25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Program Chairs: Hai Lin , EC ; Aiguo Dai , NCAR

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Saturday, 5 January 2013

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7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

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7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Registration Continues Through January 9
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Plenary Session
13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
8:30 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)
Recorded Presentation

8:35 AM
Warm Welcome to Austin!

8:45 AM
Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

8:50 AM
"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Recorded Presentation

9:10 AM
"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research
Recorded Presentation

9:50 AM
"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response
Recorded Presentation

10:10 AM
Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)
Recorded Presentation

10:25 AM
Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 1
Application of AI to the Climate System
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
CoChair: Michael Richman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
11:00 AM
TJ1.1
Statistical Predictive Models for Seasonal Rainfall Anomalies over Sahel
Hamada S. Badr, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik and S. D. Guikema
Recorded Presentation

Handout (4.6 MB)

11:15 AM
TJ1.2
Verifying the time-invariance assumption of statistically downscaled precipitation datasets for future climate
Carlos Felipe Gaitan, University of Oklahoma - NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
TJ1.3
Quantifying the Relationship between Dynamical Cores and Physical Parameterizations by Object-Based Methods
Soner Yorgun, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, CIRES/U. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. B. Rood
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
TJ1.4
Simulation Carbon Dioxide Flux over Two Maize Canopies (Irrigated and Rain-fed) Using Artificial Neural Networks
Babak Safa, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and T. J. Arkebauer, A. Suyker, S. Irmak, and Q. Zhu

Recording files available
Session 1A
Decadal Variability and Predictability
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bin Yu, EC, Toronto, ON
11:00 AM
1A.1
Pacific and Atlantic Decadal Variability Reflected by the Winter Temperature in Taiwan During the Period 1911-2010
Mong-Ming Lu, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. C. Lin, Y. M. Cho, and N. E. Huang

11:15 AM
1A.2
Coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation experiments with a low-order climate model
Robert Tardif, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Snyder and G. J. Hakim
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
1A.3
An Empirical Benchmark for Decadal Forecasts of Global Surface Temperature Anomalies
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
1A.4
An Examination of the Link between Decadal Changes in Precipitation, Winds, and Sea Surface Heights in the Tropical Indo-Pacific during the Period 1993–2010
Matthew A. Burger, The Ohio University, Athens, OH
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 1B
Extreme Weather and Climate Change Part I
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC
11:00 AM
1B.1
Is Global Warming significantly affecting atmospheric circulation extremes?
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO ; and G. P. Compo, C. Penland, and C. McColl

11:15 AM
1B.2
Changes in the Character of Heavy Precipitation Events with Warming
Dr. Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
1B.3
Monitoring changes in U.S. Weather and Climate Extremes
Michael F. Squires, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl and R. W. Katz
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
1B.4
A Nonstationary Framework for Studying Weather/Climate Extremes
Zhaohua Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
Recorded Presentation


5
From Predictions to Impact Based Decisions: Linking Water, Weather, Coastal and Climate
Location: Ballroom G (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Special Symposium on Advancing Weather and Climate Forecasts: Innovative Techniques and Applications; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; and the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise )
Moderator: Paul Sandifer, Chief Science Advisor, NOAA's National Ocean Service, Charleston, SC
Panelists: James Porter, Chief, Water System Operations, Bureau of Water Supply, NYC Department of Environmental Protection, Grahamsville, NY; Robert Hartman, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA; John C. Schaake, Consulting Hydrologist, Annapolis, MD
11:00 AM
John Schaake Presentation

11:15 AM
NYC Water Supply by Jim Porter

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 2A
Model enhancements for improving predictions
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: V. Ramaswamy, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
1:30 PM
2A.1
Earth system modeling for scientific understanding, information, and applications to climate impacts and predictability
V. Ramaswamy, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
2A.2
A new flexible hydrological framework for land surface modeling in regional and global climate studies
Pieter Hazenberg, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Broxton, D. J. Gochis, G. Y. Niu, J. Pelletier, P. Troch, and X. Zeng
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
2A.3
A Comparison Study of Summer-season Land Surface Climatology in CFSv2 with Two Experimental Runs Using a Different Atmospheric Model and Ocean Components
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and IMSG, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek and J. Meng
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
2A.4
Rain-induced Dissipation in Hurricanes
Tapan Sabuwala, Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University, Onna-son, Okinawa, Japan; and G. Gioia and P. Chakraborty
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 2B
Extreme Weather and Climate Change Part II
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM
2B.1
Associating U.S. monthly tornado activity with environmental parameters
Michael K. Tippett, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel and S. J. Camargo
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
2B.2
An Imminent Transition to Drier Conditions over the Continental U.S.?
Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
2B.3
More Evidence Linking Arctic Amplification to Extreme Weather in Mid-Latitudes
Jennifer A. Francis, Rutgers University, Highlands, NJ; and S. J. Vavrus
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
2B.4
Climate Warming Impacts on Strongly and Weakly-Forced Synoptic Precipitation Event in the Southern United States
Tiffany Gardner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 3
Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part I
Location: Ballroom F (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC
Cochairs: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD
1:30 PM
TJ3.1
INVITED: The National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS): Advancing the concept of climate early warning systems
Roger Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and C. McNutt, L. Darby, R. Webb, and J. Verdin
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
TJ3.2
INVITED: Assessment of the National Multi-Model Ensemble System for the Prediction of Drought Over the NIDIS Test-beds
Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. K. Roundy and X. Yuan

TJ3.3
INVITED: Drought and Water Supply in the Context of Foreign Policy

2:00 PM
TJ3.3A
The Impact of Soil Moisture and Snow Assimilation on NLDAS Drought Metrics
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; and D. Mocko, S. V. Kumar, Y. Tian, Y. Xia, and M. B. Ek

2:15 PM
TJ3.4
Comparing evaporative sources using relative entropy – a tool to diagnose the origins of droughts
Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Wei and M. Bosilovich
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Themed Joint Poster Session
Application of AI to the Climate System: Poster session
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
CoChair: Michael Richman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
92
Modeling Atmospheric Temperature Profiles in the Arctic Regions
Young P. Yee, Mkey Technologies, Las Cruces, NM; and K. Y. Yee

Handout (1.6 MB)

93
Synoptic-Scale Weather Forcing of Surface Melt on West Antarctic Ice Shelves from 1987-2002
Chris Karmosky, Univ. of Tennessee, Martin, TN; and D. B. Reusch and D. J. Lampkin

94
Towards improving the state of the art in statistical downscaling of regional precipitation and their extremes with emerging developments in machine learning and data mining
Debasish Das, Northeastern Univ., Boston, MA; and A. R. Ganguly

95
Artificial Neural Network applied to classification of lightning discharge images
Diego Matos Guedes, Centro Universitário da FEI, Sao Bernardo do Campo, Sao Paulo, Brazil; and R. B. B. Gin and R. A. C. Bianchi


Themed Joint Poster Session
Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD
23
The Global Drought Information System—A Decision Support Tool with Global Applications
Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information, Stennis Space Center, MS; and R. Heim

24
Reformulation of the Drought Code in the Canadian Fire Weather Index System Implemented in New Zealand
Yang Yang, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. Uddstrom

Poster 25 has been moved. New Paper number TJ3.3A

26
How well is the physics of intense rainfall events in the Sahel captured by a regional climate?
Julien Crétat, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook and E. K. Vizy

27
Exploring the frequency of hydroclimate extremes on the Niger River using Monte Carlo methods
Asher Siebert, IRI, Palisades, NY; and M. N. Ward

Handout (925.5 kB)

28
HydroXtreme-MaP: A Global Real-time Hydrological Modeling System for Flood and Drought Monitoring and Prediction
Xianwu Xue, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Hong, J. J. Gourley, R. F. Adler, and Y. Zhang

29
Soil moisture—precipitation feedback in the 2011 warm season drought in the Southern Great Plains
Hua Su, The University of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. E. Dickinson

30
Remote Sensing Detection of Droughts and Efficient Water Resource Allocation in Korea
Jihoon Jung, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Kim and S. H. Ahn

31
A Comparison of the Summer 2011 Heat Wave and Drought on the Southern High Plains to previous Extreme Years
Jeffrey D. Vitale, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX; and R. McQueen

Handout (1.7 MB)

32
Development of a Remote-Sensing Based Framework for Mapping Drought over North America
Christopher Hain, University of Maryland, Camp Springs, MD; and M. C. Anderson, X. Zhan, M. D. Svoboda, B. Wardlow, and I. E. Mladenova

33
The Utility of the Real-Time NASA Land Information System Data for Drought Monitoring Applications
Kristopher D. White, NOAA/NWSFO, Huntsville, AL; and J. L. Case
Manuscript (4.3 MB)

Handout (2.6 MB)

34
Factors affecting land surface model spin-up behavior in the high resolution North American Land Assimilation System (NLDAS)
Jiarui Dong, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and M. Ek, B. Cosgrove, Y. Xia, and J. Meng

35
An integrative analysis of drought in the Southeastern United States
Jonghun Kam, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield and E. F. Wood

36
Uncertainties, Relationships, and Optimal Blends of Ensemble-Mean NLDAS Drought Indices
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, D. Mocko, C. D. Peters-Lidard, J. Sheffield, J. Dong, and E. F. Wood

37
Assessing Future Changes of Extreme Surface Temperatures over the southern United States
Ze Yang, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu and D. N. Fernando

38
Rainfall Anomaly Prediction Using Statistical Downscaling in a Multimodel Superensemble over Tropical South America
Bradford D. Johnson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti and V. Kumar


Poster Session
Poster Session I
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
96
The long-term changes of tropospheric lapse rate over China and Its Relations to Surface Warming
Tianbao Zhao Sr., Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Handout (1.1 MB)

97
A Synoptic Climatology of Southern Plains Winter Storms
Esther D. White, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and L. Leslie and P. J. Lamb
Manuscript (4.6 MB)

Handout (15.6 MB)

98
Seasonal march of East Asian rainband simulated by CMIP3 models
Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

99
Dynamical mechanism of meteorological variables in a complicated region
Kyungsik Kim, Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South)

100
Analysis of Precipitation-Related Climate Indices Projected for Central/Eastern Europe Using Bias-Corrected ENSEMBLES Simulations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy and A. Kis
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (6.3 MB)

