Session 15D HFIP II

Friday, 4 April 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
David A. Zelinsky, National Hurricane Center, NCEP/NWS, Miami, FL, Miami, FL

Papers:
8:00 AM
15D.1
Further Development of a Statistical-Dynamical Ensemble for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria
Recorded Presentation

8:15 AM
15D.2
The University of Wisconsin Nonhydrostatic Model (UW-NMS) in 2013: Development, Performance and Future Plans
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli
Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM
15D.3
Results From The 2013 HFIP Realtime Demo GFS Ensemble
Philip Pegion, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and T. Hamill
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
15D.4
Multiple Model Ensemble Forecasts for Tropical Cyclone Track and Genesis
Jiayi Peng, EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
15D.5
Verification of tropical cyclone genesis prediction in a suite of operational global numerical weather prediction models
Mike Fiorino, CIRES, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.2 MB)

9:15 AM
15D.6
Evaluation of GFDL hurricane ensemble wind speed probability guidance
Matthew J. Morin, NOAA GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. Marchok and M. Bender
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
15D.7
Forecast verification methods for tropical cyclone forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Ebert, E. Gilleland, and L. J. Wilson
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
15D.8
Experimental Model Evaluations for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, B. G. Brown, T. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, K. M. Newman, J. L. Vigh, and C. Williams
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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