| Sunday, 14 January 2007 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday, East Registration
Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday, East Registration
Conference Registration |
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| Monday, 15 January 2007 |
| 7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday, East Registration
Registration continues through Thursday, 18 January |
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| 9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday
Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day) |
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| 5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall D
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| Tuesday, 16 January 2007 |
| 11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open |
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| Wednesday, 17 January 2007 |
| 8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 1 Overview of connections between mesoscale processes and climate variability |
Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
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| 9:30 AM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 2 Mesoscale and global-scale phenomena important to regional climate |
Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
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| 9:30 AM | 2.1 | Dynamical effect of land surface processes on summer precipitation over the United States and Mexico (Invited)
Kingtse Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wu |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:30 AM | 2.2 | Meteorological characteristics and over-land impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the West Coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations (Invited)
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, G. Wick, J. D. Lundquist, M. D. Dettinger, and D. R. Cayan |
| 10:45 AM | 2.3 | The diurnal cycle of warm season rainfall and its relationship to the genesis and propagation of mesoscale events. (Invited)
R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. C. Chen, T. D. Keenan, A. G. Laing, V. Levizzani, A. J. Pereira, and J. D. Tuttle |
| 11:00 AM | 2.4 | Mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of closed anticyclones: A link between mesoscale processes and climate variability
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart |
| 11:15 AM | 2.5 | Local minimum of tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern Caribbean Sea.
Owen H. Shieh, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci |
| 11:30 AM | 2.6 | Evidence of forcing of Arctic regional climates by mesoscale processes  
P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and R. Stone |
| 11:45 AM | 2.7 | An Investigation of the Climatic Variability and Forcing of Lake Champlain Lake-Effect Snow Systems
Neil F. Laird, Hobart & William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Desrochers and M. Payer |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)
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| 1:30 PM | 2.8 | Self Similarity and Scale Interactions in Organized Tropical Convection (Invited)
George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO |
| 2:00 PM | 2.9 | Westerly wind burst, MJO, and ENSO
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Zavala-Garay |
| 2:15 PM | 2.10 | Interactions between oceanic tropical instability waves and the tropical atmosphere from multi-year satellite observations
Qiaoyan Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and K. P. Bowman |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday, Meeting Room Foyer
Coffee Break |
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| 11:00 AM-6:45 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Joint Poster Session 4 Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather) |
| | JP4.1 | An examination of the relationship between North Atlantic tropical storm activity and sea surface temperature using time series modeling
Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY |
| | JP4.2 | Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes
Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic |
| | JP4.3 | Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich |
| | JP4.4 | An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity
Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie |
| | | Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A
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| | JP4.6 | The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale
Allison A. Wing, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo |
| | JP4.7 | Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier |
| | JP4.8 | Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation
J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien |
| | JP4.9 | Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat
Cynthia A. Whittier, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson |
| | JP4.10 | Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin |
| | JP4.11 | Utilizing the statistical downscaling model to project weather extremes - a Canadian example
Gary S. Lines, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and L. Titus |
| | JP4.12 | A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer |
| | JP4.13 | Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith |
| | JP4.14 | Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie |
| | JP4.15 | Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall
Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann |
| | JP4.16 | Trends towards wetter hurricane basins
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote |
| | JP4.17 | Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm |
| | JP4.18 | The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| | JP4.19 | The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas
Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie and H. Sharif |
| | JP4.20 | Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin |
| | JP4.21 | Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner |
| | JP4.22 | Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest |
| | JP4.23 | Influence of Climate Model Cloud and Convection Parameter Uncertainties on Present and Future Simulated Precipitation Extremes
Yi Deng, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Jackson |
| | JP4.24 | Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart |
| | JP4.25 | Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown |
| | JP4.26 | ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler |
| | JP4.27 | Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos |
| | JP4.28 | Relation between subseasonal and interannual variability of Indian monsoon and potential for seasonal predictability in a coupled GCM
Deepthi Achuthavarier, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Krishnamurthy |
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| 2:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Poster Session 1 Poster Session |
| | P1.1 | Baroclinicity influences on storm divergence in the subtropics
Larry J. Hopper Jr., Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher |
