Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability (Expanded View)

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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 14 January 2007
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday, East Registration
Short Course Registration
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday, East Registration
Conference Registration
Monday, 15 January 2007
7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday, East Registration
Registration continues through Thursday, 18 January
9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday
Plenary Session for the Presidential Forum (Presidential Forum will then run parallel to other sessions throughout the day)
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall D
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 16 January 2007
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open
Wednesday, 17 January 2007
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 1 Overview of connections between mesoscale processes and climate variability
Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM1.1Mesoscale processes in precipitation systems (Invited)  
Richard Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM1.2Multi-scale Interactions During the North American Monsoon (Invited)  extended abstract wrf recording
Wayne Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. J. Gochis
9:30 AM-2:30 PM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 2 Mesoscale and global-scale phenomena important to regional climate
Chair: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
9:30 AM2.1Dynamical effect of land surface processes on summer precipitation over the United States and Mexico (Invited)  
Kingtse Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wu
10:00 AMCoffee Break  
10:30 AM2.2Meteorological characteristics and over-land impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the West Coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations (Invited)  
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, G. Wick, J. D. Lundquist, M. D. Dettinger, and D. R. Cayan
10:45 AM2.3The diurnal cycle of warm season rainfall and its relationship to the genesis and propagation of mesoscale events. (Invited)  
R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. C. Chen, T. D. Keenan, A. G. Laing, V. Levizzani, A. J. Pereira, and J. D. Tuttle
11:00 AM2.4Mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of closed anticyclones: A link between mesoscale processes and climate variability  
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart
11:15 AM2.5Local minimum of tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern Caribbean Sea.  
Owen H. Shieh, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci
11:30 AM2.6Evidence of forcing of Arctic regional climates by mesoscale processes  extended abstract wrf recording
P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and R. Stone
11:45 AM2.7An Investigation of the Climatic Variability and Forcing of Lake Champlain Lake-Effect Snow Systems  
Neil F. Laird, Hobart & William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and J. Desrochers and M. Payer
12:00 PMLunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)  
1:30 PM2.8Self Similarity and Scale Interactions in Organized Tropical Convection (Invited)  
George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
2:00 PM2.9Westerly wind burst, MJO, and ENSO  
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Zavala-Garay
2:15 PM2.10Interactions between oceanic tropical instability waves and the tropical atmosphere from multi-year satellite observations  
Qiaoyan Wu, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and K. P. Bowman
10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday, Meeting Room Foyer
Coffee Break
11:00 AM-6:45 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Joint Poster Session 4 Joint Poster: Climate & Extremes, Linking Weather and Climate (Joint with Second Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research, Symposium on Connections Between Mesoscale Processes and Climate Variability, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, and Climate Change Manifested by Changes in Weather)
 JP4.1An examination of the relationship between North Atlantic tropical storm activity and sea surface temperature using time series modeling  
Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY
 JP4.2Implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes  
Jan Kysely, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic
 JP4.3Hydrological variability and trends in global reanalyses  extended abstract
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich
 JP4.4An investigation of ENSO-related parameters used to predict Australian tropical cyclone activity  
Hamish A. Ramsay, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, M. Leplastrier, and L. M. Leslie
 Poster JP4.5 has been moved. New Paper number 2B.1A  
 JP4.6The relationship between actual and potential intensities of tropical cyclones on an interannual time scale  
Allison A. Wing, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo
 JP4.7Observations and predictability of tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Ocean  
