Session 4
	Prediction (Use of Climate Statistics in Forecasting)
	Chair: Chris C. Funk, UCSB, Santa Barbara, CA
	8:30 AM	4.1	The Madden-Julian Oscillation and subseasonal prediction   Mathew A. Barlow, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and D. Salstein
	8:45 AM	4.2	The Application of Climate Data Sets in Calibrating Ensemble Guidance for the Prediction of Hazardous Weather   David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and M. S. Wandishin, S. J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, and J. T. Schaefer
	9:00 AM	4.3	Systematic errors effect on seasonal predictive skill   Mei Zhao, COLA, Calverton, MD; and T. M. DelSole, P. Dirmeyer, and B. Kirtman
	9:15 AM	4.4	Statistical Climate Prediction for the southwestern U.S.: A 7-Year Assessment   Klaus E. Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
	9:30 AM	4.5	Relationships between Precipitation in Korea and Northwestern Pacific High during Spring   Sang-Un Han, Pukyong National Univ., Busan, South Korea; and H. R. Byun, D. W. Kim, and S. J. Lee
	9:45 AM	4.6	Integrating observation and statistical forecasts over sub-Saharan Africa to support Famine Early Warning   Chris C. Funk, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and J. Verdin and G. Husak
	10:00 AM		Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
	10:30 AM	4.7	Extreme Value Analysis of global reanalysis data   Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Pocernich, B. G. Brown, and H. E. Brooks
	10:45 AM	4.8	Extension of the CPC MJO Index to Forecast Mode   Qin Zhang, RS Information Systems, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Gottschalck and Y. Xue
	11:00 AM	4.9	Evaluation of WRF's ability to predict the coverage of air-mass thunderstorms and applications to short-term forecasting   Cody L. Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Pinto and R. M. Rasmussen
	11:15 AM	4.10	Consolidation of Multi Method Forecasts of Pacific SST   Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and H. M. Van den Dool, D. Unger, and P. Peng
	11:30 AM	4.11	A climatological study of nighttime rapidly developing low cloud ceilings in a stable environment   William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and J. H. Barrett, III, J. L. Case, M. M. Wheeler, and G. W. Baggett

Wednesday, 17 January 2007: 8:30 AM-11:45 AM, 206A

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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