Session 8A Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty V: Verification and Validation

Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC, Earth Science Office/Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center, Huntsville, AL

Papers:
8:30 AM
8A.1
Verification of National Weather Service tropical cyclone intensity probabilities and future plans
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown and M. DeMaria
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
8A.2
SLOSH model verification: a GIS-based approach
Nicole C. Grams, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
8A.3
The DTC Ensemble Testbed: A New Testing and Evaluation Facility for Mesoscale Ensembles
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, I. Jankov, T. L. Jensen, H. Yuan, E. I. Tollerud, L. S. Wharton, P. T. McCaslin, B. Kuo, L. Nance, and S. E. Koch
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (416.7 kB)

9:15 AM
8A.4
A method for validating convection-permitting models using an automated convective-cell tracking algorithm
Simon Caine, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and T. P. Lane, P. T. May, J. O. Pinto, C. Jakob, M. J. Manton, and S. T. Siems
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
8A.5
Assessment of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Storm Forecasts using an Object-Based Approach
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, J. O. Pinto, B. G. Brown, and P. He
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
8A.6
Is Change Good? Measuring the quality of updating forecasts
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (338.5 kB)

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