Poster Session P2 Poster Session II

Thursday, 3 April 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
Golden Ballroom (Town and Country Resort )
Host: 31st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Impact of the tropopause temperature on the intensity of tropical cyclones
Shuguang Wang, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and S. J. Camargo, A. H. Sobel, and L. M. Polvani

The Role of Boundary Layer Dynamics on Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Yuan-Ming Cheng, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

A Novel Approach to Modeling Tropical Cyclone Structure Change
Cécile Penland, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Fiorino

Handout (3.0 MB)

Effects of Ice Microphysics on Hurricane Intensity
Casey Peirano, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. Straka, C. P. Riedel, and O. Kintigh

Enhancements to the SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. M. Rozoff, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, and M. DeMaria

Handout (3.7 MB)

Poster 111 will now be presented as 5C.1A

Adopting Model Uncertainties for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction
Rosimar Rios-Berrios, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and T. Vukicevic and B. Tang

Extreme Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Vicente (2012) in the South China Sea
Owen H. Shieh, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Fiorino, M. E. Kucas, and B. Wang

Shorter Time Scale Definitions for the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
Greg M. McFarquhar, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. J. Silver

Poster 119 will now be presented as 15A.8A

Numerical experiments for tropical cyclone intensity to the ocean around the warm strong currents
Mayumi K. Yoshioka, Tohoku University, Sendai, Miyagi, Japan; and H. Aiki and K. Tsuboki

Poster 121 will now be presented as 13C.3A

Tropical Cyclone - Ocean Interaction in Typhoon Fanapi (2010) - A Synergy Study Based on ITOP Observations, EnKF Data Assimilation, and Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Models
Shao-Liang Sung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, I. I. Lin, S. S. Chen, and C. Y. Lee

What is the sea-surface temperature threshold for tropical cyclone formation?
Kevin J. Tory, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and R. A. Dare

Handout (335.0 kB)

Hurricane Eyewall Evolution in a Forced Shallow Water Model
Eric A. Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert, Y. H. Chen, H. C. Kuo, and M. Peng

Boundary layer dynamical structure during secondary eyewall formation
Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and J. C. McWilliams

Tertiary eyewalls: observations and boundary layer response
Sergio F. Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and Y. T. Yang, H. C. Kuo, B. D. McNoldy, and M. T. Montgomery

Characteristics of Tropical Easterly Wave Pouches during Tropical Cyclone Formation
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and I. E. Hankes, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, T. J. Dunkerton, and S. W. Nesbitt

Development of a Tropical Cyclone Genesis Index (TCGI) for the North Atlantic
Jason Dunion, University of Miami/CIMAS-NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Kaplan, A. B. Schumacher, J. Cossuth, and M. DeMaria

Poster 144 will now be presented as 2B.6A

Verification of TC genesis forecasts from global models: Updates and real-time applications
Daniel J. Halperin, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. E. Fuelberg, R. E. Hart, and J. Cossuth

An analysis of tropical storm formation using ensemble data assimilation and high-resolution numerical simulations
Andrew B. Penny, Systems Research Group / National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Hacker, P. A. Harr, and R. Creasey

Impacts of the Upper-tropospheric Processes on Tropical Cyclone Formation
Cody L. Fritz, University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang and S. A. Braun

Multi-Scale Predictability Aspects of Superstorm Sandy
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, P. A. Reinecke, C. M. Amerault, and R. H. Langland

Objective, Automatic Tracking of Pre-Genesis Tropical Disturbances within the Deviation Angle Variance Method
Oscar G. Rodriguez-Herrera, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. M. Wood, K. Dolling, W. Black, E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo
Manuscript (2.4 MB)

Using Ensemble Analysis to Investigate the Genesis of Hurricane Karl (2010)
Ashford D'Arcy Reyes, Howard University, Washington, DC

Landfall intensity of tropical cyclones and ENSO
Doo-Sun R. Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. S. Kim

Relationship between Typhoon Activities and ENSO Evolution in 2009/2010
Jiyoung Kim, Korea Meteorological Administration, Dongjak-gu, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. S. Lim and D. S. Shin

Handout (478.7 kB)

Interannual Variability of the Atlantic Hadley Circulation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Activity
Gan Zhang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and Z. Wang, M. Peng, J. H. Chen, and S. J. Lin

Interaction of Tropical Convective Systems and Madden Julian Oscillation in Formation of Tropical Cyclone Mekkhala (2008)
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. S. Park

Poster 160 will now be presented as 1A.6A

Outlook for Seasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Events in Atlantic and Western North Pacific
Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Tamkang University Taiwan, New Taipei City,, Taiwan; and R. L. Elsberry and M. S. Jordan

RPI2.0 2013 Seasonal Landfall Competition Results
Mark P. Guishard, Risk Prediction Initiative, BIOS, St. George's, Bermuda; and C. King, F. Niehoerster, and R. Murnane

Poster 164 wiill now be presented as 7C.5A

Intense Tropical Cyclone Occurrences in Mindanao (Philippines)
Nikos Viktor B. Penaranda, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia

Intercomparison of global tropical cyclone activity using four cumulus parameterizations in tropical channel climate simulations
Atsushi Hashimoto, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Chiba, Japan; and J. M. Done and H. Hirakuchi

Recurving Tropical Cyclones as Precursors to Blocking
Heather M. Archambault, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr

The influence of ET on poleward Rossby Wave Breaking
Lisa-Ann Quandt, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. H. Keller, A. Schneidereit, S. C. Jones, and D. Peters

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global Scale Forcings
Gabriele Villarini, IIHR HYDROSCIENCE & ENGINEERING, IOWA CITY, IA; and D. A. Lavers, E. Scoccimarro, M. Zhao, M. F. Wehner, G. A. Vecchi, and T. R. Knutson

Evaluation of ACCESS-TC Precipitation Forecasts using CRA
Yingjun Chen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. Ebert, N. E. Davidson, and K. J. E. Walsh

Environmnetal Discourses in Borana Oromo: A Focus on Narratives
Teshome Tafesse, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, n/a, Ethiopia

A tropical cyclone tornado parameter for use in situational awareness forecasting
Matthew Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and B. M. Hays and M. C. Link

Sounding-based prediction of supercell motions in tropical cyclones
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and C. Self

Spiral Rainbands in Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclones in Uniform and Vertically Sheared Flows
Yumin Moon, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. H. Bryan

Statistical Characteristics of Typhoon-Induced Rainfall in Taiwan
Tzu-Hsiung Yen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. F. Lin

Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan
Lung-Yao Chang, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei, Taiwan; and D. Y. C. Chen, L. F. Hsiao, C. C. Tsai, L. Feng, C. S. Lee, H. C. Kuo, and M. J. Yang

Formation of Tropical Cyclone Spiral Rainbands in a 3-D Cloud-Resolving Model
Diamilet Perez-Betancourt, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel

Radar and Thermodynamic Properties of Isolated Convective Cells in the Rainband Region
Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and C. Baird, K. Crooks, and C. M. Rozoff

The Impact of Typhoon Danas on the Typhoon Fitow Flood Event in East China
Anna M. Trevino, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and P. J. Sousounis and A. Chen

North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding
Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and R. Goska, J. A. Smith, and G. Vecchi

Spatial and Temporal Distributions of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Using Data from the Global Forecast System and Stage IV Precipitation
Ryan Walsh, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart

Objectbased verification of tropical precipitation forecasts during the YOTC period
Marlon Maranan, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. F. Quinting, J. H. Keller, and S. C. Jones

Tropical Convection Observed During the Hawaiian Educational Radar Opportunity (HERO)
Michael M. Bell, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and R. Ballard, A. M. Foerster, A. Frambach, K. A. Kosiba, W. C. Lee, S. L. McElhinney, and J. M. Wurman

Mechanisms for convection initiation over North-East Australia
Cathryn E. Birch, UK Met Office, Leeds, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom; and M. J. Reeder and M. J. Roberts

Response of Atmospheric Convection to Vertical Wind Shear: Cloud-Radiation Interaction
Usama M. Anber, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, NY; and S. Wang and A. H. Sobel

Dynamical Environments of Organised Deep Convection in Climate Models
Jackson Tan, NASA, Wallops Island, VA; and C. Jakob
Manuscript (714.6 kB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

Threshold Models for Rainfall and Convection: Deterministic versus Stochastic Triggers
Scott Hottovy, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Stechmann

Handout (2.3 MB)

Verification and Optimization method for the Taiwan Cooperative Precipitation Ensemble Forecast Experiment (TAPEX)
Delia Yen-Chu Chen, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. C. Wu, C. C. Chiang, L. R. Huang, L. Y. Chang, L. F. Hsiao, L. Feng, and C. S. Lee

Poster 197 wiill now be presented as 6B.7A

Explaining low convective echo top heights during a strong DYNAMO westerly wind burst
Elizabeth J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Peters, R. S. Schumacher, and S. Rutledge

Climate Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity Simulated by GFDL CM2.5
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. Vecchi, T. R. Knutson, T. L. Delworth, and M. Zhao

Sensitivity to planetary boundary layer parameterizations in realistic hurricane simulations
Julio C. Marin, Universidad de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile; and S. F. Abarca, L. M. Farfan, and G. B. Raga

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner