7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Monday, 24 March 2003

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Monday, 24 March 2003


MON 24 MAR

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 24 March 2003


1
Opening Ceremony
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
1.0
Tropospheric biennial oscillation and moisture transport over tropical Indian ocean and Pacific
Natalia A. Vjazilova, Russian Research Institute of Hydrometeorological Information, World Data Center, Obninsk, Russia

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 March 2003


COFFEE BREAK

10:30 AM-3:00 PM: Monday, 24 March 2003


2
Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections over the Southern Hemisphere I
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  10:30 AM
2.1
Remote features linked to the South Pacific subtropical high
Richard Grotjahn, Univ. of California, Davis, CA

Poster PDF (594.7 kB)
  10:45 AM
2.2
An Assessment of GCMs in terms of Daily Circulation Characteristics and the Global Energy Cycle
Waren J Tennant, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa; and B. C. Hewitson

  11:15 AM
2.4
Persistent positive anomalies in the Southern Hemisphere circulation
James A. Renwick, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand

Poster PDF (195.2 kB)
  11:30 AM
2.5
Intraseasonal modes of Variability affecting the SACZ
Christopher A. Cunningham Castro Sr., Center for Weather Forcast and Weather Forecast and Weather Prediction/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and I. F. A. Cavalcanti

Poster PDF (124.0 kB)
  11:45 AM
2.6
Modulation of Southern Hemisphere storm track activity by the Madden-Julian Oscillation
George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Revell

Poster PDF (417.5 kB)
  12:00 PM
2.7
Heat budgets and poleward atmospheric energy transports
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. P. Stepaniak

Poster PDF (168.2 kB)
  12:30 PM
2.8
Inter-El Niño variability of the Southern Hemisphere circulation Part I: Observational data
Gabriel E. Silvestri, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cientificas y Tecnicas, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and V. R. Barros and C. S. Vera

Poster PDF (275.2 kB)
  12:45 PM
2.9
Inter-El Niño variability of the Southern Hemisphere circulation. Part II: Generation mechanisms
Carolina S. Vera, CIMA, University of Buenos Aires, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, G. Silvestri, and V. Barros

Poster PDF (209.1 kB)
  1:15 PM
ENSO: the equator and the southern mid-latitudes must work together
David J. Stephens, Department of Agriculture, South Perth, Australia; and M. H. Lamond

Poster PDF (97.9 kB)
  1:30 PM
Lunch Break


3
The Southern Hemisphere oceans and air-sea interactions I
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  10:30 AM
3.1
Ten years of high-resolution sea surface temperatures – what have we learned?
Michael J. Uddstrom, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand

Poster PDF (430.0 kB)
  10:45 AM
3.2
Large scale pressure coupling between the atmospheric planetary boundary layer and the Southern Ocean
John A. T. Bye, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (73.4 kB)
  11:00 AM
3.3
A summary of physical oceanography around New Zealand
Philip J. H. Sutton, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and S. M. Chiswell, M. M. Bowen, and M. J. M. Williams

Poster PDF (198.4 kB)
  11:15 AM
3.4
Towards an oceanographic climatology of the Aotearoa – New Zealand region
C. Matthew Walkington, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and P. H. Sutton and M. Bowen

Poster PDF (105.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
3.5
Air-sea interaction in Wellington Harbour: the effects of wind forcing on turbulent mixing and stratification
Craig L Stevens, NIWA, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. J. Smith, B. Ward, C. J. Lemckert, and J. A. McGregor

  11:45 AM
3.6
  12:00 PM
3.7
Plenary Talk

  12:30 PM
3.9
Investigating the role of air-sea coupling on the Madden Julian Oscillation
Andrew Marshall, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and O. Alves, H. Hendon, and D. J. Karoly

Poster PDF (161.1 kB)
  12:45 PM
Concentrations of anthropogenic carbon in the Indian Ocean inferred from WOCE CFC12 data using transit time distributions
Timothy M. Hall, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and D. W. Waugh, T. W. N. Haine, and P. Robbins

  1:00 PM
An outline of the role of eddies in the New Zealand Subantarctic
Michael Williams, NIWA, Wellington, New Zealand

  1:15 PM
The dynamics of ENSO in a CGCM: Preliminary Results
Lynette Bettio, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and K. Walsh and S. Power