Poster 101 will now present as TJ33.2A

102
Evaluating surface variables simulated by NARCCAP over the Great Lakes Region and implications of climate change
Lingli He, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. Steiner and V. Y. Ivanov

Handout (361.6 kB)

103
Process Evaluation of Warm Season Precipitation Variability in the Northeast United States: NARCCAP driving AOGCMs and Timeslice Experiments
Jeanne M. Thibeault, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and A. Seth

104
Regional Variability of Seasonal Climate Change in NARCCAP
Seth A. McGinnis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. O. Mearns and L. McDaniel

Handout (18.1 MB)

105
Uncertainty in Future Scenarios of N2O Emission Simulations in Agro-ecosystems in Kansas
Miguel Arango, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and C. W. Rice and A. Anandhi

106
The Effect of Weighting on the NARCCAP Ensemble Mean
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Thompson and L. O. Mearns

Handout (6.3 MB)

107
Climate change and hydrological response in the trans-state Oologah Lake watershed—comparison between statistical downscaled CMIP3 and dynamical downscaled NARCCAP simulations
Lei Qiao, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Hong, R. McPherson, M. Shafer, D. William, and D. Lilly

108
Assessing regional behavior of extreme value statistics from NARCCAP
David B. Mechem, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and N. A. Brunsell

109
Long-term Trends and Variability of Rainfall Extremes in the Philippines
Marcelino Quilates Villafuerte II, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Hachioji-shi, Tokyo, Japan; and J. Matsumoto, I. Akasaka, and H. Kubota

Handout (1.3 MB)

110
Precipitation Trends 1900-2005 Over the Globe from Reconstruction and Coupled Model Simulations
Li Ren, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and P. A. Arkin, T. Smith, and S. Shen

111
Vulnerability and Resilience of Urban Water Systems under Uncertain Climate Change Scenarios
Dan O. Sauceda, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia and J. Huntington

112
Regional Differences in Vulnerability to Climate Change in the United States: State Climatologists discuss challenges and opportunities in the Southeastern United States
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and C. Fuhrman and C. E. Konrad

Handout (2.1 MB)

113
ENSO Teleconnections to North America in CMIP5 Models: Fidelity to Observed Relationships and Projected Changes
Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. P. Xie

114
Climatological propagation of atmospheric phenomena
Eunho Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. H. Lim

115
Changes in Air-Freezing Index and frost depth between two climate normals periods
Rocky G. Bilotta, ERT and NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and E. Shepherd and J. E. Bell

116
Distinguishing Tropical and Extratropical Dynamical Regimes Based on Rossby Number Statistics
Steven J. Brey, University of Washington, Woodinville, WA; and N. A. Davis and T. Birner

118
Atmospheric Rivers in Regional Climate Models for the Western U.S
Nyssa M. Perryman, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia


Poster Session
Poster Session II
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
125
Addressing Issues Related to Animal Agriculture and Climate Change through Extension Programming
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and M. Risse, G. Hawkins, E. Whitefield, D. Smith, C. Powers, D. Schmidt, and J. Pronto

Handout (1.2 MB)

126
Climatic impacts of a stochastic parameterization of air–sea fluxes
Paul D. Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

127
Evidence of Long Period Modulations in Spectral Aerosol Optical Depths Over Central Himalayas
Devulapalli Venkata Phanikumar, ARIES, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India; and N. K. Kondapalli, K. K. Shukla, M. V. Ratnam, and M. Naja

128
Recent warming and sea ice reduction in the Bering Sea and its possible relationship to the central Pacific El Nino
Sae-Rim Yeo, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Kim

129
Analysis of Aridity Trend over Mid-latitude Semi-arid Region Using GLDAS Data
Xiaodan Guan, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, LANZHOU, Gansu, China; and J. Huang and S. Cheng

130
Past and Future Heat Waves in Central/Eastern Europe - Case Study for Hungary Using PRECIS Simulations
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, E. B. Bartha, and I. Pieczka
Manuscript (2.9 MB)

Handout (733.6 kB)

131
Intensification of Extratropical Cyclones associated with the Polar Jet Change in the CMIP5 Global Warming Projections
Ryo Mizuta, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

132
'Evaluation of Precipitation Diurnal Variability by TRMM: Case of Pakistan's 2010 Intense Monsoon'
Hannah K. Huelsing, NWC, Norman, OK; and S. Khan, Y. Hong, and H. Vergara

133
Sensitivity of Lake-Effect Snowfall to Lake Ice Cover and Temperature in the Great Lakes Region
David M. Wright, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt and A. L. Steiner

Handout (1.8 MB)

134
New aspects on the interdecadal variability of East Asian winter monsoon
Kyung-Ja Ha, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. G. Jhun and S. S. Lee

135
A Regional Intercomparison of Rainfall and Wind Speed Extremes
Michael C. Kruk, ERT, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. Marra

136
Extreme Temperature Regimes in the United States: Long-term Trends and Low Frequency Mode Modulation in Observations and CMIP5 Models
Rebecca Westby, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Y. Lee and R. X. Black

137
Assessment of the Effect of Climate Change on Florida's Future Hurricane Event Risk
Michelle Ruiz, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

138
21st Century Precipitation Extremes in the CMIP5 Climate Projections

139
Mechanisms and Sources of Predictability of the North Pacific Warming in the Late 1980s and Early 1990s
Jason R. Webster, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and B. Dong, R. Sutton, and D. M. Smith

Handout (5.3 MB)

140
Projected Changes in Heavy Precipitation over North America in CMIP5 Climate Model Simulations
Anthony M. DeAngelis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. J. Broccoli

Handout (390.8 kB)

141
Extreme precipitation Indices Derived from the NOAA CPC Unified Precipitation Data: Implications for Decision-Making
Kremena Darmenova, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and D. Apling and G. Higgins

142
Contemporary meteorological observations facilitate interpretation of a new multi-century long ice core from the Antarctic Peninsula
Daniel R. Miller, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and E. Mosley-Thompson and B. P. Goodwin

143
The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Linking Weather Extremes: East Asian Cold Surge and High Impact Precipitation over the West Coast  U. S
Tianyu Jiang, Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Deng and K. J. Evans

144
Decadal Changes in Cold Surge Characteristics over Northeast Asia and Their relation with the Arctic Oscillation for the Past Three Decades (1979–2011)
Sung-Ho Woo, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), Pohang, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. M. Kim, J. H. Jeong, S. J. Kim, and G. H. Lim

145
Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Climate Products from GPS Radio Occultation Data
Chi O. Ao, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and O. P. Verkhoglyadova, S. S. Leroy, and A. J. Mannucci

146
Changes in the Frequency and Synoptic Causes of Anomalously Warm January Days in the Interior Northeastern USA
Jeffrey M. Sussman, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. DeGaetano

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 3A
North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM
3A.1
Comparison of Global and Regional Model Climate Changes in the NARCCAP Suite of Models
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
3A.2
Future Convective Environments in the Southeast U.S
Victor Gensini, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and C. Ramseyer and T. Mote
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
3A.3
Spatial Extreme Value Analysis for Large-Scale Severe Weather Indicators
Eric Gilleland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and C. M. Ammann
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (7.7 kB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

4:45 PM
3A.4
Future North American Temperature Extremes as Simulated by a Hierarchy of Global and Regional Climate Models
Christopher G. Fletcher, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and A. T. Saunders
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
3A.5
NARCCAP Model Validation for the Southeast United States
Erik D. Kabela, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and G. Carbone
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
3A.6
Evaluation of NARCCAP Simulations against Site Observations within a Lake Modified Zone
. Perdinan, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI; and J. A. Winkler, S. Zhong, Z. Abraham, P. N. Tan, and M. Liszewska
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 3B
Tropical Cyclones and Climate
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Frederic Vitart, ECMWF, Reading,
4:00 PM
3B.1
Five Linked September Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones during September 2011: Noru, Talas, Lee, Nate, and Katia
Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. S. Griffin
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
3B.2
Citizen Scientists and Tropical Cyclone Activity
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. C. Hennon, C. J. Schreck III, and S. E. Stevens
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
3B.3
The role of vertical structure of meridional wind in the intensification of Atlantic Hurricanes
Sourav Taraphdar, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and L. Y. R. Leung and S. Hagos
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
3B.4
The effect of imposed stratospheric cooling on tropical cyclone potential intensity in axisymmetric simulations
Hamish A. Ramsay, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
3B.5
The Impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Meridional Mode on Seasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
Christina M. Patricola, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. Saravanan and P. Chang

5:15 PM
3B.6
Global View of the Origin of Tropical Disturbances Revisited
Brian Tang, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 7
Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part II
Location: Ballroom F (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Cochairs: Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Washington, DC; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; Siegfried D. Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD
4:00 PM
TJ7.1
Drought depiction, prediction and application: Implications for GDIS
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI/Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and K. Mo and A. G. Barnston
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
TJ7.2
A Modeling Study of the On-Going Drought and Heat Wave Over the United States
Siegfried Schubert, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, R. D. Koster, and M. Suarez
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
TJ7.3
CWRF Application for U.S. Drought Forecasts
Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Chen and S. Su
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
TJ7.4
Application of NCEP Land Data Assimilation Systems for Global and Regional Drought Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction
Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Meng, and J. Dong
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
TJ7.5
East African Drought Prediction and Humanitarian Responses in 2012
Chris C. Funk, USGS EROS, Santa Barbara, CA; and G. Husak, J. Michaelsen, A. Hoell, and J. Verdin
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
TJ7.6
Evaluation of a Remotely Sensed Evaporative Stress Index for Monitoring Patterns of Anomalous Water Use
Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and C. Hain, J. A. Otkin, and X. Zhan
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 10
Medium-range, Sub-seasonal and Seasonal-scale Forecast Techniques and Modeling for Energy Demand Part I
Location: Room 6A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation )
Cochairs: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; Stephen Bennett, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; Sue Ellen Haupt, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM
TJ10.1
North America temperature response to convectively persistent eastward propagating tropical convection associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation
David Margolin, EarthRisk Technologies; and J. M. Cordeira
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
TJ10.2
Application of the RMM MJO indexes for prediction of temperature and energy demand
Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
TJ10.3
Statistical post-processing using reforecasts to improve medium-range renewable energy forecasts
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and G. Bates
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
TJ10.4
A seamless system for medium range, subseasonal and seasonal probabalistic forecasts of energy demand
Judith A. Curry, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. Belanger, M. Jelinek, V. Toma, and P. Webster

