84th AMS Annual Meeting

Joint Session 6: Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A)

Tuesday, 13 January 2004: 11:00 AM-12:15 PM
Room 6A
Organizers:  Chris Snyder, NCAR
Chairs:  Chris Snyder, NCAR
Papers:
  11:00 AM
Toward an effective short-range ensemble forecast system
F. Anthony Eckel, University of Washington and Air Force Weather Agency, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and E. P. Grimit

  11:15 AM
Multimodel fine-resolution ensembles for short-range forecasts in mountainous terrain
Roland Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and H. Modzelewski, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, L. Huang, T. Cannon, G. Hicks II, D. Storey, M. Holmes, and J. Charbonneau

  11:30 AM
Global ensemble forecast at NCEPóconfiguration, implementation and plan
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and M. Wei

  11:45 AM
Ensemble augmentation with a new dressing kernel
Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop

  12:00 PM
Impacts of Resolution on Gridded Probability Thunderstorm Forecast Guidance
Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. A. Trimarco

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/topics/tsvr

Poster PDF (192.2 kB)