Poster PDF (844.8 kB)
  1:30 PM
Lunch Break

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 24 March 2003


Coffee Break


Poster Session 1
Poster Session
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
 
New-type Crystal Temperature Sensor For Environment Monitor
He Jin, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, China; and Y. Tongyan, S. Peng, and C. Juan

 
On the delivery of the ENSO signal to Africa: clues from the structure of convection in the West Pacific and Indian Ocean
Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; and M. C. Todd

 
Updating Australia’s high-quality annual temperature dataset
Paul M Della-Marta, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and D. A. Collins and K. Braganza

 
Realtime global mapping of lightning using widely space VLF receivers on the ground
Richard L. Dowden, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand; and C. J. Rodger

 
Southern Hemisphere precipitation; a study of model sensitivity to parameter settings
Howard R. Larsen, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and R. Turner, D. S. Wratt, and M. Revell

Poster PDF (31.6 kB)
 
Towards quantifying the distribution and microphysical properties of southern hemisphere cirrus clouds
Steven James Cooper, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. L'Ecuyer and G. L. Stephens

 
Modelling the emission and transport of methane from New Zealand
Hamish Struthers, NIWA, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and B. Connor, M. Uddstrom, P. Andrews, H. Oliver, and S. Petrie

 
Interannual Variability of the Semi-Annual Oscillation in the Southern Hemisphere
Andréa S. Taschetto, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and I. Wainer, J. Pereira, and M. Raphael

 
Changing seasonality in Australian rainfall
Janette A. Lindesay, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia; and K. M. Johnson

 
Climatic consequences of a large scale desertification in Northeast Brazil
Marcos D. Oyama, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre

 
Diagnose: Real-time research on the nature and causes of climate anomalies
Neville Nicholls, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and P. Powers

 
Estimating the effect of global climate change on orographic precipitation
Howard R. Larsen, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and W. Gray

Poster PDF (359.9 kB)
 
Estimation of Regional Emission of Greenhouse Gases Using Satellite Data
Brian J. Connor, NIWA, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and H. Struthers, S. W. Wood, C. D. Rodgers, M. Uddstrom, and D. Lowe

 
Using the Real-time Multivariate Madden Julian Oscillation Indices to predict Rainfall in Queensland
Alexis Donald, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Qld, Australia; and J. Ribbe, R. Stone, M. Wheeler, H. Meinke, G. Harris, and B. Power

 
Some Climatological Characteristics of South American Monsoon System
José A. P. Veiga, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São Paulo, Brazil

Poster PDF (225.3 kB)
 
SST variability and external forcing of recent climate changes in Southern Africa
Joachim Rathmann, University of Wuerzburg, Wuerzburg, Germany; and J. Jacobeit

Poster PDF (273.6 kB)
 
Warm season daily rainfall in South America using a nested modeling system
Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY

 
Teleconection between tropical west pacific convection and cold surges in the southern South America
Gabriela V. Müller, Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and T. Ambrizzi, M. N. Nuñez, and S. Ferraz

Poster PDF (118.0 kB)
 
The 1997/98 El Niño Cloud Properties from SAGE II
Pi-Huan Wang, STC/NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA

 
Typical features of the South America monsoon system, and relations with the Low Level Jet and South Atlantic Convergence Zone in a climate AGCM simulation
Iracema FA Cavalcanti, Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and J. A. Marengo

Poster PDF (629.9 kB)
 
An intercontinental teleconnection: Interactions between Africa and South America
Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and J. S. Hseih

 
Design and application of an approach for climate prediction in tropical areas
Omar Baddour, Direction de la Meteorologie Nationale, Morocco, Kenya

5:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 24 March 2003


Sessions end for the day

Tuesday, 25 March 2003

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 March 2003


TUE 25 MAR

8:30 AM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 March 2003


4
Interdecadal and Longer Term Climate Variability I
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
4.1
Low frequency climate variabilities in the South Atlantic Ocean
Roberto A. F. De Almeida, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and E. J. D. Campos, R. J. Haarsma, and R. Bleck

Poster PDF (111.5 kB)
  8:45 AM
4.2
Mechanisms of South Atlantic decadal variability in the south Atlantic Ocean: A study with a hierarchy of ocean-atmosphere models
Reindert J. Haarsma, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and E. J. D. Campos, R. A. F. de Almeida, A. R. Piola, and W. Hazeleger