5:00 PM
TJ10.5
Medium-Range Wind Power Ensemble Forecasting for Texas
Kristofer Y. Shrestha, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry, J. Belanger, J. Mittelman, J. Freedman, J. Zack, and P. Beaucage

5:15 PM
TJ10.6
Subseasonal predictability of regional wind power generation
Jake Mittelman, Georgia Institute of Techonology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry, K. Shrestha, and J. Belanger
Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:15 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Climate Impact to Health, Food Security and Air Quality
Location: Room 6B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Moderator: Michelle D. Hawkins, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
8:15 AM
J2.1
Pollen exposure and respiratory illness in a changing climate
Shubhayu Saha, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA; and A. Manangan and G. Luber

8:30 AM
J2.2
The vector mosquito Aedes aegypti at the margins: sensitivity of a coupled natural and human system to climate change
Andrew J. Monaghan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. F. Steinhoff, M. H. Hayden, L. Delle Monache, L. M. Eisen, S. Lozano-Fuentes, E. Zielinski-Gutierrez, and C. Welsh-Rodriguez
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
J2.3
The Impact of Meteorological Parameters on Urban Air Quality in the Oklahoma City Metro Area
Nicole R. Ramsey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. M. Klein
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
J2.4
Predicting the Effects of Climate and Weather on the Occurrence of West Nile Virus in Nortern Cook County IL
Nancy E. Westcott, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, IL; and R. L. Lampman and E. J. Muturi
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J2.5
Impact of climate change on mid-21st century growing seasons in Africa
Kerry H. Cook, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and E. Vizy
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
J2.6
Past trends in public health relevant characteristics of U.S. extreme heat events
E. M. Oswald, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and R. B. Rood
Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 4
Interactions among different climate components
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA
8:30 AM
4.1
Capturing the Atlantic cold tongue and coastal upwelling in a coupled atmosphere/ocean regional model
Edward Vizy, Department of Geological Sciences, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

4.2
Investigating air-sea interaction in the extratropical North Pacific Ocean: comparing observations to a coupled GCM

8:45 AM
4.2A
A Review of Global Terrestrial Evapotranspiration: Observation, Modeling, Climatology, and Climatic Variability
Kaicun Wang, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, Beijing, China; and R. E. Dickinson
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
4.3
Diagnostics of the Joint Behavior of US Summer Heat Waves and Drought: How Extreme was 2012?
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI/Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and A. G. Barnston
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
4.4
Vegetation-atmosphere interactions: Impacts of Oklahoma's winter wheat crop on temperature and moisture fields
Renee A. McPherson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4.5
Contribution of soil moisture-atmosphere coupling to summer droughts and floods over eastern China
Lingyun Wu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Zhang

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 13
Drought Prediction and Applications from a Hydrological Science Perspective Part III
Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH
8:30 AM
TJ13.1
Assessing Future Changes of Climate Extremes in Supporting Regional Water Resource Planning over the South-Central United States
Rong Fu, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and D. N. Fernando, L. Yin, T. Ren, Z. Yang, and A. Bowerman
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
TJ13.2
Using a standardized GRACE dataset to investigate regional-scale drought severity
Alys Thomas, University of California, Irvine, CA; and J. S. Famiglietti
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
TJ13.3
Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Drought Persistence in the Southeastern United States
Christopher F. Labosier, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and T. W. Ford
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
TJ13.4
Experimental prediction of severe droughts on seasonal time scales with GFDL High-Resolution Atmosphere Model
Zhitao Yu, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. J. Lin
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
TJ13.5
Land-atmosphere coupling and seasonal forecast skill over the Great Plains and the Southeast United States
Joshua K. Roundy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. R. Ferguson and E. F. Wood
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 15
Determining the Uncertainty of Climate Predictions and Projections and Best Practices for Users of Climate Information
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction )
Chair: Dan Collins, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD
8:30 AM
TJ15.1
Uncertainties in Regional Simulations of the U.S. Climate in the 20th and 21st Centuries
Kenneth E. Kunkel, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC; and L. E. Stevens and J. G. Dobson
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
TJ15.2
Determining Land-Atmosphere Coupling Trends in a Changing Climate from Multi-Model Ensembles
Paul A. Dirmeyer, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and Y. Jin, B. Singh, and X. Yan
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
TJ15.3
Objective Selection of Representative CMIP5 GCM Simulations for Regional Climate Change Impacts Research: Cluster Initialization and the ETCCDI Climate Extreme Indices
Alex J. Cannon, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada

9:15 AM
TJ15.4
Examining the stationarity assumption in statistical downscaling of climate projections: Is past performance an indication of future results?
Keith W. Dixon, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and K. Hayhoe, J. Lanzante, A. M. K. Stoner, and A. Radhakrishnan
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.5 MB)

9:30 AM
TJ15.5
Incorporating MJO and ENSO information into probabilistic temperature forecasts over North America
Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and D. Collins, S. B. Feldstein, M. L'Heureux, and E. E. Riddle
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Themed Joint Poster Session
Determining the Uncertainty of Climate Predictions and Projections and Best Practices for Users of Climate Information
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction )
Chair: Dan Collins, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD
Relative weights of GCM runs for stochastic analyses and downscaling

119
Uncertainty in the CMIP5 Projections over South Asia
Moetasim Ashfaq, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and D. Rastogi and D. Touma

120
Quantification of Model Parameterization Uncertainty in the NASA GEOS GCM
Derek J. Posselt, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and B. Fryxell

121
Canonical Events: A Seamless Approach to Use Weather and Climate Forecasts to Produce Reliable and Consistent Hydrometeorological Ensemble Inputs for Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction
John C. Schaake, Consultant, Annapolis, MD; and E. F. Wood and R. Hartman

122
How does the drought of 2012 compare to earlier droughts in Kansas, USA?
Aavudai Anandhi, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and M. Knapp, S. L. Huchinson, and C. W. Rice

123
Estimating uncertainties in global and North American regional climate change projections using the Climateprediction.net multi-thousand member AOGCM ensemble

124
A Combined Dynamical/Statistical Technique for Regionalizing an Ensemble of Climate Change Signals
Daniel B. Walton, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and F. Sun, A. Hall, and X. Qu


Poster Session
Poster Session I
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
96
The long-term changes of tropospheric lapse rate over China and Its Relations to Surface Warming
Tianbao Zhao Sr., Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Handout (1.1 MB)

97
A Synoptic Climatology of Southern Plains Winter Storms
Esther D. White, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and L. Leslie and P. J. Lamb
Manuscript (4.6 MB)

Handout (15.6 MB)

98
Seasonal march of East Asian rainband simulated by CMIP3 models
Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

99
Dynamical mechanism of meteorological variables in a complicated region
Kyungsik Kim, Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South)

100
Analysis of Precipitation-Related Climate Indices Projected for Central/Eastern Europe Using Bias-Corrected ENSEMBLES Simulations
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy and A. Kis
Manuscript (1.1 MB)

Handout (6.3 MB)

Poster 101 will now present as TJ33.2A

102
Evaluating surface variables simulated by NARCCAP over the Great Lakes Region and implications of climate change
Lingli He, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. Steiner and V. Y. Ivanov

Handout (361.6 kB)

103
Process Evaluation of Warm Season Precipitation Variability in the Northeast United States: NARCCAP driving AOGCMs and Timeslice Experiments
Jeanne M. Thibeault, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT; and A. Seth

104
Regional Variability of Seasonal Climate Change in NARCCAP
Seth A. McGinnis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. O. Mearns and L. McDaniel

Handout (18.1 MB)

105
Uncertainty in Future Scenarios of N2O Emission Simulations in Agro-ecosystems in Kansas
Miguel Arango, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS; and C. W. Rice and A. Anandhi

106
The Effect of Weighting on the NARCCAP Ensemble Mean
Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Thompson and L. O. Mearns

Handout (6.3 MB)

107
Climate change and hydrological response in the trans-state Oologah Lake watershed—comparison between statistical downscaled CMIP3 and dynamical downscaled NARCCAP simulations
Lei Qiao, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Y. Hong, R. McPherson, M. Shafer, D. William, and D. Lilly

108
Assessing regional behavior of extreme value statistics from NARCCAP
David B. Mechem, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and N. A. Brunsell

109
Long-term Trends and Variability of Rainfall Extremes in the Philippines
Marcelino Quilates Villafuerte II, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Hachioji-shi, Tokyo, Japan; and J. Matsumoto, I. Akasaka, and H. Kubota

Handout (1.3 MB)

110
Precipitation Trends 1900-2005 Over the Globe from Reconstruction and Coupled Model Simulations
Li Ren, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and P. A. Arkin, T. Smith, and S. Shen

111
Vulnerability and Resilience of Urban Water Systems under Uncertain Climate Change Scenarios
Dan O. Sauceda, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia and J. Huntington

112
Regional Differences in Vulnerability to Climate Change in the United States: State Climatologists discuss challenges and opportunities in the Southeastern United States
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and C. Fuhrman and C. E. Konrad

Handout (2.1 MB)

113
ENSO Teleconnections to North America in CMIP5 Models: Fidelity to Observed Relationships and Projected Changes
Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and S. P. Xie

114
Climatological propagation of atmospheric phenomena
Eunho Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and G. H. Lim

115
Changes in Air-Freezing Index and frost depth between two climate normals periods
Rocky G. Bilotta, ERT and NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and E. Shepherd and J. E. Bell

116
Distinguishing Tropical and Extratropical Dynamical Regimes Based on Rossby Number Statistics
Steven J. Brey, University of Washington, Woodinville, WA; and N. A. Davis and T. Birner

118
Atmospheric Rivers in Regional Climate Models for the Western U.S
Nyssa M. Perryman, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia


Poster Session
Poster Session II
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
125
Addressing Issues Related to Animal Agriculture and Climate Change through Extension Programming
Pamela N. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and M. Risse, G. Hawkins, E. Whitefield, D. Smith, C. Powers, D. Schmidt, and J. Pronto

