Supply/Demand Fundamentals: Short Range Forecasting

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Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Host: Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
A convection permitting forecast ensemble for the mid-Atlantic states: applications for renewable energy
Brian J. Etherton, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and M. J. Parker and B. Weatherhead

Poster PDF (2.9 MB)

Solar and Wind Energy Forecasting and Projection
Quanhua (Mark) Liu, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Sprins, MD; and F. Weng

Intra-hour forecasting with a total sky imager at the UC San Diego solar energy testbed
Bryan Urquhart, Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and C. W. Chow, M. Lave, J. Kleissl, and B. Washom

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)

Prototyping and Validating a Solar Irradiance Forecasting System
George D. Modica, AER, Inc, Lexington, MA; and R. P. D'Entremont, M. J. Iacono, G. B. Gustafson, and H. E. Snell

Poster PDF (351.9 kB)

Creation of a WRF Ensemble for Improved Wind Forecasts at Turbine Height
Adam J. Deppe, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and E. S. Takle
Manuscript (488.6 kB)

Poster PDF (899.2 kB)

Improving the 0-3 hour wind forecast through wind farm data assimilation in the NCAR/ATEC WRF RTFDDA
William Y. Y. Cheng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, Y. Liu, B. Mahoney, M. Politovich, T. T. Warner, K. Parks, and J. Himelic

Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging
McLean Sloughter, Seattle Univ., Seattle, WA; and T. Gneiting and A. E. Raftery

Verification and analysis of hub-height wind forecasts from the NCAR-Xcel WRF-RTFDDA
Gregory Roux, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, M. J. Pocernich, W. Y. Y. Cheng, L. Delle Monache, A. Fournier, S. Linden, and W. Myers

Evaluation of wind ramp forecasts from an initial version of a rapid update dynamical-statistical ramp prediction system
John W. Zack, AWS Truepower, LLC, Troy, NY; and S. H. Young and E. J. Natenberg

Application Of An Operational Meso-Scale Modelling System For Industiral Plant Energy Operations
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, D. Pinckney, and R. Calio

Poster PDF (8.0 MB)

Observations and downscaled predictions of effects of land use and urban heat island on climate
Benjamin J. Hatchett, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, J. T. Abatzoglou, S. D. Bassett, and M. Dolloff

Numerical weather forecast with variational data assimilation in the Andes
Estatio J. Gutiérrez, City College of New York, New York, NY; and A. Muñoz