Saturday, 9 January 2016
8:00 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
A Beginner's course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: Room 357 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
1
Welcoming Remarks
Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:30 AM-10:10 AM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Get primed for the AMS Student Conference! Our first speakers will
help set you up for a successful conference in New Orleans. You will get tips on
how to network, how to walk up to big-name scientists, and how to make yourself
competitive in achieving your future goals.
10:10 AM-10:25 AM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
10:25 AM-11:10 AM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
You will get a chance to attend two unique panels during this
breakout session, which is designed to highlight a range of careers in meteorology
based on your skills or interests. You will have a chance to ask professionals how
they got their jobs, what they do, and what you can do now to prepare yourself to
follow in their footsteps.
12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Lunch (Sponsored by the Weather Company)
Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Stretch your mind by learning about the wide variety of careers in
meteorology. From traditional to non-traditional careers, we’ve assembled a
group of professionals who will each give a 2-3 minute introduction on who they
are, what they do, and why you’ll want to talk with them in the next session. Be
sure to note down their room numbers!
1:30 PM-3:45 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
In this session, you’ll have an opportunity to meet with the
professionals you were just introduced to in small-group settings and discuss their
jobs. This is a great opportunity to ask questions and have discussions with top
professionals. Note: Each rotation will consist of a 15-minute discussion period
followed by an 8-minute transition period.
3:15 PM-3:45 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Dark clouds approach, a red banner scrolls along the bottom of a
news broadcast, and the ominous drone of the sirens begins. In this session, you
will have the opportunity to learn about the operations of the Integrated Warning
Team and how to become involved with emergency management. Note: This
session will take place during the last two rotations of Session 3b.
3:45 PM-4:00 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
Get a review of the world’s recent extreme weather events from the
experts who forecast and research them.
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Saturday, 9 January 2016
The Career Fair is an excellent opportunity to interview on-site, one-on-one, with organizations looking to recruit highly talented individuals. View available full-time and part-time job opportunities, network with government agency and private industry employees, and meet recruiters from some of the country’s best graduate school programs -- all in one convenient location, and all at no cost.
On the evening of Saturday, January 9, the Career Fair will open with a reception for attendees of the 15th Annual AMS Student Conference. This is a great opportunity for you to meet with employer and graduate school representatives in an informal setting and to schedule interviews for later in the week. There is no cost to attend this opening night reception but you must be
registered for the Student Conference.
While it is not necessary to
register for participation in the Career Fair, you are encouraged to do so if you wish to submit a resume that may be viewed by Career Fair recruiters. If you are not interested in sharing your resume with recruiters prior to the meeting, it is not necessary to register in order to attend. Please note that we cannot accept resumes from those not registered for the Student Conference, the Early Career Professionals Conference or the Annual Meeting.
Sunday, 10 January 2016
7:00 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
You can have a hand at building a WeatherReady Nation by interacting with 200 Boy and Girl Scouts as they learn about weather and emergency management. Participating scouts (ages 10–17) will have the opportunity to earn the new Weather-Ready Nation Patch, as well as their respective Weather Merit Badges in full. During this program, scouts will learn how to interpret symbols on a weather map, discover the difference between different weather alerts and how the public receives them, discuss what items need to be in an emergency kit, determine ways families and communities can be prepared in the event of a weather emergency, and much more. AMS is in need of several volunteers to lead or assist with the instructional sessions. Click http://wrnscoutevent.wix.com/wrnscoutevent for more information and to become a volunteer!
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
8:30 AM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Please join the AMS Committee on Environmental Stewardship to help remove invasive plant species from New Orleans City Park's wetlands and bioretention parking lot. AMS will be working with local landscape architecture firm, Dana Brown & Associates, whom designed both of these spaces in City Park.
Volunteers are encouraged to wear outdoor working clothes and shoes that can potentially get muddy. Waterproof shoes are encouraged, as some parts of the wetlands may hold up to 1' of water. Sunscreen may be needed, weather permitting, and all other tools will be provided, including bug spray.
There is a $25 fee per person to participate, which will cover the cost of transportation and snacks.
Interested attendees are invited to sign up for the project when preregistering for the meeting.
Register here. The deadline for registration is Wednesday, 16 December.
For information on this event, please contact
Christine Keane.
For those that are participating, plan on meeting in the lobby of Hall D, across from the AMS Registration desk, located on the first level of the convention center at 900 Convention Center Blvd at 8:30am.
8:30 AM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Coastal Surge and Inundation Modeling Short Course
Location: Room 352 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
GIS Tutorial for Atmospheric Sciences
Location: Room 354 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
A Beginner's course to Using Python in Climate and Meteorology
Location: Room 357 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
AMS Short Course on Meteorological Measurements and Instrumentation
Location: Room 350/351 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
AMS Short Course: GOES-R and JPSS Preview for Users
Location: Room 355 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Introduction to PyNIO and Related Python Tools for Geoscientific Data Analysis Short Course
Location: Room 356 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
1
Opening Remarks
Location: Room 243 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Everyone presenting (both oral and poster) and/or attending the 96th AMS Annual Meeting must register and wear a badge. Early registration rates are valid through Tuesday, 1 December 2015. Registrations forms faxed or mailed to AMS Headquarters will be accepted until 15 December 2015. Online registrations will be accepted throughout the conference. Preregistration forms must be accompanied by one of the following forms of payment: check (personal/business/traveler's), money order, purchase order, or credit card number (MasterCard/VISA/American Express). Foreign checks must be drawn on a U.S. bank and made payable in U.S. dollars. Confirmation of registration will be sent once the form is processed. Refunds (less a $25 processing fee) will be granted only for cancellations received before 22 December 2015. Click here for more information on
registration.
