Joint Session 4 |
| | Tropical Cyclones and Probability/Statistics 2 (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics) |
| | CoChair: C.écile Penland, NOAA/ESRL/PSD3, Boulder, CO
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| 11:00 AM | J4.1 | EVALUATING UNCERTAINTY IN NEAR-TERM ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY 
Peter S. Dailey, AIR-Worldwide, Boston, MA; and G. Zuba, G. Ljung, and J. Guin |
| 11:15 AM | J4.2 | Inherent uncertainties in hurricane prediction
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX |
| 11:30 AM | J4.3 | An information-theoretic approach to quantifying the uncertainty in operational tropical cyclone intensity predictions, with application to forecast verification 
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
| 11:45 AM | J4.4 | Operational tropical cyclone wind speed probability products from the National Hurricane Center
Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Mainelli and M. DeMaria |