Session: Poster Session I (31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology)

1

Vertical Shift of Stable Layers under the Different MJO Phases

Kunio Yoneyama, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan

2

Heating experiments in CAM4 and the role of the background environment in MJO propagation

Fiaz Ahmed, Texas A&M University, Bryan, TX; and C. Schumacher

3

A numerical study of the October and November DYNAMO MJO events using a regional model

Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel and F. Zhang

4

Stochastic Forcings Associated with MJO Initiation during DYNAMO

Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and C. Penland

Handout (12.2 MB)

5

Intraseasonal Forecasting of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Tropical Cyclone 05

Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. Doyle, P. May, S. Chen, M. Flatau, and L. W. O'Neill

6

Characteristics of satellite derived Latent Heating variability associated with the MJO over the Indian and West Pacific Ocean

Hannah C. Barnes, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr. and M. Zuluaga

7

Nonlinear traveling wave solution for the MJO skeleton model

Shengqian Chen, University of Wisconsin at Madison, Madison, WI; and S. N. Stechmann

Handout (152.2 kB)

8

Rainfall and Convection Asymmetries of Tropical Cyclones from TRMM Precipitation Radar Observations

Haiyan Jiang, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and Y. Pei and J. Zagrodnik

9

The Walker Circulation and the MJO Skeleton: Comparison of Model and Observations

H. Reed Ogrosky, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and S. Stechmann

10

Influence of Air-Sea Interactions on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Presence and Absence of Extratropical Forcing

Xi Chen, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. Ray

11

The Variability of Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Anomalous Convective Envelopes Associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Naoko Sakaeda, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and P. E. Roundy

12

Moisture Cycle of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, convectively-coupled Kelvin waves, and a subset of waves in between

Jennifer A. Gahtan, University at Albany-SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy

Handout (2.7 MB)

13

Exploring the utility of the planned CYGNSS mission for investigating the initiation and development of the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Timothy J. Lang, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and J. Mecikalski, X. Li, T. Chronis, W. A. Brewer, J. Churnside, and S. Rutledge

14

Climatological analysis of tropical cyclone eye and inner-core structure from a global satellite-based passive microwave dataset

Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart, J. Hawkins, C. Velden, and A. Wimmers

15

Global Tropical Cyclone Storm Size and Environmental Pressure Climatology using CFSR

Jason Butke, AIR Worldwide Corp, Boston, MA; and P. J. Sousounis and K. A. Hill

16

Initial condition sensitivity of the structure of Hurricane Irene (2011)

Jason W. Godwin, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar

17

Further Development and Applications of an Efficient and Configurable Vortex Initialization Technique

Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. Hendricks, E. Rappin, S. J. Majumdar, D. Nolan, and J. D. Doyle

18

Understanding the Impacts of Assimilating the Atmospheric Motion Vectors on the Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Track and Structure

Ting-Chi Wu, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, C. S. Velden, H. Liu, and J. Anderson

19

Evaluation of Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and Moist Processes in NOGAPS Analyses and Short-term Forecasts

Weiwei Li, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. Peng, and J. A. Ridout

20

Taiwan Local Circulation with Mountain Effect during Cold Surge Period

Chi-Chang Liao, National Denfense University, Taipei, Taiwan

Handout (2.8 MB)

21

Precipitation in the Wet Tropics of Queensland, Australia

Michael J. Murphy Jr., Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and S. T. Siems

22

Calibration of the Stochastic Multicloud Model using Bayesian Inference

23

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Mesoscale Model Simulations of Future Precipitation Climate in the Central Andes

Stephen D. Nicholls, NASA/GSFC and Maryland Office of Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Greenbelt, MD; and K. I. Mohr

24

The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation

John G. Dwyer, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and M. Biasutti and A. H. Sobel

25

Investigating Saharan Heat Low Biases in the CMIP5 Dataset

Ross D. Dixon, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont

26

Idealized Simulations of Monsoon Depressions

Varun S. Murthy, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and W. R. Boos

27

Poleward Shift in Monsoon Low Level Jetstream under Global Warming

Sandeep Sukumaran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and A. M. Ravindran

Handout (1.6 MB)

28

Convective Cloud-Radiative and Microphysical Impacts from Precipitating Hydrometeors in South Asian Summer Monsoon

29

Employing the Advanced Dvorak Technique to Deduce Historical Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Timothy L. Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, and K. R. Knapp

30

Update on the SATellite CONsensus (SATCON) Algorithm for Estimating TC Intensity

Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. Herndon

31

Passive Microwave Signatures of Tropical Cyclone Symmetry as Related to Intensity Change

Daniel S. Harnos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and S. W. Nesbitt

32

An Analysis of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones Derived from 13 Years of TRMM Data

Michael Fischer, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Zagrodnik, H. Jiang, and M. E. Kieper

33

Real-time Verification of Passive Microwave Imagery-Based Statistical Models of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification

Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, J. Kaplan, A. Wimmers, and J. P. Kossin

34

An Update on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation from Satellite Microwave Sounders

Derrick Herndon, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden

35

Relationship of tropical cyclone intensity and intensity change with precipitation and structural properties based on a decade of microwave sounder observations

Ali Behrangi, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and L. Wu and B. H. Lambrigtsen

36

Further Development and Validation of ARCHER: The Satellite-Based Automated TC Center-Fixing Algorithm

Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden

37

Comparisons and Evaluations between the Oceansat-2 (OSCAT) and ASCAT Scatterometers over Tropical Cyclones

Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam

Manuscript (928.4 kB)

Handout (3.8 MB)

38

A study of the impact of dust on tropical storms using satellite measurements

Yongxiang Hu, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and K. M. Xu

39

The Satellite Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center

John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. J. Brennan, H. D. Cobb III, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, A. B. Schumacher, C. S. Velden, S. A. Monette, J. P. Dunion, G. J. Jedlovec, K. K. Fuell, and M. J. Folmer

40

Diurnal Pulsing of Lightning in Strong Tropical Cyclones

Stephanie N. Stevenson, University at Albany - State University of New York, Albany, NY; and K. L. Corbosiero and J. P. Dunion

41

Wave and Wind Direction Effects on SFMR Brightness Temperatures

Heather M. Holbach, Florida State University; and E. Uhlhorn and M. A. Bourassa

42

HIWRAP Flights During HS3-2013

Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Mclinden, M. Coon, L. Li, S. Guimond, A. C. Didlake Jr., A. E. Emory, and L. Tian

43

HIWRAP observations from the Hurricane and Severe Sentinel (HS3) campaign: Comparing retrieval techniques

Anthony C. Didlake Jr., NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and G. M. Heymsfield, L. Tian, and S. Guimond

44

Improving the instantaneous vertical profiling of precipitation from spaceborne radiometers using high sensitivity ground based radar measurements

Sahra Kacimi, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and Z. Haddad and J. Turk

45

HIWRAP Analysis of Tropical Cyclones during GRIP

Stephen Guimond, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. M. Heymsfield and M. McLinden

46

VAD and dual-Doppler Analysis of Wind Fields from Doppler Velocity Observed by HIWRAP

Lin Tian, GESTAR/NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Heymsfield and S. Guimond

47

Validation of Automated Cloud Height Algorithm (ACHA) Cloud Top Heights in Tropical Cyclones using Observations from the NASA Global Hawk

Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, A. Heidinger, E. J. Zipser, D. J. Cecil, P. G. Black, and S. A. Braun

48

Application of Consistent Quality Control Procedures to Provide 17-year (1996-2012) High Resolution GPS Dropsonde Data

Kathryn Young, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wang and D. Behringer

49

Mechanism Governing the Size of Tropical Cyclone-Like Vortices

Hiroki Tsuji, Kyushu University, Fukuoka-shi, Fukuoka-ken, Japan; and H. Itoh

50

Influence of the large-scale atmospheric environment on North Atlantic tropical cyclone size

50A

A new operational convection-permitting NWP system for tropical cyclone forecasting in the SW Indian Ocean

Olivier Bousquet, LACy (UMR 8105), Saint-Denis, Reunion; and D. A. Mékiès, S. Bielli, M. D. Leroux, D. Barbary, C. Barthe, R. Lee-Ah-Siem, G. Faure, T. Montmerle, P. Brousseau, and M. Plu

Handout (1.2 MB)

51

Improving Tropical Cyclone Guidance Tools by Accounting for Variations in Size

John Knaff, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, S. Longmore, and R. DeMaria

Manuscript (699.9 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

52

How Well Can We Detect Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Reanalyses Data?