| | P1.2 | MJO, organized convection, momentum transport and equatorial super-rotation
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| | P1.3 | Relationship between climate variability and strong low level wind in the Gulf of Alaska
Haibo Liu, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK; and P. Olsson and K. Volz |
| | P1.4 | Vertical structure of stratiform rain observed by profilers and the TRMM precipitation radar
Christopher R. Williams, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and K. S. Gage |
| | P1.5 | Thunderstorm Development at Vandenberg AFB
Leonard A. Wells, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg AFB, CA |
| | P1.6 | Cloud-to-ground lightning climatology of the lower Great Lakes
Jason Keeler, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, NY; and S. M. Steiger and R. Orville |
| | P1.7 | Lake-effect Thunderstorms
Scott M. Steiger, SUNY, Oswego, NY; and R. Orville and J. Keeler |
| | P1.8 | Mapping the climatology of 0-1 hour convective initiation across the Southeastern U. S. and Central America
John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and L. Gambill, K. M. Bedka, and H. Searcy |
| | P1.9 | Causes of summertime Texas drought
Boksoon Myoung, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon |
| | P1.10 | A method to illustrate and measure the relative sensitivity of RCMs to uncertainties in the physics parameterizations and the large-scale forcing
Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Michelson |
| | P1.11 | Parameterization of cloud physics processes in marine stratocumulus based on integral moments of drop spectra
Alexei Belochitski, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Kogan |
| | P1.12 | Some numerical accuracy issues relating to Klemp-Wilhelmson time differencing
Kevin C. Viner, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. C. Epifanio |
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| 4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 3 Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes |
Chair: John Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
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| 4:00 PM | 3.1 | New approaches to including mesoscale atmospheric processes in global numerical models (Invited)
David A. Randall, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| 4:30 PM | 3.2 | Handling convection and turbulence for weather and climate models .... Can one size fit all? (Invited)
Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Han |
| 5:00 PM | | Paper 3.3 moved. New Paper Number 4.2A
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| 5:01 PM | 3.4 | Towards parameterizing the impacts of gravity waves exited from baroclinic jet-front systems in climate models
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and F. Sassi, J. H. Richter, and R. R. Garcia |
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| 5:30 PM-6:45 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall D
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) |
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| 5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day |
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| 7:00 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday, Ballroom C123
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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| Thursday, 18 January 2007 |
| 8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, 206B
Session 4 Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes (cont'd) |
Chair: David Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 8:30 AM | 4.1 | Embracing the climate and weather connection in the development of global and regional prediction models at NCEP's Environmental Prediction Center (EMC) (Invited)
Kenneth Mitchell, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. J. Lord, H. L. Pan, M. D. Iredell, S. Saha, S. Moorthi, G. J. DiMego, M. Ek, R. Yang, H. Wei, H. Juang, and Y. T. Hou |
|  | 4.2 | Parameterizing organized convection for climate models (Invited)
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. B. Neale |
| 9:00 AM | 4.2A | Representing mesoscale convective organization in 10-km-grid global models
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 9:30 AM | 4.5a | Superensemble Forecasts with a Suite of Mesoscale Models over the Continental United States
Donald F. Van Dyke III, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. Krishnamurti |
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| 9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall C
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open |
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| 11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 206B
Joint Session 6 Haurwitz Lecture (Joint between MesoSymposium and 19 CVC) |
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| 12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall) |
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| 1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, 206B
Session 5 Comparisons between high-resolution regional and global models for studying climate |
Chair: Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
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| 1:30 PM | 5.1 | Orographic Effects on Precipitation and its Interannual Variations (Invited)
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan and Y. Qian |
| 2:00 PM | 5.2 | Interaction of weather and climate as diagnosed from hourly output 57-year dynamical downscaling of Reanalysis at 10km over California (Invited)
Masao Kanamitsu, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA |
| 2:30 PM | 5.3 | Downscaling climate and weather forecasts using reforecast analogs (Invited)
Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall and Raffle
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| 3:30 PM | 5.4 | The enviroments of severe thunderstorms: global distribution and temporal changes (Invited)
Harold Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 3:45 PM | 5.5 | Simulation of East Asian monsoon weather and climate using a high-resolution global GCM at GFDL
Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ |
| 4:00 PM | 5.6 | Observed long-term California temperature-trends: coastal cooling and inland warming
B. Lebassi, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. Gonzles, D. Fabris, E. Maurer, R. Bornstein, and N. L. Miller |
| 4:15 PM | 5.7 | A study of tropical instability waves over the Atlantic using a coupled regional atmosphere–ocean model
Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and P. Chang and R. Savaranan |
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| 3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes |
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| 4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Close |
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| 5:30 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends |
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| 6:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday
Rasmusson Symposium Banquet |
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