88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

Session 7: Probability Forecasting

Tuesday, 22 January 2008: 3:30 PM-5:15 PM
219 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Cochairs:  G. Louis Smith, National Institute of Aerospace and Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL
Papers:
  3:30 PM
7.1
Probabilistic Forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and W. B. Evans

  3:45 PM
7.2
The Role of Climatic Autocorrelation in Probabilistic Forecasting
Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and W. B. Evans

  4:00 PM
7.3
Mining “Optimal” Conditions for Rapid Intensifications of Tropical Cyclones
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang and M. Kafatos

Poster PDF (72.9 kB)
  4:15 PM
7.4
Probabilistic guidance for hurricane storm surge
Arthur A. Taylor, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn

 
7.5
GFS-Based MOS Opaque Sky Cover Guidance for the Contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico

  5:00 PM
7.7
Developing a peak wind probability forecast tool for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station
Winifred C. Lambert, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and D. A. Short and W. P. Roeder

http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/amu