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Supply/Demand Fundamentals: Short Range Forecasting

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Host: Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy
Papers:
 
773
A convection permitting forecast ensemble for the mid-Atlantic states: applications for renewable energy
Brian J. Etherton, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and M. J. Parker and B. Weatherhead

Poster PDF (2.9 MB)

 
774
Solar and Wind Energy Forecasting and Projection
Quanhua (Mark) Liu, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Sprins, MD; and F. Weng

 
775
Intra-hour forecasting with a total sky imager at the UC San Diego solar energy testbed
Bryan Urquhart, Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and C. W. Chow, M. Lave, J. Kleissl, and B. Washom

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)

 
776
Prototyping and Validating a Solar Irradiance Forecasting System
George D. Modica, AER, Inc, Lexington, MA; and R. P. D'Entremont, M. J. Iacono, G. B. Gustafson, and H. E. Snell

Poster PDF (351.9 kB)

 
777
Creation of a WRF Ensemble for Improved Wind Forecasts at Turbine Height
Adam J. Deppe, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr. and E. S. Takle
Manuscript (488.6 kB)

Poster PDF (899.2 kB)

 
778
Improving the 0-3 hour wind forecast through wind farm data assimilation in the NCAR/ATEC WRF RTFDDA
William Y. Y. Cheng, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, Y. Liu, B. Mahoney, M. Politovich, T. T. Warner, K. Parks, and J. Himelic

 
779
Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging
McLean Sloughter, Seattle Univ., Seattle, WA; and T. Gneiting and A. E. Raftery

 
780
Verification and analysis of hub-height wind forecasts from the NCAR-Xcel WRF-RTFDDA
Gregory Roux, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, M. J. Pocernich, W. Y. Y. Cheng, L. Delle Monache, A. Fournier, S. Linden, and W. Myers

 
781
Evaluation of wind ramp forecasts from an initial version of a rapid update dynamical-statistical ramp prediction system
John W. Zack, AWS Truepower, LLC, Troy, NY; and S. H. Young and E. J. Natenberg

 
782
Application Of An Operational Meso-Scale Modelling System For Industiral Plant Energy Operations
Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and L. A. Treinish, D. Pinckney, and R. Calio

Poster PDF (8.0 MB)

 
783
Observations and downscaled predictions of effects of land use and urban heat island on climate
Benjamin J. Hatchett, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, J. T. Abatzoglou, S. D. Bassett, and M. Dolloff

 
784
Numerical weather forecast with variational data assimilation in the Andes
Estatio J. Gutiérrez, City College of New York, New York, NY; and A. Muñoz