Session 2 Improvements in Weather and Climate Forecasts

Wednesday, 9 January 2013: 10:30 AM-12:00 PM
Ballroom F (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Special Symposium on Advancing Weather and Climate Forecasts: Innovative Techniques and Applications
Cochairs:
Brent L. Shaw, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK and Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO

The second session of the Special Symposium will emphasize improved forecast capabilities for weather and climate applications, use of ensemble techniques, and improved capabilities for decision support activities.

Papers:
10:30 AM
2.1
Recent developments in numerical guidance and forecasting strategies for the convective scale
John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, M. C. Coniglio, A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, D. J. Stensrud, L. J. Wicker, and I. L. Jirak
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
2.2
Advancing intraseasonal forecasts through the use of a new NOAA global ensemble reforecast data set
Dan C. Collins, NOAA CPC, College Park, MD; and S. Handel, M. L'Heureux, D. Unger, T. M. Hamill, and J. S. Whitaker

11:15 AM
2.3
A confidence index for numerical weather prediction forecasts
William Capehart, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and D. V. Kliche, M. Hjelmfelt, R. Farley, G. Kierstead, P. Pick, and P. A. Haines
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
2.4
Forecasting with Ensembles: A User Survey
Scott A. Sandgathe, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
2.5
Situational awareness and forecast confidence: new tools for anticipating high-impact events in the West
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and T. I. Alcott, N. Hosenfeld, R. H. Grumm, and C. Smallcomb
Recorded Presentation

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