Session 2 |
| | Forecast Evaluation (Room 3A) |
| | Cochairs: Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO
|
| 8:30 AM | 2.1 | Verifying probabilistic forecasts: calibration and sharpness
Tilmann Gneiting, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. E. Raftery, F. Balabdaoui, and A. Westveld |
| 9:00 AM | 2.2 | Assessing the Skill of Yes/No Forecasts for Markov Observations 
William M. Briggs, Weill Cornell Medical School, New York, NY; and D. Ruppert |
| 9:15 AM | 2.3 | The minimum spanning tree (MST) histogram as a verification tool for multidimensional ensemble forecasts
Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY |
| 9:30 AM | 2.4 | Selecting METARs to verify Ceiling and Visibility Forecasts
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and A. Holmes |
| 9:45 AM | | Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
|
| 11:00 AM | 2.5 | Improving forecast verification through network design
Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 11:15 AM | 2.6 | Defining observation fields for verification of spatial forecasts of convection
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. E. Hart and B. G. Brown |
| 11:30 AM | 2.7 | A Prototype Verification System for Examining NDFD Forecasts
Valery J. Dagostaro, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. A. Shaffer, M. J. Schenk, J. L. Gorline, and A. A. Taylor |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
|
| 1:30 PM | 2.8 | Spatial verification using the relative operating characteristic curve
Laurence J. Wilson, MSC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and W. R. Burrows |
| 1:45 PM | 2.9 | Examining the sensitivity of various performance measures
Michael E. Baldwin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL and NOAA/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain |
| 2:00 PM | 2.10 | The Critical Success Index and warning strategy
Harry Gerapetritis, NOAA/NWS, Greer, SC; and J. M. Pelissier |
| 2:15 PM | 2.11 | Geospatial Uncertainty Analysis and Gridded Forecast Verification
Michael E. Splitt, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and K. Cook and E. Petrescu |