52A

Observed Hurricane Wind Speed Asymmetries and Relationships to Motion and Environmental Shear

Eric Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and B. W. Klotz, T. Vukicevic, P. Reasor, and R. F. Rogers

53

A 32-year reanalysis intercomparison of tropical cyclone structure in the eastern North Pacific and North Atlantic

Kimberly M. Wood, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and E. A. Ritchie

Manuscript (2.0 MB)

54

What controls the size of a tropical cyclone?

Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and D. Schönemann and M. Lee

55

The influence of vertical resolution to tropical cyclone boundary layer wind structure in HWRF

Eric K. W. Ng, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

56

National Hurricane Center Wind Radii Forecast Verification

John P. Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and C. W. Landsea

Handout (1.7 MB)

57

Analysis of model derived 150 mb tropical cyclone core climatology for NOAA Gulfstream G-IV TDR missions

58

Dependency of U.S. Hurricane Economic Loss on Maximum Wind Speed and Storm Size

Alice Ruilin Zhai, La Canada High School, La Canada Flintridge, CA; and J. Jiang

Manuscript (1.0 MB)

Handout (4.1 MB)

59

Storm Surge Damage to Buildings

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

Manuscript (692.2 kB)

60

A Mechanism of Coupled Circulation Leading to the Secondary Eyewall Formation Associated with Hurricane Katrina (2005) Using Real and Idealized Numerical Simulations

José M. García-Rivera, I. M. Systems Group, Rockville, MD; and Y. L. Lin and Y. Rastigejev

61

Left Hand Side Wind Maxima in North Atlantic and Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones

Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke and K. Hill

Handout (1.4 MB)

Poster 62 will now be presented as 13A.5A

Poster 62A will also be presented as 5B.5A (All information and uploaded files can be found under 5B.5A)

63

A radar and surface data analysis of a warm front in Hurricane Ida (2009)

Kelly Neugent, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball

64

Dynamic Energy Efficiency of Heat and of Momentum in Balanced Vortex

Hung-Chi Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. H. Chen, T. Y. Hsu, and E. A. Hendricks

65

Effects of Domain Choice on the Simulation of Tropical Storms Activity in the WRF 30-km Regional Climate Model

Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. K. Tsai

66

The Warm Core Structure of Hurricane Earl (2010): Observations and Simulations

Daniel P. Stern, UCAR, Monterey, CA; and F. Zhang

67

Hurricane Karl's (2010) Warm Core Evolution: An Investigation of Inner Core Thermodynamic and Convective Properties

George R. Alvey III, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser, B. H. Lambrigtsen, and S. T. Brown

Poster 68 has been moved. New paper number 7C.2A

69

HEDAS Vortex-Scale Data Assimilation with Aircraft and Satellite Retrieval Observations: Summary of the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Results

Altug Aksoy, AOML, Miami, FL; and S. Aberson, K. Sellwood, B. W. Klotz, T. Vukicevic, and C. S. Velden

70

A high resolution analysis of polar low types: Structural and dynamical comparisons to tropical cyclones

Kyle Ahern, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

71

Impact of ice-phase microphysics on inner-core processes in simulated extremely intense tropical cyclones

Sachie Kanada, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and A. Wada and K. Tsuboki

Manuscript (935.1 kB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

72

Impact of vertical turbulent mixing on inner-core asymmetric structure and vortex Rossby wave propagation of tropical cyclones

Cen Gao, Dept. of Earth and Environment, International Hurricane Research Center, MIAMI, FL; and P. Zhu

73

Asymmetric air streams through tropical cyclones in vertical wind shear: Analysis of the secondary circulation based on trajectory clustering

Michael Riemer, Johannes Gutenberg Univ., Mainz, Germany; and C. Hundt and E. Schömer

74

Meso-β-scale environment for the formation of a stationary band complex in idealized numerical experiments

Michael Riemer, Johannes Gutenberg Univ., Mainz, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery

75

Relationships Between Convective Asymmetry, Imbalance and Intensity in Numerically Simulated Tropical Cyclones on the F-Plane

David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO

76

Vorticity dynamics of Typhoon Nuri (2008) evaluated from different model datasets

Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; and D. J. Raymond and D. Pozo

77

Adaptive Mesh Refinement for Tropical Cyclone Prediction

Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Kopera, F. X. Giraldo, Q. Jiang, J. D. Doyle, and M. Peng

78

Tropical Cyclone - Environment interaction in the UTLS

Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI

79

Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Kinematic and Thermodynamic Structures in the North American Regional Reanalysis

Stephanie E. Zick, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and C. J. Matyas

Handout (1.8 MB)