9:30 AM-9:45 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:45 AM-10:40 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
It doesn’t matter where you are or where you’re going with your
career; there is always something more you can do to prepare yourself for
success! This breakout session focuses on different career paths to consider and
strategies for success.
It doesn’t matter where you are or where you’re going with your
career; there is always something more you can do to prepare yourself for
success! This breakout session focuses on different career paths to consider and
strategies for success.
9:45 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Joint session with the 15th Annual AMS Student Conference
10:20 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
10:40 AM-10:50 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
10:50 AM-11:45 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
As we endeavor to serve society through science, we must keep in
mind that our science does not operate in a vacuum. We draw upon the
computational sciences in generating forecasts and analyzing data. Meanwhile,
we draw upon the social sciences in communicating our work and drafting sound
policy. This breakout session focuses on the lessons we can learn and the skills we
can develop at the interface between meteorology and these allied fields.Employers in forecasting, research, broadcasting and nearly all
other careers under the AMS umbrella seek applicants who possess not only
scientific expertise, but also proficiency with specialized software platforms and
programming languages ("tools"). Sometimes the task of learning a new tool can
seem daunting, and it’s hard to know where to begin. This session will help you
get started through a series of short talks introducing some of the “tools” used in
different AMS-related careers.
As we endeavor to serve society through science, we must keep in
mind that our science does not operate in a vacuum. We draw upon the
computational sciences in generating forecasts and analyzing data. Meanwhile,
we draw upon the social sciences in communicating our work and drafting sound
policy. This breakout session focuses on the lessons we can learn and the skills we
can develop at the interface between meteorology and these allied fields.Successful science has two phases: do the science, and get the word
out. How do researchers working at the interface of science, society, and policy
effectively communicate their findings and recommendations to stakeholders
beyond the research community? This session discusses the importance of
effective communication between researchers and policy makers and provides
some insight into how this process works.
11:45 AM-12:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
12:00 PM-12:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
We’ve spent the past two days learning about new, exciting, and
different career options in meteorology and ways to prepare ourselves for them.
But we must remember that the future of our field and careers go beyond the
weather. This session will focus on how YOU can make a difference in our field by
embracing the interface of science and society
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Weatherfest
Location: Hall C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
WeatherFest, sponsored by the American Meteorological Society, is an interactive four-hour science and weather fair designed to promote the fields of meteorology, oceanography, and the related sciences to New Orleans area families, students, and teachers. WeatherFest is the Society’s only public event that features science exhibits, including hands-on experiments, as well as educational and career information.
WeatherFest will feature more than 65 cool and interactive science exhibits with experiments, educational information, career guides, and much more from scientists and teachers from all over the nation. The mission of WeatherFest is to instill a love for math and science in children of all ages and to spark a young person’s interest in these areas so they may consider a career in the science and engineering fields.
This is a fun afternoon designed not only for the residents of New Orleans but for all attending the annual meeting.
For additional information, contact Program Chairperson
Kevin Kloesel or visit the
Weatherfest website.
12:30 PM-12:35 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
12:30 PM-4:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Please join the AMS Committee on Environmental Stewardship to help remove invasive plant species from New Orleans City Park's wetlands and bioretention parking lot. AMS will be working with local landscape architecture firm, Dana Brown & Associates, whom designed both of these spaces in City Park.
Volunteers are encouraged to wear outdoor working clothes and shoes that can potentially get muddy. Waterproof shoes are encouraged, as some parts of the wetlands may hold up to 1' of water. Sunscreen may be needed, weather permitting, and all other tools will be provided, including bug spray.
There is a $25 fee per person to participate, which will cover the cost of transportation and snacks.
Interested attendees are invited to sign up for the project when preregistering for the meeting
here. The deadline for registration is Wednesday, 16 December.
For information on this event, please contact
Christine Keane.
For those that are participating, plan on meeting in the lobby of Hall D, across from the AMS Registration desk, located on the first level of the convention center at 900 Convention Center Blvd at 12:30pm.
Please join the AMS Committee on Environmental Stewardship to help remove invasive plant species from New Orleans City Park's wetlands and bioretention parking lot. AMS will be working with local landscape architecture firm, Dana Brown & Associates, whom designed both of these spaces in City Park.
Volunteers are encouraged to wear outdoor working clothes and shoes that can potentially get muddy. Waterproof shoes are encouraged, as some parts of the wetlands may hold up to 1' of water. Sunscreen may be needed, weather permitting, and all other tools will be provided, including bug spray.
There is a $25 fee per person to participate, which will cover the cost of transportation and snacks.
Interested attendees are invited to sign up for the project when preregistering for the meeting.
Register here. The deadline for registration is Wednesday, 16 December.
For information on this event, please contact
Christine Keane.
For those that are participating, plan on meeting in the lobby of Hall D, across from the AMS Registration desk, located on the first level of the convention center at 900 Convention Center Blvd at 8:30am.
