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Saturday, 22 January 2011

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 22 January 2011


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Sunday, 23 January 2011

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Registration open for Annual Meeting

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Short Course Lunch

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


WeatherFest

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Session
91st Annual Review and Fellows Awards
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Events

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Poster Session 1
Student Poster Submissions
Host: Tenth Annual Student Conference
S1
HWRF Simulation of Hurricane Ike (2008)
Owen H. Shieh, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. M. Mackaro

Handout (4.4 MB)

S2
Tropical circulation changes associated with global warming shown in satellite observations, reanalyses, and climate models
Ahyoung Lim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Sohn

S4
Optical properties of haze in Seoul using ground-based and satellite observations
Young-Chan Noh, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Sohn

S6
Dynamical and statistical downscaling of ensemble forecasts for wind energy applications in Ireland
Jennifer Courtney, University College, Dublin, Ireland; and C. Sweeney and P. Lynch

S7
Evaluating high-resolution NWP forecasts of the nocturnal low level jet for improving wind power forecasts
Jeffrey A. Deppa, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and R. L. Carpenter and B. L. Shaw

S8
Radar-disdrometer comparison to reveal attenuation effects on CASA radar data
Christopher A. Kerr, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. Zhang and P. Bukovcic

S9
S10
Diurnal variation in settling velocity of pollen released from corn and consequences for atmospheric dispersion
Simone Claire Gleicher, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and M. Chamecki, N. S. Dufault, and S. A. Isard

S11
Evaluating the Performance of High-Resolution Hurricane Prediction Modeling System
Rosimar Rios, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and T. Vukicevic, A. Aksoy, and K. Sellwood

Handout (10.1 MB)

S12
Effects of DEM resolution on HAZUS flood mapping for the Monongahela River: California, PA
Timothy M. Lahmers, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and K. Fredrick, T. Mueller, C. M. Kauffman, and M. S. Scott

S13
Understanding Changes in the Arctic Basin Sea Ice Mass Budget as Simulated by CCSM4- Implications from Melt Season Characteristics and the Surface Albedo Feedback
Daniel A. Pollak, Pennsylvania State University & NCAR/SOARS, State College, PA; and M. M. Holland and D. Bailey

S14
On a relationship between the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and precipitation
Alyssa V. Bates, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and X. Z. Liang

S15
Development of a Data Acquisition System to Study Turbulence
Kevin J. Sanchez, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. D. Fuentes

S16
Energy Fluxes and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Waste Lagoon
Justin M. Rawley, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA

Handout (862.0 kB)

S17
Verifying model forecasts of arctic fronts in advance of winter storms in the southern Plains
William E. Leatham IV, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and P. Burke and A. A. Taylor

S18
The wind-speed dose-response of tree-falls impacting the transmission grid of British Columbia
Wolf A. Read, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

S19
Temperature forecast opportunities across the NWS Southern Region
Néstor S. Flecha, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and B. N. Meisner

S20
Effect of Enhanced Moisture Triggers on Mean Precipitation and Winds in the Tropical East Pacific and the Caribbean
Idamis Del Valle, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and E. D. Maloney

S21
Surface Winds in 2008 Hurricane Ike: Observations and High-Resolution Model Forecasts
Patricia Sanchez, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and S. Chen

Handout (4.2 MB)

S23
Visualization and Model Intercomparison of the Vector Vorticity Cloud Model
Nicholas Geyer, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and C. S. Konor and T. A. Cram

S24
Using HYSPLIT Back Trajectories to Improve Understanding of Tropical Thin Cirrus Cloud Formation Mechanisms
Travis D. Toth, PNNL, Grand Forks, ND; and S. McFarlane and L. Riihimaki

S26
Measured Severe Convective Wind Gust Climatology of Thunderstorms for the Contiguous United States, 2003-2009
Bryan T. Smith, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. C. Winters, C. M. Mead, A. R. Dean, and T. E. Castellanos

S27
Sea surface height and intensity change in Western North Pacific Typhoons
Julianna Kurpis, Bard High School Early College, Long Island City, NY; and M. Kokolis, J. N. Thomas, N. N. Solorzano, and G. Terdoslavich

Handout (730.7 kB)

S28
Air pollution dispersion forecasting: a climatological study of Cape Canaveral tropospheric wind patterns
Erich Uher, DRI, Reno, NV; and M. L. Kaplan, A. Joros, and D. Decker

S29
Comparisons of flood affected area derived from MODIS and Landsat imagery
Kevin W. Van Leer, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and J. F. Galantowicz

S30
S32
Climatology of Lake-Effect Precipitation in the Lake Tahoe, CA/NV Region
Alicia Bentley, SUNY, Albany, NY; and S. Santeiu, S. Ganetis, A. Stieneke, and N. F. Laird

S33
Meteorological and Ozone Measurements from Barbados during the Summer of 2010
Ashford D'Arcy Reyes, Howard University, Washington, DC

S34
A Tourism Climatology of the Southeastern United States
David Perkins IV, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC

S35
Winter Bird Migration Observed by WSR-88D Radar in the Vicinity of the Great Salt Lake, Utah
Jennifer Hanger, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Williams and N. F. Laird

S36
A convective climatology of storms over the Green River watershed
William Tollefson, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and C. Hunt

S37
Hydrodynamic Model Comparison for Corpus Christi Bay
Sergey Reid, Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi, TX; and J. Davis, Y. Nevel, and P. Tissot

Handout (1.2 MB)

S38
Comparison of MODIS ocean aerosol retrievals with ship-based sun photometer measurements from the Around the America's expedition
Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Reynolds, A. Smirnov, D. S. Covert, and T. P. Ackerman

Handout (3.4 MB)

S39
What TRMM tells us about tropical cyclone precipitation features
Levi Thatcher, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Y. N. Takayabu

S40
Tsunami travel times and detection capabilities for the Caribbean Region
Alina del Mar Nieves, SCEP NOAA/NWS, Mayaguez, PR

S41
Observations of Local Scale Perturbations Resulting from Urban Environments
Talon B. Atwell, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. A. Davila, M. J. Dixon, A. C. Hurley, T. A. Johnson, T. M. Lucko, S. J. Sanders, K. W. Van Leer, A. A. Veron, and K. H. Min

S42
Synoptic categorization and data analysis of historical flood-inducing storms in the Northeast
Johnathan P. Kirk, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Ithaca, NY

S43
Dual-Doppler radar and cloud photogrammetry analysis of the 5 June 2009 Goshen County, Wyoming tornado during VORTEX2
Michael Michaud, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and C. Johnson and N. T. Atkins

S44
Tornadic behavior related to land-falling tropical cyclones in the United States
Jaclyn M. Ritzman, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and D. S. Arndt and M. C. Kruk

S45
The influence of environmental vertical wind shear on hurricane eye formation
Diamilet Pérez-Betancourt, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and S. S. Chen and J. L. Vigh

S46
Statistical modeling of Atlantic tropical cyclone counts
Michael E. Kozar, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. E. Mann, S. J. Camargo, and J. P. Kossin

S47
A Comparison of the Societal Impacts and Warning Operations for the 1989 and 2010 Huntsville, Alabama Tornadoes
Angelica M. Betancourt-Negron, NOAA/NWS and University of Puerto Rico, Huntsville, AL; and K. N. Scotten, J. M. Coyne, and J. L. Lee

S48
Space Weather and Technological Impacts
Jennifer Meehan, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and G. Fisher and W. J. Murtagh

S49
Influence of soil type on dry down patterns of the North Fork of the American River Basin
Andrea R. Thorstensen, St. Cloud State University, St. Cloud, MN

S50
Integrating CASA radar data and GIS using Google Earth to better support emergency managers
AnneMarie Giannandrea, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY

S51
Assessing climate change impacts on the Blue River Basin of Oklahoma
Christopher Neal Bednarczyk, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and Y. Hong, L. Liu, and J. J. Gourley

S52
Composite Analysis of Pittsburgh, PA
Christopher Werner, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and C. Kauffman

S53
Correlating the transport of precipitable water vapor in a complex orographic environment before, during and after a typoon: case study of typhoon morakot (2009)
Vanessa Almanza, San Francisco State University, San Francisco, CA; and B. Kuo, J. J. Braun, D. Hunt, and W. S. Schreiner

S54
Updating the KSC/CCAFS Warm-Season Convective Wind Climatology
Katie Laro, MetStat, Inc., Fort Collins, CO

S58
A Comparison of Specific Differential Propagation in Convective Rain at 10 and 3 cm Wavelengths
Kendell LaRoche, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. Kennedy, F. Junyent, and V. Chandrasekar

S59
Potential predictability associated with nonlinear regimes in an atmospheric model
John M. Peters, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and S. Kravtsov and N. Schwartz

S60
Oklahoma Weather Lab: An opportunity for operational meteorology for students at the University of Oklahoma
Anthony Lamont Bain, Oklahoma Weather Lab, Norman, OK; and K. D. Sherburn, N. R. Ramsey, and W. G. Blumberg

S61
Upper air observations over the Gulf oil spill: A student experience of a lifetime
Dion M. Delao, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. N. Seroka and D. T. Conlee

Handout (1.4 MB)

S62
Assessment of groundwater storage derived from IPCC models, and projections for the next 50 years
Katherine Pitts, University of Texas Austin, Austin, TX; and A. F. C. Bridger

Handout (1.9 MB)

S63
Carbon dioxide fluctuations due to weather and the diurnal and annual changes in the environment
Kenneth J. Davis, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and S. Richardson and B. L. Twiest

S64
Validation of Z-R relationships for Central Florida thunderstorms
Sarah Elizabeth Tyson, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL

Handout (665.4 kB)

S65
Large-Eddy Simulation of Particle Dispersion above and Downstream of Area Sources in the Unstable Atmospheric Boundary Layer
Ying Pan, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Chamecki and S. A. Isard

S66
Accuracy of TAMDAR Sensors in Pre-Storm Environments
Timothy E. Marquis, NOAA/NWS, Green Bay, WI

S67
Lyman alpha airglow observations from SORCE SOLSTICE
Erica K. Dolinar, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and M. Snow, G. Holsclaw, and T. N. Woods

S68
Use of acoustic sodar to detect wakes from wind turbines
Anthony J. Sagliani, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and M. Charnick

S69
A Neural Network Approach to Tornado Forecasting in North Alabama and Southern Middle Tennessee
Sandra G. LaCorte, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. M. Coyne

S70
The effects of the 8.2 ka event on the ITCZ of the Tropical Atlantic
Matthew A. Burger, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and A. Wagner, C. Morrill, and B. L. Otto-Bliesner

S71
Laboratory study of natural gas clathrate hydrates
Raymond Jay Detweiler, UCAR, Corvallis, OR

S72
Regional observations of the nocturnal low level jet over the mid-Atlantic
Adam D. Jacobs, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and P. E. Falgoust and M. Charnick

S73
The Warm Rain Process in Convective Clouds Influenced by Regional Aerosol and Climate Change
Kathleen Quardokus, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and D. G. Burgin, J. A. Crespo, E. R. Fernandes, A. D. Hendricks, S. M. Hinkle, K. A. Hudson, R. T. Knutson, Z. L. Muchow, M. C. Sholty, E. L. Waterman, Z. T. Zobel, and S. Lasher-Trapp

S75
Evaluating Numerical Predictions of Meteorological Features
Kathleen Quardokus, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and D. G. Burgin, J. A. Crespo, E. R. Fernandes, A. D. Hendricks, S. M. Hinkle, K. A. Hudson, R. T. Knutson, Z. L. Muchow, M. C. Sholty, E. L. Waterman, Z. T. Zobel, and M. E. Baldwin

S77
Diagnosis of Synoptic Patterns for Snow Events in Northern Alabama
Ismarí Ramos, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and J. M. Coyne

S78
Study of 2010 monthly rainfall rates and comparison with significant precipitation events in Puerto Rico
Janice M. Maldonado, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and I. Matos and G. Votaw

Handout (1.0 MB)

S79
Reflectivity structure of hurricanes undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle
Tia Lerud, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. A. Hence and R. A. Houze Jr.

S80
SCIPP hurricane hazard assessment
Alek J. Krautmann, SCIPP, Norman, OK

S81
Wind turbine constellations and their effects on local weather and soil conditions
Joshua A. Holland, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Demchak, J. P. Martin, M. F. Henschen, E. D. Larson, B. M. Doogs, M. D. Rudkin, L. R. Rhudy, and B. N. Herrholtz

Handout (1.7 MB)

S83
Meeting Client Needs of Medium and Long Range Temperature Forecasting
Sullivan Brown, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and J. Sherman and J. C. Shafer

S84
Creating a data aquisition system to study air quality trends in Maryland
Robert C. Harriston, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA

S85
The characteristic variability of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low
Ryan A. Langen, Ohio University, Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt and A. J. Wovrosh

S86
Jet's quadrants location and strength in 250 mb vector winds for weak tornadoes development
Anthony Ortiz, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and T. L. Salem Jr.

S87
The Relationship between Regional Icing Distribution and Environmental Conditions
Matthew R. Dewey, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff, M. K. Politovich, and S. Landolt

Handout (5.3 MB)

S89
The National Hydrography Dataset and its Applications
Katelyn Welsh, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA

S90
An assessment of the quality of real-time mobile pavement temperature observations from snowplows
Crystal Burghardt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. B. Chapman and A. Anderson

S91
Storm duration analysis utilizing TITAN
Logan C. Dawson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and S. Tessendorf and C. Weeks

S93
An analysis on the rapid intensification of Hurricane Wilma from the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season
Vanessa Marie Vincente, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Handout (3.3 MB)

S94
Developing a hurricane damage index
Sandra N. Maina, UCAR, Melbourne, FL; and J. M. Done

S95
Observing system simulation experiments for unmanned aircraft in an idealized vortex model framework
Doug A. Koch, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and A. Maki, L. DeVries, S. J. Majumdar, and D. A. Paley

S97
Investigations of hazardous weather preparedness at amusement parks
William Gregory Blumberg, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. A. Kloesel and R. Edwards

S98
REVERSE 911® for Non-Immediate Hazard Warnings
Antonia Rosati, University of Colorado, Denver, CO

S99
Estimating the stratocumulus-topped marine boundary layer's height using wind profilers
Aaron Pina, Aeris LLC, Louisville, CO; and L. M. Hartten and L. Bianco

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center)

Monday, 24 January 2011

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Registration continues through January 27

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-3:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Workshop
Atmospheric Science 101: Update Your Library Skills
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; and the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International )

Panel Discussion
Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; and the IMPACTS: Weather 2010 )
Panelists: Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune; Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre; Doyle Rice, USA Today; Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council
Moderator: Robert T. Ryan, NBC4 TV
9:00 AM
Panelist: Thomas E. Skilling
Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV, Chicago, IL

9:10 AM
Panelist: Claire Martin
Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada

9:20 AM
Panelist: Doyle Rice
Doyle Rice, USA Today, Washington, DC

9:30 AM
Panelist: Martin Storksdieck
Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council, Washington, DC

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break Reception - Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 1
Agency Updates—Space Weather Impacts & Initiatives
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Robert McCoy, Office of Naval Research; Genene Fisher, AMS
11:30 AM
1.2
Utility of the the NASA research fleet for SWx prediction
Richard R. Fisher, NASA Heliophysics Division, Washington, DC
11:45 AM
1.3
NSF and Space Weather for the Future
Richard Behnke, NSF, Arlington, VA
Paper 1.4 has been moved. New paper number 1.1A

Recording files available
Session 1
Atmospheric observations, in situ and remote, including from satellites: Advantages and shortcomings compared with other observing systems—Part I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Robert M. Atlas, AOML
11:15 AM
1.2
11:30 AM
1.3
Using unmanned aircraft as sensing platforms
Patricia M. Pauley, NRL, Monterey, CA; and L. Phegley and C. M. Amerault
11:45 AM
1.4
Update on the Consensus Reference Concept for Testing Radiosondes
Joseph Facundo, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and C. Bower and M. Liu
Recording files available
Session 1
Computational intelligence methods in forecasting
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: William W. Hsieh, Univ. of British Columbia
11:00 AM
1.1
Application of the neural network technique to develop a nonlinear multi-model ensemble for precipitation over ConUS
Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, IMSG at NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Lin

11:15 AM
1.2
A turbine hub height wind speed consensus forecasting system
William Myers, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and S. Linden
11:30 AM
1.3
Using data mining to improve convective initiation forecasts
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych and J. R. Mecikalski

11:45 AM
1.4
Nonlinear principal component analysis applied to the tropical MJO cycle
Johannes Jenkner, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon

Session 1
Field, Laboratory, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality—Part I
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Renyi Zhang, Texas A&M University; J. R. Arnold, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
11:00 AM
1.1
(Invited Speaker) Biogenic secondary organic aerosol: observations and predictions
Scot T. Martin, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Q. Chen, Y. Liu, and N. Donahue

11:30 AM
1.2
An overview of the 2010 Carbonaceous Aerosol and Radiative Effects Study (CARES) field campaign
Rahul Zaveri, PNNL, Richland, WA; and W. J. Shaw and D. J. Cziczo

11:45 AM
1.3A
(Formerly Poster 750) The Hygroscopic Properties of Volcanic Ash and Implications for the Evolution of Volcanic Plumes in the Atmosphere
Terry L. Lathem, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Kumar, J. Dufek, and A. Nenes

