Themed Joint Session 15 Determining the Uncertainty of Climate Predictions and Projections and Best Practices for Users of Climate Information

Tuesday, 8 January 2013: 8:30 AM-9:45 AM

Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction )

Chair:

Dan Collins, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD

Papers:

8:30 AM

TJ15.1

Uncertainties in Regional Simulations of the U.S. Climate in the 20th and 21st Centuries

Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and L. E. Stevens and J. G. Dobson

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

TJ15.2

Determining Land-Atmosphere Coupling Trends in a Changing Climate from Multi-Model Ensembles

Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Y. Jin, B. Singh, and X. Yan

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

TJ15.3

Objective Selection of Representative CMIP5 GCM Simulations for Regional Climate Change Impacts Research: Cluster Initialization and the ETCCDI Climate Extreme Indices

Alex J. Cannon, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada

9:15 AM

TJ15.4

Examining the stationarity assumption in statistical downscaling of climate projections: Is past performance an indication of future results?

Keith W. Dixon, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and K. Hayhoe, J. Lanzante, A. M. K. Stoner, and A. Radhakrishnan

Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.5 MB)

9:30 AM

TJ15.5

Incorporating MJO and ENSO information into probabilistic temperature forecasts over North America

Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and D. Collins, S. B. Feldstein, M. L'Heureux, and E. E. Riddle

Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

- Indicates an Award Winner

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