Session 1 |
| | Forecast Systems (Room 602/603) |
| | Cochairs: J. Paul Dallavalle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO
|
| 9:00 AM | 1.1 | An Experimental Severe Weather Nowcast Algorithm Based on a Back-propagation Neural Network and a Comparison with an Algorithm Based on Multiple Linear Regression 
Yerong Feng, Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou, China; and D. H. Kitzmiller |
| 9:30 AM | 1.2 | Statistical algorithms for short-term wind energy forecasting
Kristin Larson, 3 Tier Environmental Forecast Group, Inc., Seattle, WA; and T. Gneiting |
| 9:45 AM | 1.3 | Statistical Wind Power Forecasting for U.S. Wind Farms 
Michael Milligan, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; and M. Schwartz and Y. H. Wan |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
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| 10:45 AM | 1.4 | Statistical models of aircraft icing
Matthew Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff and T. Fowler |
| 11:00 AM | 1.5 | Statistical Models for 1-2 Day Warm Season Lightning Prediction for Canada and the Northern United States
William R. Burrows, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and C. Price and L. J. Wilson |
| 11:15 AM | 1.6 | Toward a new Canadian medium-range Perfect-Prog temperature forecast system
Bertrand Denis, MSC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and R. Verret |
| 11:30 AM | 1.7 | Aviation guidance from the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP)
Harry R. Glahn, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 11:45 AM | | Lunch Break
|
| 1:30 PM | 1.8 | Results of the application of the Canadian Updateable Model Output Statistics System to the Great Lakes marine forecast problem
Syd Peel, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. J. Wilson and M. Vallée |
| 2:00 PM | 1.9 | Combining Global and Local Grid-Based Bias Correction for Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction
Yulia Gel, George Washington Univ., Washington, DC; and A. Raftery and T. Gneiting |
| 2:15 PM | 1.10 | Using new remotely-sensed datasets in MOS development: A step toward true high-resolution statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts
Mark S. Antolik, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:30 PM | | Formal Poster Session Viewing with Coffee Break
|
| 4:00 PM | 1.11 | Severe weather as seen via a preliminary sounding climatology and a wind adjusted convective index (WACI)
Ivory J. Small, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA |
| 4:15 PM | 1.12 | An algorithm for variable selection with an application to meteorological teleconnections.
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and W. K. -. M. Lau, A. Winter, and A. Veneros |