12:35 PM-2:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
1:00 PM-1:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
1:30 PM-1:40 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Soil Moisture Short Course
Location: Room 348/349 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
1:40 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Participants will divide into 2 groups, in which group facilitators will rotate between each group with a different topic for discussion. Timeline: 1:50-2:20 P.M. Group Discussion 1; 2:25-2:55 P.M. Group Discussion 2
1:50 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
In today's competitive job market, recruiters get hundreds of
applications per job position. How will you make sure you stand out and secure
an interview? A good resume is the first step! Come to this workshop and learn
what it takes to prepare a good resume, and hear about the latest job-hunting tips!
If you like, bring your resume to get feedback from job recruiters and
professionals from academia and the private industry!
2:00 PM-3:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Ensuring public safety during hazardous weather events is no solo
performance. In this workshop session, you will have the opportunity to actively
participate in two Integrated Warning Team exercises. Professionals from the
broadcast, forecast, social science, and emergency management fields will be
present to guide the activity and help you better understand the connection
between science and decision-making.
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
This session is designed to provide first-time attendees with an overview of the annual meeting and suggestions on how to get the most out of their time while attending the meeting. AMS Past-President Marshall Shepherd and Ken Heideman, the Society’s director of publications, along with the AMS Beacons (member-staffed welcoming ambassadors), will provide a lively and interactive overview of the programs, special events, exhibits, and services. All attendees and exhibitors are encouraged to attend.
This session will have a short keynote address by Dr. Frederick Carr, the AMS President-Elect. Conference attendees will then have an opportunity to network with representatives from numerous AMS Boards and Committees. The networking part of this session will be in conjunction with a Coffee Break.
3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
In today's competitive job market, recruiters get hundreds of
applications per job position. How will you make sure you stand out and secure
an interview? A good resume is the first step! Come to this workshop and learn
what it takes to prepare a good resume, and hear about the latest job-hunting tips!
If you like, bring your resume to get feedback from job recruiters and
professionals from academia and the private industry!
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Extreme weather and extreme climate are the focus of this event immediately following Weatherfest. All are invited to join in and have their questions about extreme weather and climate answered by a panel of experts. This event will be of interest to the public of all ages, as well as to the attendees at the AMS annual meeting in New Orleans.
The panel of experts for this event will include Laura Buchtel, TV meteorologist, WWL TV, New Orleans; Barry Keim, Louisiana state climatologist; Tim Marshall, storm chaser and meteorologist at Haag Engineering, Dallas, Texas; Robert Ricks Jr., lead forecaster, NWS, Slidell, Louisiana; and Marshall Shepherd, director, Atmospheric Sciences Program, The University of Georgia.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Introductory remarks, President, Alexander E. MacDonald
Presentation of Fellows and Featured Awards
Annual Report, Secretary–Treasurer, Richard D. Rosen
Professional Affairs Commission, Jay J. Trobec, CCM, CBM
Education and Human Resources Commission, Rajul Pandya
5:00 PM-5:15 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
7
Closing Remarks
Location: Room 243 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
AMS Career Fair
Location: Hall E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The Career Fair is an excellent opportunity to interview on-site, one-on-one, with organizations looking to recruit highly talented individuals. View available full-time and part-time job opportunities, network with government agency and private industry employees, and meet recruiters from some of the country’s best graduate school programs -- all in one convenient location, and all at no cost. The Career Fair is open to all attendees of the Annual Meeting and the Student Conference so we encourage you to stop by, whether you are soon-to-be graduate, a young professional, or a seasoned pro!
The Career Fair is open to those registered for the AMS Annual Meeting, Early Career Professionals Conference, and the Student Conference.
While it is not necessary to
register for participation in the Career Fair, you are encouraged to do so if you wish to submit a resume that may be viewed by Career Fair recruiters. If you are not interested in sharing your resume with recruiters prior to the meeting, it is not necessary to register in order to attend.
Please note that we cannot accept resumes from those not registered for the
Student Conference,
the Early Career Professionals Conference or
Annual Meeting.
5:45 PM-7:15 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
A Welcome Reception will be held following the 96th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards. The reception will be held jointly with the Student Conference Poster Session. All are encouraged to attend.
7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
The NOAA Center for Atmospheric Sciences (NCAS) is hosting the 15th annual networking and diversity reception at the 96th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) in Louisiana. The next generation of scientists serving the atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic sciences community will be drawn from an American population that is more culturally and ethnically diverse than ever before. As custodians of our respective professions, today’s scientists look to the future with great anticipation and the duty to encourage our brightest talents to pursue careers in the geosciences, by providing access to leaders in the field, and engaging them in ways that promote exchanges. The annual CoWx reception is an event celebrating diversity of representation in careers and fields of study contributing to the atmospheric sciences. This event provides a unique mentoring and professional development experience for students and young professionals of color and/or from groups that are traditionally underrepresented in the fields of atmospheric sciences, earth sciences, hydrology, meteorology, and other fields encompassed by the AMS. The event is co-sponsored by NOAA, NCAS, Howard University, and Colour of Weather, Inc.
Event information can be found at the
NCAS website.
For additional information, please contact
Dr. Vernon Morris.
7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
The CoRioliS reception brings together lesbian–gay–bisexual–transgender–queer (LGBTQ) friends and allies to mentor, network, and connect with individuals who share common professional and personal interests. Students and professionals from all levels, as well as their relatives, are welcome to attend and participate. The reception is hosted by the AMS Board of Women and Minorities.
For additional information, please contact
Aaron Piña or
follow CoRioliS on Facebook
9:00 PM-11:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016
Do you consider yourself an early career professional? Are you trying to find your niche within the AMS community? Or, perhaps you are looking to connect with other AMS early career professionals? If so, you are not alone! Consider yourself invited to attend the Sixth Annual Reception for Early Career Professionals, which will offer an opportunity to mix and mingle with others who are beginning their careers in the public, private, and academic sectors. Cash bar and snacks will be available.