Poster PDF (302.6 kB)
  9:00 AM
4.3
North East Brazil rainfall: influences of sea surface temperature on seasonal to century time scales
Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and A. W. Colman, M. K. Davey, D. P. Rowell, and J. R. Knight

Poster PDF (132.7 kB)
  9:15 AM
4.4
Modelling and interpretation of oxygen isotope records of tropical climate variability
Josephine Brown, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (469.7 kB)
  9:30 AM
4.5
A climate shift in mid-1970's in Northwest Amazonia and Southern Brazil
Guillermo O. Obregón, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre

  9:45 AM
4.6
The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation: modeling and observations
A. Brett Mullan, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and C. K. Folland, B. Bhaskaran, M. J. Salinger, and J. A. Renwick

Poster PDF (75.6 kB)
  10:00 AM
4.7
Plenary Talk

  10:30 AM
4.8
Impacts of the tropical South American rainfall by changes in the global circulation
Tsing-Chang (Mike) Chen, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and E. S. Takle, J. H. Yoon, K. J. St. Croix, and P. Hsieh

Poster PDF (642.2 kB)
  10:45 AM
4.9
Variations in the South Pacific Convergence Zone and influences on South Pacific Climate
M. James Salinger, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Auckland and Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick and A. B. Mullan

Poster PDF (93.9 kB)
  11:00 AM
Decadal climate variability in the Pacific Ocean
Suwimol Sae-Koe, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia; and K. Walsh and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (457.6 kB)
  11:15 AM
Changes to the vertical structure of cyclones under global warming
Eun-Pa Lim, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (757.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
Coffee Break

  12:00 PM
Lunch Break


5
South American Monsoon System I
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
5.1
Impact of heat sources in the tropical Americas: role of the non-linear interaction between Kelvin and Rossby Waves
Pedro L. Silva Dias, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil; and C. F. Raupp and I. A. Santos

Poster PDF (69.3 kB)
  8:45 AM
5.2
  9:00 AM
5.3
Wintertime precipitation over the South American Altiplano
Patricio Aceituno, Dpt. of Geophysics. Universidad de Chile, Santiago, R.M., Chile; and R. D. Garreaud and J. Ronchail

  9:15 AM
5.4
Seasonal and sub-seasonal variability of the South American monsoon
Manoel Alonso Gan, INPE, SãoJosé dos Campos, São Paulo, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky and C. F. Ropelewski

  9:30 AM
5.5
The relationship of the South American Low-Level Jet to the formation and maintenance of large mesoscale convective systems.
Edward J Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Nicolini and P. Salio

  9:45 AM
5.6
Contribution of mesoscale convective systems to rainfall totals over South America
Galdino Viana Mota, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Zipser

  10:00 AM
5.7
Plenary Talk: Biosphere-Atmosphere Interactions in Amazonia: Results of the LBA Experiment
Carlos A. Nobre, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and M. A. F. D. S. Dias, P. Artaxo, F. Luizão, A. D. Nobre, T. D. A. Sa, R. L. Victoria, and M. M. C. Bustamante

  10:30 AM
5.8
Interannual rainfall variability over South America and the South Atlantic
Martin C. Todd, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and R. Washington and T. Ng

  10:45 AM
5.9
A positive feedback process for maintaining the precipitation of the SACZ
Yasu-Masa Kodama, Hirosaki Univ., Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan

  11:00 AM
The interannual variability of South American monsoon and rainfall in subtropical South America
Vicente Barros Sr., University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. Gonzalez Sr. and M. Doyle Sr.

Poster PDF (86.5 kB)
  11:15 AM
Atmospheric circulation anomalies during wet and dry episodes in Uruguay during austral spring and summer
Alvaro F. Díaz, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and P. Aceituno

  11:30 AM
Coffee Break

  12:00 PM
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 March 2003


6
Weather and Forecasting I
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  1:30 PM
6.1
Plenary Talk

  2:00 PM
6.2
Transient eddy forcing of the Southern Hemisphere annular mode variability: Results from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis and a quasi-linear model
Harun A. Rashid, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (147.0 kB)
  2:15 PM
6.3
  2:30 PM
6.4
Conceptual models of synoptic-scale cyclones in the New Zealand – Australia area
Peter V. Kreft, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. A. Schwarz, G. H. Thompson, and C. S. Webster

