92nd American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting (January 22-26, 2012)

Session 3 Probabilistic Forecasting 2

Tuesday, 24 January 2012: 11:00 AM-12:00 PM
Room 238 (New Orleans Convention Center )
Host: 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
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Cochairs:  Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRLBarb G. Brown and Eric Gilleland, NCAR
Papers:
  11:00 AM
3.1
Verification and Calibration of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Derived From Neighborhood and Object Based Methods for a Multi-Model Convection-Allowing Ensemble
Aaron Johnson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (603.7 kB)

  11:15 AM
3.2
Probabilistic Tropical Storm Position Forecasts
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and W. Smith and P. T. McCaslin

  11:30 AM
3.3
Developing a Global, Short-Term Fire Weather Forecasting Tool Using NWP Input Meteorology and Satellite Fire Data
David A. Peterson, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and E. J. Hyer and J. Wang
Recorded Presentation

  11:45 AM
3.4
Using Statistical Decision Analysis to Make Better Flight Decisions: The SPARTICUS Campaign
Christopher J. Hanlon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. B. Stefik, A. A. Small III, J. Verlinde, and G. S. Young
Recorded Presentation

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