More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones

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- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 22 January 2011

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 22 January 2011


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Sunday, 23 January 2011

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Short Course Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


WeatherFest

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center)

Monday, 24 January 2011

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Registration continues through January 27

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Panel Discussion
Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; and the 11th Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate )
Moderator: Robert T. Ryan, NBC4 TV
Panelists: Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune; Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre; Doyle Rice, USA Today; Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council
  9:00 AM
Panelist: Thomas E. Skilling
Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL

  9:10 AM
Panelist: Claire Martin
Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  9:20 AM
Panelist: Doyle Rice
Doyle Rice, USA Today, Washington, DC

  9:30 AM
Panelist: Martin Storksdieck
Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council, Washington, DC

Recording files available
Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; the Events; and the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International )

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Reception and Exhibits Opening

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Forecast: Communicating Weather and Climate Art Show

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: 601 (Washington State Convention Center)

Wednesday, 26 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 1
TCs: Engaging and educating the public
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Chair: Elizabeth A. Ritchie, Univ. of Arizona
  9:00 AM
1.3
Role-playing scenario of a landfalling tropical system
Kodi L. Nemunaitis-Monroe, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. A. Morris, D. S. LaDue, C. Spannagle, V. Holtz, H. Moser, E. M. Quoetone, P. T. Schlatter, J. G. LaDue, B. Rooks, S. Van Cooten, J. Kelley, R. Fowler, M. Stallings, and J. A. Smith
  9:15 AM
1.4
  9:30 AM
1.5
Making sense of hurricanes
Catherine F. Smith, Greenville, NC; and D. J. Kain and K. Wilson
  9:45 AM
1.6
Analysis of federally funded tropical cyclone research and development
Frank Marks, NOAA, Miami, FL; and R. Ferek and M. Welshinger

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President

10:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 2
TCs: Toward Improving and Expanding Public Forecasts
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Chair: Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc.
  10:30 AM
2.1
Large ensemble tropical cyclone intensity forecasting
Ross N. Hoffman, AER, Lexington, MA; and K. Emanuel, S. Hopsch, D. Gombos, and T. Nehrkorn
  10:45 AM
2.2
Mechanism of concentric eyewall replacement cycle and associated intensity change
Xiaqiong Zhou, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

  11:00 AM
2.3
Tropical Cyclone Prediction Through Multiple Global-model Ensemble Forecast System
Jiayi Peng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Zhu and R. Wobus
  11:15 AM
2.4
Atlantic tropical cyclones during strong and moderate ENSO events
Constantin Andronache, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA
  11:30 AM
2.5
The new frontier: operational tropical cyclone forecasts beyond five days
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and M. T. Jelinek, J. A. Curry, and P. Webster
  11:45 AM
2.6
Adaptive Forecasting—Improving End User Understanding of Tropical Cyclones
Mark T. Jelinek, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. I. Belanger and J. A. Curry

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 3
TCs: Use of Technology to Disseminate Information
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Chair: Elizabeth A. Ritchie, Univ. of Arizona
  1:30 PM
3.1
  1:45 PM
3.2
Unifying tropical cyclone best track data
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp, M. C. Kruk, D. H. Levinson, H. J. Diamond, and E. Gibney
  2:00 PM
3.3
The ICAT Damage Estimator
Kevin Joseph Sharp, ICAT, Boulder, CO
  2:15 PM
3.4
A tool to interpret the National Hurricane Center wind probability forecasts
William P. Roeder, U.S. Air Force, Patrick AFB, FL; and M. C. Szpak

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Poster Session 1
TCs: Communicating the Science, Technology, and Forecasting of TCs to the General Public
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
 
848
The influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on hurricane landfalls from Virginia to Maine
William Christopher Alston, Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ

 
849
Oil Spill and Sea Surface Effects Over Gulf of Mexico Using WRF and Satellite Data
Francis. Tuluri, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and R. S. Reddy, A. Yerramilli, V. B. R. Dodla, and A. Milan

Poster PDF (253.0 kB)

 
850
The Rising Frequency of Hurricane-Tornadoes: Possible Causes and Consequences
Virginia G. Silvis, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

 
851
On the display of tropical cyclone model ensemble structure information
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, B. D. McNoldy, and R. T. DeMaria

 
852
Hurricane Data Analysis Tool
Zhong Liu, George Mason Univ./CSISS, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga and G. Leptoukh

 
853
The utilization of NASA satellite data to analyze tropical cyclone wind speed and cloud height in the Gulf of Mexico
Josh Stodghill, NASA, Mobile, AL; and A. Cederholm, A. Johnston, D. Mullek, and R. White

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 4
TCs: Improving Public Awareness
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones
Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD
  4:00 PM
4.1
  4:30 PM
4.3
An analysis of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Wilma from the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season
Vanessa Marie Vincente, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Weber
  4:45 PM
4.4
Hurricane tracking for local television news
Joe Witte, WJLA TV 7, Arlington, VA

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


91st AMS Awards Banquet
Location: 6ABCD (Washington State Convention Center)

Thursday, 27 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium

Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

9:30 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session
Presidential Town Hall Meeting
Location: 6A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Town Hall Meetings; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; and the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology )

Ralph Cicerone, head of the National Academy of Sciences, will provide a take-home message on what the scientific community in general and the AMS community in particular can do to increase their credibility with the public. Cicerone has been thinking deeply about how the practice of science and the behavior of individual scientists can be improved. As much as listening, communication is based on some level of trust. And, just as the Tuesday event should provide a teachable moment about how we influence our environment, the ”Climategate” e-mails were a teachable moment about human frailty being a part of the practice of science. The current political climate has been reinforced by Climategate and by a few errors in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) report, damaging the trust the public feels not only in climate science, but also toward science in general. Viewing this in a positive manner, provides an incentive to redouble the efforts of all scientists in promoting ethical professional conduct and improving the way the business of science is done and the manner in which scientific findings are communicated to the public. For additional information on the 2011 Presidential Town Hall, please contact AMS President Peggy LeMone (e-mail: amspresident@ametsoc.org).
  12:15 PM
Ensuring Integrity in the Doing and Using of Science
Ralph Cicerone, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium Luncheon
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Meet the President

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


AMS 91st Annual Meeting Adjourns