Handout (1.2 MB)

126
Climatic impacts of a stochastic parameterization of air–sea fluxes
Paul D. Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom

127
Evidence of Long Period Modulations in Spectral Aerosol Optical Depths Over Central Himalayas
Devulapalli Venkata Phanikumar, ARIES, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India; and N. K. Kondapalli, K. K. Shukla, M. V. Ratnam, and M. Naja

128
Recent warming and sea ice reduction in the Bering Sea and its possible relationship to the central Pacific El Nino
Sae-Rim Yeo, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Kim

129
Analysis of Aridity Trend over Mid-latitude Semi-arid Region Using GLDAS Data
Xiaodan Guan, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, LANZHOU, Gansu, China; and J. Huang and S. Cheng

130
Past and Future Heat Waves in Central/Eastern Europe - Case Study for Hungary Using PRECIS Simulations
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, E. B. Bartha, and I. Pieczka
Manuscript (2.9 MB)

Handout (733.6 kB)

131
Intensification of Extratropical Cyclones associated with the Polar Jet Change in the CMIP5 Global Warming Projections
Ryo Mizuta, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

132
'Evaluation of Precipitation Diurnal Variability by TRMM: Case of Pakistan's 2010 Intense Monsoon'
Hannah K. Huelsing, NWC, Norman, OK; and S. Khan, Y. Hong, and H. Vergara

133
Sensitivity of Lake-Effect Snowfall to Lake Ice Cover and Temperature in the Great Lakes Region
David M. Wright, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and D. J. Posselt and A. L. Steiner

Handout (1.8 MB)

134
New aspects on the interdecadal variability of East Asian winter monsoon
Kyung-Ja Ha, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. G. Jhun and S. S. Lee

135
A Regional Intercomparison of Rainfall and Wind Speed Extremes
Michael C. Kruk, ERT, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. Marra

136
Extreme Temperature Regimes in the United States: Long-term Trends and Low Frequency Mode Modulation in Observations and CMIP5 Models
Rebecca Westby, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Y. Lee and R. X. Black

137
Assessment of the Effect of Climate Change on Florida's Future Hurricane Event Risk
Michelle Ruiz, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

138
21st Century Precipitation Extremes in the CMIP5 Climate Projections

139
Mechanisms and Sources of Predictability of the North Pacific Warming in the Late 1980s and Early 1990s
Jason R. Webster, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and B. Dong, R. Sutton, and D. M. Smith

Handout (5.3 MB)

140
Projected Changes in Heavy Precipitation over North America in CMIP5 Climate Model Simulations
Anthony M. DeAngelis, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. J. Broccoli

Handout (390.8 kB)

141
Extreme precipitation Indices Derived from the NOAA CPC Unified Precipitation Data: Implications for Decision-Making
Kremena Darmenova, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and D. Apling and G. Higgins

142
Contemporary meteorological observations facilitate interpretation of a new multi-century long ice core from the Antarctic Peninsula
Daniel R. Miller, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and E. Mosley-Thompson and B. P. Goodwin

143
The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Linking Weather Extremes: East Asian Cold Surge and High Impact Precipitation over the West Coast  U. S
Tianyu Jiang, Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Deng and K. J. Evans

144
Decadal Changes in Cold Surge Characteristics over Northeast Asia and Their relation with the Arctic Oscillation for the Past Three Decades (1979–2011)
Sung-Ho Woo, Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH), Pohang, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. M. Kim, J. H. Jeong, S. J. Kim, and G. H. Lim

145
Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Climate Products from GPS Radio Occultation Data
Chi O. Ao, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and O. P. Verkhoglyadova, S. S. Leroy, and A. J. Mannucci

146
Changes in the Frequency and Synoptic Causes of Anomalously Warm January Days in the Interior Northeastern USA
Jeffrey M. Sussman, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and A. DeGaetano

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 5A
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change I
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
11:00 AM
5A.1
Changes in Observed Daily Precipitation over the United States Between 1950-1979 and 1980-2009
Wayne Higgins, NOAA/OAR/CPO, College Park, MD; and V. Kousky
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (515.5 kB)

11:15 AM
5A.2
Variations in Observed Global and Regional Precipitation during the Past Three Decades: Global Warming, PDV and More
Robert F. Adler, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and G. Gu
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
5A.3
Independent Confirmation of Global Land Warming without the Use of Station Temperatures
Gilbert P. Compo, Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO ; and P. D. Sardeshmukh, J. S. Whitaker, P. Brohan, P. D. Jones, and C. McColl

11:45 AM
5A.4
30-Year Atmospheric Temperatures Derived from Satellite Microwave Sounding Instruments Using a 1D-Var Approach
Fuzhong Weng, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and K. Wang and C. Da
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 5B
Tropical Climate Variability: ENSO
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
11:00 AM
5B.1
Change in ENSO's Amplitude due to Global Warming
Soon-Il An, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. Choi

11:15 AM
5B.2
Decadal Modulation of ENSO and Linkages to Pacific Decadal Variability: Analysis of a 1300-year CCSM4 Control Simulation
Yuko M. Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
5B.3
The Anomalous Circulation Associated with the ENSO-related West Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Gradient
Andrew Hoell, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
5B.4
North Tropical Atlantic SST as a Trigger of El Niño
Jong-Seong Kug, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and Y. Ham, J. Park, and F. F. Jin
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 6A
Climate Data and Analysis
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
1:30 PM
6A.1
A Harmonic Approach for Calculating Daily Temperature Normals Constrained by Homogenized Monthly Temperature Normals
Anthony Arguez, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and S. Applequist
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
6A.2
Case study on the impact of homogenizing monthly temperature series along coastal California
Bob Bornstein, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and A. T. Ghebreegziabhe, M. J. Menne, and J. Gonzalez
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
6A.3
A Long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous U.S.: Update and extensions
Ben Livneh, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and E. A. Rosenberg, C. Lin, V. Mishra, K. Andreadis, E. P. Maurer, and D. P. Lettenmaier
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
6A.4
Development of a Global 0.5-degree Hourly Land Surface Air Temperature Data Based on the CRU in situ and Multi-reanalysis Products
Aihui Wang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and X. Zeng
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
6A.5
Homogenisation of Daily Climate Data and Analysis of Climate Extremes in Pacific Island Nations
Kirien Whan, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and S. McGree, A. A. Imielska, D. Jones, and L. Alexander
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
6A.6
How Reliable are Atmospheric Temperature Trends from Climate Reanalyses?
Cheng-Zhi Zou, NOAA, College Park, MD

Recording files available
Session 6B
Tropical Climate Variability I
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA/CPC, College Park, MD
1:30 PM
6B.1
Possible Root Causes of the Surface Westerly Biases over the Equatorial Atlantic in Global Climate Models
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. Zermeno
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
6B.2
Ocean-atmosphere responses to the coexistence of mesoscale SST gradients and convective rainfall
Richard E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Li
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
6B.3
Tropical Pacific Sea Level Pressure Trends Indicate a Strengthening Walker Circulation
Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and S. Lee and B. Lyon

2:15 PM
6B.4
Using New Versions of the GPCP and TMPA Data Sets to Assess Interannual Variation of Tropical Precipitation
Eric J. Nelkin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. Huffman, D. T. Bolvin, R. F. Adler, W. S. Olson, and C. D. Kummerow
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
6B.5
Diurnal Cycle in Different Weather Regimes and Rainfall Variability over Borneo Island Associated with ENSO
Jian-Hua (Joshua) Qian, University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and A. W. Robertson and V. Moron
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
6B.6
Revisiting the Tropical Cyclone—Easterly Wave Relationship on Interannual Time Scales
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry and M. T. Jelinek
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 7A
Climate Analysis
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC
3:30 PM
7A.1
State of the Climate in 2012
Derek S. Arndt, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
7A.2
The Temporal Autocorrelation Structure of Sea Surface Winds
Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
7A.3
A climatology of the structure, frequency and propagation of midlatitude cyclones that affect North Carolina
Rosana Nieto Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and L. Hall and T. M. Rickenbach
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
7A.4
The effect of North Pacific decadal variability, expansion of the tropical belt, and the North Atlantic Subtropical High on the climate of the South-Central United States
Adam Bowerman, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu, L. Yin, and D. N. Fernando
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
7A.5
The Connection between Alaska and Greenland Ice Cores under Different Climate Regimes
Stacy E. Porter, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Columbus, OH; and E. Mosley-Thompson and L. G. Thompson
Recorded Presentation

Handout (3.1 MB)

