Joint Session 13 Communicating Uncertainty

Tuesday, 25 January 2011: 3:30 PM-5:30 PM
618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs:
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Societal Impacts Program, Boulder, CO and Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, NWS Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD

Papers:
3:30 PM
J13.1
Expressing forecast uncertainty: NOAA/NWS progress report
Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (774.1 kB)

3:45 PM
J13.2
Analyses and forecasts of 4 major East Coast Snowstorms during winter 2009-2010
Paul J. Kocin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

4:00 PM
J13.3
Storm surge and “certain death”: Interviews with Texas coastal residents following Hurricane Ike
Mary H. Hayden, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
J13.4
Translating Ensemble Weather Forecasts into probabilistic user-relevant Information
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado
Recorded Presentation

J13.5
Communicating Ensemble Forecasts to Non-Experts: Reflection on a European Experience

4:45 PM
J13.6
Uncertain futures, anxious futures: psychological dimensions of how we talk about the weather
Renee Lertzman, Portland State University, Portland, OR
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
J13.7
The Effects of the Use of Uncertainty Estimates on Weather-Related Decision-Making
Jared E. LeClerc, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Joslyn
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
J13.8
Gaps in Communicating Weather and Climate Uncertainty in Near Term Water Resources Management
Jade Soddell, US Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. P. Giovannettone and J. R. Prairie
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (106.8 kB)

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