Session 2 TCs: Toward Improving and Expanding Public Forecasts

Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Contractor to NCDC, Asheville, NC

10:30 AM
Large ensemble tropical cyclone intensity forecasting
R. N. Hoffman, AER, Lexington, MA; and K. Emanuel, S. Hopsch, D. Gombos, and T. Nehrkorn
10:45 AM
Mechanism of concentric eyewall replacement cycle and associated intensity change
Xiaqiong Zhou, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

11:00 AM
Tropical Cyclone Prediction Through Multiple Global-model Ensemble Forecast System
Jiayi Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
11:15 AM
Atlantic tropical cyclones during strong and moderate ENSO events
Constantin Andronache, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA
11:30 AM
The new frontier: operational tropical cyclone forecasts beyond five days
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Jelinek, J. A. Curry, and P. Webster
11:45 AM
Adaptive Forecasting—Improving End User Understanding of Tropical Cyclones
Mark T. Jelinek, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. I. Belanger and J. A. Curry
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner