20th Conference on Probability and Statistics Poster Session

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Monday, 18 January 2010: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)
Host: 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Chair:  C�cile Penland, Physical Science Division, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO

Papers:
 
218
The equatorial QBO influence on the northern winter extratropical circulation
Hiroaki Naoe, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Shibata

Handout (567.0 kB)

 
219
Real-time objective analysis of surface data at the Meteorological Development Laboratory
Jung-Sun Im, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn and J. E. Ghirardelli

Handout (712.5 kB)

 
220
Comparing NWS POP Forecasts to Third-Party Providers
Eric Bickel, The University of Texas, Austin, TX; and E. Floehr

Handout (1.1 MB)

 
221
Estimating the error of the BCDG analysis of surface data
Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. S. Im

Handout (902.1 kB)

 
222
Logit transforms in forecasting precipitation type
Phillip E. Shafer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Handout (750.9 kB)

 
223
Predictability of Seasonal Precipitation Using Joint Probabilities
M. Tugrul Yilmaz, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and T. DelSole

 
224
Crop Yield Forecast Models that Maximize Explanatory Power of Climate Based Inputs from Satellite Observations
Alan Basist, Climate Predict Consulting, Raleigh, North Carolina; and J. Sivillo, S. Shen, and C. Lee

Handout (42.9 kB)

 
225
Stochastic Models of Severe Weather Watches and Warnings
Christopher Myers, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz

 
226
Inter- and Intra- Seasonal Variability of Summer Thunderstorms determined by the ANOVA
Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ; and W. Woubneh and C. Rosa

 
227
Orographic Signature on Multiscale Statistics of Extreme Rainfall
Mohammad Ebtehaj II, University of Minnesota, Saint Anthony Falls Laboratory, National Center for Earth Surface Dynamics, Minneapolis, MN; and E. foufoula-Georgiou Sr.

 
228
Efficient kriging for real-time spatio-temporal interpolation
Balaji Vasan Srinivasan, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Duraiswami and R. Murtugudde

Handout (707.2 kB)

 
229
Toward regional climate-change downscaling of weather statistics using a hidden Markov model
Andrew W. Robertson, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. M. Greene, P. Smyth, and S. Triglia

 
230
Inclusion of New Variables in Bias Correction and Downscaling for NAEFS
Bo Cui, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and Z. Toth

 
231
Urban heat island effects on human heat-stress values during the July 2006 Portland, Oregon heat wave
R. Bornstein, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and A. Melford

 
232
Statistical modeling of daily stream temperature for mitigating fish mortality

 
233
Extreme value analysis of precipitation series in the south of Iberian Peninsula
Jose Manuel Hidalgo-Mu�oz, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Granada, Spain; and D. Arg�eso, D. Calandria-Hernandez, S. R. Gamiz-Fortis, M. J. Esteban-Parra, and Y. Castro-Diez

Handout (3.0 MB)

 
234
Verification of maximum and minimum temperature forecasts from various agencies for Duluth, MN
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL

 
235
Probabilistic freeze forecasting in the Midwest and Florida
Eric R. Wenke, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC

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