Session 4 Ensembles and Applications

Thursday, 10 January 2013: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
Room 18C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction
Chair:
Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS, Seattle, WA
CoChair:
Laurence J. Wilson, EC, Recherche en Prévision Numérique, Dorval, QC

Papers:
3:30 PM
4.1
Operational Implementation of the U.S. National Weather Service's Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (Invited)
Mark A. Fresch, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
4.2
Statistical Methods and Meteorology-Impacted Decision Makers in the U.S. Navy (Invited)
Jim Hansen, NRL, Monterey, CA

4:30 PM
4.3
A traditional statistical approach to derive a novelty forecast variable – Road surface friction
Pertti Nurmi, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and I. Juga
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
4.4
Hurricane Irene (2011) worst-case estimates of wind damage to property from exigent analysis of ECMWF ensemble forecasts
Daniel Gombos, AER, Lexington, MA; and R. Hoffman
Recorded Presentation

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