Poster PDF (796.8 kB)
  2:45 PM
6.5
Climatology of the South American cold fronts
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky

Poster PDF (213.0 kB)
  3:00 PM
6.6
Ocean heat content as a lower boundary condition for numerical weather prediction models
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (127.8 kB)
  3:15 PM
6.7
A potential vorticity view of Southern Hemisphere blocking
Stewart C. R. Allen, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; and D. J. Karoly and M. J. Reeder

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
  3:30 PM
6.8
Interaction between Diffluence and Potential Vorticity in Southern Hemisphere Blocking Cases
Li Dong, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci

Poster PDF (95.5 kB)
  3:45 PM
6.9
An operational Definition of El Niño
Phillip A. Reid, Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

  4:00 PM
Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Bayesian combination with empirical forecasts
Caio A. S. Coelho, University of Reading and ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and S. Pezzulli, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and D. B. Stephenson

  4:30 PM
Coffee Break

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 March 2003


7
The Southern Hemisphere oceans and the cryosphere
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  1:30 PM
7.1
Plenary Talk: Interannual variability in the Australian sector of the Southern Ocean: Observations and dynamical implications
Stephen R. Rintoul, Antarctic Cooperative Research Centre, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; and S. Sokolov

  2:00 PM
7.3
Simulation of ENSO-like variability with a recent coupled climate model
B Bhaskaran, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Kilbirnie, Wellington, New Zealand; and A. B. Mullan

  2:15 PM
7.4
The WCRP Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) project: status and plans
Roger G. Barry, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

  2:30 PM
7.5
An examination of South American snow cover extent and snow mass from 1979-2002 using passive microwave satellite data
J. L. Foster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and A. T. C. Chang, D. K. Hall, and R. Kelly

Poster PDF (20.6 kB)
  2:45 PM
7.6
An examination of the precipitation delivery mechanisms at Dolleman Island, Antarctica, from ECMWF re-analysis and ice core data
Andrew Russell, The University of Birmingham, UK, Birmingham, West Midlands, United Kingdom; and G. R. McGregor and G. J. Marshall

Poster PDF (139.9 kB)
  3:00 PM
7.7
Atmospheric thermodynamics responsible for the Antarctic circumpolar wave along the sea ice edge around Antarctica
Warren B. White, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and P. Gloersen and I. Simmonds

  3:15 PM
7.8
Precipitation variability over East Antarctic as recorded at Mawson, Casey and Davis
Glenn R. McGregor, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom; and D. M. Bewley and G. Marshall

  3:30 PM
7.9
The response of the Southern Hemisphere extratropical, atmospheric circulation to extremes of sea-ice concentration in summer
Marilyn N. Raphael, University of California, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA

  3:45 PM
South Atlantic variabitility and the relationship with other global features in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model
Edmo J.D. Campos, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. A. F. de Almeida, R. J. Haarsma, and R. Bleck

  4:00 PM
Clouds Over Sea Ice and Open Water in the Southern Ocean: Solar Transmittance and Cloud Radiative Forcing from Shipboard Measurements
Melanie Fitzpatrick, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. G. Warren and R. E. Brandt

Poster PDF (320.3 kB)
  4:15 PM
Recent climate variability in the Antarctic Peninsula region and large-scale origins
Ian Simmonds, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

Poster PDF (167.3 kB)
  4:30 PM
Neural network applications in West Antarctic meteorology and climatology
David B. Reusch, Penn. State University, University Park, PA; and R. B. Alley

Poster PDF (118.2 kB)
  4:45 PM
Coffee Break

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 March 2003


Sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 26 March 2003

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


WED 26 MAR

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


8
Weather and Forecasting II
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
8.1
The Generation of the Morning Glory
Robert A. Goler, Monash University, Clayton, Vic., Australia; and M. J. Reeder

Poster PDF (420.2 kB)
  8:45 AM
8.2
Southern Hemisphere Blocking Onset Mechanisms Associated with Divergence Anomalies in the Upper Troposphere
Francisco Javier Saez de Adana, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci

Poster PDF (228.2 kB)
  9:00 AM
8.3
Changes in cloud cover over Antarctica associated with Forbush decreases in galactic cosmic rays
Martin C. Todd, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and D. R. Kniveton