Recording files available
Session 1
Lightning Safety, Protection, and Education I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State University
11:00 AM
1.1
Recent studies of lightning safety and demographics
Ronald L. Holle, Holle Meteorology & Photography, Oro Valley, AZ
11:15 AM
1.2
Communicating lightning safety effectively
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL; and R. L. Holle, M. A. Cooper, and S. J. Hodanish
11:30 AM
1.3
Utilizing a Lightning Safety Toolkit at Outdoor Venues
Charlie Woodrum, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and D. Franklin
11:45 AM
1.4
Latest Advancements and Results from the Georgia Tech High School Field Mill Project
John Trostel, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA ; and T. Perry
Recording files available
Session 1
Managing the Climate Challenge: Impacts, Adaptation, and Assessment
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey; Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ.
11:00 AM
1.1
America's Climate Choices: Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change
Thomas Wilbanks, ORNL, Washington, DC; and I. P. Kraucunas and C. Elfring
11:30 AM
1.2
The U.S. National Assessment of Climate Change: Planning the Next Process
Katharine Jacobs, Office of Science and Technology Policy, Washington, DC
Recording files available
Session 1
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 1
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Roy Rasmussen, NCAR/RAL; Masataka Murakami, MRI
11:00 AM
1.1
What have we learned from over 50 years of artificial rain enhancement experiments and operations in Israel?
Zev Levin, Department of Geophysics and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel; and N. Halfon and P. Alpert
11:15 AM
1.2
Microstructure of convective and orographic clouds in Israeli and their suitability for seeding
Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and E. Freud
11:45 AM
1.4
A Tool for Evaluating Modeling Studies of Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Fowler, D. Breed, R. Bullock, J. H. Gotway, P. Oldenburg, and A. Holmes
Recording files available
Session 1
Shifting the Paradigm: Communication Frameworks that Strengthen our Public Health Partnerships
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Moderator: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
11:00 AM
1.1
The use of a medical disease model to communicate the concept of uncertainty
James L. Persson, U.S. Army Aeromedical Activity, Fort Rucker, AL
11:15 AM
1.2
IRI Climate Information for Public Health: towards a knowledge system
Gilma C. Mantilla Caicedo, International Research Institute for Climate and Society ( IRI), Palisades, NY; and M. Thomson and S. Connor
11:30 AM
1.3
Modeling and communicating plague risk in Uganda
Andrew J. Monaghan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, R. J. Eisen, K. L. Gage, K. S. Griffith, and E. Zielinski-Gutierrez
11:45 AM
1.4
Health forecasting prevents hospital admissions
Tapio Jokinen, Medixine ltd, Espoo, Finland
Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Stratosphere and Climate I
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Jessica L. Neu, JPL
11:30 AM
J1.2
Stratospheric temperature trends: History of our evolving understanding
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA, College Park, MD; and N. P. Gillett, J. Lanzante, K. P. Shine, and P. Thorne
11:45 AM
J1.3
Could stratospheric water vapor anomalies influence regional climate?
Amanda C. Maycock, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and M. M. Joshi, A. A. Scaife, and K. P. Shine
Recording files available
Session 1A
Climate Analysis I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
11:00 AM
1A.1
The climate of 2010 in historical perspective
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Sanchez-Lugo, C. Fenimore, R. R. Heim Jr., and J. Blunden
11:15 AM
1A.2
Extreme weather over parts of the Northern Hemisphere during winter 2009–2010
Lance Bosart, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira
11:30 AM
1A.3
NOAA's 1981–2010 climate normals: a preview
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and S. Applequist, I. Durre, L. Ross, M. F. Squires, R. S. Vose, and W. Yin
11:45 AM
1A.4
An analysis of extreme precipitation events in the US during spring 2010
Wayne Higgins, NOAA/OAR/CPO, College Park, MD; and V. Kousky and P. Xie
Recording files available
Session 1A
Decision Support Meteorology I
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: John W. Cannon, NOAA/NWS
11:00 AM
1A.1
NWS Services Roadmap for the Decade Ahead
Andrew Stern, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Green, J. Tuell, E. Jacks, and D. Caldwell
11:15 AM
1A.2
Real-time estimation of population exposure to weather hazards
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and K. L. Manross, K. L. Ortega, and B. P. Walawender
11:30 AM
1A.3
The first steps at providing impact based decision support services (IDSS) in Alaska
Don Moore, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK; and C. Scott, J. Osiensky, G. Hufford, G. Petrescu, and A. Fish
11:45 AM
1A.4
Statistical upscaling of numerical weather predictions to enable coupled modelling of local weather impacts
Lloyd A. Treinish, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY; and H. Li, A. P. Praino, and A. Praino
Recording files available
Session 1A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State Univ.
11:00 AM
1A.1
The Role of Land-Atmosphere Interactions on Droughts [INVITED]
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. Huang, Y. Qian, and X. Liang
11:30 AM
1A.2
On the use of Ecosystem Functional Types to represent lower boundary conditions in the WRF/Noah Model
Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Alcaraz-Segura and S. J. Lee
11:45 AM
1A.3
Multi-variate evaluation of land surface model performance in a semi-arid, complex terrain pine forest
David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, A. A. Turnipseed, J. Hu, F. Dominguez, and P. Harley
Recording files available
Session 1B
Climate Prediction
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
11:15 AM
1B.2
Variability of the MJO in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis and Reforecasts
Scott Weaver, NOAA/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Wang, M. Chen, and A. Kumar
11:30 AM
1B.3
A Framework for Assessing Operational Model MJO Forecasts
Jon Gottschalck, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
11:45 AM
1B.4
Are the more extreme seasonal climate conditions easier to predict?
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. L. Lin
Recording files available
Session 1B
Forecasting Skill Improvement I
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
CoChair: Levi Thatcher, University of Utah
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah
11:00 AM
1B.1
11:45 AM
1B.4
Gene-expression programming—a new tool for creating NWP ensemble averages and probability forecasts
Atoossa Bakhshaii, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull
Recording files available
Session 1B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
11:00 AM
1B.1
Flooding in western Washington: The connection to atmospheric rivers
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Schick, F. M. Ralph, M. Hughes, and G. A. Wick
11:45 AM
1B.4
Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Increasing Public Awareness of Weather Forecasts I
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: David R. Smith, American Meteorological Society; Carolyn Reynolds, NRL

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Session
Town Hall Meeting: Climate Change and Human Health – Inter-agency Federal Research and Stakeholder Input
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Recording files available
Session
Town Hall Meeting: The Role of the Forecaster in Probabilistic Decision Making
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
12:15 PM
Introductory Remarks by Waldstreicher
Jeff S. Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY
Recording files available
Session
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Matters!: But will It to the 112th Congress?
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
Panelists: Ray Ban, The Weather Channel; Frederick H. Carr, Univ. of Oklahoma; Walter F. Dabberdt, Vaisala. Inc.; Wendy Naus, Lewis-Burke Associates, LLC; Jim McDermott, United States House of Representatives

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 1A
Communicating Weather Information Using Mobile Devices Part I
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Michael Eilts, Weather Decision Technologies; Paul Pisano, FHWA, Team Leader, Road Weather & Work Zone Management; George D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates
1:30 PM
1A.1
The growth of the weather category in the mobile industry
Robyn L. Weeks, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
1:45 PM
1A.2
Smart phone presence for local media: required and options
J. T. Johnson, Weather Decision Technologies, Norman, OK; and M. Eilts, M. Taylor, I. Stinson, M. Gauthier, S. Wrzesien, T. Daniell, T. Hackbarth, J. Jones, M. Woehrer, K. Tran, and J. Peck
2:00 PM
1A.3
Current weather conditions in the smartphone market
Russell Heilig, Davis Instruments, Hayward, CA
2:15 PM
1A.4
Mobile Device Access to Real-time Weather Products using a Web Map Service
Russell Dengel, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. Santek, D. Parker, S. Batzli, and N. Bearson
Recording files available
Session 1B
Special International Applications Session: The Eyjafjallajökull Volcanic Eruption of 2010
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Erik Andersson, ECMWF; John R. Lincoln, US Navy/WMO (Ret.) and Consultant
1:30 PM
1B.1
Volcanic alert warnings to the public; experience from volcanic eruptions in Iceland
Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Pétursson and V. Reynisson
Manuscript (71.7 kB)

1:45 PM
1B.2
Ash plume monitoring at the Eyjafjallajökull eruption 2010
Sigrún Karlsdóttir, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Pétursson, G. N. Petersen, H. Björnsson, H. Þorsteinsson, T. F. Hervarsson, and K. Hermannsdóttir
2:15 PM
1B.4
The UK Met Office Observations Programme response to the Eyjafjallajökull eruption of spring 2010
Deborah Susan Lee, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and D. Klugmann and O. Cox
Recording files available
Session 2
Agency Updates II
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Richard Behnke, NSF
1:30 PM
2.1
1:45 PM
2.2
FAA Update on Space Weather Activities
Hank Krakowski, FAA, Washington, DC; and V. Capezzuto
2:00 PM
2.3A
2:15 PM
2.4
Recording files available
Session 2
Confronting Challenges in Climate Communication
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Amanda Staudt, National Wildlife Federation; Jason P. Samenow, EPA
1:30 PM
2.1
1:45 PM
2.2
Good reasons for trusting climate science communication
Jean Goodwin, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. F. Dahlstrom
2:00 PM
2.3
Models: The Missing Piece in Climate Change Coverage
Karen Akerlof, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA
Recording files available
Session 2
Field, Laboratory, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality—Part II
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Christian Seigneur, CEREA; Yang Zhang, North Carolina State University
1:30 PM
2.1A
1:45 PM
2.2
Contributions of Organic Vapors to Nucleation and Growth of Nanoparticles in the Atmosphere
Lin Wang, Fudan Univ., Shanghai, China; and W. Xu, A. Khalizov, and R. Zhang

Recording files available
Session 2
Lightning in Tropical Cyclones I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Alexandre Fierro, NOAA/NSSL/Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS
1:30 PM
2.1
2:00 PM
2.2
Tropical cyclone lightning characteristics as revealed by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN)
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and S. Abarca, F. O. Rosales, and G. B. Raga
2:15 PM
2.3
Lightning observations and tropical cyclogenesis in the Atlantic and East Pacific
Kenneth D. Leppert II, University of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen
Recording files available
Session 2
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 2
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Michael J. Manton, Monash University; T. Jensen, NCAR
1:30 PM
2.1
Invited Speaker: Evaluation of the Wyoming winter orographic cloud seeding program: Design of the randomized seeding experiment
Daniel Breed, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and M. Pocernich, R. Rasmussen, B. A. Boe, and B. Lawrence
1:45 PM
2.2
New insights into hydrometeor response to ground-based glaciogenic seeding of orographic clouds from profiling radar data
Bart Geerts, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and Q. Miao, R. Rasmussen, D. Breed, and Y. Yang
2:00 PM
2.3
2:15 PM
2.4
Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Stratosphere and Climate II: Response to Surface Forcing
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates
1:30 PM
J2.1
1:45 PM
J2.2
El Nino-Southern Oscillation and stratospheric sudden warmings: a re-evaluation
Amy Hawes Butler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD; and L. M. Polvani
2:00 PM
J2.3
The impact of surface temperature variability on the climate change response in the NH polar vortex
Barbara Winter, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. S. Bourqui

Handout (1.1 MB)

Recording files available
Session 2A
Climate Analysis II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
1:30 PM
2A.1
Long-term changes of physical mechanisms in the seasonal cycle of the summertime precipitation variability in Korea
Joon-Woo Roh, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Kim

1:45 PM
2A.2
2:15 PM
2A.4
The mechanisms of interannual variability within the North Pacific storm track
Sandra M. Penny, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and G. H. Roe

Recording files available
Session 2A
Decision/Education Support II
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS
1:30 PM
2A.1
New ensemble-based products for tropical cyclones
Thomas M. Hamill, ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, M. DeMaria, Z. Toth, R. L. Gall, and E. Rappaport
2:00 PM
2A.3
Tracking Outflows from Severe Thunderstorms Using NSF EarthScope USArray Pressure Sensors
Jonathan E. Tytell, University of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Eakins and F. Vernon
2:15 PM
2A.4
Effective use of NWP in the forecast process: A new COMET distance learning course
William R. Bua, UCAR, College Park, MD; and S. D. Jascourt and G. Byrd
Recording files available
Session 2A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State Univ.
1:30 PM
2A.1
Seasonal climate transitions in New England
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT
2:00 PM
2A.3
Impacts of beetle-kill and wildland fire on regional water and energy cycles in western North America [INVITED]
Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wiedinmyer, M. Barlage, Y. Zhang, J. A. Hicke, and A. J. H. Meddens
Recording files available
Session 2B
Forecast Skill Improvement II
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL
1:30 PM
2B.1
1:45 PM
2B.2
Kalman filter and analog schemes to postprocess numerical weather predictions
Luca Delle Monache, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Nipen, Y. Liu, G. Roux, R. B. Stull, T. T. Warner, and P. Childs
2:00 PM
2B.3
The Impact of Real-Time Observations on the WRF Model Surface Forecasts
Elena Novakovskaia, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD; and Z. Guo and C. Sloop

2:15 PM
2B.4
Recording files available
Session 2B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
1:45 PM
2B.2
Extreme Precipitation over the West Coast of North America: Is There a Trend?
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Warner and A. Skalenakis
2:00 PM
2B.3
What if the 1–4 May 2010 Historic Nashville, Tennessee Flood Occurred Across East Tennessee?
Brian M. Boyd, NOAA/NWSFO, Morristown, TN; and T. W. Troutman, J. S. Graschel, and S. Roberts
2:15 PM
2B.4
Mesoscale controls on the mountainside snow line
Justin R. Minder, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and D. Durran and G. H. Roe
Recording files available
Session 2B
Observed Changes I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xuebin Zhang, EC
1:30 PM
2B.1
An investigation of slow-moving East Coast Winter Storms during the past 55 years
Jase E. Bernhardt, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Ithaca, NY
1:45 PM
2B.2
Changes in cloudiness in the U.S. from surface observations
Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Sun
2:00 PM
2B.3
Meteorological causes of observed extreme precipitation trends in the U.S
Kenneth E. Kunkel, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Easterling, B. Gleason, D. A. R. Kristovich, L. Stoecker, and R. A. Smith
2:15 PM
2B.4
Stratus-impacts on observed long-term cooling-trends of summer max-temperatures in coastal California
James Thomas, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and S. Padrick and R. Bornstein
Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Assimilation of observations into models: Atmosphere I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Chair: R. N. Hoffman, ESSIC UMD
1:30 PM
J5.1
The Canadian regional data assimilation and forecasting system
Luc Fillion, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and A. Patoine, E. Lapalme, N. Benbouta, P. Vaillancourt, M. Tanguay, S. Macpherson, M. Lajoie, M. Desgagne, and V. Lee

1:45 PM
J5.2
Progress in the GEM-NEMO coupled data assimilation and prediction system
Jean-Marc Bélanger, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and G. Smith, F. Roy, H. Ritchie, and S. Skachko
2:00 PM
J5.3
Regional NWP: why bother?
Dale Barker, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and B. Macpherson, C. Jones, and R. Dumelow
2:15 PM
J5.4
Development of GRAPES Hourly Assimilation System
Chen Zi-tong, CMA, Guangzhou, China

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Increasing Public Awareness of Weather Forecasts II
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1
Decision Support, Forecast Verification and Downscaling
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
87
Storm Prediction Information for Decision Making at Sea
Lizzie S. R. Froude, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

Handout (1.2 MB)

90
Verification of simulated radar reflectivity and echo-top forecast at NCEP
Binbin Zhou, I.M. Systems Group and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD; and J. Du, S. Liu, and G. Dimego
Manuscript (692.5 kB)

Handout (1.3 MB)

91
A new paradigm for occluded fronts and the occlusion process
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and G. Vaughan

Handout (731.8 kB)

92
COMET Training on the Use of High-Resolution Models
Stephen D. Jascourt, UCAR/COMET, Silver Spring, MD; and G. Byrd
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (1.5 MB)

93
Model Evaluation Tools (MET) verification statistics visualization
Paul Oldenburg, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Halley Gotway and T. Jensen

Handout (931.3 kB)

94
An objective technique for evaluating forecast radar reflectivity from an NWP model
Edward Colón, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Zhou, B. S. Ferrier, S. Liu, M. Pyle, and G. DiMego

95
Spatial forecast verification: image warping
E. Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Lindström, F. Lindgren, L. Chen, M. DePersio, G. Do, K. Ellertson, Y. Jin, C. Xia, R. L. Smith, and E. L. Kang

98
Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment
Michelle Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and R. S. Schneider
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

99
Geospatial verification of experimental severe weather warnings
Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith, K. L. Ortega, and S. Stough

Handout (216.2 kB)

100
Regional downscaling of NCEP CFS seasonal forecasts by NCEP RSM
Yunfei Zhang, NOAA/NWS/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. M. H. Juang

101
Development of a global data server using downscaling techniques to produce high-resolution, long-range, hourly forecast data
Holly C. Hassenzahl, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI; and B. A. Wilt, C. Johnson, R. Runnheim, R. Arb, A. Rice, M. Thomas, B. J. Good, D. Graham, and N. R. Keene

Handout (624.6 kB)

102
Using MODE with Cloudsat Data
Randy Bullock, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Manuscript (342.8 kB)

104
Exploring the use of stability fields from a three dimensional objective analysis scheme in the NCAR AutoNowcaster
Eric J. Nelson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Roberts, A. R. S. Anderson, D. L. Megenhardt, and P. D. Bothwell

105
A case study of Hurricane Felix (2007) rapid intensification
Ian C. Colon-Pagan, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. Davis and G. Holland

106
Relationships between heavy rainfall over the Korean peninsula and remote tropical cyclones
Kun-Young Byun, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and T. Y. Lee

Handout (312.1 kB)

107
Cool-season intermittent precipitation cells in the Pacific Northwest
Sandra E. Yuter, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. M. Hall, J. G. Cunningham, N. R. Hardin, and B. A. Colle

108
Observed vertical structure of snow storms in Steamboat Springs, CO: Orographic enhancement in a high altitude environment
Nathan R. Hardin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. E. Yuter and K. Friedrich

109
110
Observations of Weather Phenomena by NSF EarthScope USArray Seismic and Pressure Sensors
Frank L. Vernon, University of California , La Jolla, CA; and J. Eakins, J. E. Tytell, B. Busby, and B. Woodward
Manuscript (2.6 MB)

Handout (27.2 MB)


Poster Session 1
2Health Poster Session
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Organizer: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
340
An Investigation into the the urban heat island of Detroit, MI., and the role of three spatial variables
E. Oswald, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and R. B. Rood and M. O'Neill

341
Estimation of WBGT with JMA products and information web site for heat stroke in Japan
Michihiko Tonouchi, Japan Meteorological Business Support Center, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Ono
Manuscript (289.6 kB)

342
"Hot Town, Summer in the City": Exploring perception of and adaptation to extreme heat in Phoenix, Arizona
Dana Pauzauskie, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. H. Hayden, O. Wilhelmi, and H. Brenkert-Smith

343A
Risk assessments of outdoor hot environment using urban meteorological numerical model system
Yukitaka Ohashi, Okayama Univ. of Science, Okayama, Japan; and Y. Kikegawa, K. Yamaguchi, and T. Ihara
Manuscript (1.2 MB)


Joint Poster Session 1
6POLICY Poster Session I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Organizer: Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR
282
Observed changes in the frequency of heavy precipitation events in the southern climate region and policy implications
Esther D. White, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK; and M. Shafer and J. Hocker
Manuscript (1.9 MB)

Handout (6.7 MB)

283
284
Using scenario planning to confront deep uncertainty: a case study from the Crown of the Continent
Holly C. Hartmann, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and L. Welling

285
The consortium for climate risk in the urban northeast
Radley M. Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY; and C. Rosenzweig, U. Lall, and P. L. Kinney

286
Climate adaptation planning to aid state, municipal, tribal, and federal governmental decision makers in Oklahoma
Renee A. McPherson, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK; and M. A. Shafer, J. E. Hocker, and R. E. Butterworth

Handout (7.8 MB)

288
Assessing users of the NWS point-and-click web-based forecast information
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Hilderbrand, J. K. Lazo, R. E. Morss, and T. Trogdon

Handout (2.1 MB)

289
A weather survey of western Washington residents: Part I
Jennifer Chang, University of Washington & NOAA, Tacoma, WA

Handout (368.3 kB)

290
A weather survey of western Washington residents: Part II
L. Kirby Cook, NOAA/NWS, Seattle, WA; and J. Chang

291
Story time! Communicating risk through NWS Western Region's weather stories
Gina M. Eosco, Ph.D, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and D. Jones

292
The development of a storm damage estimate calculator
Brenton William MacAloney II, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Handout (123.7 kB)

