92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 2 Probabilistic forecasting

Tuesday, 24 January 2012: 8:30 AM-9:45 AM
Room 238 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Dan C. Collins, NOAA Climate Prediction CenterBarbara G. Brown and Eric Gilleland, NCAR
  8:30 AM
Using a Dynamical-Regime Hybrid Mos Scheme to Improve NWP Wind Forecasts
Joseph J. Nocera, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and G. E. Van Knowe
  8:45 AM
  9:00 AM
Second Moment Calibration and Comparative Verification of Ensemble Mos Forecasts
Bruce Veenhuis Jr., NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Wagner
MOS Precipitation Forecasts Formatted for the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD)

  9:30 AM
New metrics for verifying ensemble spread
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD