84th AMS Annual Meeting

Joint Session 12: Subseasonal forecasting (Joint with 15th Symp. on Global Change and Climate Variations and the Symp on Forecasting the Weathe and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean; Room 6C)

Tuesday, 13 January 2004: 8:30 AM-5:30 PM
Room 6C
Organizer:  Siegfried Schubert, NASA Data Assimilation Office
Papers:
  8:30 AM
Progress and Challenges in Subseasonal Prediction
Siegfried Schubert, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD

  10:00 AM
Analysis of recent atmospheric climate anomalies using the NSIPP-1 AGCM
Philip J Pegion, NASA-GSFC SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert, M. Suarez, and Y. Chang

 
J12.8
Ensemble perturbations for coupled ocean-atmosphere seasonal forecasting

  10:30 AM
Subseasonal to interannual prediction sensitivities in the GFDL/FMS GCM
W. Stern, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and A. Rosati, R. Gudgel, M. Harrison, and A. Wittenberg

  10:45 AM
The physical perturbation implementation of NCEP RSM for regional climate downscaling
Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Washington, DC; and Y. Song and K. Mo

  11:00 AM
A study of subseasonal predictability
Matthew Newman, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh

  11:15 AM
The lifespan of subseasonal locally coupled anomalies
Malaquias Pena, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and M. Cai and E. Kalnay

  11:45 AM
Lingering Memory and Subseasonal to Seasonal Climate Prediction
Ming Cai, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Van den Dool and S. Saha

  12:00 PM
Long-range forecasting by EEOF extrapolation by linear and non-linear methods
Constantin Mares, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania; and I. Mares

Poster PDF (289.5 kB)
  12:15 PM
  12:30 PM
  12:45 PM
Impacts of Rainfall Assimilation on Madden-Julian Oscillation and Large Scale Dynamics
Song Yang, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. Tao, A. Hou, and W. Olson

  1:00 PM
Forecasts of tropical rainfall with the Constracted Analog method
Peitao Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Van den Dool

  1:15 PM
Combined dynamical and statistical forecasting of the Arctic Oscillation
Warwick Norton, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Baldwin and J. Whitaker

  1:30 PM
Stratospheric memory and skill of subseasonal forecasts
Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and D. Stephenson, D. W. J. Thompson, T. J. Dunkerton, A. J. Charlton, and A. O'Neill

  1:45 PM
A Diagnostic study of the changes in Atmospheric Moisture over the Indian Ocean prior to Monsoon Onset over Kerala
K.P. Sooraj, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Cochin, IA, India; and C. K. Rajan, B. Simon, and P. C. Joshi

  2:15 PM
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

  3:30 PM
Lunch Break

  5:00 PM
Coffee Break In Exhibit Hall