Session 4 |
| | Bayesian Probability Forecasting (Room 602/603) |
| | Cochairs: Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO
|
| 8:30 AM | 4.1 | Calibrated probabilistic mesoscale forecasting with ensembles via Bayesian model averaging
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Balabdaoui and T. Gneiting |
| 8:45 AM | 4.2 | Bayesian Processor of Output: A New Technique for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting 
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA |
| 9:00 AM | 4.3 | Bayesian Processor of Output for Probabilistic Forecasting of Precipitation Occurrence
Coire J. Maranzano, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz |
| 9:15 AM | 4.4 | Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Ehrendorfer |