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. A. Ramsay, L. M. Leslie, and M. Leplastrier
 JP4.8Impact of ENSO, NAO, and PDO on monthly extreme temperature and precipitation  
J. Brolley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. O'Brien
 JP4.9Quantifying the influence of environmental conditions on the effect of winter wheat  extended abstract
Cynthia A. Whittier, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. A. McPherson
 JP4.10Trends in Australia's climate means and extremes: a global context  
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and N. Nicholls, A. Lynch, P. Hope, D. A. Collins, and B. Trewin
 JP4.11Utilizing the statistical downscaling model to project weather extremes - a Canadian example  
Gary S. Lines, EC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and L. Titus
 JP4.12A generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators  
Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Furrer
 JP4.13Understanding the local and regional impacts of large wind farms  
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith
 JP4.14Western Arctic storm surge and extreme cyclones: a factorial analysis of fifty years of flooding  
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and L. R. Lestak, P. Uotila, E. N. Cassano, and L. Xie
 JP4.15Weather-Climate Linkage Leading to the 24-29 June 2006 Excessive East Coast Rainfall  extended abstract
Edward Berry, NOAA, Dodge City, KS; and K. M. Weickmann
 JP4.16Trends towards wetter hurricane basins  
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and T. L. Mote
 JP4.17Tornado climatology and predictability by ENSO phase in the North Central U.S.: A compositing study  extended abstract
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS WFO Quad Cities IA/IL, Davenport, IA; and C. Cogil, G. Lussky, and R. Ryrholm
 JP4.18The "Perfect Storms" of 1991: An intraseasonal example of a link between weather and climate  
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
 JP4.19The Impact of Local and Global Climate Variation/Change on Extreme Weather Events in the South Central Texas  
Xianwei Wang Sr., The University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and H. Xie and H. Sharif
 JP4.20Severe convective storms in past and future climates using a scale-spanning, multiple-model approach  
Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Halvorson, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and M. E. Baldwin
 JP4.21Predicting extreme hurricane winds in the United States  
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
 JP4.22Interactions between flood management decisions and scientific uncertainty about the climatological risk of extreme flooding  
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi, M. Downton, and E. Gruntfest
 JP4.23Influence of Climate Model Cloud and Convection Parameter Uncertainties on Present and Future Simulated Precipitation Extremes  
Yi Deng, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and C. Jackson
 JP4.24Impacts of recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones on extratropical predictability in the Northern Hemisphere  
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser and L. Bosart
 JP4.25Identifying patterns and trends in severe storm environments using re-analysis data.  
Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gilleland, H. Brooks, and B. Brown
 JP4.26ENSO and Global Daily to 3-Hourly Precipitation Extremes  
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and S. Wuensch and R. F. Adler
 JP4.27Bridging the gap between weather and climate forecasting: Research priorities for intra-seasonal prediction  extended abstract
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pena and A. Vintzileos
 JP4.28Relation between subseasonal and interannual variability of Indian monsoon and potential for seasonal predictability in a coupled GCM  extended abstract
Deepthi Achuthavarier, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and V. Krishnamurthy
2:30 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall C
Poster Session 1 Poster Session
 P1.1Baroclinicity influences on storm divergence in the subtropics  extended abstract
Larry J. Hopper Jr., Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher
 P1.2MJO, organized convection, momentum transport and equatorial super-rotation  
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 P1.3Relationship between climate variability and strong low level wind in the Gulf of Alaska  
Haibo Liu, University of Alaska, Anchorage, AK; and P. Olsson and K. Volz
 P1.4Vertical structure of stratiform rain observed by profilers and the TRMM precipitation radar  
Christopher R. Williams, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and K. S. Gage
 P1.5Thunderstorm Development at Vandenberg AFB  extended abstract
Leonard A. Wells, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg AFB, CA
 P1.6Cloud-to-ground lightning climatology of the lower Great Lakes  
Jason Keeler, SUNY Oswego, Oswego, NY; and S. M. Steiger and R. Orville
 P1.7Lake-effect Thunderstorms  
Scott M. Steiger, SUNY, Oswego, NY; and R. Orville and J. Keeler
 P1.8Mapping the climatology of 0-1 hour convective initiation across the Southeastern U. S. and Central America  
John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and L. Gambill, K. M. Bedka, and H. Searcy
