92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 6 Forecast Verification I

Wednesday, 25 January 2012: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Room 238 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Cochairs:  Barbara Brown, NCARBob Glahn and Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS
  10:30 AM
A Field Deformation Approach to Spatio-Temporal Forecast Verification of Gridded Sets
Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Chen, M. DePersio, G. Do, K. Eilertson, Y. Jin, E. L. Kang, F. Lindgren, J. Lindstrom, R. L. Smith, and C. Xia

  10:45 AM
Multiple-Metric Assessment Strategies for QPF Verification: The Impact of Aggregation and Analysis Choices on Comparative Modeling Results
Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, J. Halley Gotway, P. Oldenburg, I. Jankov, and S. Stoytchev

  11:00 AM
Evaluation of Ensemble-Based Precipitation Forecasts from an Object-Oriented Perspective
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud, B. G. Brown, J. H. Gotway, T. L. Fowler, R. Bullock, P. Oldenburg, and I. Jankov
  11:15 AM
Regional Evaluation of Convective Nowcasts with An Application of Contingency Table Performance Diagrams
Rita D. Roberts, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, A. Anderson, E. Nelson, and M. Pocernich
Misrepresentation of Model Performance by Root-Mean-Squared Errors: From Mathematical Proof to Case Demonstration

  11:45 AM
Introduction to Probability and Statistics Poster Session
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. G. Brown