4:45 PM
7A.6
Relative contributions of synoptic and low-frequency eddies to time-mean atmospheric moisture transport, including the role of atmospheric rivers
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis, K. M. Weickmann, F. M. Ralph, and P. D. Sardeshmukh
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
7A.7
Changes in Cloud Cover, Precipitation, and Summer Temperature from 1982 to 2009
Qiuhong Tang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and G. Leng
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
7A.8
Temporal and spatial variabilities in ISCCP clouds over East Asia and their implication of climate change
Hwan-Jin Song, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. J. Sohn
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 7B
Extreme Weather and Climate Change III
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
3:30 PM
7B.1
Observed Increases in Probable Maximum Precipitation Over Global Land Areas
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. E. Kunkel and W. Yin
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
7B.2
Monitoring and Understanding Changes in Heat Waves, Cold Waves, Floods and Droughts in the United States: State of Knowledge
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, T. R. Karl, R. S. Vose, R. Hirsch, D. Kaiser, H. E. Brooks, N. S. Diffenbaugh, R. M. Dole, J. P. Giovannettone, K. Guirguis, R. W. Katz, K. E. Kunkel, D. Lettenmaier, G. J. McCabe, C. J. Paciorek, K. R. Ryberg, S. D. Schubert, V. Silva, B. C. Stewart, A. V. Vecchia, G. Villarini, J. Walsh, M. F. Wehner, D. Wolock, K. E. Wolter, C. A. Woodhouse, and D. J. Wuebbles
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
7B.3
Heat Wave Frequency Variability over North America: Two Distinct Leading Modes
Zhiwei Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Lin
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
7B.4
The Impact of a Superposed Jet's Ageostrophic Circulation on the 1–2 May 2010 Nashville Flooding Event and the Implications for a Warmer Climate
Andrew C. Winters, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
7B.5
The changing nature of severe snowstorms in the U.S
Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, Asheville, NC; and M. Squires, K. E. Kunkel, and D. A. Robinson
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
7B.6
Monitoring and Understanding Changes in Extremes: Extratropical Storms, Winds, and Waves
Russell S. Vose, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
7B.7
Changes in Precipitation Extremes in Major Global Urban Areas
Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology, Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India; and B. Nijssen and D. Lettenmaier
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
7B.8
Trends in rainfall and temperature extremes in the Pacific
Agata A. Imielska, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and K. Whan, S. McGree, D. Jones, and L. V. Alexander
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 27
Medium-range, Sub-seasonal and Seasonal-scale Forecast Techniques and Modeling for Energy Demand Part 2
Location: Room 6A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; and the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences )
Cochairs: Travis Hartman, MDA Information Systems, LLC, Gaithersburg, MD; Stephen Bennett, EarthRisk Technologies, San Diego, CA; Andrew E. Mercer, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS
3:30 PM
TJ27.1
Global Climate Change: An Energy Industry Perspective
Jon Davis, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL; and J. Darr and M. S. Russo
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
TJ27.2
Empirical models of climate prediction on subseasonal to seasonal time scales
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
TJ27.3
Arctic Sea Ice Predictability Beyond the Seasonal Scale
Philip W. Jones, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and C. M. Bitz, E. P. Chassignet, M. M. Holland, E. C. Hunke, W. Maslowski, and P. Posey
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
TJ27.4
ESPC Decadal Variation Demonstration of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
James G. Richman, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
TJ27.5
Tropospheric Precursors to Large AO Events on the Subseasonal Timescale
Justin E. Jones, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. Cohen
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
TJ27.6
Anomalous circulation in the Indonesian Seas during the DYNAMO field campaign simulated by the global HYCOM
Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and E. J. Metzger, W. Han, and C. Wang

5:00 PM
TJ27.7
Earth System Prediction Capability Demonstration Goal #1 – Improved 1-6 Week Forecasting of Extreme Weather Related to Blocking Events – Initial Directions
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and W. Higgins, A. Kumar, M. Chen, R. M. Dole, J. Perlwitz, M. Hoerling, T. M. Hamill, K. Pegion, J. M. Brown, R. Bleck, S. Sun, M. Fiorino, and M. Peng
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
TJ27.8
What is the lead-time for a skillful winter forecast?
Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA
Recorded Presentation

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Duce Symposium Banquet
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 8
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability I
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
8:30 AM
8.1
The Contribution of Frozen Ground Changes in Eurasia to Arctic Amplification
Oliver W. Frauenfeld, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and L. Chen and T. Zhang

8:45 AM
8.2
Rapid Changes in Arctic Sea Ice: How Do Climate Models Capture the Reality?
Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK

9:00 AM
8.3
Exploring the Role of Oceanic Feedbacks in the Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Response to Projected 21st Century Arctic Sea Ice Loss
Robert Tomas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Deser
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
8.4
Warm Events at Summit, Greenland During 2012 Relative to an Evolving Climate Record
Christopher A. Shuman, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and M. J. Schnaubelt and T. Mefford

9:30 AM
8.5
The Seasonal Cycle of Polar Specific Humidity Inversions in Four Reanalyses
Michael A. Brunke, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. T. Stegall and X. Zeng
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
8.6
The Characteristic Variability and Connection to the Underlying Synoptic Activity of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low
Alex J. Wovrosh, The Ohio State University, Athens, OH; and R. L. Fogt, R. A. Langen, and I. Simmonds
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 29
Climate Trends and Projections in the Coastal Environment—Part I
Location: Room 18B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
CoChair: Hyodae Seo, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA
8:30 AM
TJ29.1
Statistical Downscaling and Forecast of Global Warming Reverse-Reaction Coastal Cooling in the California South Coast Air Basin
Pedro Sequera, City College of New York, New York, NY; and B. Bornstein and J. Gonzalez

8:45 AM
TJ29.2
Isolation of Summer Coastal Marine Air From California's Great Interior Valley
Clive E. Dorman, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Koracin and H. Seo
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
TJ29.3
High-Resolution Decadal Climate Predictions of Coastal Regions in the US Northeast
Jorge Gonzalez, City College of New York, New York, NY; and L. Ortiz, M. Arend, and B. Lebassi-Habtezion
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
TJ29.4
What determines the spatial pattern in summer upwelling trends on the U.S. West Coast?
Hyodae Seo, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
TJ29.5
Trends in surface 1970-2010 Southern California Maximum Temperatures: Extremes and Heat Waves
Amanuel T. Ghebreegziabher, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA; and R. Bornstein, J. Gonzalez, and B. Lebassi
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
TJ29.6
Upwelling and Coastal Climate
Darko Koracin, DRI, Reno, NV; and J. F. Mejia, K. C. King, and C. E. Dorman

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 31
News from the National Climate Assessment, Hot Off the Press: Part I
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions )
Chair: Emily Therese Cloyd, US Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC
8:30 AM
TJ31.1
The National Climate Assessment: Overview and Key Findings [INVITED]
Kathy Jacobs, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. Melillo
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
TJ31.2
The U.S. National Climate Assessment: The Science of Climate Change [INVITED]
Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. E. Walsh, K. Hayhoe, K. E. Kunkel, G. Stephens, P. Thorne, R. S. Vose, M. F. Wehner, and J. Willis
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
TJ31.3
Assessing changes in Extreme Weather and Climate Events [INVITED]
Kenneth E. Kunkel, NOAA/Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Asheville, NC
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
TJ31.4
Short-lived radiative forcings of the climate system [INVITED]
Graeme Stephens, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Discussion

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 33
Climate Trends and Projections in the Coastal Environment—Part II
Location: Room 18B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Hyodae Seo, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA
10:30 AM
TJ33.1
Fingerprints of Precipitation Changes from CMIP5 Models over Land and Ocean
Beena Balan Sarojini, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and P. A. Stott, E. Black, and D. Polson
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
TJ33.2A
Model Errors in Precipitation, Surface Insolation and Cloudiness in the NARCCAP Hindcast Experiment
Jinwon Kim, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and D. E. Waliser, L. O. Mearns, C. Mattmann, S. A. McGinnis, H. K. Lee, C. Goodale, A. Hart, D. Crichton, and P. Loikth
Recorded Presentation

TJ33.2
Are we using the right climate? Developing ecosystem-based climatologies to inform impact assessments

TJ33.3
Shoreline Position as a Geoindicator: definition and application to the Rio Grande do Sul Coast, Brazil

11:15 AM
TJ33.4
Projections of ocean properties along the Washington coast: 20–30 years from now
Wei Cheng, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Bond and A. Hermann

Handout (7.4 MB)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Part I
Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Om Tripathi, University of Reading, Reading,
10:30 AM
J3.1
A hydrologist's view of climate model downscaling for assessments of the hydrology and water resources implications of climate change
Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J3.2
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Climate Change Results
Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO

11:00 AM
J3.3
Applications of RCMs for Understanding Climate Change in the Central US
Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J3.4
Regional Climate Models' Dynamic Downscaling Ability and Major Factors that Affect this Ability
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and F. De Sales, R. Vasic, T. Sato, Y. Gao, and L. Druyan

11:30 AM
J3.5
Understanding the role of local scale climate drivers over Africa using the GA3-based regional climate model
Wilfran Moufouma-Okia, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and R. Jones and J. Rodriguez

11:45 AM
J3.6
Regional Climate Change across North America in 2030 Projected from RCP 6.0
Tanya L. Otte, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and C. G. Nolte, G. Faluvegi, and D. Shindell

Recording files available
Session 9
Arctic and High Latitude Climate Variability II
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiangdong Zhang, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
10:30 AM
9.1
Recent Changes in Accumulation on the Bruce Plateau, Antarctica
Bradley P. Goodwin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and E. Mosley-Thompson and M. R. Sierra-Hernandez
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
9.2
Bering Strait's effect on AMOC independent of the background climate
Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meehl, W. Han, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, A. Abe-Ouchi, and N. Rosenbloom
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
9.3
Will Changes in Atmospheric Poleward Energy Transport Enhance or Dampen Arctic Warming?
Natasa Skific, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and J. A. Francis
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
9.4
Monitoring of Changing Arctic Cryosphere and Circumpolar Vortex for Better Mid-latitude Climate Prediction
Gwangyong Choi, Jeju National University, Jeju-si, Jeju-do, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. A. Robinson and J. Kim

11:30 AM
9.5
A Possible Linkage between Arctic Sea-ice Loss and Stratospheric Polar Vortex
Baek Min Kim, Korean Polar Research Institute, Inchon, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. K. Min, S. W. Son, J. H. Jeong, and S. J. Kim

11:45 AM
9.6
Initial Transient Response of the Polar Stratospheric Vortex to Idealized Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in WACCM
Bradley M. Hegyi, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng, R. X. Black, and R. Zhou
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 35
News from the National Climate Assessment, Hot Off the Press: Part II
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions )
Chair: Emily Therese Cloyd, US Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC
10:30 AM
Introductory Notes by Emily Cloyd
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
TJ35.1
Overview of the Water Resources Chapter of the 2013 National Climate Assessment [INVITED]
Paul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities, Seattle, WA; and A. Georgakakos
Recorded Presentation

TJ35.2
Land, Energy and Water Systems: Intersects and Climate [INVITED]

11:15 AM
TJ35.2A
Mitigation
Anthony Janetos, Univ of Maryland, College Park, MD
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
TJ35.3
Climate Effects on Agriculture [INVITED]
Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and J. L. Hatfield
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
TJ35.4
The 2013 US National Climate Assessment: Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystems and Biogeochemical Cycles, and Opportunities for Adaptation and Mitigation [INVITED]
Christopher Michael Clark, EPA, Washington, DC; and N. Grimm
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM
Discussion

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Town Hall Meeting: National Climate Assessment: Further Defining Actionable Information
Location: Room 15 (Austin Convention Center)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 10A
Clouds and Radiation
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA
1:30 PM
10A.1
Factors contributing to interannual variability in CERES radiation flux
Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
10A.2
Characterizing and Understanding cloud-precipitation-radiation-dynamical interactions using CloudSat/CALIPSO and other A-Train observations
Jui-Lin F. Li, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, S. Lee, M. Deng, T. L'Ecuyer, and G. Stephens

