Session: Poster Session II (31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology)

106

Impact of the tropopause temperature on the intensity of tropical cyclones

Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, and L. M. Polvani

107

The Role of Boundary Layer Dynamics on Tropical Cyclone Intensity

Yuan-Ming Cheng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

108

A Novel Approach to Modeling Tropical Cyclone Structure Change

Cécile Penland, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Fiorino

Handout (3.0 MB)

109

Effects of Ice Microphysics on Hurricane Intensity

Casey Peirano, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Straka, C. P. Riedel, and O. Kintigh

110

Enhancements to the SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. M. Rozoff, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, and M. DeMaria

Handout (3.7 MB)

Poster 111 will now be presented as 5C.1A

111A

Understanding the sensitivity of North Atlantic tropical cyclone limiting intensity to sea surface temperature: Observations versus climate simulations

Sarah E. Strazzo, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. Elsner

112

Adopting Model Uncertainties for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction

Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and T. Vukicevic and B. Tang

113

Extreme Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea

Owen H. Shieh, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Fiorino, M. E. Kucas, and B. Wang

114

Doppler radar observation of Typhoon Vicente (1208) during its Rapid Intensification near landfall

Dan Wu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and X. Chen and K. Zhao

115

Shorter Time Scale Definitions for the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones

Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. J. Silver

116

A triggering mechanism of the axisymmetric spontaneous intensification of tropical cyclones

Yoshiaki Miyamoto, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and T. Takemi

117

Effects of Observed Conditions on Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity

Jenni L. Evans, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and A. Kowaleski

Handout (1.5 MB)

118

Investigation of Ocean's Barrier Layer and Warm Ocean Feature on Tropical Cyclone's Intensity Change

Poster 119 will now be presented as 15A.8A

120

Numerical experiments for tropical cyclone intensity to the ocean around the warm strong currents

Mayumi K. Yoshioka, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and H. Aiki and K. Tsuboki

Poster 121 will now be presented as 13C.3A

122

Tropical Cyclone - Ocean Interaction in Typhoon Fanapi (2010) - A Synergy Study Based on ITOP Observations, EnKF Data Assimilation, and Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Models

Shao-Liang Sung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, I. I. Lin, S. S. Chen, and C. Y. Lee

123

Tropical Upper-Ocean Thermal Structure Variability during the Atlantic Hurricane Season

Ellen K. Deckinga, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and W. J. Schulz Jr., E. R. Sanabia, and B. S. Barrett

124

What is the sea-surface temperature threshold for tropical cyclone formation?

Kevin J. Tory, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and R. A. Dare

Handout (335.0 kB)

125

Computing Deep-Tropospheric Vertical Wind Shear Analyses for Tropical Cyclone Applications: The Methodology Matters!

Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Sears

126

Hurricane Eyewall Evolution in a Forced Shallow Water Model

Eric A. Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert, Y. H. Chen, H. C. Kuo, and M. Peng

127

Boundary layer dynamical structure during secondary eyewall formation

Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and J. C. McWilliams

128

Tertiary eyewalls: observations and boundary layer response

Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and Y. T. Yang, H. C. Kuo, B. D. McNoldy, and M. T. Montgomery

129

The Role of Convective Heating in the Tropical Cyclone Eyewall Ring Evolution - Sawyer-Eliassen Model Diagnosis

Shun-Nan Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

130

Highly idealized three-dimensional nonlinear simulations and some aspects of the problem of the secondary eyewall formation

Konstantinos Menelaou, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and P. M. K. Yau

131

What convective properties are most critical for tropical cyclogenesis? Evidence from a multi-satellite investigation of developing and nondeveloping disturbances

Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser

132

Electric Hurricanes: Review of Recent Advances Supporting Electromagnetic Cyclogenesis

Arnold Benn, IEEE, Newport Beach, CA

133

The Role of Moisture and the Saharan Air Layer in the Tropical Wave to Cyclone Transition of Hurricane Ernesto (2006)

Andrew Stieneke, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer

134

Midlatitude Influence on the Genesis of an Early Season Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone

Andrew S. Levine, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL

135

Evaluation of tropical cyclogenesis in operational global models and their ensembles

136

Characteristics of Convective Processes and Vertical Vorticity from the Tropical Wave to the Tropical Cyclone Stage in a High-Resolution Numerical Model Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Fay (2008)

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL

137

Characteristics of Tropical Easterly Wave Pouches during Tropical Cyclone Formation

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and I. E. Hankes, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, T. J. Dunkerton, and S. W. Nesbitt

138

Comparison of developing and non-developing African Easterly Waves in high resolution numerical simulations

Alan Brammer, SUNY, Albany,, NY; and C. Thorncroft

139

Sensitivity of simulated Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves to physics schemes and resolution with an idealized tropical channel

Joaquin Esteban Blanco, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. Nolan and S. N. Tulich

Manuscript (759.2 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

140

North Atlantic Hurricanes Contributed by African Easterly Waves North and South of the African Easterly Jet

Joshua J. Alland, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. C. Chen

Handout (7.2 MB)