80

An examination of the National Hurricane Center Track Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones over Florida and the Gulf of Mexico

John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and H. Vazquez and J. G. Estupiñán

81

An integrated measure of tropical cyclone track forecast performance

Hui Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and G. Chen and B. G. Brown

82

An Improved Method for Generating Ensembles of Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

Manuscript (269.6 kB)

83

Influence of Topography on Tropical Cyclone Track – Idealized Simulations and Dual-Doppler Radar Analysis

Tsung-Han Li, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, C. K. Yu, and S. R. Lin

84

Control Parameters for Track Continuity of Cyclones Passing over the Southern-Central Appalachian Mountains

Riem Rostom, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin

85

Environmental and Orographic Effects on Track Deflection of Idealized Tropical Cyclones

Shu-Hua Chen, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and Y. L. Lin

86

Applications of the mean recentering scheme to improve the typhoon track forecast. A case study of Typhoon Namadol (2011)

Chih-Chien Chang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan; and S. C. Yang

87

Objective Consensus Typhoon Track Forecasting Using Multimodel Superensemble

Sanghee Jun, National Typhoon Center / KMA, Seogwipo-si, Jeju-do, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Kim, W. J. Lee, K. Y. Byun, K. H. Chang, and D. S. Shin

Handout (1.3 MB)

88

Typhoon Fanapi (2010) and its Interaction with Taiwan Terrain – Evaluation of the Uncertainty in Track and Rainfall Simulations

Yu-Feng Lin, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and T. H. Yen

89

Statistics of Binary Tropical Cyclones in Western North Pacific during 1950-2012

90

A Study for Determination of the Low Level Circulation Center of Tropical Cyclones in a Weakening Stage with Emphasis on Microwave and Radar Observations

Jinyeon Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seogwipo-si ,Jeju-do, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Kim, Y. M. Cha, K. H. Chang, H. M. Lee, and D. S. Shin

91

Development and Evaluation of the Second Hurricane Nature Run Using the Joint OSSE Nature Run and the WRF Model

David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Mattocks

Manuscript (1.3 MB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

92

Evaluation of Experimental Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)

Paul A. Kucera, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. L. Williams, B. G. Brown, and L. Nance

93

An Update on COAMPS-TC Performance: New Validation Tools and Results for Recent Real-time and Retrospective Forecasts

Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, Y. Jin, and R. M. Hodur

94

Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Center Identification Methods in Numerical Models

Leon T. Nguyen, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari

95

Community Support and Testing of the Hurricane WRF model at the Developmental Testbed Center

Ligia Bernardet, OAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Biswas, T. Brown, D. Stark, L. Carson, V. Tallapragada, and S. Trahan

96

Development of a new Tropical Cyclone Verification Toolkit (MET-TC)

Kathryn M. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, T. L. Fowler, P. A. Kucera, B. G. Brown, and L. B. Nance

97

An Overview of Recent COAMPS-TC Advancements

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Hodur, J. Moskaitis, S. Chen, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, P. A. Reinecke, K. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang

98

Evaluation of HWRF for Typhoon Prediction over the western North Pacific Ocean in 2012-2013

Chin-Cheng Tsai, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, D. S. Chen, J. Bao, and L. Y. Chang

99

Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasting of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity

Beda Luitel, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and G. Villarini and G. A. Vecchi

100

An Examination of the Differences in Tropical Cyclone Pressure-Wind Relationships Among Observations, Model Analyses, and Model Forecasts

Lauren E. Visin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

101

Improving wind profile parameterization to better model large hurricane wind fields

Sylvie Lorsolo, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and A. L. Doggett

102

A Numerical Sensitivity Study on the Energetics of Tropical Cyclone Megi(2010) during Intensification

Rochelle Cayanan Coronel, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and M. Sawada and T. Iwasaki

Handout (3.7 MB)

103

Observations of Inner-Core Structure during the Eyewall Replacement Cycle of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)

Zachary D. Cornelius, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and S. Reynolds, E. R. Sanabia, and B. S. Barrett

104

Structure of tropical cyclones at the onset of rapid intensification in the HWRF model

Chanh Kieu, Atmospheric Science Program, Bloomington, IN; and V. Tallapragada and W. Hogsett

Handout (1.2 MB)

105

Comparison of the sensitivity of hurricane simulations to convective parameterization and small-scale model noise

Tristan J. Shepherd, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and K. J. E. Walsh

Poster Session P1 Poster Session I