For more information, contact
Beth Farley, AMS director of Member Services.
Monday, 11 January 2016
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Registration Continues through January 13
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
7:40 AM-8:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016
8:00 AM-4:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Poster Hall Open
Location: Hall E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016
This year’s Presidential Forum reflects upon the American Meteorological Society (AMS) annual meeting theme, "Earth System Science in Service to Society" that provides participants a better understanding of living through extreme events. Our society continues to experience the effects of more and more extreme events like hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and drought, some as a result of our changing climate and others as a result of our expanding population. The AMS needs to continue to address lessons learned, and more importantly, identify what future actions it will take to help mitigate the impact of these devastating life-changing events. To highlight this, we’ve invited an outstanding panel of speakers – Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Max Mayfield, Director, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/National Hurricane Center (ret); Dr. Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; and Dr. Shirley Laska, Professor Emerita, and founding past Director of the Center for Hazards Assessment, Response and Technology, University of New Orleans. Moderator Maureen McCann, News 13 Orlando, will lead a discussion of the panelists' personal experiences during Hurricane Katrina and Deepwater Horizon. The panel will also address AMS’s current activities that encompass research and forecasting of events and inspire our members to embrace a renewed sense of purpose as they direct our Society in the coming years.
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Spouses and guests are invited to meet and to renew acquaintances.
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Coffee Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Space Weather Coffee Break—Sponsored by Ball Aerospace
Location: Room 352 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Advancements and needs in dispersion modeling including: a) the roles of plume, puff, Lagrangian particle, and other approaches, b) predictions for short averaging times (sec to minutes) in hazards and other assessments, and c) use of mesoscale models for providing meteorological data driving applied dispersion models.
Keynote speaker along with other high-level presentations on WRN.
This session is focused on the development and evaluation of aerosol cloud interactions in large-scale (regional and global) models. Large-scale models of weather and climate continue to advance their representations of aerosols, and the interactions between aerosols and cloud microphysics. There remain large uncertainties and discrepancies between observational based estimates of climate-scale aerosol-cloud interaction effects and the same effects estimated from global models. This uncertainty contributes to uncertainty in radiative forcing of climate, and in uncertainty regarding aerosol effects on precipitation. We invite papers on the development, evaluation, and analysis of Aerosol-Cloud-Interactions in large-scale models and intercomparison and coordinated modeling experiments that shed light on these issues. We encourage analysis of observational constraints on aerosol-cloud interactions and comparisons to models, both radiative effects and effects on precipitation in large-scale models. We also encourage process based studies using cloud resolving and other models that seek to bridge the scale gap between observations, detailed and large scale models.
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited. Please contact the program Co-Chairs, Joshua Roundy (JKRoundy@ku.edu) for additional information.
In the 1990’s the weather risk transfer market emerged enabling energy companies to protect their profitability against adverse weather events. Weather impacts businesses and municipalities in many ways but one of the major impacts is financial, including the supply, demand, and price of energy. Climate change coupled with the evolving and expanding weather risk has led to a significant increase in volatility and the importance of understanding its financial implications.
1
Network Design
Location: Room 350/351 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Over the last few years, significant advances have been made in both in situ and remote sensing technologies for measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs). The successful launch of global observing systems such as the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO-2), the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) missions as well as deployment of localized surface networks and aircraft campaigns such as the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) and the Megacities Carbon Project, is starting to yield more information on both natural and anthropogenic sources than ever before. While these multiple observational platforms provide a significant potential for the monitoring of GHG emissions, more and more uncertainties are coming to light regarding our understanding of the global and regional budgets of GHGs, errors due to deficiency in atmospheric transport modeling (especially related to convection and vertical mixing), and identification and quantification of climate feedback sensitivities.
This session solicits abstracts that address these uncertainties using models and observations and provide new insights on understanding GHG dynamics at various spatial (local to global) and temporal (sub-diurnal to decadal) scales. We encourage contributions on current and prospective observation technologies for GHGs, modeling studies to quantify budgets and/or uncertainties in GHG flux estimates, and evaluation and benchmarking of GHG estimates from Earth System Models using contemporary observations. We also encourage studies of perturbations to the carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in response to climate variability and change, especially as they combine models and observations or pertain to carbon-climate feedback. In addition, we seek contributions on improved quantification and understanding of underlying GHG emissions at the urban scale, policy issues related to GHG monitoring and regulation, and how the current state of the science is informing policy decisions.
There are significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed model/data products. This session solicits contributions related to innovative methods for:
(1) Assessing quality of model/data products, and (2) Assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems. The former might include methods for measuring or interpreting accuracy, precision, uncertainty, information content, reliability, observability, etc., while the latter recognizes that models are valuable beyond simply their ability to make accurate predictions. Related to the latter we encourage contributions on model diagnostics, identification, and benchmarking. We are particularly interested in benchmarking studies that focus on evaluating the performance of models using a priori metrics and expectations of performance. The use of novel techniques to assess distributed data or models that focus on impacts to and understanding of coupled land atmosphere and hydrometeorological processes and prediction is also encouraged. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov), or the session chair, Sujay Kumar (Sujay.V.Kumar@nasa.gov) for additional information.
11:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
12:00 PM-1:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Celebrating 25 years of the AMS Symposium on Education
Location: Room 353 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: An Informal Discussion with Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker
Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
As the 38th U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Penny Pritzker is a key member of President Obama’s economic team, with 27 years of private sector experience. Before joining the Obama Administration, Pritzker founded and ran five different businesses in the real estate, hospitality, senior living, and financial services industries.
Since taking office in June 2013, she has worked closely with the business community and helped advance the President’s priorities of expanding growth and opportunity for all Americans. Guided by conversations with more than 1,600 CEOs and business leaders, and over one-third of the Fortune 500 CEOs, Secretary Pritzker has developed the “Open for Business Agenda.” This bold strategic plan and policy blueprint for the Commerce Department focuses on expanding trade and investment, unleashing government data for economic benefit, spurring innovation, protecting the environment—and executing these priorities with operational excellence as careful stewards of taxpayer dollars. In a keynote address to the AMS Washington Forum, Secretary Pritzker announced that NOAA is forming new alliances to help bring its vast data resources to the public. Partnerships such as those with Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, IBM, Google, and the Open Cloud Consortium help address the growing need for access to NOAA’s huge—and rapidly growing—environmental data resource.
Secretary Pritzker earned her bachelor's degree in economics from Harvard University and J.D. and M.B.A. degrees from Stanford University.
The informal discussion with Secretary Pritzker in this Presidential Town Hall will be moderated by NOAA Administrator Dr. Kathryn Sullivan.
For additional information, please contact Marni Goldberg mgoldberg@doc.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: Weather Ready Nations (WRNs)
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
“Weather Ready Nation” has become the guiding set of principles for evolving the U.S. National Weather Service. Other countries are developing—or have developed—similar visions for the future, which emphasize ‘impact based decision support’ and responsiveness to subsets of users. The U.S. Government, in conjunction with WMO and other countries, have begun the establishment of “Weather Ready Nations”, an initiative to expand internationally the appropriate use of lessons learned thus far. Current plans are to hold two workshops in order to draft a list of “Best Practices” and to design three demonstration projects. These projects would explore application of selected practices in developing countries—examples might include use of WRN “ambassadors”, developing a weather ready plan or ‘roadmap’, and application of social and economic benefits analysis to assist in better defining user community needs. Please join us at this Town Hall meeting for further discussion of this initiative.
For additional information, please contact Viviane Silva viviane.silva@noaa.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: “Outside the Box” Skillsets for Staying Relevant and Landing the Next Job
Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The job market has become highly demanding in the weather and climate enterprise. It is essential for applicants to have a broad range of expertise in order to stand out in a sea of job applications. This is especially true for early career professionals, who are entering their second or subsequent job. Learning does not end at the academic level, and it is important to have the ability to adapt to new proficiencies in order to stay competitive when moving to the next career step.
The AMS Board for Early Career Professionals, Board for Operational Government Meteorologists, Board for Private Sector Meteorologists, Board on Higher Education, and the Weather Analysis and Forecast Committee invite you to participate in a panel discussion regarding skillsets that aren’t necessarily required in an academic curriculum, but may be of importance to have in a resume or curriculum vitae. Experts in each skillset will be on hand to discuss its importance in weather and climate, how it applies to their particular field of work, and where early career professionals can find opportunities for training. Talks will be given by each panelist, along with a Q&A session at the end.
All members of the AMS community, including graduate students, post docs, and early career professionals are encouraged to attend this one hour town hall meeting.
For additional information, please contact Jared Rennie jared@cicsnc.org.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:15 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
A panel of senior managers and scientists will present their perspective on the challenges and opportunities of future spaced-based earth observation missions needed for providing more value-added applications addressing societal needs and increasing the scientific understanding of earth processes. They will describe how these challenges and opportunities are being addressed through changes to satellite architecture, sensor design, an evolving business model, and increased inter-agency and international cooperation, etc.
This panel will introduce the federal policy landscape as related to the AMS community. The session will represent perspectives from both the Executive and Legislative branches and the role of the AMS Policy Program in the policy setting. The panelists will cover timely issues by discussing the 2015 activities and priorities of the Administration and Congress. Talks will include Congressional activity as experienced by the 2015-2016 AMS Congressional Science Fellow, pending legislation and relevant hearings in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate, and other timely topics.
Solar Forecasting: Energy Application Part 1
Kick-off session for the Symposium on Weather, Water and Climate Enterprise
Advancements and needs in dispersion modeling including: a) the roles of plume, puff, Lagrangian particle, and other approaches, b) predictions for short averaging times (sec to minutes) in hazards and other assessments, and c) use of mesoscale models for providing meteorological data driving applied dispersion models.
(e.g., forecaster tools, social science applications, dissemination systems) that support Impact-based Decision Support Services
Dust from both desert and more vegetated areas contributes a major fraction of the atmospheric aerosol with a variety of sources, compositions and impacts. The goal of this session is to bring together scientist from different disciplines working on the characterisation, emission, atmospheric transport, chemical transformation and impact of dust from desert, vegetated or agricultural areas, not only including mineral but also organic and other constituents.
We invite and welcome contributions from the general areas (1) speciation and characterisation of the mineralogy, organic content and other constituents of dust sampled from source regions or directly from the atmosphere, (2) emission fluxes, transport and chemical transformation of dust in the atmosphere, and (3) cloud and climate impact of atmospheric dust, including optical properties and cloud microphysics like CCN activation and heterogeneous ice nucleation.
