Session: Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A) (84th AMS Annual Meeting)

Tuesday, 13 January 2004: 11:00 AM-12:15 PM

Room 6A

Organizers: Chris Snyder, NCAR

Chairs: Chris Snyder, NCAR

Papers:

11:00 AM

J6.1

Toward an effective short-range ensemble forecast system

F. Anthony Eckel, University of Washington and Air Force Weather Agency, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and E. P. Grimit

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

J6.2

Multimodel fine-resolution ensembles for short-range forecasts in mountainous terrain

Roland Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and H. Modzelewski, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, L. Huang, T. Cannon, G. Hicks II, D. Storey, M. Holmes, and J. Charbonneau

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (315.7 kB)

11:30 AM

J6.3

Global ensemble forecast at NCEP—configuration, implementation and plan

Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and M. Wei

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

J6.4

Ensemble augmentation with a new dressing kernel

Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop

Recorded presentation Poster PDF (556.9 kB)

12:00 PM

J6.5

Impacts of Resolution on Gridded Probability Thunderstorm Forecast Guidance

Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. A. Trimarco

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/topics/tsvr

Poster PDF (192.2 kB)

See more of: 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

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Joint Session 6: Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A)