293
New paradigm for NWS regional and local climate services
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. M. Horsfall, J. C. Meyers, J. Koepsell, M. D. Hawkins, J. Zdrojewski, S. L. Dixon, and V. Silva

296
IceThreat: using icing algorithm output to propose AIRMET regions
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Prestopnik, J. J. Levit, F. McDonough, and M. K. Politovich

Handout (663.4 kB)

297
Using GIS to assess vulnerability to climate hazards in the southern United States
Robert J. Gottlieb, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks, M. A. Shafer, and M. Richman
Manuscript (850.0 kB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

300
Impacts of regional climate changes on the hydrometeorology of La Hispaniola: The Enriquillo & Sumatra Lakes water basin
Jorge E. González, City College of New York, New York, NY; and R. Gonzalez, D. R. Brito, and D. E. Comarazamy

301A
A Look Back at Major Disaster Declarations: A GIS Perspective
James E. Hocker, SCIPP/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK


Poster Session 1
Climatology of Lightning and the Global Electric Circuit I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Edward R. Mansell, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
302
A Lightning Climatology for the Northern California Region
Matthew Bloemer, NOAA/NWS, Eureka, CA

303
Verification of thunderstorm occurrence using the National Lightning Detection Network
Kristen L. Corbosiero, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA

304
IC/CG Ratio Over the U.S
Stan Heckman, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD

305
Lightning climatology for the State of Colorado
Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO; and P. G. Wolyn
Manuscript (757.0 kB)

306
Monthly distributions of NLDN and GLD360 cloud-to-ground lightning
Ronald L. Holle, Vaisala Inc., Tucson, AZ; and K. L. Cummins and N. W. S. Demetriades
Manuscript (4.4 MB)

Handout (9.4 MB)

307
Thunderstorm activity over South America as inferred from the Sferics and Timing Ranging Network – STARNET
Carlos A. R. Morales, University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; and J. R. Neves and E. M. Anselmo

Handout (1.6 MB)


Poster Session 1
Computational intelligence methods and their applications to environmental science
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
257
Towards the effective communication of weather and climate information—harnessing new technologies to integrate material from various sources on the web to generate new products
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and B. Campbell, M. Efron, and J. Cornall-Reilly
Manuscript (371.9 kB)

Handout (80.1 kB)

258
Methods to rank and classify severe weather outbreaks
Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. A. Doswell III
Manuscript (1.8 MB)

259
An analysis of the performance of classification methods applied to lightning images
Marcelo Biancao Crivelaro, Centro Universitario da FEI, Sao Bernardo do Campo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. B. B. Gin and R. A. C. Bianchi

260
Impact of uncertainty in planetary boundary layer depth on concentration predictions
Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State University, State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt, B. P. Reen, and A. J. Annunzio

261
262
Support vector machine techniques to predict tropical cyclone re-intensification following extratropical transition
Israel Vaughn, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. S. Tyo and E. A. Ritchie

Handout (1.3 MB)

263
Expanding ceiling and visibility site forecasting: interesting cases and algorithm improvements
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, B. Lambi, and J. Cowie

263A
Turbulence hazard nowcast products and accident case performance analyses (Formerly Poster 760)
Gary Blackburn, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and F. McDonough, J. K. Williams, J. A. Craig, J. M. Pearson, G. Meymaris, J. Abernethy, and R. D. Sharman


Poster Session 1
Experiments involving observations; data impact tests; characteristics of observations
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
199
Simulation of observation and Calibration for Joint OSSEs at NOAA
Michiko Masutani, NOAA/NWS/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. S. Woollen, T. Zhu, N. Prive, Y. Xie, T. J. Kleespies, Z. Ma, H. Sun, L. P. Riishojgaard, F. Weng, G. P. Lou, R. L. Vogel, Y. Han, D. Stokes, and K. L. Howard
Manuscript (209.5 kB)

Handout (7.6 MB)

202
Preliminary results with a coupled global-limited-area analysis system for the time and region of the T-PARC/TCS-08 Field Program
Christina Holt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. Gyarmati, I. Szunyogh, and D. Merkova

203
The THORPEX observation impact Inter-comparison experiment
Ronald Gelaro, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Langland, S. Pellerin, and R. Todling

204
Use of TAMDAR-U equipped small tactical UAS for improved near term battlefield forecasts
Jamie T. Braid, AirDat LLC, Lakewood, CO; and T. Jameson and R. Fuschino

205
Evaluation of TAMDAR Data Impact on 4-km CONUS WRF-based RTFDDA Simulations and Warm-season Convection Prediction
Yongxin Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, P. Childs, A. Huffman, and T. Nipen

Handout (2.5 MB)

206
TAMDAR Data Assimilation and Its Impact on Mesoscale Numerical Forecast
Feng Gao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, X. Y. Huang, X. Zhang, P. Childs, and A. Huffman
Manuscript (408.5 kB)

207
Comparing FY-3A and NOAA-18 Microwave Sounding Data with COSMIC GPS RO Data
Xiang Wang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and X. Zou and G. Li

208A
(Formerly 9.5) Optimal design of a climatological network: beyond practical considerations
Karin Bumbaco, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. Mauger, G. J. Hakim, and P. W. Mote

209
Validation studies of WVSS-II moisture observations
Ralph A. Petersen, CIMSS/University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and L. M. Cronce, W. F. Feltz, E. Olson, and D. Helms
Manuscript (1.2 MB)

Handout (1.9 MB)

210
Hybrid Satellite Imagery using NASA LEO and NOAA GEO Data
Kevin K. Fuell, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and M. Smith and G. T. Stano

212
Integration of Ground Radar and Satellite dataset for Studying Cloud and Radiative Property of Deep Convective Systems
Zhe Feng, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and X. Dong, B. Xi, P. Minnis, and M. Khaiyer

Handout (7.7 MB)

213
Quantifying the existence of undocumented Atlantic warm-core cyclones in 20th Century Reanalysis Data
Ryan Truchelut, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

214
The Variability of Tropical Cyclone Structure within Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Handout (7.1 MB)

215
A Study on Quality Control for AIRS Total Ozone Data within Typhoon Sinlaku(2008)
Hui Wang, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou and G. Li

216
Estimation of precipitation over Asia by combined use of gauge and multi-satellite sensor observations at fine scale
Anoop Kumar Mishra, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan, Japan; and A. Yatagai, A. Hamada, and R. M. Gairola
Manuscript (361.1 kB)

Handout (212.7 kB)

218
The development and utility of a database of mesonet wind observations for use in the RTMA system
Steven L. Levine, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, and M. Pondeca
Manuscript (808.7 kB)

Handout (1.2 MB)

219
Three-dimensional optical turbulence assessments from doppler weather radar for laser applications
Steven T. Fiorino, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and R. M. Randall, A. D. Downs, R. J. Bartell, M. J. Krizo, and S. J. Cusumano

Handout (1.5 MB)

220
Urban experiment results characterize building wakes, aiding airborne hazard applications
Gail Vaucher, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
Manuscript (531.3 kB)

Handout (3.3 MB)

221
The University of Utah Local Surface Analysis Tool
Daniel Tyndall, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Horel

223
Performance of rain gauges in a field study at the Hong Kong International Airport
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
Manuscript (442.3 kB)

225
Nighttime detection of oil spills in the Gulf of Mexico using satellite infrared images
Sungwook Hong, Korean Meteorological Administration, Jincheon-gun, Chungbuk, Korea, Republic of (South); and I. Shin and A. S. Suh

226
Mapping oil for the Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico
Dustin A. Sheffler, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and C. J. Warren, D. Streett, and J. Belge

Handout (198.5 kB)


Poster Session 1
Field, Lab, and Modeling Studies of Air Quality
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
Cochairs: Renyi Zhang, Texas A&M University; Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University
228
Analysis of tropical convective transport of trace gases and lightning NOx production during the TC4 mission using the GMI model
Theodore V. Lyons III, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and K. E. Pickering and D. Allen

Handout (583.5 kB)

229
Adapting WRF-CHEM GOCART for fine-scale dust forecasting
Sandra L. Jones, AER, Offutt AFB, NE; and G. A. Creighton, E. Kuchera, K. D. George, and A. J. Elliott

230
Analysis of the effects of wildfires upon US air quality for current and future climate conditions
Rodrigo Gonzalez, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and S. Chung, B. Lamb, I. Tao, J. Avise, T. Strand, D. McKenzie, A. Guenther, C. Wiedinmyer, T. Duhl, E. Salathe, and Y. Zhang

231
Study of persistence of days infected pollutant Particulate Matter (PM10) in city of Tehran using Markov chain model
Jaber Rahimi, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran; and J. Bazrafshan and A. Rahimi
Manuscript (378.6 kB)

Handout (441.3 kB)

232
Numerical simulation of the low visibility event at the Hong Kong International Airport on 25 December 2009
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and T. Yao and J. C. H. Fung
Manuscript (375.5 kB)

233
Air quality and climate in North America: current and 2050
Janya Kelly, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and D. A. Plummer and P. A. Makar

234
Aerosol concentrations observed at Mt. Haruna, Japan, in relation to long-range transport of Asian mineral dust aerosols
Hiroaki Naoe, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Takahashia, Y. Igarashia, Y. Inomata, and N. Sugimoto
Manuscript (288.2 kB)

235
236
Validating an isotopic AGCM with new satellite measurements of water vapor isotopologues
Kei Yoshimura, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan

Poster 237 moved to talk J19.4A to be presented Wed. at 2:15pm.

238
Modeling study of Asian dust: Assessment of various dust emission schemes using WRF/Chem
Jung-Yoon Kang, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and M. Mikami, Y. Shao, S. C. Yoon, T. Y. Tanaka, and T. T. Sekiyama

239
The impact of increased ship emissions on nitrate radicals at low irradiation
Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and T. T. Tran, W. R. Simpson, G. Newby, and W. R. Stockwell

Poster 242 moved to talk 21.A to be presented Mon. at 1:30pm.

243
Effects of acute ozone exposure and methyl jasmonate treatment on white pine monoterpene and sesquiterpene emission rates
Celia L. Faiola, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington; and D. Wagner, T. VanReken, P. Harley, and E. Allwine

244
Tropospheric CO in the Arctic region measured from space by AIRS and MOPITT in the last decade
Juying X. Warner, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and Z. Wei and G. Diskin

245
Air Quality in the U.S. under Future Climate and Emission Scenarios
Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and S. Y. Wu, A. Penrod, K. Wang, and L. R. Leung

246
Near field pollutant and tracer dispersion during a prescribed pine forest burn
Melissa Johns, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and G. Allwine, P. O'Keefe, R. Grivicke, K. Yedinak, B. Lamb, T. Strand, C. B. Clements, H. Thistle, and M. Rorig

247
Analysis of coherent structures during the 2009 CABINEX field campaign: Implications for atmospheric chemistry
Shelley Pressley, Washington State Univesity, Pullman, WA; and A. Steiner, S. H. Chung, S. L. Edburg, E. Jones, and A. Botros

248
An application of the satellite derived NDVI to improve dust emission in the GOCART model
Dongchul Kim, GEST/UMBC, Baltimore, MD; and M. Chin, Q. Tan, H. Bian, and T. Diehl

249
250
Combining measurements and modeling to quantify power plant contributions to atmospheric NO2 and CO2
Keeley R. Costigan, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and M. K. Dubey, P. Chylek, and L. Zhang
Manuscript (2.1 MB)

251
Seasonal Covariance of Baroclinicity and Ecosystem Metabolism
Nicholas C. Parazoo, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. Denning, S. R. Kawa, and J. Berry

252
Measurements of Smoke, Ozone, and Inversions in the Lake Tahoe Basin
Miriam Rorig, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and T. Strand, C. Krull, M. Moore, N. K. Larkin, T. J. Brown, and A. Bytnerowicz

253
BlueSky smoke modeling framework: design, application, and improvements
Tara Strand, New Zealand Forest Research Institute Limited, Rotorua, WA, New Zealand; and N. K. Larkin, S. Raffuse, R. Solomon, D. Sullivan, K. Craig, D. Pryden, M. Rorig, N. Wheeler, and L. Chinkin

254
Identifying the conditions necessary for CONUS fires to impact the Arctic
Narasimhan K. Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and S. Raffuse, T. Strand, S. Brown, K. Craig, J. DeWinter, and P. Roberts

255
Evaluating WRF model atmospheric boundary layer simulations for a coastal region in Southeast Texas
Cari-Sue Wilmot, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and X. Li and B. Rappenglueck

256
Investigation into atmospheric concentration and deposition of PCBS to the Lake Ontario due to sources from greater Toronto
Sreerama M. Daggupaty, EC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and S. Csiszar and M. Diamond

Handout (216.6 kB)


Poster Session 1
IIPS Posters Part I
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Stephen M. Holt, Noblis, Inc.; Marjorie McGuirk, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI
1
Parallel grib2 in NCEP POST
Jun Wang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

2
An EUMETSAT + LEADS weather decision support system for the Iraqi Air Force
Richard Stedronsky, IPS MeteoStar, Englewood, Colorado

Handout (47.2 MB)

3
A 2011 update on the NOAA Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS)
Patricia A. Miller, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and M. F. Barth, L. A. Benjamin, T. Kent, R. S. Collander, S. Pritchett, D. Helms, C. Marshall, and J. Dewey

4
Iris Application Framework
Darone Jones, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

5
NOAA Observing Requirements Documentation, Verification and Validation Process
Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and P. M. Taylor, L. O'Connor, and B. Fleig

6
The Evolution of NOAA's Observing System Investment Assessment Process
Eric J. Miller, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Yapur, N. Wyse, R. Reining, and L. McCulloch

8
Validation of a 3-D cloud product (UW-CAVP) derived from NASA Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) radiances with MODIS, CALIPSO, and COSMIC GPS satellite data using McIDAS-V version 1.0
Elise M. Garms, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and E. Borbas, R. Knuteson, P. Menzel, Y. Plokhenko, H. Revercomb, and D. Tobin
Manuscript (755.8 kB)

Handout (4.3 MB)

9
The development of a storm type climatology using an automated storm classification system
Angelyn G. Kolodziej, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan and T. M. Smith
Manuscript (880.8 kB)

10
A spatiotemporal assessment of Tornado Warnings within Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks using Geographic Information Systems
Darrel M. Kingfield, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Yuan, H. E. Brooks, and M. Richman
Manuscript (524.4 kB)

Handout (16.4 MB)

11
Evaluation of NWS Storm-Based Warnings using Gridded Products
Todd R. Ferebee, NWC REU Program, Norman, OK; and K. L. Ortega and K. A. Scharfenberg
Manuscript (1.5 MB)

12
Homogeneous tropical cyclone intensities from the Community Dvorak Analysis (CoDA) project
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp and J. P. Kossin
Manuscript (23.3 kB)

13
COAMPS-OS® Dashboard
Chad Hutchins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Cook, M. Frost, D. Martinez, K. Xu, D. A. Geiszler, Q. Zhao, P. R. Harasti, J. Kent, and G. Love

Handout (1.7 MB)


Poster Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State Univ.
Paper 16 has been moved. New paper number is 3A.2A.

17
Understanding heat transfer and vapor transport in the shallow subsurface
Martine Rutten, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and S. C. Steele-Dunne and N. van de Giesen

18
Effects of vegetation dynamics on evapotranspiration and soil moisture in northwestern Mexico
Qiuhong Tang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. R. Vivoni, and D. P. Lettenmaier

Handout (431.6 kB)

19
Vegetation feedback may reduce climatic aridity over the contiguous United States in a 2xCO2 situation
Chang-Eui Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. J. Jeong and C. H. Ho

22
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia Using Long-Term Remotely Sensed Vegetation Index NDVI (1982–2008)
Battumur Tserenchunt Sr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; and T. Chuluun

Handout (2.3 MB)

23
The Impact of Tree Line Shifts on Orographic Cloud Habits over the Andes
Xiaoming Sun, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

25
Impacts of variable agricultural extensification on regional-scale hydrology: the case of the Mississippi River Basin
Christopher D. Frans, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. Istanbulluoglu, and D. P. Lettenmaier


Poster Session 1
Observations of the Middle Atmosphere
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
195
Evaluation of NOAA's Stratospheric Sounding Unit Climate Data Record
Craig S. Long, NOAA, College Park, MD; and R. Lin, L. Wang, and C. Z. Zou

196
Methyl Chloride from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder: Preliminary validation and climatology
Michelle L. Santee, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and N. J. Livesey, A. Lambert, W. G. Read, and G. L. Manney

198
Diurnal variations of stratospheric/mesospheric trace species, ClO, BrO, and HO2 derived from 4K cooled submm limb sounder ISS/JEM/SMILES
Makoto Suzuki, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sagamihara, Japan; and C. Mitsuda, C. Takahashi, N. Manago, Y. Iwata, T. Sano, K. Kikuchi, S. Mizobuchi, T. Nishibori, K. Imai, H. Hayashi, E. Nishimoto, Y. Naito, and M. Shiotani
Manuscript (1.2 MB)

Handout (8.1 MB)

344
Annual cycle of total ozone in the latitudinal belt from 20°N to 60°N
Peter Krizan, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Prague, Czech Republic; and J. Miksovsky, M. Kozubek, W. Gengchen, and B. Jianhui


Poster Session 1
Space Weather Posters
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Jennifer Meehan, Utah State Univ.; Genene Fisher, AMS
264
Model verses data comparison of the February 26, 2008 substorm
Erika M. Harnett, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. M. Winglee

265
Calibration Tool Development for the GOES-R Solar Ultra-Violet Imager
Jonathan M. Darnel, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and C. Cao

Handout (791.4 kB)

266
Improved modeling and prediction of total atmospheric refractivity by assimilation of angle of arrival and total electron content measurements from an array of GPS receivers
Bonnie Valant-Spaight, Propagation Research Associates, Inc., Marietta, GA; and G. M. Hall, A. J. Mannucci, A. Komjathy, B. D. Wilson, and M. A. Dumett

Handout (908.6 kB)

267
Space Weather Products from the GOES-R Magnetometer and Energetic Particle Instruments
Paul T.M. Loto'aniu, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO; and J. V. Rodriguez, H. J. Singer, J. C. Green, M. Berguson, T. Onsager, L. Mayer, M. Shouldis, and S. M. Hill

268
Ionosphere mitigation through species characterization and stratification
Christopher T. Rodgers, ITT Industries, Herndon, VA; and O. E. Kia
Manuscript (425.0 kB)

269
Results from a prototype for the GOES Particle Intersensor Toolkit
William Rowland, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Weigel and C. Cao

Handout (3.2 MB)

270
Transition of the ACE and GOES-N,O,P space weather product processing systems to NOAA operations
Thomas King, Dell, Fairfax, VA; and C. Tan, P. Keehn, and W. W. Wolf

271
An approach to test and exercise for space weather system for storming conditions
Rhonda S. Davis, Northrop Grumman, Colorado Springs, CO; and D. H. Polk, R. Vigeant, and S. L. McNew

Handout (753.9 kB)

272
Results from the RAIDS Experiment aboard the ISS
Scott A. Budzien, NRL, Washington, DC; and R. L. Bishop, A. W. Stephan, A. B. Christensen, J. H. Hecht, K. R. Minschwaner, and S. M. Bailey

