Session 9D Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change V

Wednesday, 2 April 2014: 10:30 AM-12:15 PM
Regency Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Chair:
Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC, Miami, FL

Papers:
10:30 AM
9D.1
Composite Ensemble Sensitivity of Atlantic Hurricane Intensification
Bonnie R. Brown, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. J. Hakim
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
9D.2
Probabilistic Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Intensity for the North Atlantic
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Jelinek, J. A. Curry, and P. J. Webster
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
9D.3
Application of Ensemble Forecasts to the Study of Tropical Cyclone Intensity: A Case Study of Hurricane Katia (2011)
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and R. D. Torn
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (2.0 MB)

9D.4
A Model-output-calibration-based Consensus Forecast Method for Tropical Cyclone Intensity

11:30 AM
9D.5
Hurricane Intensity Probability Prediction in a Changing Climate: A Multiple-Linear Regression Modeling Approach
Chia-Ying Lee, Columbia University, New York, NY; and M. K. Tippett, S. J. Camargo, and A. H. sobel
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
9D.6
Situation-dependent Intensity Skill Metric and Intensity Spread Guidance for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and H. C. Tsai

12:00 PM
9D.7
Applications of Weighted Track Analog Intensity Prediction Scheme for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones
Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Tamkang University Taiwan, New Taipei City,, Taiwan; and R. L. Elsberry

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