7
Ensemble prediction including post processing

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Thursday, 21 January 2010: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
B305 (GWCC)
Host: 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Roman Krzysztofowicz, Systems Engineering and Statistics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA and David R. Bright, BPA, Portland, OR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
7.1
Some Characteristics of GEFS Stochastic Perturbations
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, Y. Zhu, and W. Yang
  3:45 PM
7.2
Extracting Predictive Information from an Ensemble
Nah Youn Lee, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz

  4:00 PM
7.3
Investigation of the Linear Variance Calibration using an idealized stochastic ensemble
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt, and A. Deng
  4:15 PM
7.4
Quantile regression as a means of calibrating and verifying a mesoscale NWP ensemble
Thomas M. Hopson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker, Y. Liu, G. Roux, W. Wu, J. C. Knievel, T. T. Warner, S. P. Swerdlin, J. C. Pace, and S. F. Halvorson
  4:30 PM
7.5
Ensemble MOS forecasts from multiple models
John Wagner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn
  4:45 PM
7.6
Pseudo-precipitation: a continuous variable for statistical post-processing
Paul Schultz, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and H. Yuan, Z. Toth, M. Charles, and R. Krzysztofowicz
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