7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Session 6: Weather and Forecasting I

Tuesday, 25 March 2003: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
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Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
Plenary Talk

  2:00 PM
6.2
Transient eddy forcing of the Southern Hemisphere annular mode variability: Results from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis and a quasi-linear model
Harun A. Rashid, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (147.0 kB)
  2:15 PM
6.3
Influence of midlatitude circulation characteristics on extratropical transition in the southwest Pacific Ocean
Mark R. Sinclair, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, AZ

Poster PDF (231.3 kB)
  2:30 PM
6.4
Conceptual models of synoptic-scale cyclones in the New Zealand – Australia area
Peter V. Kreft, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. A. Schwarz, G. H. Thompson, and C. S. Webster

Poster PDF (796.8 kB)
  2:45 PM
6.5
Climatology of the South American cold fronts
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky

Poster PDF (213.0 kB)
  3:00 PM
6.6
Ocean heat content as a lower boundary condition for numerical weather prediction models
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (127.8 kB)
  3:15 PM
6.7
A potential vorticity view of Southern Hemisphere blocking
Stewart C. R. Allen, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; and D. J. Karoly and M. J. Reeder

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
  3:30 PM
6.8
Interaction between Diffluence and Potential Vorticity in Southern Hemisphere Blocking Cases
Li Dong, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci

Poster PDF (95.5 kB)
  3:45 PM
6.9
An operational Definition of El Niño
Phillip A. Reid, Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

  4:00 PM
6.10
Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Bayesian combination with empirical forecasts
Caio A. S. Coelho, University of Reading and ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and S. Pezzulli, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and D. B. Stephenson

  4:15 PM
6.11
Forecast of the October-December 2002 Atmospheric Circulation, Using the UCLA-AGCM and the NCEP forecasted TP-SST, combined with a statistical downscaling to estimate Oct-Dec/02 Precipitation in regions of Uruguay and Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil)
Gabriel Cazes, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and G. Pisciottano

  4:30 PM
6.5a
Coffee Break

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