Thursday, 14 January 2016: 2:15 PM
Room 352 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
This study analyzes 25 years of Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) retrievals of rain rate and wind speed to assess changes in storminess over the open water of the Pacific Ocean. Storminess is characterized by combining trends in both the statistically-derived 95th percentile exceedance frequencies of rain rate and wind speed (i.e., extremes), and is computed annually and seasonally, with further partitioning done by phase of the El Ni�o Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index. The resulting storminess map resembles a traffic light, with red, yellow, and green shading, providing a quick look at those areas which are essentially most �at risk� due to the recent trends in extremes of heavy rains and strong winds. The presentation will highlight three main foci: 1) the storminess maps, showing the most prone regions of the Pacific to extreme rain and wind; 2) how the trends in rain and wind shift within varying teleconnection states; and 3) challenges with putting this information into the island context for use by decision-makers.