141

Climatological probabilities of tropical cyclogenesis based on Joint Typhoon Warning Center Dvorak analyses

Joshua Cossuth, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. E. Kucas and C. Velden

142

Interaction of African Easterly Waves and Moist Convection

143

Development of a Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI) for the North Atlantic

Jason Dunion, University of Miami/CIMAS-NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Kaplan, A. B. Schumacher, J. Cossuth, and M. DeMaria

Poster 144 will now be presented as 2B.6A

145

Tropical Cyclone Trains

Cristina A. Carrasco, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

146

Verification of TC genesis forecasts from global models: Updates and real-time applications

Daniel J. Halperin, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. E. Fuelberg, R. E. Hart, and J. Cossuth

147

An analysis of tropical storm formation using ensemble data assimilation and high-resolution numerical simulations

Andrew B. Penny, Systems Research Group / National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Hacker, P. A. Harr, and R. Creasey

148

Impacts of the Upper-tropospheric Processes on Tropical Cyclone Formation

Cody L. Fritz, University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang and S. A. Braun

149

The Contribution of Environmental Mid-Level Cyclonic Vorticity to the Genesis of Hurricane Sandy (2012)

150

Multi-Scale Predictability Aspects of Superstorm Sandy

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, P. A. Reinecke, C. M. Amerault, and R. H. Langland

151

A Computational Study of Binary Mesoscale Vortex Interactions on the Tropical Oceanic F-Plane: The Consequences on Hurricane Formation

David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO

152

Objective, Automatic Tracking of Pre-Genesis Tropical Disturbances within the Deviation Angle Variance Method

Oscar G. Rodriguez-Herrera, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. M. Wood, K. Dolling, W. Black, E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo

Manuscript (2.4 MB)

153

Using Ensemble Analysis to Investigate the Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010)

Ashford D'Arcy Reyes, Howard University, Washington, DC

154

The Effects of SST Gradients on Tropical Convective Systems and Implications for Tropical Cyclogenesis

Russell Henderson Glazer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart and M. A. Bourassa

155

Landfall intensity of tropical cyclones and ENSO

Doo-Sun R. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. S. Kim

156

Relationship between Typhoon Activities and ENSO Evolution in 2009/2010

Jiyoung Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Dongjak-gu, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. S. Lim and D. S. Shin

Handout (478.7 kB)

157

Interannual Variability of the Atlantic Hadley Circulation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Activity

Gan Zhang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. Peng, J. H. Chen, and S. J. Lin

158

A Dynamic Relationship between Typhoon Activity, the North Pacific High and the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillation in Boreal Summer

Hidetaka Hirata, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan; and R. Kawamura

159

Interaction of Tropical Convective Systems and Madden Julian Oscillation in Formation of Tropical Cyclone Mekkhala (2008)

Hyeong-Seog Kim, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. S. Park

Poster 160 will now be presented as 1A.6A

161

Outlook for Seasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Events in Atlantic and Western North Pacific

Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Tamkang University Taiwan, New Taipei City,, Taiwan; and R. L. Elsberry and M. S. Jordan

162

RPI2.0 2013 Seasonal Landfall Competition Results

Mark P. Guishard, Risk Prediction Initiative, BIOS, St. George's, Bermuda; and C. King, F. Niehoerster, and R. Murnane

163

On the role of vertical wind shear in AGCM-simulated tropical cyclones: Intensity change, Vertical structure and Precipitation distribution

Fei He, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. J. Posselt

Poster 164 wiill now be presented as 7C.5A

164A

Intense Tropical Cyclone Occurrences in Mindanao (Philippines)

Nikos Viktor B. Penaranda, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia

165

How is the impact of model resolution on tropical cyclone development affected by varying initial conditions in AGCMs?

Fei He, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. J. Posselt

166

Intercomparison of global tropical cyclone activity using four cumulus parameterizations in tropical channel climate simulations

Atsushi Hashimoto, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Chiba, Japan; and J. M. Done and H. Hirakuchi

167

Evaluating the Inverse Relationship Between Aggregate Tropical Cyclone Activity and Subsequent Winter Climate within Uncoupled ECHAM Simulations

Henry Winterbottom, EMC, Boulder, CO; and P. Pegion and R. Hart

168

A Diagnosis of the Poorly Forecast Interaction between Recurving Tropical Cyclone Malakas (2010) and the Extratropical Flow

Heather M. Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. W. Moore

169

Recurving Tropical Cyclones as Precursors to Blocking

Heather M. Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr

170

Investigating the impact of Typhoon Choi-Wan (2009) on the mid-latitude flow using eddy kinetic energy analysis

Julia H. Keller, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany; and C. M. Grams

171

The influence of ET on poleward Rossby Wave Breaking

Lisa-Ann Quandt, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. H. Keller, A. Schneidereit, S. C. Jones, and D. Peters

172

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global Scale Forcings

Gabriele Villarini, IIHR HYDROSCIENCE & ENGINEERING, IOWA CITY, IA; and D. A. Lavers, E. Scoccimarro, M. Zhao, M. F. Wehner, G. A. Vecchi, and T. R. Knutson

173

Evaluation of ACCESS-TC Precipitation Forecasts using CRA

Yingjun Chen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. Ebert, N. E. Davidson, and K. J. E. Walsh

174

Environmnetal Discourses in Borana Oromo: A Focus on Narratives

Teshome Tafesse, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, n/a, Ethiopia

175

Analysis of Miniature Supercells Observed in the Outer Rainbands of Hurricane Gustav (2008)

Adam Joseph Picard, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC

176

A tropical cyclone tornado parameter for use in situational awareness forecasting

Matthew Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and B. M. Hays and M. C. Link

177

Sounding-based prediction of supercell motions in tropical cyclones

Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and C. Self

178

Spiral Rainbands in Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclones in Uniform and Vertically Sheared Flows

Yumin Moon, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. H. Bryan

179

Statistical Characteristics of Typhoon-Induced Rainfall in Taiwan

Tzu-Hsiung Yen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. F. Lin

180

Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan

Lung-Yao Chang, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan; and D. Y. C. Chen, L. F. Hsiao, C. C. Tsai, L. Feng, C. S. Lee, H. C. Kuo, and M. J. Yang

181

Kinematic Structure and Maintenance of the Long-lasting Rainband in the Outer Region of Typhoon Fengshen (2008)

Buo-Fu Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee

182

Formation of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Rainbands in a 3-D Cloud-Resolving Model

Diamilet Perez-Betancourt, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

183

Preliminary Investigation of Selected Radar Patterns Associated with Local Maximum Wind Gusts in Rainbands of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones

Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

Handout (2.2 MB)

184

Radar and Thermodynamic Properties of Isolated Convective Cells in the Rainband Region

Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. Baird, K. Crooks, and C. M. Rozoff

185

The Impact of Typhoon Danas on the Typhoon Fitow Flood Event in East China

Anna M. Trevino, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and P. J. Sousounis and A. Chen

186

North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding

Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and R. Goska, J. A. Smith, and G. Vecchi

187

Spatial and Temporal Distributions of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Using Data from the Global Forecast System and Stage IV Precipitation

Ryan Walsh, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart

188

Objectbased verification of tropical precipitation forecasts during the YOTC period

Marlon Maranan, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. F. Quinting, J. H. Keller, and S. C. Jones

189

Tropical Convection Observed During the Hawaiian Educational Radar Opportunity (HERO)

Michael M. Bell, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and R. Ballard, A. M. Foerster, A. Frambach, K. A. Kosiba, W. C. Lee, S. L. McElhinney, and J. M. Wurman

190

Leading modes of synoptic scale convective activity over the central Pacific

Juliana Dias, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

191

Mechanisms for convection initiation over North-East Australia

Cathryn E. Birch, UK Met Office, Leeds, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom; and M. J. Reeder and M. J. Roberts

192

The Waves to Weather challenge: Do large-scale equatorial waves significantly modulate regional rainfall in southern Vietnam?

Roderick van der Linden, University of Cologne, Köln, Germany; and A. H. Fink and T. van Phan

193

Response of Atmospheric Convection to Vertical Wind Shear: Cloud-Radiation Interaction

Usama M. Anber, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, NY; and S. Wang and A. H. Sobel

194

Dynamical Environments of Organised Deep Convection in Climate Models

Jackson Tan, NASA, Wallops Island, VA; and C. Jakob

Manuscript (714.6 kB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

195

Threshold Models for Rainfall and Convection: Deterministic versus Stochastic Triggers

Scott Hottovy, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Stechmann

Handout (2.3 MB)

196

Verification and Optimization method for the Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment (TAPEX)

Delia Yen-Chu Chen, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. C. Wu, C. C. Chiang, L. R. Huang, L. Y. Chang, L. F. Hsiao, L. Feng, and C. S. Lee

Poster 197 wiill now be presented as 6B.7A

198

Explaining low convective echo top heights during a strong DYNAMO westerly wind burst

Elizabeth J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Peters, R. S. Schumacher, and S. Rutledge

199

Climate Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity Simulated by GFDL CM2.5

Hyeong-Seog Kim, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. Vecchi, T. R. Knutson, T. L. Delworth, and M. Zhao

200

Variability in mixed layer top and transition layer top elevations during CINDY2011/DYNAMO/AMIE

Jennifer L. Davison, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY

201

A three-layer model of ocean sea surface skin temperature, warm layer and mixed layer (SWaM) for improved representation of the upper ocean warm layer in modeling and data assimilation

Dariusz B. Baranowski, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and P. J. Flatau, M. Flatau, A. J. Matthews, and S. Chen

202

Sensitivity to planetary boundary layer parameterizations in realistic hurricane simulations

Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; and S. F. Abarca, L. M. Farfan, and G. B. Raga

203

Super Typhoon Haiyan in Tacloban City, Philippines

Josh Morgerman, iCyclone.com, West Hollywood, CA