  9:15 AM
8.4
A simple hydrological model to estimate runoff and soil moisture on macroscale basins in Brazil.
Javier Tomasella, INPE, 12630-000, SP, Brazil; and D. A. Rodrigues and E. M. Barbosa

  9:30 AM
8.5
Evaluation of CPTEC's seasonal ensemble predictions of wet season rainfall over Northeast Brazil
Claudine P. Dereczynski, Federal Univ. of Rio De Janerio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; and C. Nobre

Poster PDF (194.9 kB)
  9:45 AM
8.6
POAMA: New Bureau of Meteorology Operational Coupled Model Seasonal Forecasting System
Oscar Alves, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and G. Wang, A. Zhong, N. Smith, F. Tseitkin, and G. Warren

  10:00 AM
Coffee Break


9
Regional Issues: Australasia and Oceania
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
9.1
The Pacific Islands Regional Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) Program
Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Salinger

Poster PDF (224.4 kB)
  8:45 AM
9.2
The onset of the monsoon over the maritime continent
Mulyono R Prabowo, School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and J. L. McBride and N. J. Tapper

  9:00 AM
9.3
The Madden-Julian Oscillation and the Java floods of January/February 2002
Matthew C. Wheeler, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

  9:15 AM
9.4
Towards a regional climate model for New Zealand
Frank Drost, NIWA and Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick

  9:30 AM
9.5
The international Perlan project: soaring stratospheric mountain waves in New Zealand
Elizabeth J Carter, Firnspiegel LLC, Kings Beach, CA; and E. H. Teets Jr., J. Robinson, and S. N. Goates

Poster PDF (311.6 kB)
  9:45 AM
9.6
Climatology of Low-Level Jet east of the Andes as derived from the NCEP-NCAR reanalyses. temporal and Spatial variability
Jose A. Marengo, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and W. R. Soares, C. Saulo, and M. Nicolini

  10:00 AM
Coffee Break

10:30 AM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


10
Climate and society in the Southern Hemisphere
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  10:30 AM
Plenary Talk

  11:00 AM
Detection of anthropogenic climate change in the Australian region
David J Karoly, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia

  11:15 AM
Assessment of regional contributions to past and future anthropogenic climate change
Gregory Bodeker, Bodeker Scientific, New Zealand; and M. Manning

Poster PDF (179.0 kB)
  11:30 AM
Australian impacts of long-term climate variability and change
William J. Wright, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

  12:00 PM
Plenary Talk

  12:30 PM
The SCAR READER project: Antarctic climate change over the last 50 years
John Turner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (69.2 kB)
  12:45 PM
Multiple biosphere-atmosphere equilibria in Brazil under present-day conditions: a GCM simulation study
Marcos D. Oyama, Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies - CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and C. A. Nobre

  1:00 PM
  1:30 PM
Statistical forecasting of seasonal temperatures in New Zealand
Xiaogu Zheng, NIWA (National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research), Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick

  1:45 PM
Dry and Drier – The Australian 2002 El Niño experience
Andrew B. Watkins, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

  2:00 PM
Impacts of El Nino 2002-2003: Southern Africa and the Maritime Continent
Anji Seth, International Research Insititute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and B. Lyon

  2:15 PM
Dynamical Downscaling of Climate Information: Evaluation of the Simulated Rainfall Characteristics
Jozef Syktus, Queensland Centre for Climate Applications, Indooroopilly, Queensland, Australia; and G. McKeon and N. Flood

  2:30 PM
Why is UV radiation more intense in the Southern Hemisphere; and why is this not fully reflected in satellite derived estimations
Richard L McKenzie, National Institute for Water and Atmospheric Research, Otago, New Zealand

  2:45 PM
Lunch Break

  4:15 PM
Coffee Break

10:30 AM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


11
The Southern Hemisphere oceans and air-sea interactions II
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  10:30 AM
Plenary Talk: The Argo Project: Broadscale ocean observations in the Southern Hemisphere
Dean Roemmich, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and A. S. Team

  11:00 AM
Oceanic connection between the Pacific and Indian Oceans south of Australia
Ken Ridgway, CSIRO, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia; and J. Dunn