273
GPS radio occultation data use in operational ionospheric models
William Bagby, Northrop Grumman, Colorado Springs, CO; and B. Prochaska, K. Landis, and D. Kim

274
Whole atmosphere data assimilation and forecast experiments
Houjun Wang, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and SWPC/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and T. Fuller-Rowell and R. Akmaev
Manuscript (415.6 kB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

277A
Hosted Payload Lessons
Carl Schueler, Orbital Sciences Corporation, Santa Barbara, CA
Manuscript (927.5 kB)

Handout (927.5 kB)

278
Thermospheric Density Fluctuations Derived from the Atmospheric Neutral Density Experiment Missions
Andrew C. Nicholas, NRL, Washington, DC; and M. A. Davis, S. A. Budzien, T. T. Finne, and L. Healy

280
CASES: A Novel Low-Cost Ground-based GPS Software Receiver
Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates, San Antonio, TX; and P. M. Kintner Jr., M. Psaiki, T. E. Humphreys, S. Powell, B. O'Hanlon, A. Reynolds, and G. S. Bust

281
Global, real-time ionosphere specification for end-user communication and navigation products
W. Kent Tobiska, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and H. Carlson, R. W. Schunk, J. J. Sojka, L. Scherliess, L. Zhu, and L. C. Gardner


Joint Poster Session 1
Stratospheric Climate and Coupling Between the Stratosphere and Troposphere
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
191
Quality of reanalysis data during stratospheric vortex weakening and intensification events
Patrick Martineau, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and S. W. Son

Handout (1.2 MB)

192
Predictability of stratospheric warming in an idealized model
Lantao Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO; and W. A. Robinson and G. Chen

Handout (1.6 MB)

194
A model study of the impact of source gas changes on the stratosphere for 1850–2100
Eric L. Fleming, SSAI and GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. H. Jackman

Handout (233.8 kB)


Poster Session 1
Poster Session I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Xuebin Zhang, EC; David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
136
The climatology of inland winds from tropical cyclones in the eastern United States
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and E. Gibney, D. H. Levinson, and M. F. Squires
Manuscript (28.3 kB)

137
Assessing climate change and variability in the coastal zone: overview of the Pacific storms climatology products
David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC ; and M. C. Kruk and J. Marra

138
Analysis of freezing rain patterns in the South Central United States: 1979–2009
Jessica Blunden, NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC; and D. S. Arndt
Manuscript (296.8 kB)

139
Variability of chlorophyll associated with ENSO and its biological feedback in the Equatorial Pacific
Jong-yeon Park, Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. S. Kug, J. S. Park, S. W. Yeh, and C. J. Jang

140
Light rain events change over North America, Europe and Asia for 1973–2009
Yun Qian, PNNL, Richland, WA; and D. Gong and R. Leung

142
On the use of Dvorak current intensity as a climate data record in the western North Pacific
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp and P. A. Hennon
Manuscript (166.2 kB)

143
Investigating how background state affects the propagation of the MJO
Kristina L. Laboy, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and E. D. Maloney

145
On the Influence of Warm Pool SST Variability and Wind Stress Forcing on ENSO in SODA
Yoon-Kyoung Lee, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. W. Yeh, B. Dewitte, B. K. Moon, and J. G. Jhun

Handout (4.0 MB)

146
A pan-Eurasian pattern of Northern Hemisphere wintertime sea level pressure variability
Brian V. Smoliak, The Climate Corporation, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace

147
Seasonal prediction of Northwest Australian tropical cyclones
Kevin H. Goebbert, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and L. M. Leslie

Handout (3.5 MB)

148
Temporal Variability of the Atmospheric Zero Trend Level
Robb M. Randall, ARL, White Sands Missle Range, NM; and B. M. Herman and S. T. Fiorino

Handout (598.2 kB)

149
Future Space System Support to US Operations in an Ice-Free Arctic: Broadband Satellite Communications Options
Leslie Wickman, The Aerospace Corp., El Segundo, CA; and P. Smith and I. Min
Manuscript (80.4 kB)

Handout (550.0 kB)


Poster Session 2
General Applications of Atmospheric Electricity and Lightning Data in the Atmospheric Sciences I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Edward R. Mansell, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
308
Fractal characteristics of simulated and LMA-detected lightning flashes
Blake J. Allen, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. R. Mansell and E. C. Bruning
Manuscript (1.2 MB)

Handout (12.1 MB)

309
Global relationships between lightning and ice water path characteristics from WWLLN and AMSU-B/MHS
Yoshitaka Nakamura, Osaka University c/o Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Suita, Osaka, Japan; and R. H. Holzworth, A. R. Jacobson, J. A. Weinman, L. A. McMurdie, H. Meng, R. R. Ferraro, T. Morimoto, T. Ushio, and Z. I. Kawasaki

Handout (231.8 kB)

310
Inferring lightning-channel geometry from polarimetry of VHF radio emissions
Abram R. Jacobson, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. H. Holzworth and X. M. Shao

Handout (2.1 MB)

311
A balloon-borne high-definition videosonde to measure thunderstorm microphysics
Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL/WRDD, Norman, OK; and W. D. Rust, S. Waugh, D. Kennedy, and S. E. Fredrickson

Handout (18.7 MB)

312
A 3-Dimensional DBSCAN Storm Tracking and Identification Algorithm – Description and Implementation
Jenny L. Matthews, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA; and J. Trostel

313
Application of a 3D DBSCAN SCIT algorithm to the characterization of storm cells
John Trostel, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Severe Storms Research Center, Atlanta, GA ; and J. L. Matthews


Poster Session 2
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
27
28
Assessing the potential for changes in extreme precipitation events across the Colorado Front Range
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, J. Barsugli, L. D. Brekke, J. England, S. Gangopadhyay, D. Raff, and J. Soddell

29
Urbanization impact on summer convective storm and flood magnitudes in the Great Lakes region
Laura C. Bowling, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and G. Yang, L. Ming, K. A. Cherkauer, D. Niyogi, and B. C. Pijanowski

33
Synoptic drivers of storm surge in Kotzebue Sound
Austin Cross, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and D. E. Atkinson


Poster Session 3
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
34
COMET hydrometeorological training: hydrology, QPF, QPE, drought, and verification
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and W. Abshire

Paper 36 has been moved. New paper number is 3B.5A.

37
38
A continental scale daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges—APHRODITE project
Atsushi Hamada, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan; and K. Kamiguchi, O. Arakawa, N. Yasutomi, and A. Yatagai

40
41
Effects of snowflake characteristics on the collection efficiency of snow gauge
Julie M. Theriault, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, R. Rasmussen, S. Landolt, S. Ziegler, and A. Jachcik

Handout (2.0 MB)


Poster Session
18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification-Posters
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
905
Warm Fog Dissipation Experiment by Hygroscopic Seeding
Ki-Ho Chang, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Y. Jeong, C. Lee, J. W. Cha, J. W. Jung, H. Y. Yang, J. Y. Bae, M. J. Lee, Y. H. Kim, H. Lee, and Y. J. Choi

906
Current state of cloud seeding in Korea
Chulkyu Lee, National Institute Meteorological Research/KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. H. Chang, J. W. Jung, J. W. Cha, J. Y. Jeong, H. Y. Yang, J. Y. Bae, S. K. Seo, and Y. J. Choi


Poster Session
Educational Outreach Initiatives
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Marianne J. Hayes, AMS Education Resource Educator; Kathleen A. Murphy, AMS Education Resource Educator
165
AMS pre-college teacher professional development courses: A hands-on exploration of the dynamic Earth system
James A. Brey, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC; and I. W. Geer, J. M. Moran, R. S. Weinbeck, E. W. Mills, B. A. Blair, E. J. Hopkins, K. L. O'Neill, H. R. Hyre, K. A. Nugnes, and M. N. Moses

Handout (8.3 MB)

166
Magnify your reach! Opportunities for effective education and outreach with NESTA and Windows to the Universe
Roberta M. Johnson, NESTA, Boulder, CO; and A. Herrold, M. Holzer, and M. J. Passow

167
Global Climate Change Education (GCCE): Sunspots and Thermal Islands
Michael R. Witiw, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Worldwide, Everett, WA; and R. J. Myers

168
Value to the community of a high school weather website
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and C. Donelan

169
Bringing global climate change education to Alabama classrooms: a 2011 update
Luke Marzen, Auburn Univ., Auburn, AL; and M. K. Lee, M. Simon, K. Fielman, Y. Lin, R. Birkhead, C. Miller, P. Norgaard, M. Obley, J. Cox, L. Steltenpohl, E. Wheeles, and M. Wooten

170
Summer Weather Camps - Opening Doors To CAREERs in Meteorology
H. Michael Mogil, How the Weatherworks, Naples, FL; and V. R. Morris

171
High school student produced community weather forecasts for television and radio
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and N. Roos, C. Paige, and J. Avery

172
Infusing satellite data into earth science education with SAGE, ESIP and SNAPP
Margaret Mooney, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. Ackerman, N. L. Jackson, and T. Whittaker

173
Weather forecasting as a learning tool in a large service course: Does practice make perfect?
Elizabeth J. Suess, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. Cervato, W. A. Gallus Jr., and J. M. Hobbs
Manuscript (498.5 kB)

175
Enhancing public understanding of climate change through museum programs
Michael J. Passow, Dwight Morrow High School and NESTA, Englewood, NJ; and M. Macdonald

Handout (5.7 MB)

176
Rethinking model-based inquiry in terms of weather and climate computer models
Morgan Brown Yarker, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and C. Forbes

178
The Need for longitudinal Tracking of Student Success and Career Choices - Lessons from the SOARS Program
Rebecca Haacker-Santos, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Pandya and M. Kennedy

179
Teaching GIS in the atmospheric sciences curriculum
J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC

180
Teaching online weather at Gavilan College
Andrew H. Van Tuyl, Gavilan College, Gilroy, CA

181
Simple Climate and Weather Education via CoCoRaHS's “Message of the Day"
Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and N. J. Doesken, Z. Schwalbe, J. Turner, and N. Newman

183
Developing a curriculum for a summer school on climate change
Otis Brown, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and M. McGuirk, F. Miralles-Wilhelm, G. Voos, and J. Dissen

Handout (4.7 MB)

184
Coastal climate hazards and decision-making: introducing a methodology for local decision support
Kirsten M. Winters, Oregon Sea Grant, Corvallis, OR; and J. Cone and P. Corcoran

185
Earth Gauge: Linking Weather, Environment and Climate
Sara Espinoza, The National Environmental Education Foundation, Washington, DC; and K. Kraus

Handout (1007.9 kB)

186
Tapping into the resources of a scientific field campaign to develop education and outreach materials
Vidal Salazar, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Rockwell and B. Baeuerle

187

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Communicating with Technology (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Chair: Rajul Pandya, UCAR
4:00 PM
J1.1
Integrating air quality tools with the Wildland Fire Decision Support System
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Rorig, T. Strand, T. J. Brown, S. Raffuse, P. Lahm, and T. Zimmerman

4:15 PM
J1.2
Using YouTube Videos to Communicate Science
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and T. Nakamura and M. Dunlap
4:30 PM
J1.3
Commuicating Climate Science fo the General Public
Andrew Freedman, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and H. Cullen and M. McGuirk
4:45 PM
J1.4
Utility of 2D/3D visualization methods in analyzing and disseminating flood information
Jamie L. Dyer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and P. Amburn, D. Reed, and D. Welch
5:00 PM
J1.5A
Recording files available
Session 2
Blending the Sciences: Interoperability and Research Applications to Fill Knowledge Gaps
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Moderator: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, American Meteorological Society
4:00 PM
2.1
Impact of meteorological components on diarreal diseases in Bangladesh
Taiichi Hayashi, DPRI, Kyoto Univ., Uji, Kyoto, Japan; and A. Teshima, Y. Wagatuma, M. Hashizume, T. Terao, F. Murata, Y. Yamane, M. Kiguchi, and A. S. G. Faruque
4:15 PM
2.2
Night outdoor air as a major source of indoor air particle concentration in an office
Jack Molinié, Laboratoire de Recherches en Géosciences et Energies, Pointe-à-Pitre Cédex, Guadeloupe, France; and V. Clotaire, T. Plocoste, and R. H. Petit
4:30 PM
2.3
Detection and monitoring vector-born deceases from AVHRR data
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Powell and M. Goldberg
4:45 PM
2.4
Assessing the connections between weather, season, and smoking in the home
David B. Sherman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. G. Basara, J. B. Basara, and B. G. Illston
Recording files available
Session 2A
Communicating Weather Information Using Mobile Devices Part II
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Michael Eilts, Weather Decision Technologies; Paul A. Pisano, Federal Highway Administration; George D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates
4:00 PM
2A.1
Tomorrow's forecast: informed drivers
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, A. R. S. Anderson, E. Schuler, G. Wiener, B. Mahoney, and P. A. Pisano
4:15 PM
2A.2
Using native vehicle observations to diagnose slick roads
Michael Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. R. S. Anderson, C. Burghardt, S. Drobot, and B. Lambi
4:30 PM
2A.3
Quality of mobile observations collected during the 2010 Development Testbed Environment experiment
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. B. Chapman, S. D. Drobot, A. Tadesse, and P. Pisano
4:45 PM
2A.4
The Mobile Platform Environmental Data (MoPED) System: providing mobile environmental data to the National Mesonet
Brian Bell, Global Science & Technology, Fairmont, WV; and P. O. G. Heppner, A. Orrego, and D. Helms
5:00 PM
2A.5
Driver opinions on the concept of using passenger vehicles as weather sensors
Sheldon D. Drobot, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Mahoney and J. O'Sullivan
5:15 PM
2A.6
Satellite Based Nowcasting and Aviation Applications for Mobile Devices
David Santek, Space Science and Engineering Center/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Dengel, D. Parker, S. Batzli, N. Bearson, W. Feltz, L. Cronce, J. Sieglaff, J. Brunner, and K. Bedka

Recording files available
Session 2B
International Applications: Techniques for Communicating Weather Data, Forecasts and Warnings
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: John R. Lincoln, US Navy/WMO (Ret.) and Consultant; Erik Andersson, ECMWF; Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
4:00 PM
2B.1
ECMWF web re-engineering project
Baudouin Raoult, ECMWF, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and S. Siemen, C. Valiente, P. Bispham, S. Lamy-Thepaut, and A. Brady
4:15 PM
2B.2
4:30 PM
2B.3
French forecasters workstation. Synergie-next: Synopsis project
Antoine Lasserre-Bigorry, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Marty and J. Nicolau
4:45 PM
2B.4
Observed and predicted trends in tropical Pacific rainfall
Michael D. Klatt, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey, J. S. Greene, and N. M. Acton
5:00 PM
2B.5
Introduce on Typhoon Forecast Operational System
Lianqing Yu, China Meteorological Admistration, Beijing, China; and L. Cao, Y. Li, and B. Luo
Recording files available
Session 3
Agency Updates III
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA; William J. Murtagh, NOAA
4:00 PM
3.1
The National Space Weather Program: 2010 and the Next Decade
Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and M. F. Bonadonna and M. R. Babcock
4:15 PM
3.2
Space Weather and FEMA
Stephen Sterling, FEMA, Denver, CO
4:30 PM
3.3A
A NASA Applied Spaceflight Environments Office Concept
James F. Spann, NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC; and D. L. Edwards, H. D. Burns, and M. A. Xapsos
4:45 PM
3.4
Space Weather Services and Tools at the CCMC
Michael Hesse, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zheng, A. Pulkkinen, S. Taktakishvili, M. Maddox, and M. Kuznetsova
3.6 has been moved to 3.3A

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Computational intelligence methods for climate change attribution, characterization, and downscaling
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Antonello Pasini, CNR; Xuebin Zhang, EC
4:00 PM
J3.1
4:30 PM
J3.2
A data mining algorithm for climate data: application to double ITCZ
Andrew Geiss, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and G. Levy
4:45 PM
J3.3
Predicting Atlantic tropical cyclone activity
Roshanak Nateghi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and S. M. Quiring, S. D. Guikema, and A. Schumacher

5:00 PM
J3.4
Unsupervised machine learning as a method to identify patterns in regional climate downscaling reanalyses
Jeffrey H. Copeland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Knievel, F. Vandenberge, and R. Babarsky
5:15 PM
J3.5
Evaluation of STARDEX indices calculated from linear and nonlinear statistical downscaled daily temperatures
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh, A. J. Cannon, and P. Gachon
Recording files available
Session 3
Lightning in Tropical Cyclones II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Natalia N. Solorzano, DigiPen Institute of Technology
4:00 PM
3.1
LASA observations and high-resolution simulation of total lightning during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Rita
Alexandre Fierro, NOAA/NSSL/Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and J. M. Reisner, X. M. Shao, T. Hamlin, and J. Harlin
4:45 PM
3.3
Eyewall lightning outbreaks and tropical cyclone intensity change
Nicholas W. S. Demetriades, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and R. L. Holle and S. Businger

Handout (9.2 MB)

5:00 PM
3.4
Tropical cyclone rapid intensity change forecasting using lightning data during the 2010 GOES-R Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Knaff, M. J. Brennan, J. L. Beven II, R. T. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, J. Kaplan, and N. W. S. Demetriades
5:15 PM
3.5
Polarity and energetics of inner core lightning in 2005 intense North Atlantic hurricanes
Jeremy N. Thomas, DigiPen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and N. N. Solorzano, S. A. Cummer, and R. H. Holzworth
Recording files available
Session 3
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 3
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Zev Levin, Department of Geophysics and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv University; Daniel Breed, NCAR/RAL
4:30 PM
3.2
Results of a cloud seeding project in the Snowy Mountains of Australia
Michael J. Manton, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and L. Warren
4:45 PM
3.3
Observations of mountain-top rime icing in Utah: implications for winter season cloud seeding
David P. Yorty, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and W. Weston, M. E. Solak, and D. A. Griffith
5:00 PM
3.4
Evaluation of snow gauges used in a winter cloud seeding experiment in complex terrain
Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Breed, R. M. Rasmussen, and S. Cristanelli
Recording files available
Session 3A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate III
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State Univ.
4:00 PM
3A.1
Observational diagnostics of soil moisture-climate interactions as constraints to IPCC climate projections
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and P. Ciais, M. Reichstein, E. L. Davin, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling

4:15 PM
3A.2A
4:45 PM
3A.4
Simulated impact of vegetation across the North American monsoon region in CCSM3.5
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. S. Gutzler
5:15 PM
3A.6
Soil moisture, temperature and heat flux measurements using Distributed Temperature Sensing
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and M. M. Rutten, E. Owusu-Ansah, J. Jansen, P. Stive, S. Tyler, and N. van de Giesen

Recording files available
Session 3A
Observed Changes II
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR
4:00 PM
3A.1
4:15 PM
3A.2
Atlantic tropical cyclones in the 20th century: Natural variability and secular change in cyclone count
Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and B. Guan

4:30 PM
3A.3
The recent decline of the long rains in East Africa
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt
4:45 PM
3A.4
On the Time-Varying Trend in Global-Mean Surface Temperature
Zhaohua Wu, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and N. E. Huang, J. M. Wallace, B. V. Smoliak, and X. Chen
5:00 PM
3A.5
Observed growing season changes in Canada
Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and S. Gameda, X. Zhang, and R. De Jong