2:00 PM
10A.3
The Role of Clouds in Polar Amplification
Patrick C. Taylor, NASA, Hampton, VA; and M. Cai

2:15 PM
10A.4
Effects of Implementing Subgrid-Scale Cloud-Radiation Interactions in a Regional Climate Model
Jerold A. Herwehe, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and K. Alapaty, T. Otte, and C. Nolte

Recording files available
Session 10B
Impact of MJO on Weather and Climate
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:30 PM
10B.1
Some aspects of the impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the state of the Arctic
Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, Maryland; and G. Henderson and M. LaFleur
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
10B.2
Impact of Madden-Julian Oscillation on South America and its teleconnection with southern Africa
Alice M. Grimm, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba, Parana, Brazil

2:00 PM
10B.3
Disruptions of ENSO Teleconnections by the MJO
Andrew Hoell, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and M. Barlow
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
10B.4
Simulating the Extratropical Response to the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 38
Tools for making use of climate predictions and earth systems analysis: GIS and Python Part I
Location: Room 12B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: Johnny Wei-Bing Lin
1:30 PM
TJ38.1
Reducing Barriers to the Use of Climate Data in Adaptation Planning (invited)
Richard B. Rood, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
TJ38.2
Usable Science—integration of atmospheric data with traditional GIS tools (invited)
Jennifer Boehnert, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and O. Wilhelmi
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session
Poster Session III
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
563
The robustness of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)
Mona Behl, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. Nof and S. Van Gorder

Handout (546.9 kB)

564
The distribution of climate zones across Australia: identifying and explaining changes during the past century
Harvey Stern, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and R. R. Dahni
Manuscript (478.9 kB)

Handout (495.2 kB)

565
Enhanced MJO-like Variability at High SST in a Super-Parameterized GCM
Nathan P. Arnold, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and Z. Kuang and E. Tziperman

566
Analysis of Convectively Coupled Equatorial Kelvin Waves in a GCM with a Modified Entrainment Profile
Raymond Ruiz, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and W. Hannah, J. J. Benedict, and E. Maloney

567
Decadal ENSO Modulation of the Last Millennium Simulation
Jung Choi, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. I. An

568
Climatology of Tropical and Transitional Extratropical Cyclones in the New Zealand Region
Stacey M. Hitchcock, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie and P. J. Lamb

569
Precipitation, Elevation and Relief in the Tropics
Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. M. Anders

570
Climate extremes in uncoupled and coupled regional climate models
Tarun Verma, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. S. Hsieh, C. M. Patricola, R. Saravanan, and P. Chang

Handout (6.8 MB)

571
CloudSat-derived Morphology of Deep Convection over Tropical Oceans
Aryeh J. Drager, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH; and M. R. Igel and S. C. van den Heever

572
Feedback Attribution of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation-related Atmospheric and Surface Temperature Anomalies
Tae-Won Park, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and Y. Deng and M. Cai

Handout (5.2 MB)

573
An Analysis of the Local Environmental Memory of Tropical Cyclone Passage
Benjamin Schenkel, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and R. E. Hart

574
Examination of the global Lorenz energy cycle and preliminary applications for regime shift
Maeng-Ki Kim, Kongju National University, Gongju, Korea, Republic of (South); and Y. H. Kim, W. K. M. Lau, C. H. Cho, K. M. Kim, and W. S. Lee

575
Radiative and Dynamical Forcing of the Surface and Atmospheric Temperature Anomalies Associated with the Northern Annular Mode
Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and T. W. Park and M. Cai

576
Evolution of intraseasonal precipitation variability in the Blue Nile River basin
Fisseha Berhane, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik and A. K. Dezfuli

577
Analysis of Teleconnections and Drought for the Arbuckle-Simpson Aquifer
Virginia G. Silvis, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. McPherson, H. Lazrus, M. Richman, and M. D. Hunter

Handout (1.1 MB)

578
The North Atlantic Oscillation: Impact on Snowfall Conditions in the Northeastern United States
Holly M. Widen, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. S. M. Coleman

Handout (1.5 MB)

579
The Change of the North American Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation in the CCSMv4 under IPCC CO2 Emission Scenarios
Manuel Hernandez Jr., Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. Tribbia and J. Caron

580
A method of correction of climatological temperature records for the effect of relocation of meteorological stations
Satoshi Hagiya, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

Handout (598.8 kB)

581
Record-Breaking Temperatures: Seasonal and Monthly Trends Over the Conterminous U.S
Clinton M. Rowe, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE

582
Decadal Variability in Ensemble Projections
Stefan Liess, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN; and P. K. Snyder, A. Kumar, and V. Kumar

583
Anthropogenic Forcing on Changes in the Wintertime Atmospheric Variability in the Pacific Sector
Qigang Wu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and X. Zhang

584
Climate Change and Associated Fire Potential for the Southeastern United States in the 21st Century
Anthony Bedel, Commonwealth of Kentucky, Frankfort, KY

Handout (1.6 MB)


Joint Poster Session
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Posters Part I
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA
539
Evaluating CEOP Model Performance in Semi-Arid Region of China
Weidong Guo, Insititute for Climate and Global Change Researching University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and X. Ling

540
Sensitivity of a Simulated Deep Convective Storm to WRF Microphysical Schemes and Horizontal Resolution
Annareli Morales, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. M. Villanueva-Birriel and H. Morrison

Handout (1013.2 kB)

541
Comparing nudging techniques with increasing horizontal resolution in regional climate models
Kevin Talgo, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. Bowden, N. Davis, A. Xiu, and A. Hanna

542
Cost-effective Dynamical Downscaling: An Illustration of Downscaling CESM with the WRF Model
Jared H. Bowden, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and S. Arunachalam

543
Microphysical Differences Resulting from Regional Climate Change in Simulated Deep Convective Storms
Cecille Villanueva-Birriel, Purdue University, West Lafayette, CO; and S. Lasher-Trapp and H. Morrison

544
Downscaling of monsoon onset using pseudo global warming method
Mikiko Fujita, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Hara, N. N. Ishizaki, H. G. Takahashi, and F. Kimura

545
Downscaling NOAA's Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. C. Meyers, D. A. Unger, and A. Hollingshead

546
Effects of Agricultural Irrigation on Heat Waves in the Contiguous United States using WRF3.3-CLM4crop
Yaqiong Lu, University of California, Merced, CA; and J. Jin and L. M. Kueppers

547
High-resolution regional climate projections over South Asia
Rui Mei, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and D. Touma and M. Ashfaq

548
Lake Process Simulations with a Regional Climate Model
Jiming Jin, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and H. Gu, Y. Wu, and M. B. Ek

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Technology Supporting Earth Science Information
Location: Room 11AB (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Gerald Dittberner, Harris Corporation, Greenbelt, MD; Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Tom Whittaker, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
4:00 PM
J1.1
2012 Arctic Report Card—tracking recent environmental changes
Martin Jeffries, Office of Naval Research & University of Alaska Fairbanks, Arlington, VA; and J. E. Overland, J. A. Richter-Menge, and N. N. Soreide
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
J1.2
Data Discovery and Access to The International Surface Pressure Databank
Thomas A. Cram, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo, C. McColl, D. Schuster, and S. Worley
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
J1.3
GLIDER: A tool built on open framework to visualize, analyze and mine satellite imagery
Rahul Ramachandran, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and T. Berendes, M. Maskey, and S. J. Graves
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
J1.4
Arctic Rediscovery
Kevin R. Wood, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Mollan, P. Brohan, and N. N. Soreide
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
J1.5
Making earth science data more accessible: experience with compression and chunking
Russell K. Rew, UCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
J1.6
Improving the Estimation of PBL Thermodynamic Structure from Advanced Infrared Sounder Observation
Chian-Yi Liu, National Central University, Taoyuan, Taiwan; and J. Li, T. H. Lin, and G. R. Liu
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 11A
Extreme Weather and Climate Change IV
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiaolan Wang, EC, Toronto, ON
4:00 PM
11A.1
Anatomy of an Extreme Event: The 2011 Texas Heat Wave and Drought
Martin Hoerling, NOAA ESRL, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar, R. M. Dole, J. Nielsen-Gammon, J. K. Eischeid, J. Perlwitz, X. Quan, T. Zhang, P. Pegion, and M. Chen
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
11A.2
Toward Data-Intensive Drought Monitoring and Predictions to Mitigate Drought Impacts in the 21 Century
Jae H. Ryu, University of Idaho, Boise, ID; and M. Sohrabi and A. Acharya

4:30 PM
11A.3
Tornado Forecasting with High Resolution Climate Models
Abraham Solomon, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. Lu, B. Cash, and J. Kinter
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
11A.4
The Influence of Recurrent Modes of Climate Variability on the Occurrence of Extreme Temperatures over North America
Paul C. Loikith, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. J. Broccoli
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
11A.5
Changes in Atlantic Coastal Winter Storms in the United States in Warmer Climate
Christopher G. Marciano, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. Lackmann
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
11A.6
Geographic Distribution of Trends in Tropical Pacific Rainfall Extremes
Michael D. Klatt, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Morrissey and J. S. Greene
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 11B
Tropical Climate Variability II
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Michelle L'Heureux, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD
4:00 PM
11B.1
Daily Precipitation Distributions over the Intra-Americas Sea and Their Interannual Variability
Scott Curtis, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
11B.2
Interactions between the TC/submonthly Wave Pattern and ISO in the Western North Pacific
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
11B.3
Northward Propagation Mechanisms of the Asian Summer Monsoon in the ERA-Interim Renalysis and the SP-CCSM
Charlotte DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. Stan and D. A. Randall
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
11B.4
Absorbing Aerosol Induced Change in the Early Monsoon Arabian Sea Low Level Jet
Andrew Martin, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti and W. K. M. Lau
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
11B.5
Tropical ocean surface energy balance variability: Linking weather to climate scales
J. Brent Roberts, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and C. A. Clayson