 P1.9Causes of summertime Texas drought  
Boksoon Myoung, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon
 P1.10A method to illustrate and measure the relative sensitivity of RCMs to uncertainties in the physics parameterizations and the large-scale forcing  extended abstract
Jian-Wen Bao, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Michelson
 P1.11Parameterization of cloud physics processes in marine stratocumulus based on integral moments of drop spectra  extended abstract
Alexei Belochitski, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and Y. Kogan
 P1.12Some numerical accuracy issues relating to Klemp-Wilhelmson time differencing  
Kevin C. Viner, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. C. Epifanio
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, 206B
Session 3 Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes
Chair: John Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
4:00 PM3.1New approaches to including mesoscale atmospheric processes in global numerical models (Invited)  
David A. Randall, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
4:30 PM3.2Handling convection and turbulence for weather and climate models .... Can one size fit all? (Invited)  
Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Han
5:00 PMPaper 3.3 moved. New Paper Number 4.2A  
5:01 PM3.4Towards parameterizing the impacts of gravity waves exited from baroclinic jet-front systems in climate models  
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and F. Sassi, J. H. Richter, and R. R. Garcia
5:30 PM-6:45 PM, Wednesday, Exhibit Hall D
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day
7:00 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday, Ballroom C123
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 18 January 2007
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, 206B
Session 4 Approaches to the numerical parameterization of important physical processes (cont'd)
Chair: David Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
8:30 AM4.1Embracing the climate and weather connection in the development of global and regional prediction models at NCEP's Environmental Prediction Center (EMC) (Invited)  
Kenneth Mitchell, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. J. Lord, H. L. Pan, M. D. Iredell, S. Saha, S. Moorthi, G. J. DiMego, M. Ek, R. Yang, H. Wei, H. Juang, and Y. T. Hou
4.2Parameterizing organized convection for climate models (Invited)  
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. B. Neale
9:00 AM4.2ARepresenting mesoscale convective organization in 10-km-grid global models  
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:30 AM4.5aSuperensemble Forecasts with a Suite of Mesoscale Models over the Continental United States  extended abstract wrf recording
Donald F. Van Dyke III, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. Krishnamurti
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall C
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
11:00 AM-4:00 PM, Thursday, Exhibit Hall D
Exhibits Open
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, 206B
Joint Session 6 Haurwitz Lecture (Joint between MesoSymposium and 19 CVC)
11:00 AMJ6.1The Hurricane-Climate Connection   wrf recording
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Lunch Break (Cash & Carry available in the Exhibit Hall)
1:30 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, 206B
Session 5 Comparisons between high-resolution regional and global models for studying climate
Chair: Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
1:30 PM5.1Orographic Effects on Precipitation and its Interannual Variations (Invited)  
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan and Y. Qian
2:00 PM5.2Interaction of weather and climate as diagnosed from hourly output 57-year dynamical downscaling of Reanalysis at 10km over California (Invited)  extended abstract wrf recording
Masao Kanamitsu, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
2:30 PM5.3Downscaling climate and weather forecasts using reforecast analogs (Invited)  
Jeffrey Whitaker, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall and Raffle  
3:30 PM5.4The enviroments of severe thunderstorms: global distribution and temporal changes (Invited)  
Harold Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
3:45 PM5.5Simulation of East Asian monsoon weather and climate using a high-resolution global GCM at GFDL  
Ngar-Cheung Lau, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
4:00 PM5.6Observed long-term California temperature-trends: coastal cooling and inland warming  extended abstract wrf recording
B. Lebassi, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. Gonzles, D. Fabris, E. Maurer, R. Bornstein, and N. L. Miller
4:15 PM5.7A study of tropical instability waves over the Atlantic using a coupled regional atmosphere–ocean model  extended abstract wrf recording
Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and P. Chang and R. Savaranan
3:00 PM, Thursday
Registration Desk Closes
4:00 PM, Thursday
Exhibits Close
5:30 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends
6:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday
Rasmusson Symposium Banquet

Browse the complete program of The 87th AMS Annual Meeting