13th History Symposium

Program Chairs: Thomas Vonder Haar , Colorado State University ; Jean Phillips , University of Wisconsin ; Wayne H. Schubert , Colorado State Univ.

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Monday, 5 January 2015

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7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon; the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium; and the 15th Presidential Forum )
Program Chair: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Moderator: Kimberly E. Klockow, NOAA
Keynote: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Panelists: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central; Mac Devine, IBM Cloud Services Division; Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA; Curtis L. Walker, University of Nebraska

Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
  9:00 AM
William B (Bill) Gail: Introductory remarks
Recorded Presentation

  9:08 AM
Kimberly E. Klockow: Moderator welcoming remarks
Audio File

  9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
Recorded Presentation

  9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Recorded Presentation

  9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Recorded Presentation

  9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
Recorded Presentation

Tuesday, 6 January 2015

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11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Presidential Forum; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
  11:00 AM
L1.1
Model Diagnoses of El Nino Teleconnections to the Global Atmosphere-Ocean System
Ngar-Cheung Lau, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 1
History of Weather
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 13th History Symposium
  1:30 PM
1.1
Overview of the Storm Prediction Center
Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin and S. F. Corfidi
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (812.6 kB)

  2:00 PM
1.2
The First Alabama Superoutbreak – March 21, 1932
Bill Murray, WeatherBrains, Birmingham, AL
Recorded Presentation

  2:30 PM
1.3
The 1821 Norfolk-Long Island Hurricane: The East Coast's $100 billion event
Megan E. Linkin, Swiss Re America Holding Corporation, Armonk, NY
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 2
Other Topics Analyzed Through the Lens of History
Location: 128AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 13th History Symposium
  3:30 PM
2.1
Astronomy or Meteorology or ?: Sun-Weather Connection Research as a Borderland Science
Joseph P. Bassi, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University/Worldwide, Lompoc, CA

  3:45 PM
2.2
Richard Assmann and the Discovery of the Stratosphere
Thomas Birner, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and K. Boyd
Recorded Presentation

  4:00 PM
2.3
Meteorological Aspects of the First Flight Over Everest
Dr Harshvardhan, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
Recorded Presentation

Handout (9.9 MB)

  4:15 PM
2.4
Determining Regional Weather and Climate Patterns and Anomalies from a Historical Diary
Jase E. Bernhardt, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA
Recorded Presentation

Wednesday, 7 January 2015

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1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
  1:30 PM
L2.1
Quantifying Potential Evapotranspiration in a Changing Climate (Core Science Lecture)
P. C. D. Milly, USGS, Princeton, NJ

Thursday, 8 January 2015

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9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the 15th Presidential Forum; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium )
  11:00 AM
L3.1
Air-Ice Chemical Interactions, Their Impacts, and Connections to Climate Change
Paul B. Shepson, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN

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