5:15 PM
11B.6
Low Frequency Variations in the Hadley and Walker Circulations
Chris C. Funk, USGS/Earth Resources Observation Systems, Santa Barbara, CA; and M. Barlow and A. Hoell
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 40
Atmospheric Chemistry at the Climate/Policy Interface
Location: Room 16A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the 15th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )
Chair: Juliane L. Fry, Reed College, Portland, OR
4:00 PM
TJ40.1
Invited Presentation: Comparing Science and Policy Across Environmental Issues
Susan Solomon, MIT, Cambridge, MA

4:30 PM
TJ40.2
Invited Presentation: Narrative Descriptions to Improve the Salience of Climate Projections to Policy and Planning
R. B. Rood, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM
TJ40.3
Retrospective Evaluation of Recent State Implementation Plans for Ozone
Daniel S. Cohan, Rice Univ., Houston, TX; and A. H. Pegues
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
TJ40.4
The Role of Intercontinental Transport in a Changing Climate
Timothy Glotfelty, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and Y. Zhang, D. Streets, and P. Karamchandani
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 41
Tools for making use of climate predictions and earth systems analysis: GIS and Python Part II
Location: Room 12B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology )
Chair: Johnny Wei-Bing Lin
4:00 PM
TJ41.1
The Use of GIS and Python Scripting for Processing and Mapping National and Regional Climate Data Simulations (invited)
J. Greg Dobson, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and J. D. Morgan, K. E. Kunkel, and L. E. Stevens
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
TJ41.2
The Google Earth Engine Python API (invited)
Tyler A. Erickson, Google Inc., Mountain View, CA

5:00 PM
Panel Discussion

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Part II
Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Om Tripathi, University of Reading, Reading,
4:00 PM
J4.1
Effective Use of Regional Models for Climate Prediction
Kerry H. Cook, University of Texas, Austin, TX
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
J4.2
Inter-Annual Variability of African Easterly Waves in the NCAR Nested Regional Climate Model
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
J4.3
Land use change and Sahel precipitation
Samson M. Hagos, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung, Y. Xue, A. A. Boone, and N. Neupane
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
J4.4
Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Western North Pacific during the Last Decades Derived from a Regional Climate Model Simulation
Monika J. Barcikowska, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany; and F. Feser and H. von Storch

J4.5
Regional Climate Simulations for Australia using the weatherathome Citizen Science Experiment

5:00 PM
J4.5A
Dynamically Downscaled IPCC RCM Climate Projections for the Southwest U.S. and Their Applicability in Hydrologic Resource Projection
Hsin-I Chang, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Castro, P. A. Troch, M. B. Switanek, T. Luong, and F. Dominguez
Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM
J4.6
A high-resolution, event-based modeling framework for understanding the impact of climate change on hydrometeorological extreme events
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and V. L. Sankovich, R. J. Caldwell, M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, and J. Barsugli
Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM
J4.7
A modeling analysis of rainfall and water cycle by the cloud-resolving WRF model over western North Pacific
Wenhua Gao, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and C. H. Sui
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (2.9 MB)

Handout (1.6 MB)

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


93rd AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

Saturday | Sunday | Monday | Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | top

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Part III
Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
8:30 AM
J5.1
Projections of a Wetter Sahel in the 21st Century from Global and Regional Models
Edward K. Vizy, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook

J5.2
Climate-relevant physics in the new Noah-MP Land Surface Model coupled with WRF

9:00 AM
J5.3
The arid/semi-arid region of East Asia: A hot spot of soil temperature-atmosphere coupling
Jingyong Zhang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

9:15 AM
J5.4
The role of negative buoyancy in surface-based convection and its representation in cumulus parameterization schemes
Manisha Ganeshan, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. Murtugudde
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (8.4 MB)

9:30 AM
J5.5
Improvement in the representation of warm season convective precipitation in complex terrain using a Modified Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization scheme
Thang Luong, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. L. Castro, T. M. Nguyen, W. Cassell, and H. I. Chang
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 12A
Teleconnections and Climate Modes I
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Nat Johnson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
8:30 AM
12A.1
Observed and modeled teleconnections along the equatorial waveguide during IOD-ENSO interactions
Saji N. Hameed, University of Aizu, Aizuwakamatsu, Fukushima, Japan
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
12A.2
Tropical/Extratropical forcing on wintertime variability of the extratropical temperature and circulation
Bin Yu, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Lin
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
12A.3
Link between fall sea ice variability and atmospheric patterns in the following winter
Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA; and S. Hopsch
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
12A.4
Altered Atmospheric Responses to Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific El Niños over the North Atlantic Region due to Stratospheric Interference
Mi-Kyung Sung, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, Korea, Republic of (South); and B. M. Kim and S. I. An
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
12A.5
The Changing Impacts of El Niño on US Winter Climate
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and Y. Zou, S. T. Kim, and T. Lee
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 12B
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change II
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
8:30 AM
12B.1
Changes in U.S. Total Cloud Cover from Ground-Based Weather Observations- Real or Artificial?
Melissa Free, NOAA, College Park, MD; and B. Sun

8:45 AM
12B.2
Multi-Model Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends: CMIP3 vs CMIP5 Historical (20C3M) Runs
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and F. Zeng and A. Wittenberg
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
12B.3
Climatic variations in summer precipitation and their impacts on streamflow in the Michigan Lower Peninsula
Daria B. Kluver, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and J. L. Ryder and T. A. Dahl

9:15 AM
12B.4
Possible climate change over Northern Eurasia
Erwan Monier, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and A. P. Sokolov, C. A. Schlosser, X. Gao, and J. Scott
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
12B.5
Worldwide Expansion of agriculture and global warming and regional precipitation anomalies in past half century
Guoqiong Song, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Posters Part II
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Om Tripathi, University of Reading, Reading,
549
The Climatic Effects of Deforestation in South and Southeast Asia
Rachindra Mawalagedara, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and R. J. Oglesby

550
Regional Climate Model Superensemble Simulations of Recent trends in Extreme events for the western US
Roberto J. Mera, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, DC; and P. W. Mote

Handout (673.6 kB)

551
Seasonal Climatology Studies for Tropical Regions
Prabhat Kumar Thakur, Indian Instiute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka, India; and R. Mittal, V. Saxena, T. George, L. A. Treinish, A. P. Praino, J. Cipriani, L. Dagar, A. G. Naim, H. Hassan, and S. A. Husain

Handout (436.4 kB)

552
Possible North Atlantic extratropical cyclone activity in a warmer climate
Lanli Guo, BIO, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and W. Perrie and Z. Long

553
The uneven decline in different snow measures due to human-induced climate warming
David W. Pierce, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and D. R. Cayan

554
New Daily and Monthly Downscaled CMIP5 Climate Projections
Levi D. Brekke, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and B. Thrasher, T. Pruitt, E. P. Maurer, C. Tebaldi, J. R. Arnold, and J. Long

Handout (1.5 MB)

555
The Use of Hydrological Similarity Concepts to Represent Sub-grid Variability in a Snowmelt Dominated Watershed
Andrew J. Newman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Clark, A. Winstral, and D. Marks

556
Assessing Climate Change Impacts for Military Installations in the Southwest United States During the Warm Season
Hsin-I Chang, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Castro and M. Leuthold

557
Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis
Ian Kraucunas, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. Clarke, J. Dirks, M. hejazi, K. A. Hibbard, M. Huang, A. Janetos, M. Kintner-Meyer, K. Kleese Van Dam, L. R. Leung, R. Moss, J. Rice, M. J. Scott, A. Thomson, T. West, P. Whitney, and Z. Yang

Handout (2.1 MB)

558
The North American Monsoon: Implications from WRF Modeling
Dorothea Ivanova, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, AZ; and D. L. Mitchell

559
Atmospheric feedbacks of LULC change on hydrometeorological aridity in regions of complex terrain in South America
Xiaoming Sun, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and A. P. Barros

560
Dynamical Downscaling with Regional Integrated Environmental Modeling System (RIEMS) over East Asia
Deming Zhao, IAP/Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

561
Assessment of add-value of dynamical downscaling in Japan
Koji Dairaku, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. IIzuka, W. Sasaki, R. A. Pielke Sr., N. Tsunematsu, and J. Hirano

562
Approximated Equations of Urban Climate by Scale Analysis
Ali Gholizadeh Touchaei, Concordia University, Montreal, QC, Canada

Handout (159.4 kB)

9:45 AM-11:30 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Poster Session
Poster Session IV
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
585
The role of summer surface wind anomalies in the summer Arctic sea ice extent in 2010 and 2011
Masayo Ogi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan; and J. M. Wallace

586
Florida's Unprecedented Dry Season "Significant Tornado Drought"
Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA, Melbourne, FL
Manuscript (1.8 MB)

Handout (2.1 MB)

587
Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Late 21st Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-based Scenarios
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. J. Sirutis, G. A. Vecchi, S. Garner, M. Zhao, H. S. Kim, M. Bender, I. Held, R. E. Tuleya, and G. Villarini

Handout (4.6 MB)

588
Temporal Analysis of Interannual Soil Moisture Variability in Iowa
Angela Khong, Texas A&M University , College Station, TX; and J. K. Wang, S. M. Quiring, and T. W. Ford

589
High-resolution Modeling Studies of the Changing Risks of Damage from Extratropical Cyclones
Michelle L. Cipullo, North Carolina State University, Salisbury, NC; and W. A. Robinson and G. Lackmann

590
Tropospheric Water Vapor Anomalies During the 2006-07 and 2009-10 El Niños
Hanii Takahashi, City University of New York, New York, NY; and H. Su, J. Jiang, Z. J. Luo, S. P. Xie, and J. Hafner

Handout (3.0 MB)

591
Spatial Variability of In Situ Soil Moisture in Iowa
Jessica K. Wang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. Khong, S. M. Quiring, and T. W. Ford

592
West African Monsoon Demise
Kerry H. Cook, University of Texa, Austin, TX; and G. Zhang

593
Spatial and temporal variability of snow accumulation rate and air transports at East Antarctic ice sheet in 1993–2010
Kazue Suzuki, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Motoyama, K. Kawamura, and T. Yamanouchi

594
What Control the Dry Bias over Amazonian by CMIP5 Models and Its Implication for Future Projections?
Lei Yin, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu, E. Shevliakova, and R. E. Dickinson