5:15 PM
3A.6
Trends in Tropospheric Humidity and Water Vapor from 1973–2008
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wang and P. Thorne
Recording files available
Session 3B
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
4:00 PM
3B.1
CCPA Precipitation Analysis and Its Cross Validation
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Luo, Y. Zhu, P. Xie, and Y. Lin
4:15 PM
3B.2
Moving toward optimum use of gridded precipitation forcings in hydrologic modeling
David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Wu, F. Ding, D. A. Miller, S. Wu, and Y. Zhang
4:30 PM
3B.3
Analyzing the performance of the high resolution precipitation products for streamflow simulation
Ali Behrangi, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and B. Khakbaz, T. Jaw, and A. AghaKouchak

4:45 PM
3B.4
Study of Spatial Patterns of Daily Precipitation over the Western United States
Wei Chu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and X. Gao and S. Sorooshian
5:00 PM
3B.5A
Improving Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Through Objective Evaluations during NOAA Testbed Activities
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud, S. J. Weiss, F. E. Barthold, D. R. Novak, H. Yuan, J. H. Gotway, E. Sukovich, P. Oldenburg, W. L. Clark, A. J. Clark, F. Kong, M. Xue, M. Harrold, T. L. Fowler, and B. G. Brown
5:15 PM
3B.6
Hydrological intercomparison of quantitative precipitation estimates in the Colorado Front Range
Hernan Moreno, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni and D. J. Gochis
Recording files available
Session 3B
Predictability
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: James D. Doyle, NRL
4:00 PM
3B.1
On the predictability of cyclogenesis and low-land snow in the Pacific Northwest
Dale Durran, University of Wasington, Seattle, WA; and P. A. Reinecke
4:15 PM
3B.2
4:30 PM
3B.3
4:45 PM
3B.4
5:00 PM
3B.5
Predictability and Dynamics of a squall-line and bow-echo event during BAMEX
Fuqing Zhang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Melhauser
5:15 PM
3B.6
Microphysical evolution within winter snow storms over Long Island, NY
David A. Stark, NOAA-National Weather Service, Upton, NY; and B. A. Colle and S. E. Yuter
Recording files available
Session 3B
Understanding the Causes of Climate Change
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chris E. Forest, Pennsylvania State Univ.
4:00 PM
3B.1
The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM
Isla R. Simpson, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Blackburn, J. D. Haigh, and S. Sparrow
4:15 PM
3B.2
Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales
Francis W. Zwiers, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and X. Zhang and Y. Feng

4:30 PM
3B.3
The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone on Southern Hemisphere Circulation Change: A Multimodel Assessment
Seok-woo Son, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. P. Gerber, J. Perlwitz, L. M. Polvani, N. P. Gillett, K. H. Seo, and SPARC/CCMVal-2 Coauthors

4:45 PM
3B.5
Effects of systematic measurement errors on detection of climate change
Janet Daniels, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and K. J. Priestley
5:15 PM
3B.6
Assessing uncertainty of regional climate change from global climate models
Chris E. Forest, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. Li and J. Barsugli
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Stratosphere and Climate: Stratospheric Influence on Surface Climate
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Edwin P. Gerber, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
4:00 PM
J6.1
Understanding the linkages between stratospheric variability and surface climate
David W. J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and T. Birner

4:15 PM
J6.2
Stratospheric ozone depletion: the main driver of 20th century atmospheric circulation changes in the Southern Hemisphere?
Lorenzo M. Polvani, Columbia Univ., New York, NY; and D. Waugh, G. J. P. Correa, and S. W. Son
4:30 PM
J6.3
Separating the effects of ozone depletion/recovery and climate change on the dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere and troposphere
Charles McLandress, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; and A. Jonsson, D. Plummer, C. Reader, J. Scinocca, M. Sigmond, and T. G. Shepherd
4:45 PM
J6.4
Impact of late-20th century ozone changes in an atmosphere-only model and a slab ocean model
Paul J. Young, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. M. Davis, S. Solomon, B. Hassler, and G. Bodeker
5:00 PM
J6.5
5:15 PM
J6.6
How will stratospheric effects on climate change during the 21st century?
Mark P. Baldwin, Northwest Research Associates, Redmond, WA
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Climate Change Adaptation: From Science to Practice
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Greg Guibert, NCAR; Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University
4:15 PM
J9.2
4:30 PM
J9.3
Towards a framework for stakeholder engagement in conducting regional climate assessments
J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and J. Fox, M. Hutchins, and K. Lichtenstein
4:45 PM
J9.4
Integration of Local Planners' and Scientists' Knowledge of Consequences, Vulnerabilities, and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change Related Hazards
Seth Tuler, Social and Environmental Research Institute, Greenfield, MA; and K. Dow, J. C. Whitehead, T. Webler, and N. Kettle
5:00 PM
J9.5
“2100? It doesn't keep me up at night!” Incorporating climate information in local water planning
Lee M. Tryhorn, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. T. DeGaetano

5:15 PM
J9.6
Comparing climate extension approaches to catalyze climate change adaptation planning in Charleston, SC, and Plymouth, NC
Jessica C. Whitehead, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium & North Carolina Sea Grant, Charleston, SC; and A. Turner, R. H. Bacon, G. Putnam, J. F. Thigpen, and M. Covi
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Pacific Northwest Weather including results from the Vancouver 2010 Winter Olympics (Co-Sponsored by the AMS Committee on Mountain Meteorology)
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration )
Chairs: Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWS; H. Dawn Reeves, NOAA/NSSL
4:00 PM
J9.1A
4:15 PM
J9.2
Realtime high-resolution mesoscale modeling for the Vancouver Olympics
Aijun Deng, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. Stauffer, G. Hunter, J. Zielonka, J. Toffler, E. Sorbo, I. Sykes, and D. Henn
4:30 PM
J9.3
Forecasting sun vs. shade in complex terrain for the 2010 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games
Rosie Howard, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull
4:45 PM
J9.4
Dual-polarized radar observations of precipitation during SNOW-V10
H. Dawn Reeves, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov, T. J. Schuur, and D. E. Forsyth
5:00 PM
J9.5
The west coast thermal trough: structure, evolution and prediction
Matthew C. Brewer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass
5:15 PM
J9.6
Wintertime extreme precipitation events and flooding along the Pacific Northwest coast
Michael Warner, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Mass and E. Salathé
Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Effective Communication of Aviation Weather Information to Users
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Cory Wolff, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Jennifer A. Zeltwanger, National Weather Service
4:00 PM
J11.1
4:30 PM
J11.3
Aviation service enhancements across the National Weather Service Central Region
Brian P. Walawender, NWS, Kansas City, MO; and J. A. Zeltwanger
4:45 PM
J11.4
NWS provision of aviation weather information via the FAA QICP-certified Consolidated Aviation Web Services (CAWS) system
Ryan L. Solomon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and J. J. Sereno, R. E. Sallee, A. M. Ohrberg, J. S. Lewis, and C. Wallace
5:00 PM
J11.5
Weather Technology In the Cockpit (WTIC): Concept of operations, user needs, education, and training
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and L. Kirk, L. Martin, J. Vacek, E. A. Roberts, and M. Edwards
5:15 PM
J11.6
Development of an education and training module for use of NEXRAD-based products in the cockpit by general aviation pilots
Erin A. Roberts, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and J. M. Lanicci
Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Air Quality and Climate Change
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory; Serena Chung, Washington State Univesity
4:00 PM
J20.1
Effects of global change on air quality in the US
Serena H. Chung, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. Gonzalez Abraham, B. Lamb, J. Avise, E. Salathe, Y. Zhang, A. Guenther, C. Wiedinmyer, T. Duhl, D. G. Streets, C. G. Nolte, and D. Loughlin
4:15 PM
J20.2
Effects of changing climate on fires and the consequences for U.S. regional air quality, using global and regional chemistry and climate/meteorology models
Hyun Cheol Kim, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. W. Byun, D. Lee, R. C. Hudman, D. V. Spracklen, L. J. Mickley, S. Wu, and J. A. Logan

4:30 PM
J20.3
Remote measurement of tropospheric gases under cloud with the AERI Instrument
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and H. L. Buijs and C. B. Roy
4:45 PM
J20.4
A preliminary assessment of the sensitivity of air quality in North Carolina to global change
Saravanan Arunachalam, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. F. Hanna, Z. Adelman, M. Omary, B. H. Baek, N. Davis, K. Talgo, and A. Xiu

5:00 PM
J20.5
The use of tracers of opportunity to assess chronic carbon dioxide releases from regional industrial activities
Matthew J. Parker, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC; and S. Walter, R. L. Buckley, and A. Andrews

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Assimilation of observations into models: Atmosphere II
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction )
Cochairs: Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD; Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah
4:00 PM
J7.1
The recent progresses of satellite data assimilation in GRAPES
Hua Zhang, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
4:15 PM
J7.2
Optimization of In-situ Aircraft Observations for Various Assimilation Techniques
Neil A. Jacobs, AirDat LLC, Morrisville, NC; and F. Gao, P. Childs, X. Zhang, X. Y. Huang, X. Zhang, M. Croke, and Y. Liu
4:30 PM
J7.3
Recent upgrades to and ongoing challenges for the Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA)
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. S. F. V. De Pondeca
4:45 PM
J7.4
Assimilation of infrared Meteosat data into high-resolution NWP and nowcasting models
Robert Nigel Tubbs, Met Office, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom
5:00 PM
J7.5
Ensemble data assimilation across a range of scales and phenomena with WRF/DART
C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, S. M. Cavallo, D. Dowell, S. Y. Ha, G. Romine, and R. Torn
5:15 PM
J7.6
Local ensemble transform Kalman filter experiments with the WRF model
Masaru Kunii, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, College Park, MD; and T. Miyoshi

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Reception and Exhibits Opening

7:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Session
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA Update on the Climate Service and Dialogue on Regional Climate Services
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings

7:00 PM-8:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Forecast: Communicating Weather and Climate Art Show

8:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

7:15 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Session
NOAA Town Hall Meeting
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
7:15 AM
NOAA Town Hall
Jane Lubchenco, NOAA Administrator, Washington, DC

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:15 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 2
Experiments involving observations, real or hypothetical: data impact tests (sensitivity of forecasts to a particular source of observations); observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs)—Part I
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Eric W. Uhlhorn, AIR-Worldwide
8:15 AM
2.1
Impact of Assimilating Refractivity Measurements from a Network of S-band and X-band Radars on the Forecast of Convective Initiation using the ARPS 3DVAR System
Nicholas Antonio Gasperoni, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, R. D. Palmer, J. Gao, B. L. Cheong, and D. S. Michaud
8:30 AM
2.2
Technology and data utility challenges for a Doppler Wind Lidar on the International Space Station
George D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and S. A. Wood, M. J. Kavaya, B. Gentry, and W. Baker
9:00 AM
2.4
The simulation and assimilation of Doppler wind lidar observations in support of future instruments
Will McCarty, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Errico, R. Yang, R. Gelaro, and M. M. Rienecker
9:15 AM
2.5
Observing System Simulation Experiments for a US Wind Lidar space mission
Lars Peter Riishojgaard, Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation, College Park, MD; and M. Masutani and G. D. Emmitt
9:30 AM
2.6
The impact of satellite-based Doppler wind lidar measurements on high-impact weather forecasting: A regional OSSE study
Lei Zhang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, B. Gentry, and R. M. Atlas

8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 4
Results of Field Trials and Numerical Experiments in Planned Weather Modification - Part 4
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants; Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR
8:30 AM
4.1
Development of Hygroscopic Pyrotechnics for Warm Cloud Seeding
Yuzhong Wu Sr., Shanxi Zhongtian Rocket Technology Co.,Ltd., China, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China; and Y. Chen Sr., X. Wang, and W. Xue

8:45 AM
4.2

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 1
Air pollution and Dust transport studies
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Ruben Delgado, JCET/Univ. of Maryland; C. Russell Philbrick, North Carolina State Univ.
8:30 AM
1.1
Synergy of A-Train sensors and in-situ air quality measurements: 3-D structure of Asian dust transported to the Mid-Atlantic United States and its impact on air quality
Ruben Delgado, JCET/Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and S. DeSouza-Machado, A. M. Robinson, D. Orozco, O. Torres, L. L. Strow, and R. M. Hoff
8:45 AM
1.2
Multistatic lidar measurements of aerosol properties
C. Russell Philbrick, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. Snyder and A. Brown
9:00 AM
1.3
The Taklimakan Dust acting as Ice nuclei observed by dual-wavelength and polarization lidar
Yoshitaka Jin, Nagoya Univ., Nagoya, Japan; and K. Kai, T. Shibata, K. Zhang, and H. Zhou
9:15 AM
1.4
9:30 AM
1.5
Comparison of EZLidar, MPL, and an elastic lidar for urban air quality applications
Raymond M. Hoff, JCET/Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and R. Delgado, T. A. Berkoff, K. J. McCann, D. Orozco, P. Sawamura, and J. Compton
Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Computational intelligence applications in air pollution meteorology
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology )
Cochairs: Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ.; Michael Brown, LANL
8:30 AM
J1.1
Using a genetic algorithm to assimilate transport and dispersion variables
Sue Ellen Haupt, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. J. Annunzio and K. J. Schmehl
8:45 AM
J1.2
Source term estimation of a volcanic ash cloud using a genetic algorithm
Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State Univ., State College, PA; and S. E. Haupt and D. Truesdell
9:00 AM
J1.3
Source term estimation uncertainty analysis using a genetic algorithm coupled with dispersion models
Luna M. Rodriguez, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, A. J. Annunzio, and K. J. Schmehl
9:15 AM
J1.4
Multi-entity field approximation for hazard origin estimation
Andrew J. Annunzio, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and S. E. Haupt, G. Young, and L. M. Rodriguez
9:30 AM
J1.5
Non-Darwinian evolution for source estimation
Guido Cervone, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA; and P. Franzese
Manuscript (312.5 kB)

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Environmental Security
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Organizer: John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ.
8:30 AM
PD1.1
9:00 AM
PD1.2
Mapping Climate Change and Security in Africa
Joshua Busby, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX
Recording files available
Panel Discussion 1
Federal Activities on Climate Change and Human Health
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Panelists: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS); George Luber, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Juli Trtanj, NOAA; Darrell Winner, EPA
Organizer: Tanya Maslak, United States Global Change Research Program
Moderator: Tanya Maslak, United States Global Change Research Program
8:30 AM
1.2
Climate Change and Human Health: An Update on Federal Activities
John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS), Bethesda, MD
9:15 AM
1.3
Federal Program Overview
Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD
9:30 AM
1.4
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
Session 1
K-12 and Informal Educational Outreach Initiatives
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Susan Foster, UCAR; Kathleen A. Murphy, AMS Education Resource Educator
8:30 AM
1.1
Hail to the weather! Summer weather camps at the Clinton Presidential Library
Kevin A. Kloesel, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Kolodziej, P. Marsh, C. Taylor, and J. Willis
8:45 AM
1.2
A textbook free high school meteorology course
Jeffrey A. Yuhas, Concord-Carlisle Regional High School, Chelmsford, MA; and V. Tremblay
9:30 AM
1.5
Green Ninja: a new superhero for climate change
Eugene Cordero, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and B. Dallas, B. Sarrafan, C. David, and J. Gordon
Recording files available
Session 1
Satellite Program Status
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: John Furgerson, JPSS Program Office; Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office
8:30 AM
1.1
Update on EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Programmes
Johannes Schmetz, EUMETSAT, Darmstadt, Germany; and D. Klaes, R. Stuhlmann, P. Schlüssel, L. Sarlo, K. Holmlund, S. Rota, and M. Cohen
8:55 AM
Welcoming and Introductory Remarks

9:00 AM
1.2
9:15 AM
1.3
NPP/JPSS Status
Gary K. Davis, NOAA/NESDIS/OSD, Silver Spring, MD
9:30 AM
1.4
Defense Weather Satellite System (DWSS) Status
Ibrahim Awwad, Space and Missile Systems Center, El Segundo, CA
Recording files available
Session 1
Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling I
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Amy Hawes Butler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
8:30 AM
1.1A
The Tropospheric Response to Stratospheric Quasi-Bienniel Oscillation during Boreal Summer
Seok-woo Son, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada; and H. S. Kim, H. Lin, and C. H. Ho

8:45 AM
1.1
What controls the overturning circulation of the stratosphere?
Edwin P. Gerber, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and C. Chan and K. E. Sielert
9:15 AM
1.3
Stratosphere—Troposphere Coupling by Planetary Waves
Daniela I.V. Domeisen, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and R. A. Plumb
9:30 AM
1.4
Downward wave coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere: The importance of meridional wave guiding and comparison with zonal-mean coupling
Tiffany A. Shaw, Center for Atmosphere Ocean Science/Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY; and J. Perlwitz and N. Harnik
Recording files available
Session 1
Weather - ATM Integration and Translation: Model and Realization
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory
8:30 AM
1.1
ATM-Weather Integration and Translation Model
Mark W. Huberdeau, MITRE Corp., McLean, VA; and D. Pace, S. Bradford, M. Fronzak, C. McKnight, and E. B. Wilhelm
8:45 AM
1.2
2010 results from the 3km HRRR - verification, case study assessment, and HRRR-based convective probabilistic forecasts (HCPF)
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, S. G. Benjamin, T. Smirnova, M. Hu, and J. M. Brown
9:00 AM
1.3
Use of a High-Resolution Deterministic Weather Forecast for Strategic Air Traffic Management Decision Support
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. Venuti and S. McGettigan
9:15 AM
1.4
Prediction of Weather Impacts on Air Traffic through Flow Constrained Areas (FCA)
Yi-Hsin Lin, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. Sulkin and R. DeLaura
9:30 AM
1.5
Using stochastic, dynamic weather-impact models in strategic traffic flow management
Mengran Xue, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and S. M. Zobell, S. Roy, C. P. Taylor, Y. Wan, and C. Wanke
Recording files available
Session 1
World Weather Impacts in 2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS
8:30 AM
1.1
International Weather and Climate Events of 2010
Klaus E. Wolter, ESRL/Univ of Colorado-CIRES, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM
1.2
2010 Weather Impacts on Global Food Supply
Michael Ferrari, Coca Cola, Bethlehem, PA
9:15 AM
1.3
Assessing the Causes and Predictability of the 2010 Russian Heat Wave
Randall M. Dole, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling, J. Perlwitz, J. K. Eischeid, D. Murray, P. Pegion, X. Quan, T. Xu, and T. Zhang
9:30 AM
1.4
The July Floods in Pakistan: Could They Have Been Predicted?
Peter. J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. A. Houze Jr.
Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Aerosol Direct and Indirect Radiative Forcings
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Sundar A. Christopher, University of Alabama in Huntsville; Jonathan E. Pleim, EPA
8:30 AM
J3.1
Modeling aerosol direct and indirect effects in the 2-way coupled WRF-CMAQ
Jonathan E. Pleim, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and R. Mathur, D. Wong, S. Yu, and F. Binkowski
8:45 AM
J3.2
The Impact of Aged Aerosols on Mixed-Phased Clouds in the Arctic during April 2008
Jerome D. Fast, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. Rishel, P. Rasch, and L. Emmons
9:00 AM
J3.3
Marine Primary and Secondary Organic Aerosols and Their Effect on Indirect Radiative Forcing
Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and B. Gantt, J. Xu, A. Sabolis, E. Morris, and M. D. Petters
9:15 AM
J3.4
Recording files available
Session 3
Communication and Broadcast Meteorology
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, Ph.D; Chris Vaccaro, NOAA
8:30 AM
3.1
Weather as a Tool of Narrative Suspense: Implications and Consequences
Chad M. Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and S. A. Jasko and P. Hettler
9:15 AM
3.4
Communicating climate change in a weathercasting context: An analysis of “early adopter” TV meteorologists and their educational methods
Katherine Rowan, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and B. Klinger, J. Witte, P. Baldwin, B. Brown, and E. Maibach
9:30 AM
3.5
Supporting TV meteorologists' efforts to educate their viewers about climate change, and testing the impact: A quasi-experimental field study
Joe Witte, NASA / George Mason University, Arlington, 22209; and J. Gandy, B. Klinger, H. Cullen, X. Zhao, J. Thaker, K. Rowan, N. Heller, and E. Maibach

