Session 10 Operational Forecasting (Short- to Long-Term) of Weather

Thursday, 4 May 2023: 10:45 AM-12:00 PM
Scandinavian Ballroom Salon 4 (Royal Sonesta Minneapolis Downtown )
Host: 14th Fire and Forest Meteorology Symposium
Chair:
Nicholas J. Nauslar, SPC, Norman, OK

Papers:
10:45 AM
10.1
Developing Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Vegetation Greenness Outlooks
Farnaz Hosseinpour, PhD, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown

11:00 AM
10.2
Fire Weather Forecasting in the Pacific Northwest using 500mb Map Types
Reed Humphrey, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Saltenberger, J. T. Abatzoglou, and A. Cullen

11:15 AM
10.3
Early Warnings for Pyrocumulonimbus Development in Western North America Based on NUCAPS Thermodynamic Profiles
Arunas P. Kuciauskas, Retired, Marine Meteorology Division, Naval Research Laboratory, MONTEREY, CA; and D. A. Peterson, A. A. Lambert, and J. R. Campbell

11:30 AM
10.4
Use of Traditional and Neural-Network Based Post-Processing Techniques to Improve Fire-Indicator and Wildfire-Relevant Weather Variable Forecasts 2–6 Weeks Ahead
Rochelle P. Worsnop, CIRES, Boulder, CO; ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Scheuerer, T. M. Hamill, M. Chen, M. Breeden, and A. J. Hoell

11:45 AM
10.5A
A Week-Two Probabilistic Fire Danger Outlook Tool Based on NCEP Ensemble Forecast System
Mingyue Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and R. P. Worsnop, W. Wang, and D. Dewitt

10.5
How can we Improve Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Predictions of Wildfire?

Recorded Presentation
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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