Handout (2.7 MB)

Poster 595 has been moved. New paper number is 15B.5A

596
Sensitivity of Arctic Warming to the Sea Surface Temperature Distribution over Sea-ice Melted Region in the AGCM Experiments
Sang-Yoon Jun, Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and C. H. Ho, B. M. Kim, J. H. Jeong, and Y. J. Kim

597
Impacts of Arctic temperature variation on the East Asia Climate
Yeon-Soo Jang, Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology, Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Jeong, B. M. Kim, and J. S. Kug

598
A Numerical Investigation of Thermal Dynamics of Permafrost in Northern Eurasia
Liang Chen, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and O. Frauenfeld and T. Zhang

599
Extreme rainfall on the eastern seaboard of Australia
Agata A. Imielska, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. Alexander and B. Timbal

600
How Does Coldwave Frequency in China Respond to a Warming Climate?
Tingting Ma Sr., Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and Z. Jiang and Z. Wu

601
One-year observations of organic carbon, elemental carbon, water-soluble organic carbon, and major ions in marine aerosols from Okinawa Island, Japan—an outflow region of Asian dust
Bhagawati Kunwar, Institute of low temperature science/Hokkaido Univ., Sapporo, Japan; and K. Kawamura

602
Seasonal prediction of monsoon Asia using CMIP5
Vinay Kumar, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

603
Globally-gridded night-time marine air temperatures
Robert A. Junod, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy

Handout (5.5 MB)

604
California Precipitation Variability in a Warming World
Daniel Killam, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Bui, S. LaDochy, P. Ramirez, W. C. Patzert, and J. Willis

Handout (306.3 kB)

605
A Surprise in the North Pacific: Results From Applying a New Nonlinear Method for Calibrating Ice Cores
Eric P. Kelsey, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and C. P. Wake and E. Osterberg

Handout (2.2 MB)

606
Determining Gulf Surge Contributions to NAM Precipitation Using Observational and Reanalysis Data
Jennifer Stutler, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and C. Castro, J. J. Brost, and H. I. Chang

Handout (672.0 kB)

607
Examination of inconsistencies in the surface-observed cloud amount record over China: 1954–2008
Dale Kaiser, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale Part IV
Location: Room 10B (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Hydrology; and the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Ruby Leung, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA
11:00 AM
J6.1
Distributed Hydrological Modelling- and Stochastic Weather Generator-based Combined Estimation Technique for Future Flood Frequency Using Regional Climate Model Simulation
Rita Pongracz, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy and J. A. Szabó
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (654.3 kB)

11:15 AM
J6.2
Refining WRF Downscaling from 36-km to 12-km Resolution
O. Russell Bullock Jr., EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and M. S. Mallard, K. Alapaty, J. A. Herwehe, and T. L. Otte

11:30 AM
J6.3
Does increased model resolution over complex terrain improve precipitation for the right reasons? A North American Monsoon case study
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J6.4
Influence of Soil Moisture Initialization on Local Precipitation Patterns in the Western Ghats
Wendilyn J. Flynn, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and S. W. Nesbitt
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 13A
Teleconnections and Climate Modes II
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Christopher G. Fletcher, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON
11:00 AM
13A.1
Blocking variability and linkages with teleconnections
Giacomo Masato, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and B. J. Hoskins and T. J. Woollings
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
13A.2
The Role of Linear Interference in the Annular Mode Response to Tropical SST Forcing
Christopher G. Fletcher, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and P. J. Kushner
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
13A.3
Anatomizing Synoptic Eddy–NAO Interaction through Eddy-Structure Decomposition
Hong-Li Ren, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and F. F. Jin and L. Gao

11:45 AM
13A.4
Using Enstrophy Transport as a Diagnostic to Identify Flow Regime Transformation
Andrew D. Jensen, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo and I. I. Mokhov
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (435.4 kB)

Recording files available
Session 13B
Detection and Attribution of Climate Change III
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Brian Tang, SUNY, Albany, NY
11:00 AM
13B.1
The Mystery of Recent Stratospheric Temperature Trends
David W. J. Thompson, Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO; and D. J. Seidel, W. J. Randel, C. Z. Zou, A. H. Butler, R. Lin, C. S. Long, C. A. Mears, and A. Osso
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
13B.2
Attribution of the summer warming since 1970s in Indian Ocean Basin to the inter-decadal change in the seasonal timing of El Niño decay phase
R.-C. Ren, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China; and Q. Li, M. Cai, and G. X. Wu
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
13B.3
Magnitude and significance of observed trends in precipitation frequency over the U.S
Indrani Pal, Boston University, Boston, MA; and B. T. Anderson, G. Salvucci, and D. Gianotti

11:45 AM
13B.4
Extratropical Lapse Rates in Very Hot Climates
Ryan Alexander Zamora, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. Korty, M. Huber, and D. Thomas

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 14A
Climate Modeling
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Christopher G. Fletcher, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON
1:30 PM
14A.1
Using Observing Systems to Differentiate Climate Models According by Their Low-Cloud Feedback Strengths
Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and W. Collins
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
14A.2
AR5 Inter-model variability and mechanism attribution of central and southeastern U.S. anomalous cooling in the 20th century
Zaitao Pan, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO
Recorded Presentation

14A.3
Unforced Surface Temperature Variability in Observations and Global Climate Models

2:15 PM
14A.3A
A new snow microphysics parameterization applied to a cloud electrification model: framework and preliminary results
Marco Formenton, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and V. Phillips and B. Lienert
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
14A.4
The Implementation of a Carbon-Nitrogen Model into the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) Model for Use in the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM)
Michael A. Brunke, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Nijssen, X. Zeng, and D. P. Lettenmaier
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
14A.5
Regional Climate Simulations with Bias Corrected GCM Forcing Data for the Western United States
Ripley C. McCoy, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and J. Jin

3:00 PM
14A.6
Regional and seasonal mean inter-comparison across CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate model ensembles
Devashish Kumar, Northeastern University, Boston, MA; and E. Kodra and A. Ganguly

Recording files available
Session 14B
Interannual Variability and Seasonal Prediction I
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
1:30 PM
14B.1
Effect of model resolution on tropical seasonal rainfall predictions
Wassila Mamadou Thiaw, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD

1:45 PM
14B.2
Correcting the Bias in the CFS Version 2 Precipitation Forecasts
Pingping Xie, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and S. H. Yoo, W. Wang, and A. Kumar
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
14B.3
The impact of spring subsurface soil temperature and snow anomaly in the Western U.S. on Southern U.S. summer precipitation and the Texas drought 2011
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and R. Vasic, S. li, C. oaida, D. A. Robinson, F. De Sales, Z. Janjic, P. C. Chu, and Y. Liu

2:15 PM
14B.4
Trends and variability in 12+ years of pole-to-pole, fine resolution wind observations from MISR
Kevin J. Mueller, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and M. Garay

2:30 PM
14B.5
The Physical Mechanism of the Wintertime Turbulent Heat Flux Variability over the Northwestern Pacific
Kwang-Yul Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and W. Choi
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
14B.6
Seasonal Predictability in Northwestern Africa: Considering the Mix of Mid-Latitude and Tropical Influences
M. Neil Ward, Independent Scholar, Basking Ridge, NJ; and F. Driouech, S. Sahabi Abed, and H. Yazidi
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Levels 3 and 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 15A
Climate Projection
Location: Ballroom B (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Xiaolan Wang, EC, Toronto, ON
3:30 PM
15A.1
Probabilistic forecast of long-term climate changes under different RCP scenarios
Andrei Sokolov, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and D. Kicklighter, E. Monier, C. A. Schlosser, and J. Scott
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
15A.2
Projections of North Atlantic Surface Wave Heights Using CMIP5 Simulations
Xiaolan Wang, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and Y. Feng and V. R. Swail
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
15A.3
A Comparison of Impacts to Northern Hemisphere Winter Storm Tracks between the IPCC AR4 and AR5 Climate Change Scenarios
Natalie Gaggini, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; and T. Eichler
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
15A.4
Temporal Change in the East Asian Summer Monsoon Associated with Tibetan Plateau Forcing: A Complementary Means for Assessing Projections of Regional Climate
Yimin Liu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
15A.5
Understanding Projections of Increased Convective Precipitation Intensity
Naresh Neupane, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook
Recorded Presentation

15A.6
Atmospheric River Frequency and Intensity Changes in CMIP5 Climate Model Projections

4:45 PM
15A.6A
Cloud and Water Vapor Feedbacks to the El Nino Warming: Are They Still Biased in CMIP5 Models?
Yong-Qiang Yu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
Recorded Presentation

Recording files available
Session 15B
Interannual Variability and Seasonal Prediction II
Location: Ballroom C (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Hai Lin, EC, Dorval, QC
3:30 PM
15B.1
Spatiotemporal Variability of Precipitation over Africa
Hamada S. Badr, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and B. F. Zaitchik and A. K. Dezfuli
Recorded Presentation

Handout (6.7 MB)

3:45 PM
15B.2
Mechanisms that control interannual variations of the wet season onsets over the Amazon and their predictability
Lei Yin, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu, Y. Zhang, P. Arias, and D. N. Fernando
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
15B.3
Global and Regional Water Vapor Variability from the New NASA Water Vapor Project-MEaSUREs (NVAP-M) Dataset
Janice L. Bytheway, Science and Technology Corporation, Laporte, CO; and T. H. Vonder Haar and J. M. Forsythe
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
15B.4
A new approach to the East Asian winter monsoon—seasonal cycle and seasonal scale variability under global warming
Yoojin Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and K. Y. Kim
Recorded Presentation

15B.5
Shallow circulation, advective drying and inter-annual variability of Sahel precipitation in present and future climate

4:30 PM
15B.5A
Comparison of observational and CMIP5 Interannual Cloud Forcing Response in the Southeastern Pacific
Anita D. Rapp, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

4:45 PM
15B.6
Atmospheric Moisture Budget and its Regulation of the Summer Precipitation Variability over the Southeastern United States
Laifang Li, Duke Univ, Durham, NC; and W. Li and A. P. Barros

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


AMS 93rd Annual Meeting Adjourns
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