Recording files available
Session 3A
Communication Technologies for Accessing and Distributing Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Data, Forecasts, and Information Part I
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Timothy Crum, Retired, NWS; Christina Lief, NOAA/NCDC; Lola Olsen, NASA
8:30 AM
3A.1
The new NWS WSR-88D level II data collection, distribution, and archive network architecture
Donald J. Horvat, Arctic Slope Regional Corporation, Norman, OK; and C. Horvat, C. Calvert, and T. Crum
8:45 AM
3A.2
The weather and climate toolkit
Steve Ansari, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. A. Del Greco and B. Hankins
9:00 AM
3A.3
NWS forecast grids served via a Net-Enabled Web Coverage Service
Steven R. Olson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Oberfield, M. Peroutka, and D. Gilmore

9:15 AM
3A.4
A preview of NCEP's new product communication strategies and data visualization Initiatives
Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. S. Mabe and S. Jacobs

9:30 AM
3A.5
Improving communication using NWS local climate analysis tool
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Hollingshead, D. Hilderbrand, B. Mayes Boustead, T. Hartley, N. McGavock, E. Lau, F. C. Fritsch, L. Brown, E. A. O'Lenic, B. C. Motta, and R. Bunge
Recording files available
Session 3B
Data Stewardship: Collecting, Preserving, Communicating Weather and Climate Data: Keynote Session
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Mohan K. Ramamurthy, UCAR; Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
9:00 AM
3B.2
The changing research data paradigm
Clifford A. Jacobs, NSF, Arlington, VA
9:15 AM
3B.3
9:30 AM
3B.4
Discussion Session
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, UCAR, Boulder, CO
Recording files available
Session 4
Climate Analysis III
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
8:30 AM
4.1
The association of outgoing solar (albedo) and OLR radiation with variations of precipitation
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. E. Schwartz
8:45 AM
4.2
Extreme temperature regimes during the cool season
Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and R. Westby

9:00 AM
4.3
What forms the subtropical maximum in mid-tropospheric warming?
Jian (Tony) Ma, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie
9:15 AM
4.4
The observed extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. Bosart and D. Keyser
9:30 AM
4.5
An examination of climate variability in the southeastern United States based on a modulated annual cycle
Sarah E. Strazzo, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Z. Wu
Recording files available
Session 4
Climatology of Lightning and the Global Electric Circuit II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Eric C. Bruning, Texas Tech Univ
8:30 AM
4.1
9:00 AM
4.2
The North American Lightning Detection Network (NALDN): Analysis of Flash Data – 2001-2009
Richard E. Orville, Texas A&M University, College Sation, TX; and G. R. Huffines, W. R. Burrows, and K. L. Cummins
9:15 AM
4.3
Toward a climatology of precipitating systems that produce lightning with large impulse charge moment changes
Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. A. Lyons, S. A. Cummer, S. Rutledge, and T. E. Nelson
9:30 AM
4.4
Total lightning and precipitation over Brazil: An overview from 12-years of TRMM satellite
Rachel I. Albrecht, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and K. P. Naccarato, O. Pinto Jr., and I. R. C. A. Pinto
Recording files available
Session 4
Developments in Data Assimilation and Physics-based Forecast Models
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Geoff Crowley, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates
8:30 AM
4.1
Prospects and Challenges for Data Assimilation in Magnetosphere Models
Joachim Raeder, Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and T. Matsuo and J. Anderson
8:45 AM
4.2
Data assimilation models for ionosphere specifications and forecasts
Robert W. Schunk, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT; and L. Scherliess, J. J. Sojka, D. C. Thompson, and L. Zhu
9:00 AM
4.3
Modeling ring current enhancements during magnetic storms
Michele D. Cash, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. M. Harnett and R. M. Winglee

9:30 AM
4.5
WSA Derived Coronal Hole Comparison with STEREO EUVI Observations
C. Nick Arge, Air Force Research Lab, Kirtland AFB, NM; and C. J. Henney, K. Shurkin, J. Koller, A. Toussaint, S. Young, D. Mackenzie, and J. W. Harvey
Recording files available
Session 4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
8:30 AM
4.1
8:45 AM
4.2
Hydrologic sensitivities of Colorado River runoff to changes in temperature and precipitation
Julie A. Vano, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Das and D. P. Lettenmaier
9:00 AM
4.3
Probabilistic climate change analysis for stormwater runoff in the Pacific Northwest
Gregory S. Karlovits, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and J. C. Adam
9:15 AM
4.4
Climate change impacts in the Tahoe region: past and projected future trends
Robert N. Coats, Hydroikos Ltd., Berkeley, CA; and M. Costa-Cabral, M. D. Dettinger, J. Reuter, J. Riverson, G. Sahoo, G. Schladow, and B. Wolfe
9:30 AM
4.5
Recording files available
Session 4A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty I: Large-scale systems
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Zoltan Toth, NOAA/ESRL/GSD
8:30 AM
4A.1
Prediction of Extratropical Cyclones by TIGGE Ensemble Prediction Systems
Lizzie S. R. Froude, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
9:00 AM
4A.3
Ensemble-based prediction and diagnostics during the PREDICT field experiment
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Torn
9:15 AM
4A.4
Results from testing of EnKF and an EnKF-Var hybrid using the GFS during the 2010 hurricane season
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker, S. G. Benjamin, M. Fiorino, and D. T. Kleist
9:30 AM
4A.5
Forecast products for hurricane prediction: deterministic and ensemble-based
Erik Andersson, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and F. Prates and D. Richardson
Recording files available
Session 4B
New Forecasting Systems and Capabilities
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah
8:30 AM
4B.1
Overview of Chinese New Generation NWP System GRAPES
Jishan Xue, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China
8:45 AM
4B.2
Development of a new global forecast system in CMA
Xueshun Shen, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
9:00 AM
4B.3
Experiences with a 1.5km version of the Met Office Unified Model for short range forecasting
Humphrey W. Lean, Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and F. J. Bornemann, Y. Tang, and E. Carter
9:15 AM
4B.4
Transitioning research to operations: Implementing the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for developing countries
Brent L. Shaw, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and R. L. Carpenter, Jr., P. L. Spencer, Z. M. DuFran, J. W. Conway, and M. D. Eilts
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Wade T. Crow, USDA
8:30 AM
J6.1
Estimating the global terrestrial hydrologic cycle through modeling, remote sensing, and data assimilation [INVITED]
Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. Pan, A. Sahoo, J. Sheffield, and T. Troy

8:45 AM
J6.2
A Bayesian analysis scheme for estimating river depth using SWOT measurements [INVITED]
Michael Durand, The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and K. Andreadis, L. Smith, and M. Mersel
9:00 AM
J6.3
9:15 AM
J6.4A
Contributions of precipitation and soil moisture observations to the skill of soil moisture estimates in a land data assimilation system
Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu, R. Bindlish, M. Cosh, W. T. Crow, R. de Jeu, G. De Lannoy, G. J. Huffman, and T. J. Jackson

9:30 AM
J6.5
Towards assimilation methods that adequately reflect distinct sources of error: A Bayesian perspective [INVITED]
Dmitri Kavetski, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; and A. Newman, G. Evin, M. Thyer, and G. Kuczera
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, University of Michigan
8:30 AM
J7.1
An overview of the coupled atmosphere-wildland fire model WRF-Fire
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley and A. Kochanski
Manuscript (352.5 kB)

8:45 AM
J7.2
9:30 AM
J7.5

9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 5
Analyses of Results from Operational Weather Modification Programs - Part 1
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants; Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR
9:00 AM
5.1
Invited Speaker: Hail damage reduction activities
Paul L. Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and B. A. Boe
9:15 AM
5.2
Assessment of Hail Prevention experiments and operations in Spain: comparison seeded and unseeded periods
J. L. Sánchez, University of Leon, León, León, Spain; and L. López, A. Merino, E. García-Ortega, and J. Dessens
9:30 AM
5.3
Observations of supercooled liquid water over Tasmania and the Southern Ocean
Steven T. Siems, Monash University, Monash, Victoria, Australia; and Y. Huang, A. E. Morrison, and M. J. Manton

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Joint Poster Session 1
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Susan C. Steele-Dunne, TU Delft; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
42
Evaluation of the impacts of assimilating multi-sensor snow observations on land surface processes
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, C. D. Peters-Lidard, M. Shaw, D. K. Hall, J. L. Foster, G. A. Riggs, and J. B. Eylander

Paper 43 has been moved. New paper number is J6.4A.

43A
(Formerly 7.4) High Spatial Resolution Observation of Rainfall from Space
James A. Weinman, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Mori, G. Levy, and F. S. Marzano

44
Field-Scale Soil Moisture Assimilation: State, Parameter or Bias Estimation?
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and V. Pauwels, R. H. Reichle, W. P. Kustas, T. Gish, P. R. Houser, A. Russ, and N. Verhoest

46
Impacts of the new satellite derived land products on mesoscale precipitation processes
Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. B. Ek

50
Comparison analysis of water and energy fluxes and application of model products for North-American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell, M. B. Ek, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, D. P. Lettenmaier, V. Koren, Q. Duan, K. C. Mo, and Y. Fan

51
Evaluation and analysis of model-simulated soil temperature in the North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Sheffield, M. B. Ek, H. Wei, E. F. Wood, S. Feng, L. Luo, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

52
Surface Water and Energy Budgets for the Mississippi River Basin In Three NCEP Analyses
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

53
54
A land data assimilation system using MODIS-derived land data and its application to WRF prediction
Yoon-Jin Lim, Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Daejeon, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Byun, T. Y. Lee, J. Kim, and M. S. Joh

Handout (1.9 MB)

55
Calibration of Three Sophisticated Operational Hydrological Forecast Models Using Land-Data Assimilation: Comparison of Results Over Selected Basins in Romania
John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC, Raleigh, NC; and D. J. Gochis, C. J. Coats Jr., J. Vukovich, and T. K. Burnet

56
NASA Water Resources Program and LDAS for Improved Water Management
David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Doorn

Paper 57 has been moved. New paper number is J21.4A.

58
Snow surface temperature update process in Noah land surface model: a modified approach
Rebeka Sultana, University of California, Irvine, CA; and K. L. Hsu, J. Li, and S. Sorooshian

59
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia
Battumur Tserenchunt Jr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia


Poster Session 1
Poster Session for ARAM Symposium on Weather - Air Traffic Management Integration
Host: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
325
Poster 325 has been moved. New paper number 2.3A

326
Modeling Convective Weather Avoidance of Arrivals in Terminal Airspace
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura
Manuscript (2.5 MB)

Handout (183.8 kB)

327
The Weather and Air Traffic Management Integration course in the graduate Aeronautics program at Embry-Riddle
John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL
Manuscript (63.8 kB)

Handout (456.7 kB)

331
Evidence of Post-Frontal Mountain Wave Enhanced Wind Shear in Juneau Alaska
Carl F. Dierking, NOAA/NWS, Juneau, AK; and F. C. Fritsch
Manuscript (1.4 MB)

Handout (5.2 MB)

332
333
Objective calibrated wind speed and crosswind probabilistic forecasts for the Hong Kong International Airport
Ping Cheung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. C. Lam
Manuscript (965.5 kB)

Handout (993.7 kB)

335
Studies of the effectiveness of the water vapor sensing system, WVSS-II, in supporting airline operations and improved air traffic capacity
Randy Baker, United Parcel Service, Louisville, KY; and R. Curtis, D. Helms, A. Homans, and B. Ford
Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Handout (3.4 MB)

337
Impact of abnormal electromagnetic propagation on UAS risk mitigation with radar
Randall Johnson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson, J. Tilley, and C. Theisen

338
On the use of low-cost unmanned aircraft platforms as part of a system to determine short-term electromagnetic propagation characteristics in the surface and boundary layers
Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and D. Delene, J. Nordlie, R. Johnson, K. Strang, B. Gunvalson, P. Tselios, and M. A. Askelson

339
The Utility of TAMDAR in the NextGen-Oriented CLEEN Program
Neil A. Jacobs, AirDat LLC, Morrisville, NC; and M. Croke, P. Childs, Y. Liu, X. Y. Huang, and R. DeJong


Poster Session 2
Ensembles and Probabilistic Forecasting
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
111
The value of ensembles and statistical post-processing for ship routing guidance
James Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Etro, A. Etro, J. Cook, I. Nutall, and S. Hall

112
Covarying TC-forced wind speed/wave height probabilities
James Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. R. Sampson, P. A. Wittmann, M. DeMaria, and J. Knaff

113
Ensemble based probabilistic forecast and its verification
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

114
Impact of formulation and resolution on ensemble forecast performance
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. McLay, J. S. Goerss, E. Serra, D. Hodyss, C. R. Sampson, M. Flatau, and J. A. Ridout

115
Ensemble Hurricane forecasts from a suite of Mesoscale models
Mrinal K. Biswas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

116
What is a reasonable ensemble size for operational ensemble forecast?
Juhui Ma, NCEP/NWS, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu
Manuscript (595.3 kB)

118
Ensemble prediction system development for hydrometeorological testbed (HMT) application
Isidora Jankov, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. Albers, H. Yuan, L. S. Wharton, Z. Toth, T. Schneider, A. White, and F. M. Ralph

119
What are the added values of LAMEPS?
Yong Wang, Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Vienna, Austria
Manuscript (772.5 kB)

120
Inclusion of FNMOC ensemble into NAEFS
Bo Cui, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu

121
NAEFS statistical down-scaling method applications to Alaska
Bo Cui, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu

122
Evaluating probabilistic precipitation forecasts generated by deterministic convection-allowing NWP models
Jill D. Hardy, NSF, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Novak, J. J. Gourley, and M. E. Pyle

Handout (1.3 MB)

123
Improving probabilistic ensemble forecasts of convection through the application of QPF-POP relationships
Christopher J. Schaffer, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and M. Segal
Manuscript (445.1 kB)

125
In-line processing of ensemble distributions in a simple model
Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Hansen and C. A. Reynolds

126
Optimization of Stochastic Total Tendency Perturbation Scheme
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu, S. Moorthi, R. Wobus, J. Ma, and W. Yang

Poster 127 has been moved. New paper number is 6A.3A.

129
Down-Selection of NWP Ensemble Configurations
Jared Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Kolczynski Jr., T. C. McCandless, S. E. Haupt, D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng, and K. J. Schmehl
Manuscript (1015.8 kB)

132
ensembleBMA: An R package for probabilistic weather forecasting
Chris Fraley, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. E. Raftery, T. Gneiting, and M. Sloughter
Manuscript (1.3 MB)

133
Geostatistical model averaging for locally calibrated probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting
William Kleiber, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. E. Raftery and T. Gneiting

134
Impact of Sea Surface Temperature Uncertainty on the Western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH) and rainfall
Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop, T. Holt, and L. W. O'Neill

135
Experimental Probabalistic Forecast Information Provided by NWS WFOs
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA, Valley, NE; and S. A. Amburn


Poster Session 2
Poster Session 2
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
150
Global precipitation diurnal variations depicted in the observation and the CFS Reanalysis
Soo-Hyun Yoo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC and Wyle Scientific, Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie and W. Wang

Handout (3.7 MB)

151
California temperature and precipitation trends: climate variability or global warming
Steve LaDochy, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and P. Ramirez, D. Killam, A. Bui, W. C. Patzert, and J. Willis
Manuscript (578.3 kB)

Handout (420.4 kB)

152
Impact of a fine scale SST over the Kuroshio Extension region to wintertime rainfall
Satoshi Iizuka, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Dairaku and W. Sasaki

153
Decadal amplitude modulation of two types of ENSO and mean state changes
Jung Choi, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. I. An and S. W. Yeh

154
NARCCAP regional climate model simulations of the North American monsoon
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Gochis and L. O. Mearns

Handout (35.6 MB)

155
Conspicuous greening in the end of growing season over Arctic region
Su Jong Jeong, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. M. Kim and C. H. Ho

157
Potential Precursors to and Implications of Tropical Cyclone Passage: A Regional Climate Perspective
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Handout (7.2 MB)

158
30-year satellite-based time series: Is vegetation greening up?
Felix Kogan, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

159
Vegetation greening accelerates surface warming and sea-ice melting over the Arctic and high-latitude regions
Sang-Yoon Jun, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho, J. H. Jeong, and J. S. Kug

161
Projected changes of regional heat waves in Central/Eastern Europe using climate model simulations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. B. Bartha, O. Torek, I. Pieczka, and C. Torma
Manuscript (3.2 MB)

Handout (613.2 kB)

162
Simulated trend of wet and dry climatic conditions in Central/Eastern Europe using PRECIS outputs
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, I. Pieczka, B. Hollosi, and O. Torek
Manuscript (3.0 MB)

Handout (694.1 kB)

163
Analysis of the urban heat island effect—comparison of ground-based and remotely sensed temperature observations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, E. Lelovics, and Z. Dezso
Manuscript (264.2 kB)

Handout (8.0 MB)


Poster Session 3
Lightning Safety, Protection, and Education II
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Gregory R. Patrick, NWS
314
Detection Efficiencies and Range Accuracies of Three Portable Lightning Detectors Compared with the National Lightning Detection Network
Alex J. DeCaria, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and J. W. Wimer, H. M. Fijalkowski, M. R. Miziorko, and J. A. Limbacher
Manuscript (82.0 kB)

Handout (358.9 kB)

315
Comparison of the United States Precision Lightning Network™ (USPLN™) and the Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Surveillance System (CGLSS)
Alexander A. Jacques, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. P. Koermer and T. R. Boucher
Manuscript (833.6 kB)

Handout (1.1 MB)

316
A statistical model for the inter-annual and intra-annual number of lightning fatalities
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL
Manuscript (241.3 kB)

Handout (235.3 kB)

317
Is the risk of a lightning casualty actually less in an open field than a forest?
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL
Manuscript (136.6 kB)

Handout (142.5 kB)


Poster Session 4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
60
Loading the dice: Climate change and recent Northwest droughts
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. A. Mckinnon, P. W. Mote, and P. Pall

Handout (1.0 MB)

61
Trends and sensitivities in late-season snowpack in the Pacific Northwest
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Mantua

Handout (2.3 MB)

62
Effects of climate change on Olympic National Park flood risks
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Y. Lee and I. M. Tohver

Handout (1.8 MB)

63
64
Sensitivity of Projected Streamflow Changes to Future Scenarios in Three Hydrologic Regimes in BC
Arelia T. Werner, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett, M. A. Schnorbus, and A. B. Berland

65
Quantifying the hydrologic impacts of mountain pine beetle and salvage harvest in the Fraser River drainage, British Columbia, Canada
Markus A. Schnorbus, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett and A. T. Werner

67
Stationarity, variability and change in hydrologic extremes
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. E. Kunkel

68
On the origin of recent changes in western North American snowpack
Sarah Kapnick, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall

69
A study of lakes and wetlands in Africa from land surface modeling
Huilin Gao, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Bohn and D. P. Lettenmaier

71
Implications of glacier change to Upper Indus River streamflow
Bibi S. Naz, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and L. C. Bowling, M. Ashfaq, and N. S. Diffenbaugh

72
Simulating climate variability and change in Central Asia using a coupled NHMM-AR1 Model
Scott Sellars, Columbia Water Center, New York City, NY; and A. W. Robertson and T. Siegfried

Handout (2.3 MB)


Poster Session 4
The Utility of Lightning Data in Operational Warning and Decision-Making Processes I
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Gregory R. Patrick, NWS
318
Assessing impulses and decay of overshooting tops relative to supercell collapse using lightning and phased array radar data
Vanna C. Chmielewski, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. M. Kuhlman, D. R. MacGorman, and S. A. Weiss
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (1.5 MB)

319
The Utility of Total Lightning for Diagnosing the Severity of Summer Pulse Convection
Christopher B. Darden, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL; and B. Carcione, A. M. Woodward, and G. T. Stano

Handout (2.3 MB)

Poster 320 has been moved. New paper number J1.2A

321
NCAR AutoNowcaster performance using total lightning and NLDN data
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Nelson, W. Deierling, and N. Oien

Handout (607.1 kB)

322
The application of lightning density map in the analysis of a severe rainstorm case in Hong Kong
W.H. Leung, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and W. M. Ma and H. K. Yeung
Manuscript (846.8 kB)

323
Determining relationships between lightning and radar in severe and non-severe storms
S. D. Rudlosky, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD; and H. E. Fuelberg

324
Diagnosing storm intensity using coupled TRMM Lightning Imaging Sensor and Meteosat Second Generation in preparation for GOES-R
C. P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walker, W. M. MacKenzie Jr., and J. R. Mecikalski


Poster Session 5
Progress in Estimating Land Surface Evaporation
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC
73
The fallacy of drifting snow
Edgar L. Andreas, NorthWest Research Associates, Inc., Lebanon, NH
Manuscript (251.7 kB)

Handout (318.7 kB)

74
A watershed scale Groundwater-Land-Surface Model
Yuning Shi, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and K. J. Davis and C. J. Duffy

Handout (1.7 MB)

75
Application of a Unified Land Model for estimation of the terrestrial water balance
Ben Livneh, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. J. Restrepo

Handout (2.3 MB)

76
Improve the estimation of sublimation and evaporation from the ground snow surface and frozen soil in WRF
Yihua Wu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek

78
Regional modeling of evapotranspiration using WRF coupled to the high complexity land surface model ACASA
Liyi Xu, University of California, Davis, CA; and R. D. Pyles and K. T. Paw U

79
Use of a dual temperature-difference two-source model to estimate the turbulent energy fluxes under strongly advective conditions during BEAREX08
Joseph G. Alfieri, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and W. P. Kustas, M. C. Anderson, P. D. Colaizzi, J. H. Prueger, L. E. Hipps, J. L. Chavez, S. R. Evett, K. S. Copeland, and T. A. Howell

Handout (263.5 kB)

80
Estimating Distributed Soil Evaporation to Account for Background Evaporation Between Satellite Image Dates
Jeppe Kjaersgaard, University of Idaho, Kimberly, ID; and R. Allen, A. Kilic, I. Ratcliffe, P. Ranade, R. Trezza, and C. Robison

Handout (125.2 kB)

81
Web-based disseminating of surface energy balance evapotranspiration estimates
Amnon Nevo, Riverside Technology, inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. C. Martin

Handout (395.6 kB)

82
Developing two long-term, daily datasets of evaporative demand across the conterminous US
Mike Hobbins, University of Kansas, Boulder, CO; and D. Streubel, K. Werner, and D. Brandon

Handout (8.5 MB)

11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 6
Analyses of Results from Operational Weather Modification Programs - Part 2
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Paul Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Richard H. Stone, RHS Consulting, Ltd.
11:00 AM
6.1
Brief description of the rain mitigation operations during Beijing 2008 Olympic opening ceremony
Qiang Zhang, Beijing Weather Modification Office, Beijing, China; and H. He, M. Huang, H. Y. Li, J. Z. Liu, X. Ma, B. P. Koloskov, and V. P. Korneev
11:15 AM
6.2
30+ WINTER SEASONS of OPERATIONAL CLOUD SEEDING in UTAH
Don A. Griffith, North American Weather Consultants, Sandy, UT; and M. E. Solak and D. P. Yorty

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture

Session 1
Communication and Diversity in the History of Atmospheric Science (Co-Sponsored by the Board on Women and Minorities)
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Ninth History Symposium
Speakers: Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania; Denzil Ford, University of British Columbia
Chair: Dr. Sepideh Yalda, Millersville Univ.
11:00 AM
1.1
Oceanography, photography, and possession in the south east Pacific, Chile, and Peru
Denzil Ford, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada

11:15 AM
1.2
Historical Perspectives on Structural Discrimination in Atmospheric Science
Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA

Recording files available
Session 2
Probabilistic Weather Avoidance and Traffic Flow Management
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Craig Wanke, The MITRE Corporation
11:00 AM
2.1
NextGen Trajectory-Based Integration of Grid-Based Weather Avoidance Fields
Robert Avjian, Lockheed Martin Information Systems & Global Solutions, Rockville, MD; and J. Dehn, Ph.D and J. G. Stobie, Ph.D
11:15 AM
2.2
Probabilistic pilot-behavior models for clear-air turbulence avoidance maneuvers
R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Krozel and V. Klimenko
Recording files available
Session 2
Sensor Performance
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: Thomas M. Renkevens, NOAA/NESDIS; Pamela Sullivan, JPSS Flight Project
11:00 AM
2.1
The improved imagery of the ABI on GOES-R
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Madison, WI; and J. Gurka and M. M. Gunshor
11:15 AM
2.2
NPP CrIS Sensor Performance Review and Cal/Val Plan Overview
Gail A. Bingham, Utah State Univ./SDL, Logan, UT; and C. Fish, M. Esplin, V. Zavyalov, M. Greenman, and T. Nielsen
11:30 AM
2.3
GOES-R space weather observations and products
S. M. Hill, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO; and R. Rutledge, J. C. Green, T. Onsager, H. J. Singer, R. Viereck, M. Shouldis, P. loto'Aniu, L. Mayer, E. J. Rigler, and J. V. Rodriguez
11:45 AM
2.4
The GOES-R Series Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM)
Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD; and R. J. Blakeslee, W. J. Koshak, and D. M. Mach
Recording files available
Session 2
Winter Impacts 2009-2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Renee Curry, National Wildlife Federation
11:00 AM
2.1
Tracking Changes in the Arctic Environment
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland, J. Calder, and J. A. Richter-Menge
11:15 AM
2.2
Western US Storm Impacts - January 18-23, 2010
Mark A. Tew, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
11:30 AM
2.3
The Southern Plains Ice Storm of January 28-29, 2010
Kevin A. Kloesel, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:45 AM
2.4
East Coast Snow Storm Impacts
David A. Call, Ball State University, Muncie, IN

Recording files available
Session 4A
Communication Technologies for Accessing and Distributing Climate, Weather, and Hydrologic Data, Forecasts, and Information Part II
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Timothy Crum, Retired, NWS; Christina Lief, NOAA/NCDC
11:00 AM
4A.1
Implementation of a hydrologic information data server in the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex
John A. McEnery, University of Texas, Arlington, TX; and P. W. McKee, G. P. Shelton, and R. W. Ramsay
11:15 AM
4A.2
Web-based Tsunami Forecasting Tools
Eugene Burger, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and C. W. Moore, C. Chamberlin, and D. W. Denbo
11:30 AM
4A.3
Creating a Scalable Solution for Producing Quality Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts
Daniel W. Lennartson, Telvent DTN, Minneapolis, MN; and J. H. Block
11:45 AM
4A.4
NextGen 4-D Weather Data Cube Development and tools for Content Developers
Jebb Q. Stewart, NOAA/ESRL and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and M. Leon, C. MacDermaid, M. Schultz, and L. Sherretz
Recording files available
Session 4B
Data Stewardship: Data Discovery
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Steven Worley, NCAR; Mark R. Anderson, University of Nebraska-Lincoln
11:00 AM
4B.1
An introduction to the Advanced Tracking and Resource tool for Archive Collections (ATRAC)
Philip Jones, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. Roberts and N. Ritchey
11:15 AM
4B.2
11:30 AM
4B.3
Libre: Freeing your data—Free to share, free to discover and use
Ruth E. Duerr, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Parsons
11:45 AM
4B.4
NOAA's Climate Database Modernization Program (CDMP) paving the road for data stewardship
William E. Angel, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. F. Ross and R. Truesdall
Recording files available
Session 5
Future Directions in Space Weather
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Chair: Joseph Kunches, NOAA/SWPC
11:15 AM
5.3
GPS & Space Weather: Understanding the Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience
Genene Fisher, AMS Policy Program, Washington, DC

Paper 5.2 has been moved. New Paper number 5.4A

11:30 AM
5.4
Space Weather Impacts on the Ground Based Augmentation System
Tim Murphy, Boeing Commercial Airplane Group, Seattle, WA

11:45 AM
5.4A
A Tribute to Paul Kintner
Anthea Coster, MIT, Westford, MA
Recording files available
Session 5
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
11:15 AM
5.2
Dynamic reservoir operations using seasonal hydrologic forecasts: managing water resources for ecological integrity
Scott Steinschneider, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and B. Pitta, R. Palmer, C. Brown, D. Ahlfeld, A. Polebitski, and K. Adamec
11:30 AM
5.3
Management Implications of Non-Stationary Hydrology: Decision-Scale Approaches
J. R. Arnold, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Seattle, IL; and P. Wagner, S. Gangopadhyay, K. D. White, L. D. Brekke, R. Olsen, and D. Raff
Recording files available
Session 5
Recent Advances in Lightning Technology and Transfer of that Technology from Research to Operations I
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Wiebke Deierling, NCAR
11:00 AM
5.1
The GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM): Algorithm and Instrument Status
Steven J. Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD; and H. J. Christian Jr.
11:30 AM
5.2
Recording files available
Session 5A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty II: Large-scale Systems
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Justin McLay, NRL
11:00 AM
5A.1
The development of Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Hou, M. Wei, R. Wobus, S. Moorthi, and J. Ma
11:15 AM
5A.2
Optimizing ensemble forecasts by EnKF in NCEP operational environment
Mozheng Wei, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu, D. Kleist, J. Derber, S. J. Lord, and J. Whitaker

11:30 AM
5A.3
11:45 AM
5A.4
Verification of winds and seas forecasts from the FNMOC ensemble forecast system
Michael Sestak, FNMOC, Monterey, CA; and S. Klotz, J. A. Hansen, P. M. Pauley, and P. A. Wittmann
Recording files available
Session 5B
Forecast Center Overviews I
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL
11:00 AM
5B.1
Recent progress in analysis and prediction at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Environmental Modeling Center (Invited Speaker)
Stephen J. Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. M. Lapenta, J. Ward, G. DiMego, H. L. Tolman, J. C. Derber, Y. Zhu, M. B. Ek, H. L. Pan, and M. Iredell
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)
Location: 3A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University; Nicholas Meskhidze, North Carolina State University
11:00 AM
J6.1
(Invited Speaker) Effects of particle composition on cloud droplet nucleation
Sonia M. Kreidenweis, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
11:30 AM
J6.2
Cloud droplet growth of biogenic and anthropogenic Cloud Condensation Nuclei
Akua Asa-Awuku, University of California, Riverside, CA

11:45 AM
J6.3
Stratus cloud supersaturations
James G. Hudson, DRI, Reno, NV; and S. R. Noble and V. Jha
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Computational intelligence methods for remote sensing and analysis
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) )
Cochairs: Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma; William F. Roberts, NOAA
11:00 AM
J6.1
A winter hydrometeor classification algorithm
Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. D. Reeves, T. M. Smith, and K. L. Ortega
11:15 AM
J6.2
A support vector machine model for determining radiative heating profiles
Nathaniel Beagley, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane and J. E. Flaherty
11:45 AM
J6.4
Tornadic supercell analysis from Oklahoma mesonet and proximity sounding observations: a spatiotemporal relational data mining approach
David John Gagne II, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. McGovern, J. B. Basara, and R. A. Brown
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Observations of Middle Atmosphere Composition
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Chair: Michelle L. Santee, JPL
11:00 AM
J7.1
Discovery of an orange FeO feature in the night airglow spectrum with the OSIRIS spectrograph on Odin
W.F.J. Evans, North West Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and R. L. Gattinger, D. A. Degenstein, E. J. Lewellyn, and T. G. Slanger
11:15 AM
J7.2
Evaluation of the NOAA Cohesive SBUV(/2) Profile Ozone Data Set
Jeannette Wild, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC and U. Maryland/CISESS/ESSIC, College Park, MD; and C. S. Long, A. H. Butler, S. K. Yang, S. Zhou, and R. Lin
11:30 AM
J7.3
Global distribution of minor constituents observed by SMILES and its dynamical background
Yoko Naito, Kyoto Univ., Kyoto, Japan; and N. Nishi, E. Nishimoto, M. Suzuki, C. Mitsuda, C. Takahashi, K. Imai, N. Manago, H. Hayashi, T. Sano, and M. Shiotani
11:45 AM
J7.4
The first, long-term, in situ measurement of ozone depletion in the Antarctic ozone hole
Lars E. Kalnajs, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. M. Avallone, T. Deshler, and P. Cocquerez
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
What Improved Communication Technologies Mean for Weather and Climate Education
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Symposium on Education; and the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) )
Cochairs: Donna J. Charlevoix, UNAVCO; Lola M. Olsen, NASA; Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA ESRL Global Monitoring Division; Thomas M. Whittaker, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin
11:00 AM
J7.1
Geopod: An interactive module for navigating and probing geophysical data
Michael R. Root, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and K. P. Waegel, L. M. Crouse, G. M. Zoppetti, R. D. Clark, and S. Yalda

Paper J7.4 has been moved. The new paper number is J1.5A.

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Risk Communication of Hurricanes
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Julie L. Demuth, NCAR; Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center
11:00 AM
J10.1
Risk Communication Across Cultures
Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
11:15 AM
J10.2
Dynamics of hurricane risk perception
Holly Marlatt, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. W. Trumbo, L. Peek, M. Lueck, E. Gruntfest, B. McNoldy, and W. Schubert
11:30 AM
J10.3
Improving storm surge risk communication
Betty Hearn Morrow, SocResearch, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome

11:45 AM
J10.4
Assessing the Publics' Need For Storm Surge Warning Information
Jeffrey K. Lazo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Morrow, J. Rhome, and J. Feyen
Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
11:00 AM
J20.1
Overview of the North American Land Data Assimilation System
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, and K. Mo
11:15 AM
J20.2
Monitoring Many Faces of Drought over the United States based on the NLDAS systems [INVITED]
Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Xia and M. Ek
11:30 AM
J20.3
Validation and Assessment of Model-Simulated Soil Moisture in the North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2
Helin Wei, EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Sheffield, M. B. Ek, E. F. Wood, L. Luo, J. Dong, and J. Meng
11:45 AM
J20.4
Evaluation and validation of model-simulated streamflow for North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, M. B. Ek, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, Q. Duan, and D. Lohmann
Recording files available
Lecture
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 2
Radar-Lidar Techniques in Pollution, Climate and Weather Studies
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Jennifer M. Comstock, PNNL; Simone Lolli, LEOSPHERE
11:15 AM
2.2
Cloud Properties from a Combined Lidar-Radar retrieval in the tropical western Pacific
Julia E. Flaherty, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. A. McFarlane and J. M. Comstock
11:30 AM
2.3
Attenuation Correction of Reflectivity for X-Band Dual Polarization Radar
Yuxiang He, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Xiao
Manuscript (583.6 kB)

11:45 AM
2.4
12:00 PM
2.5
Intercomparison of Multi-Sensor Retrievals of Cloud Microphysical Properties—Results using ARM data at Darwin, Australia
Jennifer M. Comstock, PNNL, Richland, WA; and A. Protat, S. McFarlane, J. Delanoë, and M. Deng
Recording files available
Session 3
Experiments involving observations, real or hypothetical: data impact tests (sensitivity of forecasts to a particular source of observations); observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs)—Part II
Location: 2B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)
Chair: Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL
11:00 AM
3.1
Data assimilative modeling and OSSEs experiments for the monitoring of the Loop Current frontal dynamics—Application to the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
Villy H. Kourafalou, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. LeHenaff, A. Srinivasan, G. R. Halliwell Jr., and R. M. Atlas
11:15 AM
3.2
OSE/OSSE Evaluation of the Impact of Targeted P3 Airborne Ocean Observations Obtained in Response to the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill
George R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and O. M. Smedstad, P. Hogan, L. K. Shay, V. H. Kourafalou, M. LeHenaff, A. Srinivasan, F. Marks, and R. M. Atlas
11:30 AM
3.3
Observation sensitivity based on ensembles for storm surge forecasting
Martin Verlaan, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands; and J. Sumihar

11:45 AM
3.4
Observation impact and sensitivity analysis applied to ocean circulation estimates using 4D-Var
Andrew M. Moore, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA; and H. Arango, G. Broquet, C. A. Edwards, M. Veneziani, and B. Powell
12:00 PM
3.5
Forecast Sensitivity to Data Assimilation System Observation and Background Error Covariance Parameters
Dacian N. Daescu, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and R. H. Langland and R. Todling
Recording files available
Session 3
NOAA Oceans and Human Health Initiative (OHHI): Responses of pathogenic Vibrios to climate, climate change and implications for health early warning systems.
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Chairs: Mark S. Strom, NOAA Fisheries Service; Carolyn Sotka, NOAA
11:00 AM
Introductory Remarks
11:15 AM
3.2
Public Health, working towards safer shellfish in Washington State
Cari Franz-West, Washington Department of Health, Office of Shellfish and Water Protection, Olympia, WA
11:30 AM
3.4
The West Coast Center for Oceans and Human Health: enhancing early warning systems for marine biotoxins and pathogens using climate information
Mark S. Strom, NOAA Fisheries Service, Seattle, WA; and V. L. Trainer, S. K. Moore, R. N. Paranjpye, and L. D. Rhodes
11:45 AM
3.3
Forecasting Human Health Risks from Bacteria in the Ocean
D. Jay Grimes, University of Southern Mississippi, Ocean Springs, MS
12:15 PM
3.5

