3
Forecast System Development and Applications

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- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Papers:
 
438
Of weather prediction without models II
M. Jeremie Lafitte (Levitas), WMN Predictions, Tverya, Israel

 
440
Human improvement to NWP at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS/HPC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. F. Brill, C. Bailey, M. Eckert, D. Petersen, R. Rausch, and M. Schichtel
Manuscript (402.9 kB)

 
441
An overview of NRL's atmospheric global modeling and research
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Flatau, J. Hansen, T. F. Hogan, Y. J. Kim, R. H. Langland, M. Liu, J. McLay, J. R. Moskaitis, M. Peng, J. A. Ridout, K. C. Viner, T. R. Whitcomb, and E. Serra

 
443
Evaluation of retrospective forecasts from 2010 HFIP Stream 1.5 candidates
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, B. G. Brown, K. Crosby, M. Harrold, T. L. Jensen, and P. A. Kucera

 
444
Community Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) work at the Developmental Testbed Center
Shaowu Bao, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, C. W. Harrop, D. Stark, and L. Carson
Manuscript (53.2 kB)

 
445
Diagnosis of operational model track forecast error for Hurricane Ike (2008)
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar

Poster PDF (19.6 MB)

 
446
Development of GRAPES_Meso system and its performance
Jian Sun, Center for Numerical Weather Prediction/CMA, Beijing, China; and X. Shen, D. Chen, and J. Xue

 
447
On the improvement of cloud radiation in GRAPES global model and its forecast impact
Qiying Chen, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and X. Z. Liang

 
448
Comparison experiments between GRAPES_Meso and WRF
LianTang Deng, China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China; and Y. Su Sr. and D. Chen Sr.

 
449
Moistening and heating effects of convection simulated in the JMA global NWP model
Takuya Komori, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

 
450
Validation of the 10-meter Winds from WRF Mesoscale Forecast over Puerto Rico
Gian A. Villamil, University of Puerto Rico, Mayagüez, PR; and A. F. Adames, I. Del Valle, A. Marrero, D. Pérez-Betancourt, R. Rios, P. Sanchez, and L. F. Bejarano

 
452
Aviation applications of a new generation of mesoscale numerical weather prediction system of the Hong Kong Observatory
W.K. Wong, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and P. W. Chan and I. Ng
Manuscript (3.4 MB)

 
453
Verification of NWP turbulence intensity guidance using eddy dissipation rate from aircraft data
W.K. Wong, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and P. W. Chan and C. M. Li
Manuscript (1.4 MB)

 
454
Demonstrating the operational value of Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) retrieved profiles in the pre-convective environment
Danielle M. Kozlowski, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. T. Zavodsky and G. J. Jedlovec
Manuscript (824.8 kB)

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

 
455
Forecasting lake-effect precipitation in the Great Lakes region using NASA enhanced satellite data
Michelle L. Cipullo, North Carolina State University, Salisbury, NC; and A. L. Molthan, J. L. Case, and G. J. Jedlovec
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)

 
456
Deep convection initiation in the WRF model
Elizabeth A. Rockwell, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud

 
457
CAPS Multi-Model Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast for the NOAA HWT 2010 Spring Experiment
Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. A. Brewster, X. Wang, J. Gao, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du
Manuscript (1.7 MB)

 
458
The severe thunderstorm forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring experiment
Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, C. W. Siewert, R. Sobash, P. T. Marsh, A. R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, J. Du, R. S. Schneider, J. S. Kain, and M. C. Coniglio

 
459
Recent enhancements to real-time probabilistic thunderstorm guidance products from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, and E. P. James

 
461
Addressing convective-scale forecast challenges with the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, S. S. Weygandt, S. G. Benjamin, and J. M. Brown

 
464
Downslope Wind Forecasts in a Mountainous Region: Assessing Uncertainty in High-Resolution Modeling over the Las Vegas Forecast Zone
Andre Pattantyus, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao, S. Czyzyk, and M. Staudenmaier
Manuscript (582.5 kB)

Poster PDF (312.5 kB)