  11:15 AM
New estimates of continental discharge and oceanic freshwater transport
Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai

Poster PDF (292.1 kB)
  11:30 AM
Rainfall anomalies in western South America and the traditional "El Niño" versus "ENSO"
Chet F. Ropelewski, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and B. Lyon and M. Bell

  11:45 AM
Solar forcing and coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamical response over the southern oceans
Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, T. M. L. Wigley, J. M. Arblaster, and A. Dai

  12:00 PM
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


12
Regional Issues: Africa
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Plenary Talk

  2:00 PM
Transition from the Southern to the Northern Hemisphere
Raphael E. Okoola, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya

  2:15 PM
Climate and atmospheric circulation changes in Southern Africa during the last 100 years
Joachim Rathmann, University of Wuerzburg, Wuerzburg, Germany; and J. Jacobeit

Poster PDF (310.5 kB)
  2:45 PM
The relationship between southern Africa Rainfall and ENSO events
Washington Zhakata, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa

  3:00 PM
The role of Indian and Pacific Ocean SSTs in African rainfall variability
Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxon, United Kingdom; and A. Preston and M. C. Todd

  3:15 PM
Climatic variability in central Africa and its link to sea-surface temperatures and the El Nino/La Nina
Natasa Balas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. Nicholson

  3:30 PM
Intermodel evaluation of GCM boundary conditions for nested RCM downscaling
Bruce Hewitson, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa; and C. Jack and R. Crane

  3:45 PM
Model Output Statistics Applied to Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasts for Southern Africa
Willem A. Landman, South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa; and L. Goddard

Poster PDF (193.9 kB)
  4:00 PM
Seasonal forecasting for southern Africa using HadAM3
Mark Tadross, CSAG, Cape Town, South Africa; and D. Jagadheesha and B. C. Hewitson

  4:15 PM
A 15 year regional model integration for Southern Africa
Chris Jack, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa

  4:30 PM
The role of Indian Ocean SST on East African Short Rains
Charles C. Mutai, Meteorological Department of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya

  4:45 PM
Coffee Break

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 March 2003


Sessions end for the day

Thursday, 27 March 2003

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Thursday, 27 March 2003


THUR 27 MAR

9:00 AM-11:30 AM: Thursday, 27 March 2003


13
Tropical-extratropical interactions and teleconnections over the Southern Hemisphere II
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Why was September 2001 to September 2002 a year of anomalously low pressures over the Tasman Sea?
Michael J. Revell, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. A. Renwick

Poster PDF (793.0 kB)
  9:30 AM
Tropical cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere: influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon.
Yuriy A. Kuleshov, National Climate Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

  9:45 AM
A hybrid coupled model study of remote influences over the tropical Atlantic Ocean
Paulo Nobre, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, SP, Brazil; and S. E. Zebiak

  10:00 AM
Plenary Talk

  10:30 AM
Southern Hemisphere atmospheric low frequency variability in a climate AGCM simulation
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, Centro de Previsao de Tempo e Estudos Climaticos, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. C. Castro

Poster PDF (181.0 kB)
  10:45 AM
Seasonal Variations in the Southern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams
Hisashi Nakamura, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and A. Shimpo

  11:00 AM
Coffee Break

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 27 March 2003


14
Atmospheric Chemistry in the Southern Hemisphere
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Atmospheric methane at Suva, Fiji: The impact of tropical meteorology
David Lowe, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and T. Bromley, B. Allan, and K. Koshy

Poster PDF (120.7 kB)
  9:15 AM
Tropospheric Bromine Explosion Events in the Antarctic: I) Mechanism
Karin Kreher, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and R. Schofield and U. Friess

Poster PDF (20.6 kB)
  9:30 AM
Tropospheric BrO Explosion Events in the Antarctic: II) Measurements
Robyn Schofield, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Omakau, Central Otago, New Zealand; and K. Kreher, B. Connor, P. Johnston, A. Thomas, and S. Wood

Poster PDF (24.2 kB)
  9:45 AM
Airborne cycling of nutrients into the Benguela upwelling system off the west coast of South Africa and Namibia
Peter D Tyson, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa

  10:00 AM
Variability in ozone in the tropical troposphere from the SHADOZ (Southern Hemisphere ADditional OZonesondes) network
Anne M Thompson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. C. Witte, F. J. Schmidlin, S. J. Oltmans, V. W. J. H. Kirchhoff, G. J. R. Coetzee, F. Posny, T. Ogawa, J. P. F. Fortuin, and H. Kelder

  10:30 AM
Variability of atmospheric dimethylsulphide over the southern indian ocean due to changes in ultraviolet radiation
D. R. Kniveton, University of Sussex, Falmer, Brighton, United Kingdom; and M. C. Todd and J. Sciare

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)
  10:45 AM
Transport and mixing in the southern subtropical upper troposphere
Darryn W Waugh, Johns Hopkins UNiversity, Baltimore, MD

  11:00 AM
Characteristics of high ozone events over Africa
Roseanne D Diab, University of Natal, Durban, South Africa, Durban, South Africa; and G. Mahumane, A. Raghanundan, A. M. Thompson, V. Thouret, and J. P. Cammas

  11:15 AM
Modulation of the Southern polar vortex and tropospheric variability by forcing in the tropical stratosphere and implications for ozone
David Noone, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Yung and R. L. Shia

Poster PDF (95.5 kB)
  11:30 AM
Coffee Break

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 27 March 2003


Sessions end for the day

Friday, 28 March 2003

6:00 AM-6:00 AM: Friday, 28 March 2003


FRI 28 MAR

8:30 AM-11:45 AM: Friday, 28 March 2003


16
Interdecadal and Longer Term Climate Variability II
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Impacts of mid-Holocene radiative forcing on the Australian palaeoenvironment
Richard Wardle, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (284.3 kB)
  8:45 AM
  9:00 AM
Mechanisms driving meridional shifts in the Southern Hemisphere westerlies in extreme climates
Pandora Hope, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and I. Simmonds

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
  9:30 AM
The influence of the Antarctic circumpolar wave on El Niño from 1950 to 2001
Warren B. White, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. L. Annis

  9:45 AM
A comparison of trends in the Southern Annular Mode from observations and reanalyses
Gareth J. Marshall, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Poster PDF (916.1 kB)
  10:00 AM
Trends and variations in South Pacific island and ocean surface temperatures
Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Bracknell, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and M. J. Salinger, N. Jiang, and N. A. Rayner

Poster PDF (133.8 kB)
  10:30 AM
Instrument-and tree-ring based estimates of the Antarctic Oscillation index
Julie M. Jones, GKSS Research Centre, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Widmann

Poster PDF (167.5 kB)
  10:45 AM
Extratropical cyclone and anticyclone tracks and trends for the Southern Hemisphere: possible ENSO related impacts and climate changes
Alexandre Bernardes Pezza, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and T. Ambrizzi

Poster PDF (43.2 kB)
  11:00 AM
Climate change simulations around the Antarctic Peninsula
Sebastien Conil, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and C. Menendez, C. Vera, and H. Le Treut

Poster PDF (142.5 kB)
  11:15 AM
Coffee Break

9:00 AM-11:30 AM: Friday, 28 March 2003


15
Weather and Forecasting III
Sponsor: 7th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Southern Hemisphere real-time, high resolution satellite rainfall estimation
Gilberto A. Vicente, NASA/GSFC - GMU, Greenbelt, MD

  9:15 AM
Multi-sensor multi-spectral rain-rate retrieval
Aarno V. Korpela, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. J. Uddstrom

Poster PDF (353.5 kB)
  9:30 AM
Identifying heavy rain events along New Zealand’s West Coast using the NCEP Ensemble Prediction System
Tony Simmers, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd, Wellington, New Zealand

Poster PDF (51.9 kB)
  9:45 AM
Trends and volatility in the accuracy of temperature forecasts
Shoni S. Dawkins, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and H. Stern

Poster PDF (128.0 kB)
  10:00 AM
Plenary Talk

  10:30 AM
Comparison of the performance of the ECMWF and BFM forecast models in the New Zealand Region
Richard Turner, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and J. Renwick and S. Schroeder

  10:45 AM
Variational mesoscale data assimilation: The New Zealand Limited Area Model (NZLAM-VAR)
Michael J. Uddstrom, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and P. Andrews, H. Oliver, and A. Korpela

Poster PDF (339.5 kB)
  11:00 AM
Coffee Break

11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 28 March 2003


Conference Closing Ceremony