11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 7
All Other Manmade Impacts on Weather-Scale Phenomena
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification
Cochairs: Paul Smith, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Richard H. Stone, RHS Consulting, Ltd.
11:45 AM
7.1
Waves of destruction: The launch of SDO
Adam D. Jacobs, NASA, Millersville, PA; and W. D. Pesnell

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session
NASA Earth Science Division Town Hall Meeting
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
12:15 PM
Townhall_Freilich
Michael H. Freilich, NASA Earth Science Division, Science Mission Directorate, Washington, DC
Recording files available
Session
Town Hall Meeting: Impact of Human Occupancy at the 2011 AMS Annual Convention
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
12:15 PM
Impact of Human Occupancy at 2011 AMS Meeting
David J. Sailor, Portland State Univ., Portland, OR
Recording files available
Session
Town Hall Meeting: The National Weather Service Strategic Plan
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Town Hall Meetings
12:15 PM
NWS Strategic Plan
Dr. Jack Hayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Workshop Session 1
Eloquent Professional Communication: Customer-Oriented Writing and High-Impact Presentations
Location: 304 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Workshop on Eloquent Professional Communication
Official: David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute
1:30 PM
W1.1
Customer-Oriented Writing and High-Impact Presentations
David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 2
Communicating with Each Other: The Challenges and Rewards of Expanding Atmospheric Science’s Professional Partners(Themed Joint Session)
Location: 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Ninth History Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Panelists: Ankur R. Desai, Univ. of Wisconsin; Robert Henson, UCAR; Eve Gruntfest, Univ. of Oklahoma; Roger D. Turner, Univ. of Pennsylvania
1:30 PM
JPD2.1
Communicating with Each Other: The Challenges and Rewards of Expanding Atmospheric Science’s Professional Partners
Ankur R. Desai, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Henson, E. Gruntfest, and R. D. Turner
2:00 PM
Recording files available
Session 2
Computational intelligence methods and their applications to environmental science
Location: 2A (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences
Chair: Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL
1:30 PM
2.1
Prescreening of predictors for nonlinear machine learning methods in environmental sciences
Aranildo Lima, Univ. of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon
2:00 PM
2.2
Sensitivity analysis in linear and nonlinear models: a review
Caren Marzban, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
2:15 PM
2.3
Gene-expression programming: a variant of genetic programming that allows efficient meteorological function fitting
Atoossa Bakhshaii, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and R. B. Stull
2:30 PM
2.4
Comparing datasets and methods to identify major severe weather outbreaks
Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, M. Richman, L. M. Leslie, and C. A. Doswell III
2:45 PM
2.5
Addressing wind direction uncertainty in source estimation through dynamic time warping
Guido Cervone, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Lin and P. Franzese
Manuscript (793.0 kB)

Recording files available
Panel Discussion 2
Local and Regional Climate Leaders: What is being done in the West about Communicating Climate Change
Location: 305 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research
Panelists: Ray Rasker, Headwaters Economics; Bart Melton, National Parks Conservation Association; Mike Phillips, Montana State Legislature; Glen Andersen, National Conference of State Legislatures; Patrick Cummins, Western Governors' Association
Chair: Caitlin Buzzas, American Meteorological Society
1:30 PM
PD2.4
State Climate Policy
Glen Andersen, National Conference of State Legislatures, Washington, DC
1:45 PM
PD2.1
Climate and National Parks
Bart Melton, National Parks Conservation Association, Washington, DC
2:00 PM
PD2.2
Climate Change and Wildfire
Ray Rasker, Headwaters Economics, Bozeman, MT
2:15 PM
PD2.3
Planning for Climate Change in the PNW
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
2:30 PM
Panel Discussion

Recording files available
Session 2
Special Session on Research on Atmospheric/Oceanographic Sciences Education and Outreach
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 20th Symposium on Education
Cochairs: Donna J. Charlevoix, UNAVCO; Diane M. Stanitski, NOAA ESRL Global Monitoring Division
1:30 PM
2.1
Student experiences in a research-based laboratory
Kathleen Quardokus, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI; and S. Lasher-Trapp and E. M. Riggs
1:45 PM
2.2
Evaluation of Student Success in Large Enrollment Blended Learning
Sara T. Strey, University of Illinois at Urbana, Champaign, IL; and D. J. Charlevoix
2:15 PM
2.4
How meteorologists learn to forecast the weather
Daphne LaDue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
2:30 PM
2.5
How the NWC REU and other extra-curricular experiences impact undergraduates' early career paths
Madison Lindsay Burnett, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, Norman, OK; and D. LaDue
Recording files available
Session 2
Understanding and Predicting Changes in Stratospheric Ozone: The Chemistry-Climate Model Validation Report
Location: 3B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere
Chair: Andrew Gettelman, NCAR
1:30 PM
2.1
Overview of Chemistry-Climate Model Validation (CCMVal) project
Darryn W. Waugh, Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD; and V. Eyring and T. G. Shepherd
2:15 PM
2.3
Using transport diagnostics to understand chemistry climate model ozone simulations
Susan E. Strahan, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and A. R. Douglass and R. S. Stolarski
2:45 PM
2.5
Steps toward a quantitative explanation of differences in Chemistry Climate Model predictions of future ozone evolution
Anne R. Douglass, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. E. Strahan, L. Oman, and R. S. Stolarski
Recording files available
Session 3
Clouds, Aerosols, Wind, Radiatively Important Gases and Thermodynamic Structures of the Troposphere and Stratosphere
Location: 307-308 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications
Cochairs: Rob K. Newsom, PNNL; Zhien Wang, Univ. of Wyoming
1:30 PM
3.1
A Solid State DIAL System for Water Vapor Profiling
David M. Sonnenfroh, Physical Sciences Inc., Andover, MA; and K. Parameswaran

1:45 PM
3.2
Establishing an aerosol backscatter climatology at .355 and 2.06um for the Global Wind Observing System (GWOS) using CALIPSO data and models
Steven Greco, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and G. D. Emmitt, D. A. Bowdle, and K. A. Fuller
2:00 PM
3.3
Capturing atmospheric events with a high resolution 5km range Doppler wind Lidar
Matthieu Boquet, LEOSPHERE SAS, Paris, France; and J. P. Cariou, G. Gorju, R. Parmentier, and L. Sauvage

2:15 PM
3.4
Odd Observation in High Altitude Clouds with Depolarization Lidar
I.H. Hwang, Science & Engineering Services, Inc., Columbia, MD; and S. Lee and J. Lei
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

2:30 PM
3.5
Improving Observations of Aerosol Modifications in the presence of clouds
Yonghua Wu, NOAA-CREST, New York, NY; and C. M. Gan, A. Tejada, B. Gross, F. Moshary, and S. Ahmed
2:45 PM
3.6
Observation of boundary layer water vapor and aerosol structures with a compact airborne Raman lidar
Zhien Wang, Univ. of Wyoming, Laramie, WY; and P. J. Wechsler, B. Liu, W. Kuestner, B. Glove, J. French, M. Burkhart, Y. Cai, J. Snider, and L. Oolman
Recording files available
Session 3
Meeting Aviation Weather Requirements
Location: 310 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration
Chair: Matthias Steiner, NCAR
1:30 PM
3.1
Where is my thunderstorm forecast? The shifting paradigms of NextGen weather information
Jack May, AvMet Applications International, Inc., Reston, VA; and C. G. Souders, R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, C. Miner, and T. Kays
1:45 PM
3.2
NOAA's hourly-updated 3km HRRR and RUC/Rapid Refresh - recent (2010) and upcoming changes toward improving weather guidance for air-traffic management
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, C. R. Alexander, J. M. Brown, T. Smirnova, P. Hofmann, E. P. James, and G. Dimego
2:00 PM
3.3
The Aviation Weather Testbed: Science and Technology Infusion for Aviation Operations
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and B. Entwistle and C. Wallace
2:15 PM
3.4
Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) Weather Evaluation Team (WET) -- Past and Planned Weather Integration Efforts with Convective Forecasts
Thomas H. Fahey III, Delta Air Lines, Atlanta, GA; and M. Fronzak, J. Huhn, K. Johnston, T. Lloyd, D. Meyer, and M. P. Murphy
2:30 PM
3.5
2:45 PM
3.6
The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): A bridge between weather and ATM weather integration
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine, M. A. Petty, C. Grzywinski, and J. L. Vavra

Recording files available
Session 3
Meteorological Incident Support in 2010
Location: 6B (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: IMPACTS: Weather 2010
Chair: Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA
1:30 PM
3.1
Communicating Weather during the 2010 Winter Games in Vancouver
David Jones, Environment Canada, Vancouver, BC, Canada
1:45 PM
3.2
2010 Wintertime Ozone in Utah’s Uinta Basin
Scott A. Jackson, EPA, Denver, CO; and R. Payton and P. Reddy

2:45 PM
3.5
Rapid Deployment Upper Air Observations for Incident Meteorological Support
Don Conlee, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and G. N. Seroka, D. M. Delao, and K. Prochazka
Recording files available
Session 3
Sensors and Algorithm Development
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems
Cochairs: T. J. Schmit, NOAA; Heather Kilcoyne, NOAA/NESDIS/JPSS
1:30 PM
3.1
1:45 PM
3.2
DWSS Microwave Instrument
Ibrahim Awwad, Space and Missile Systems Center, El Segundo, CA; and D. Kunkee and C. D. Reimer
2:00 PM
3.3
GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG)
Mitchell Goldberg, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Daniels, W. Wolf, L. Rokke, Z. Cheng, and K. H. Lowe
2:45 PM
3.5
Recording files available
Session 4
NASA Earth Science Research and the Study of Public Health Applications through Remote Sensing
Location: 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Second Symposium on Environment and Health
Organizer: Sue M. Estes, NASA
Cochairs: John A. Haynes, NASA; Sue M. Estes, NASA
1:45 PM
Introductory Remarks

2:00 PM
4.2
Modeling the spatial patterns of PM2.5 in Georgia with satellite remote sensing and meteorological information
Shuyan Liu, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. A. Quattrochi, W. L. Crosson, M. Al-Hamdan, M. G. Estes Jr., S. M. Estes, J. Sarnat, M. Klein, J. R. Qualters, P. Garbe, H. Flowers, and A. Vaidyanathan
2:15 PM
4.3
Integration of Dust Prediction Systems and Vegetation Phenology to Track Pollen for Asthma Alerts in Public Health
Jeffrey C. Luvall, MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Sprigg, A. Huete, S. Nickovic, G. Pejanovic, E. Levetin, P. Van de water, O. Myers, A. M. Budge, H. Krapfl, and T. M. Crimmins
2:30 PM
4.4
Characterizing extreme heat events in the Southwestern U.S. in support of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Climate Change Module
William L. Crosson, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and M. Al-Hamdan, M. G. Estes Jr., S. M. Estes, H. Flowers, S. Hemmings, J. R. Qualters, and G. Wade
2:45 PM
4.5
Improving Heat Warning Systems with Remotely Sensed Data
Daniel Patrick Johnson, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN
Recording files available
Session 5
Data Stewardship: Metastandards and Policy
Location: 607 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS)
Cochairs: Nazila Merati, Merati and Associates; Gene Major, Library Associates, NASA/GSFC Library
1:45 PM
5.2
2:00 PM
5.3
Data Conservancy: Designing Services for Data Curation Stewardship, and Re-use
Mary Marlino, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Davis, K. Kelly, and P. Romero-Lankao
2:15 PM
5.4
NSIDC Data Stewardship Processes and Directions
Mark C. Serreze, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Parsons, F. Fetterer, R. L. S. Weaver, and R. Duerr
2:30 PM
5.6
A suite of international standards for the unambiguous transfer of geophysical data
Louis A. Hembree Jr., NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Cox and F. Mamaghani
2:45 PM
5.5
A standard dictionary for environmental terminology
Louis A. Hembree Jr., NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. Cox and F. Mamaghani
Recording files available
Session 5B
Weather and Climate Modelling I
Location: 608 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University
2:00 PM
5B.3
Engineering with stratospheric aerosols to avoid climate emergencies
Kelly E. McCusker, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Battisti and C. M. Bitz
2:15 PM
5B.5
2:30 PM
5B.6
Simulation of Sensitivity of semi-arid climate to global warming
Xiaodan Guan, Lanzhou University, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang and J. Huang
Recording files available
Session 6
New Data Sources and Products
Location: 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 8th Conference on Space Weather
Cochairs: W. Kent Tobiska, Space Environment Technologies; Richard Clark, Millersville Univ.
1:30 PM
6.1
1:45 PM
6.2
Coherent thermospheric dynamic and electrodynamic response to stratospheric warmings
Tim Fuller-Rowell, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Akmaev, H. Wang, F. Wu, T. W. Fang, and M. V. Codrescu
2:00 PM
6.3
2:15 PM
6.4
Observations of the Ionosphere and Thermosphere from the Special Sensor Ultraviolet Limb Imager (SSULI)
Clayton Coker, NRL, Washington, DC; and A. W. Stephan, K. F. Dymond, A. C. Nicholas, S. A. Budzien, P. B. Dandenault, S. E. McDonald, D. Chua, D. P. Drob, J. T. Emmert, and K. A. Roach
2:30 PM
6.5
Untangling daytime ionospheric remote sensing: RAIDS contributions to solving an old problem
Andrew W. Stephan, NRL, Washington, DC; and L. Cashman, R. L. Bishop, S. A. Budzien, A. B. Christensen, S. Chakrabarti, J. H. Hecht, and P. R. Straus
2:45 PM
6.6
Integrating the Sun-Earth System for the Operational Environment: A study of the 3–5 April 2010 geomagnetic storm
Sarah E. McDonald, NRL, Washington, DC; and J. Lean, J. Krall, J. D. Huba, G. Joyce, C. C. Wu, B. Wood, J. A. Fedder, A. W. Stephan, S. A. Budzien, D. H. Chua, C. Coker, J. Emmert, D. Drob, R. R. Meier, J. M. Picone, Y. M. Wang, K. A. Zawdie, S. P. Plunkett, R. A. Howard, J. Chen, P. A. Bernhardt, C. L. Siefring, A. Rouillard, K. F. Dymond, and R. L. Bishop
Recording files available
Session 6
Recent Advances in Lightning Technology and Transfer of that Technology from Research to Operations II
Location: 602/603 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data
Chair: Richard E. Orville, Texas A&M University
1:30 PM
6.1
A network for real-time lightning impulse charge moment change measurements
Steven A. Cummer, Duke University, Durham, NC; and W. A. Lyons and T. E. Nelson
2:00 PM
6.2
A Lightning Mapping Array for West Texas: Deployment and Research Plans
Eric C. Bruning, Texas Tech Univ, Lubbock, TX; and N. Y. Wang, R. I. Albrecht, and K. Gopalan
2:30 PM
6.3
Lightning Mapping Arrays - current status and recent results
William Rison, New Mexico Tech; and P. Krehbiel, H. Edens, S. Hunyady, G. Aulich, and R. Thomas
2:45 PM
6.4
A New Lightning Instrumentation System for Pad 39B at the Kennedy Space Center, Florida
Carlos T. Mata, ASRC Aerospace, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and V. A. Rakov
Recording files available
Session 6A
Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty III: Post Processing
Location: 613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Craig H. Bishop, NRL
1:30 PM
6A.1
Australian approaches to probabilistic precipitation forecasting
Michael Foley, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and S. Cooper, P. Riley, E. Morgan, and J. Bally
1:45 PM
6A.2
Simple- and modified-poor man's QPF ensembles, and a neural network approach
Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and V. M. Krasnopolsky
Manuscript (943.6 kB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

2:00 PM
6A.3A
Impact of linear variance calibration on ensemble wind variance in atmospheric transport and dispersion forecasts
Walter C. Kolczynski Jr., NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. R. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt, R. I. Sykes, R. Long, and A. Deng
2:15 PM
6A.3
Ensemble Postprocessing for Weather Trajectories
Tilmann Gneiting, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany

2:30 PM
6A.4
Probabilistic visibility forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. M. Chmielecki
2:45 PM
6A.5
Impact of Spatial Bias Correction and Conditional Training on Bayesian Model Averaging Over the Northeast United States
Michael J. Erickson, SUNY/Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, J. Pollina, and J. J. Charney
Recording files available
Session 6B
Forecast Center Overviews II
Location: 615-617 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL
2:00 PM
6B.2
2:30 PM
6B.3
National unified operational prediction capability: progress and national research initiatives
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD; and D. McCarran and S. A. Sandgathe
Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Modeling Studies On Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions—Part I
Location: 605/610 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Philip Rasch, PNNL; Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ.
1:30 PM
J8.1
1:45 PM
J8.2
2:00 PM
J8.3
The role of small soluble aerosols in the microphysics of deep maritime clouds
Alexander P. Khain, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and V. Phillips and A. Pokrovsky
2:15 PM
J8.4
2:45 PM
J8.5
Impact of Future Climate and Emission on Climate-Air Quality Interactions
Yang Zhang, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Chen and T. Glotfelty

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC
1:30 PM
J9.1
Using SMOS to study the Mississippi River basin water budget
Alan Robock, Rutgers, The State Univ. of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ; and T. W. Collow
1:45 PM
J9.2
2:00 PM
J9.3
Uncertainty in Analyzed Water and Energy Budgets at Continental Scales
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson, D. Mocko, and J. Chen
2:15 PM
J9.4
Water balance over oceans observed from satellites
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie
2:30 PM
J9.5
2:45 PM
J9.6
How realistic is precipitation over the western U.S. and Mexico in IPCC AR4 GCMs?
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt
Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Information System Technologies for Communication and Interpretation of Satellite Data
Location: 606 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); and the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems )
Cochairs: Gerald Dittberner, Harris Corporation; Dongsoo Kim, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC
1:30 PM
J11.1
Transition of GOES Enterprise Managed System (GEMS) to Operations
Subir Vasanth, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and A. Agarwal, R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie
1:45 PM
J11.2
Consolidating GOES analysis workstations using virtualization and Thin-Client technology
Subir Vasanth, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and A. Agarwal, R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie
2:00 PM
J11.3
An Enterprise Backup Solution for GOES Operations Ground Equipment (OGE) and Space Support Ground System (SSGS)
Abhishek Agarwal, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie
2:15 PM
J11.4
An Enterprise Backup Solution for the Ocean Surface Topography (OSTM)/Jason-2 Mission
Abhishek Agarwal, Avaya Government Solutions, Lanham, MD; and R. Dahmani, S. Tehranian, and K. McKenzie
2:30 PM
J11.5
TRMM Data Service Update
Zhong Liu, George Mason University/CSISS, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga and G. Leptoukh
Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Communication: Focus on Climate Change, Technology, and Uncertainty
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, Ph.D; Betsy Bach, National Communication Association