Session: Forecast System Development and Applications (91st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM

Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Papers:

438

Of weather prediction without models II

M. Jeremie Lafitte (Levitas), Metivdata, Safed, Israel

439

Seasonal divisons and annual temperature predictions

Handout (50.9 kB)

440

Human improvement to NWP at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center

David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS/HPC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. F. Brill, C. Bailey, M. Eckert, D. Petersen, R. Rausch, and M. Schichtel

Manuscript (402.9 kB)

441

An overview of NRL's atmospheric global modeling and research

Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Flatau, J. Hansen, T. F. Hogan, Y. J. Kim, R. H. Langland, M. Liu, J. McLay, J. R. Moskaitis, M. Peng, J. A. Ridout, K. C. Viner, T. R. Whitcomb, and E. Serra

443

Evaluation of retrospective forecasts from 2010 HFIP Stream 1.5 candidates

Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, B. G. Brown, K. Crosby, M. Harrold, T. L. Jensen, and P. A. Kucera

442

Fully Coupled Real-Time COAMPS-TC Forecasts for ITOP Experiment

444

Community Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) work at the Developmental Testbed Center

Shaowu Bao, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, C. W. Harrop, D. Stark, and L. Carson

Manuscript (53.2 kB)

445

Diagnosis of operational model track forecast error for Hurricane Ike (2008)

Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar

Handout (19.6 MB)

446

Development of GRAPES_Meso system and its performance

Jian Sun, Center for Numerical Weather Prediction/CMA, Beijing, China; and X. Shen, D. Chen, and J. Xue

447

On the improvement of cloud radiation in GRAPES global model and its forecast impact

Qiying Chen, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and X. Z. Liang

448

Comparison experiments between GRAPES_Meso and WRF

LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China; and Y. Su Sr. and D. Chen Sr.

449

Moistening and heating effects of convection simulated in the JMA global NWP model

Takuya Komori, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

450

Validation of the 10-meter Winds from WRF Mesoscale Forecast over Puerto Rico

Gian A. Villamil, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and A. F. Adames, I. Del Valle, A. Marrero, D. Pérez-Betancourt, R. Rios, P. Sanchez, and L. F. Bejarano

451

Preliminary Research on Flooding Torrential Rain Caused by Interaction of MCC and Meso-â Scale Convective Cell in China

Jing Xi Sr., NOAA/NSSL, Yulin, China

Manuscript (1.6 MB)

Handout (69.9 kB)

452

Aviation applications of a new generation of mesoscale numerical weather prediction system of the Hong Kong Observatory

W.K. Wong, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and P. W. Chan and I. Ng

Manuscript (3.4 MB)

453

Verification of NWP turbulence intensity guidance using eddy dissipation rate from aircraft data

W.K. Wong, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and P. W. Chan and C. M. Li

Manuscript (1.4 MB)

454

Demonstrating the operational value of Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) retrieved profiles in the pre-convective environment

Danielle M. Kozlowski, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. T. Zavodsky and G. J. Jedlovec

Manuscript (824.8 kB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

455

Forecasting lake-effect precipitation in the Great Lakes region using NASA enhanced satellite data

Michelle L. Cipullo, North Carolina State University, Salisbury, NC; and A. L. Molthan, J. L. Case, and G. J. Jedlovec

Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (1.5 MB)

456

Deep convection initiation in the WRF model

Elizabeth A. Rockwell, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud

457

CAPS Multi-Model Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast for the NOAA HWT 2010 Spring Experiment

Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. A. Brewster, X. Wang, J. Gao, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du

Manuscript (1.7 MB)

458

The severe thunderstorm forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring experiment

Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, C. W. Siewert, R. Sobash, P. T. Marsh, A. R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, J. Du, R. S. Schneider, J. S. Kain, and M. C. Coniglio

459

Recent enhancements to real-time probabilistic thunderstorm guidance products from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts

Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, and E. P. James

460

Verification of Reflectivity and Precipitation Model Forecasts from the Hourly Updated 3-km High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR), 13-km Rapid Refresh (RR), and 13-km Rapid Update Cycle (RUC)

Patrick Hofmann, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, S. S. Weygandt, and S. G. Benjamin

461

Addressing convective-scale forecast challenges with the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model

Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, and J. M. Brown

462

Using Data from the Meteorological Data Collection and Reporting System to Ascertain the Near-Storm Environment near Memphis, Tennessee During the 5-6 February 2008 Tornado Outbreak

Michael B. Scotten, NOAA/NWS, Memphis, TN