Large-scale Flow in the Hurricane Boundary Layer
Kun Gao, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis

  12:00 PM
16C.7
Structure and Maintenance of Concentric Eyewalls in Simulated Typhoon Bolaven (2012)
Satoki Tsujino, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and K. Tsuboki
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (1.2 MB)

Recording files available
Session 16D
HFIP III
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ.
  11:00 AM
16D.3
  11:15 AM
16D.4
  11:30 AM
16D.5
Influence of cloud-radiative forcing on tropical cyclone structure
Yizhe Peggy Bu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Fovell and K. L. Corbosiero
  12:00 PM
16D.7
Hurricane WRF model sensitivity to microphysics and radiation parameterizations
Mrinal K. Biswas, DTC/NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, T. Brown, G. Thompson, A. Chakraborty, S. Trahan, Y. Kwon, V. Tallapragada, J. H. Gotway, M. Harrold, and T. Jensen

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Friday, 4 April 2014


Lunch

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Friday, 4 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 17A
Tropical Cyclone Landfall and Operational Issues II
Location: Garden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kieran Bhatia, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
  1:30 PM
17A.1
Subtropical cyclones: Operational practices and analysis methods applied at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Matthew E. Kucas, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI; and S. J. Barlow and R. C. Ballucanag
  1:45 PM
17A.2
Intensity Guidance and Center Tracking for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones by VORTRAC
Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR/EOL, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bell, A. M. Foerster, X. Tang, and P. R. Harasti
  2:15 PM
17A.4
  2:30 PM
17A.5
  2:45 PM
17A.6
Role of Land Surface Processes on land falling Tropical Cyclones and Monsoon Depressions over the Indian Region
Krishna K. Osuri, Indian Institute of Bhubaneswar, Satya Nagar, Orisha, India; and U. C. Mohanty, S. Pattanayak, S. Gopalakrishnan, and D. Niyogi

  3:15 PM
17A.8
Radar observation of precipitation asymmetries in tropical cyclones making landfall on the east China coast
Kun Zhao, Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and D. Wu, B. J. D. Jou, and W. C. Lee

Recording files available
Session 17B
U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes and Climate II
Location: Pacific Salon 4 & 5 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Kevin J.E. Walsh, The University of Melbourne
  1:30 PM
17B.8
Mitigation of hurricane potential intensity by the Montreal Protocol
Lorenzo M. Polvani, Columbia University, New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo and R. Garcia
  1:45 PM
17B.2
Resolution dependence of future tropical cyclone projections of CAM5.1 in the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group idealized configurations
Michael F. Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and M. Prabhat, K. A. Reed, D. Stone, W. D. Collins, and J. Bacmeister
  2:00 PM
17B.3
North Atlantic Hurricane Potential Intensity in CMIP5 Models: Anthropogenic Forcing versus Atlantic Multidecadal Variability
Mingfang Ting, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and S. J. Camargo and Y. Kushnir

  2:15 PM
17B.4
Environmental control of tropical cyclones in CMIP5: A ventilation perspective
Brian Tang, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and S. J. Camargo
  2:30 PM
17B.5
Model Resolution Dependency of the Maximum Intensity of Tropical cyclones and its development speed
Yohei Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Satoh
  2:45 PM
17B.6
The Impact of Canonical and Non-canonical El Niño on Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity: High-resolution Tropical Channel Model Simulations
Christina M. Patricola, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and P. Chang and R. Saravanan

 
Paper 17B.7 will be presented in Session 16B at 11:15

Recording files available
Session 17D
HFIP IV
Location: Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
  2:00 PM
17D.3
Evaluation of shear-relative hurricane structure from the HWRF model
Paul Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang and S. Gopalakrishnan
  2:30 PM
17D.5
  2:45 PM
17D.6
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Verification: Multivariate Attributes and Rapid Intensity Change
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, E. Gilleland, P. A. Kucera, L. B. Nance, and K. M. Newman
  3:00 PM
17D.7
Application of Wind-Pressure Relationships to Global Model Output for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
David A. Zelinsky, Systems Research Group, Inc., Colorado Springs, CO, and National Hurricane Center, NCEP/NWS, Miami, FL, Miami, FL

1:45 PM-3:30 PM: Friday, 4 April 2014

Recording files available
Session 17C
Tropical Cyclone Structure IV
Location: Pacific Salon 6 & 7 (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair: John Molinari, SUNY
  1:45 PM
17C.1
Isentropic analysis of hurricane circulation
Agnieszka A. Mrowiec, NASA GISS / Columbia University, New York, NY; and O. Pauluis and F. Zhang
  2:00 PM
17C.3
Relationships Between Tropical Cyclone Structure and Convective Cloud Dynamics
Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. D. Terwey
  2:15 PM
17C.4
  2:30 PM
17C.5
  2:45 PM
17C.6
Reexamination of Eyewall Instabilities in Simulated Hurricanes
Jason Naylor, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Schecter
  3:00 PM
17C.7
Analysis of Shear-Relative Asymmetries in Tropical Cyclone Eyewall Slope Using Airborne Doppler Radar Data
Andrew Todd Hazelton, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. F. Rogers and R. E. Hart
  3:15 PM
17C.8
Quadrant distribution of tropical cyclone inner-core kinematics in relation to environmental shear
Jennifer C. DeHart, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr. and R. F. Rogers

3:30 PM-3:35 PM: Friday, 4 April 2014


Meeting Adjourns