2
TCs: Toward Improving and Expanding Public Forecasts

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- Indicates an Award Winner
Wednesday, 26 January 2011: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Chair:  Paula Ann Hennon, Contractor to NCDC, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC
Papers:
  10:30 AM
2.1
Large ensemble tropical cyclone intensity forecasting
Ross N. Hoffman, AER, Lexington, MA; and K. Emanuel, S. Hopsch, D. Gombos, and T. Nehrkorn
  10:45 AM
2.2
Mechanism of concentric eyewall replacement cycle and associated intensity change
Xiaqiong Zhou, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

  11:00 AM
2.3
Tropical Cyclone Prediction Through Multiple Global-model Ensemble Forecast System
Jiayi Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
  11:15 AM
2.4
Atlantic tropical cyclones during strong and moderate ENSO events
Constantin Andronache, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA
  11:30 AM
2.5
The new frontier: operational tropical cyclone forecasts beyond five days
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Jelinek, J. A. Curry, and P. Webster
  11:45 AM
2.6
Adaptive Forecasting—Improving End User Understanding of Tropical Cyclones
Mark T. Jelinek, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. I. Belanger and J. A. Curry