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited. Please contact the program Co-Chairs, Joshua Roundy (JKRoundy@ku.edu) for additional information.
There are significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed model/data products. This session solicits contributions related to innovative methods for:
(1) Assessing quality of model/data products, and (2) Assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems. The former might include methods for measuring or interpreting accuracy, precision, uncertainty, information content, reliability, observability, etc., while the latter recognizes that models are valuable beyond simply their ability to make accurate predictions. Related to the latter we encourage contributions on model diagnostics, identification, and benchmarking. We are particularly interested in benchmarking studies that focus on evaluating the performance of models using a priori metrics and expectations of performance. The use of novel techniques to assess distributed data or models that focus on impacts to and understanding of coupled land atmosphere and hydrometeorological processes and prediction is also encouraged. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov), or Session Chair, Sujay Kumar (sujay.v.kumar@nasa.gov) for additional information.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited. Please contact the program Co-Chairs, Joshua Roundy (JKRoundy@ku.edu) for additional information.
Infectious diseases & climate change; linking earth observations to environmental and human health.
Same as parent oral session
The Major Weather Impacts of 2015 Poster Session specifically focuses on the weather/climate/water events of late 2014 and 2015 including:
-How did the significant event impact a community or entire region?
-What were the economic impacts that occurred due to the significant climate/weather/hydrology events?
-What new techniques, tools and procedures helped warn/inform the public?
-What lessons were learned that can help others in the future in forecasting, preparing/responding to the event and communicating the message?
This is for Monday / Tuesday sessions
Posters in the Symposium on Education
Poster Session on Transitioning Research to Operations
7 Energy Poster
There are significant challenges associated with assessing the quality and informativeness of both models and data products that are largely related to scale, heterogeneity, complexity, and representativeness. These challenges compound when assessing spatially and temporally distributed model/data products. This session solicits contributions related to innovative methods for:
(1) Assessing quality of model/data products, and (2) Assessing the fidelity of models of complex terrestrial hydrologic systems. The former might include methods for measuring or interpreting accuracy, precision, uncertainty, information content, reliability, observability, etc., while the latter recognizes that models are valuable beyond simply their ability to make accurate predictions. Related to the latter we encourage contributions on model diagnostics, identification, and benchmarking. We are particularly interested in benchmarking studies that focus on evaluating the performance of models using a priori metrics and expectations of performance. The use of novel techniques to assess distributed data or models that focus on impacts to and understanding of coupled land atmosphere and hydrometeorological processes and prediction is also encouraged. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov), or the session chair, Sujay Kumar (Sujay.V.Kumar@nasa.gov) for additional information.
Symposium on Education posters focused on outreach
Posters in the Symposium on Education focused on pre-college education initiatives
The session will focus on science and applications of remote sensing in land surface hydrologic sciences. The remotely sensed measurements related to hydrological parameters are from satellite, radar, airborne, or other platforms. We are hoping to increase the discussions on:
(1) the current and future requirements for the data sets;
(2) the current state of the science for measuring hydrologic parameters using remote sensing platforms;
(3) how hydrological models or downstream applications use the remotely sensed data products for decision support;
(4) areas where current science methodology does not adequately address the needs of the broader hydrologic community; and
(5) new methods and/or new remote sensing technologies that offer potential for improving hydrologic (including land surface parameter) remote sensing.
For additional information about the session, please contact the session chairs Xiwu Zhan (xiwu.zhan@noaa.gov) and John Eylander (john.b.eylander@usace.army.mil), or the program organizer, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).
Posters in the Symposium on Education focused on university education
NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, launched on January 31, 2015, makes high-resolution, frequent revisit global mapping of surface soil moisture and its freeze/thaw state based on its unique coincident L-band radiometer and L-band radar measurements. The early period of science data acquisition contains the intense calibration and validation phase. Early beta geophysical data products release is scheduled for November 2015. Validated data are due after one year of calibration and validation. The instrument data products (Level 1) are released on a more accelerated schedule. The data are public and accessible at designated open data archives (National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, CO and the Alaska Satellite Facility in Fairbanks, AK). This special session includes presentations on the status of the SMAP observatory, reports on calibration and validation, and early science results. The session also include presentations on SMAPVEX15 and SMAPEx-4 airborne field campaigns, in Arizona and New South Wales, Australia respectively, that deploy airborne active and passive SMAP instrument simulators during several weeks in Summer 2015. The field campaigns fly the airborne instruments during SMAP overpasses and also include teams collecting ground-truth observations. The SMAP project has developed pre-launch collaborations with applied science and operational users who require soil moisture information in their decision-support systems. These include Numerical Weather Prediction, operational flash-flood and main-stem flood forecasting, and drought monitoring among others. The special session will include contributions from early users of SMAP observations about the impact of the new data stream on their operations. The special session is in line with the “Earth System Science in Service to Society” theme of the 96th Annual AMS Meeting.
Posters in the Symposium on Education focused in promoting diversity
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
In-situ and satellite ocean observations and paleo-climate measurements have contributed to our fundamental knowledge of decadal-to-centennial natural variability and anthropogenic changes in the ocean. Examples of ocean observables are heat content, sea ice, sea level, sea surface temperature, sea surface salinity, surface wind speed, air-sea fluxes, deoxygenation, carbon uptake, acidification, etc. Examples of coupled ocean-atmosphere processes are El Niño/La Niña, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, North Pacific Gyre Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and Southern Annular Mode. Papers documenting such low-frequency ocean variations, including results on discriminating between their natural and anthropogenic components, are invited.
The focus will be on estimating the probability of specific rainfall amounts given polarimetric radar observations. For more detail on the contest, see https://www.kaggle.com/c/how-much-did-it-rain.
NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, launched on January 31, 2015, makes high-resolution, frequent revisit global mapping of surface soil moisture and its freeze/thaw state based on its unique coincident L-band radiometer and L-band radar measurements. The early period of science data acquisition contains the intense calibration and validation phase. Early beta geophysical data products release is scheduled for November 2015. Validated data are due after one year of calibration and validation. The instrument data products (Level 1) are released on a more accelerated schedule. The data are public and accessible at designated open data archives (National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, CO and the Alaska Satellite Facility in Fairbanks, AK). This special session includes presentations on the status of the SMAP observatory, reports on calibration and validation, and early science results. The session also include presentations on SMAPVEX15 and SMAPEx-4 airborne field campaigns, in Arizona and New South Wales, Australia respectively, that deploy airborne active and passive SMAP instrument simulators during several weeks in Summer 2015. The field campaigns fly the airborne instruments during SMAP overpasses and also include teams collecting ground-truth observations. The SMAP project has developed pre-launch collaborations with applied science and operational users who require soil moisture information in their decision-support systems. These include Numerical Weather Prediction, operational flash-flood and main-stem flood forecasting, and drought monitoring among others. The special session will include contributions from early users of SMAP observations about the impact of the new data stream on their operations. The special session is in line with the “Earth System Science in Service to Society” theme of the 96th Annual AMS Meeting.
4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
High-impact hydrometeorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, and even slow-moving non-convective systems results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Excessive snow-melt, including rain-on-snow, as well as ice-breakup, can also result in destructive flood events. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, including observational as well as modeling approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of hydrometeorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance and/or needed improvements in case studies of extreme events are also solicited. Please contact the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
This panel discussion will bring together experts from the weather and climate enterprise to discuss how the community contributes to business continuity practices, managing supply chains during extreme weather events, and the influence on capital markets. This session will also highlight recent extreme events which caused significant global supply chain impacts and how active planning for future events can mitigate financial impacts.
Over the last decade, great advances in meteorological technology, models and data visualization techniques have been matched by increasing access to these tools and forecasts, especially through social media. As members of the forecasting community, including broadcasters, private sector companies offering specialized services, National Weather Service forecasters, and emergency managers all adjust to these new technologies and communication media, messages have become increasingly complex, raising concerns that this increase in volume is being compounded by message inconsistency. Scholars in the social and behavioral sciences, especially in risk communication, point to inconsistency of message as a key challenge in assuring that members of various publics can be best-empowered to make decisions to protect themselves when hazardous weather threatens.
As this issue has risen in importance within the meteorological community, there have been calls to work together as a forecasting enterprise to identify ground rules that could preserve consistency while still allowing for competition. This panel will assemble representatives from across the enterprise, including broadcast, emergency management, private sector, social media, academic, and federal partners, to unpack the idea of message consistency and - with help from the audience - identify ground rules for creating consistent messages
This session will explore research-to-operation concepts and applications that are bringing us closer to understanding how Earth's changing environment can influence the geographic range and incidence of infectious diseases, and will explore how this knowledge can increase our preparedness capacity.
Solar Forecasting: Energy Application Part 2
5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
The session will focus on science and applications of remote sensing in land surface hydrologic sciences. The remotely sensed measurements related to hydrological parameters are from satellite, radar, airborne, or other platforms. We are hoping to increase the discussions on:
(1) the current and future requirements for the data sets;
(2) the current state of the science for measuring hydrologic parameters using remote sensing platforms;
(3) how hydrological models or downstream applications use the remotely sensed data products for decision support;
(4) areas where current science methodology does not adequately address the needs of the broader hydrologic community; and
(5) new methods and/or new remote sensing technologies that offer potential for improving hydrologic (including land surface parameter) remote sensing.
For additional information about the session, please contact the session chairs Xiwu Zhan (xiwu.zhan@noaa.gov) and John Eylander (john.b.eylander@usace.army.mil), or the program organizer, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Please join other attendees for the Opening Reception of the 2016 Annual Meeting, sponsored by the exhibiting companies. Local government officials and other dignitaries will be present for the ribbon-cutting event.
7:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: NWS Model Development Forum
Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The mission of NWS weather and seasonal prediction models is to provide the best possible numerical guidance to customers, where forecasts must be available reliably and on time. To address growing service demands and improve the accuracy of forecasts, NWS also needs to remain at the cutting-edge of research and continuously transition science advances from the research community into operations. This town hall meeting is for NWS to communicate with its partners and stakeholders on NWS model development and transition processes at the NCEP Environmental Modeling Center with the goal of fostering more effective research-to-operations transition to improve NWS models.
For additional information, please contact Michael Ek michael.ek@noaa.gov or Hendrik Tolman hendrik.tolman@noaa.gov.
7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy – Integrating and Operationalizing Renewable Energy Forecasts
Location: Room 346/347 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
There is a tight correlation between weather and energy consumption but the relationship between meteorology and the electricity grid runs much deeper. The industry has undergone many changes and our nation’s grid is increasingly more complex. From the integration of large scale wind and solar generation and the complexities introduced from their intermittent behavior, to the disruptive forces of distributed solar generation and it’s ever increasing footprint. These increasing challenges with their increasing levels of complexity are being met head on by increased computational resources, big weather, and advances in data science.
The topics this Town Hall Meeting will address broadly are:
Advances in the state of the art with forecasting renewable energy.
How forecasts are being integrated into utility operations.
What is the future of renewables forecasting…NWP, AI, or both.
How are utilities dealing with the integration of distributed and centralized solar…are they different.
This Town Hall Meeting is held in conjunction with the AMS Energy Committee and the AMS Renewable Energy Committees’ Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate and the New Energy Economy.
For additional information, please contact Matt Parker matt.parker@srnl.doe.gov or Brian D'Agostino BDAgostino@semprautilities.com.
7:15 PM-10:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016
Please join us for the popular AMS program "23|5 Talks." This hour-long set of public talks will follow the format of the well-known TED Talks, and feature various views and perspectives on weather, water, and climate from engaging, thought-provoking people representing all facets of the enterprise. This year, four speakers will present topics of interest for meeting attendees as well as the general public:
• Bill Gail, Global Weather Corporation
• Bill Read, former head National Hurricane Center
• Mike Smith, AccuWeather
• Naomi Oreskes, Harvard University
Following the talks, we are also pleased to be screening the feature-length documentary film, “Merchants of Doubt,” based on the 2010 book by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway.
For additional information, please contact
Tom Champoux.
Tuesday, 12 January 2016
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA Space Platform Requirements Working Group (SPRWG)
Location: Room 252/254 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
NOAA is beginning a study (NOAA Satellite Observing System Architecture Study, or NSOSA) to plan for the future operational environmental satellite system that will follow GOES and JPSS, beginning about 2030. This is an opportunity to design a modern architecture with no pre-conceived notions regarding instruments, platforms, orbits, etc. Part of this study is the Space Platforms Requirements Working Group (SPRWG), which is being commissioned by NESDIS. The SPRWG is charged to assess new or existing requirements against the baseline architecture, and to provide relative priorities for observational requirements in the context of the future architecture.
The SPRWG will confirm and/or provide inputs for new foundational (Level 0 and Level 1) requirements for the next generation of NOAA satellites post the GOES-R, JPSS, DSCOVR, and COSMIC-2 missions, with the goal of achieving a more flexible, responsive and sustainable architecture.
For additional information, please contact Johannes Loschnigg johannes.loschnigg@gmail.com or Richard Anthes anthes@ucar.edu.
7:40 AM-8:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
8:00 AM-8:30 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Local AMS Chapter Town Hall
Location: Room 238/239 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Looking for ideas for your local AMS chapter? Have an idea to share? Interested in learning about local AMS chapters? Join us at the second annual Local AMS Chapter Town Hall - designed for both student and regular chapter officers, members, and prospective members. This town hall will be held on Tuesday, January 12, 2016 from 8:00am to 8:30am. All chapters are invited to share their successful activities in addition to their challenges and seek advice from other chapters. Those interested in joining a local chapter are also invited to attend to learn about local AMS chapters and how to get involved. The Local Chapter Affairs Committee and local AMS chapters from across the country invite YOU to take part in this information sharing session! The town hall will be held at the Convention Center; room TBD. For questions, email amschaps@ametsoc.org.
8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
8:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Poster Hall Open
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
This session will focus on the major weather events and their associated impacts in 2015 around the globe. It will start with a summary of highlights and then look at specific events and impacts.
High-impact hydrometeorological events produce the most destructive and costly outcomes of any weather-driven phenomena world-wide. Furthermore, despite significant progress over the last several decades, forecasting and warning for these events still lacks the precision that could minimize loss of property and life, especially in developing nations. Excessive precipitation or runoff associated with tropical cyclones/convection, land-based convection, atmospheric rivers, ENSO, and even slow-moving non-convective systems results in both flash-flooding and large-river system floods whose characteristics often depend on local soils, vegetation/agriculture, and topography. Excessive snow-melt, including rain-on-snow, as well as ice-breakup, can also result in destructive flood events. Conversely, severe droughts create deleterious impacts on crop/food production and the water supply. In this session, papers are invited that contribute to our ability to improve real-time/operational forecasts and warnings for these kinds of extremes, including observational as well as modeling approaches that may vary depending upon differing societal contexts. In addition, papers that address promising and innovative methods of assessing and modeling the statistics of hydrometeorological extremes as applied to real-time/operational forecasting/warning systems are encouraged. Papers that document forecast system performance and/or needed improvements in case studies of extreme events are also solicited. Please contact the session organizer, John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
Aerosol-cloud interactions have significant influences on natural climate variability and are also one of the largest uncertainties in the estimate of anthropogenic climate forcing. A variety of aerosol-cloud interaction mechanisms and processes have been identified over the past few decades. This session seeks to advance the understanding of how various aerosol-cloud interactions impact the local and/or global radiative energy budget and consequent implications. We welcome discussion forum related to i) how microphysical interactions between aerosol and cloud modulate the cloud radiative properties and radiative effects (e.g., Twomey and lifetime effect); how the relative position of aerosol and cloud (e.g., aerosol above, below and inside clouds) influences the radiative energy distribution; and iii) novel measurement (remote sensing and in situ) and modeling techniques to quantify the impacts of aerosol-cloud interactions on radiation.
Structure and mechanisms; connection with climatological phenomena.
Joint between the 20IOAS-AOLS and the 6R2O
Presentations will involve various disciplinary research methods and policies that are currently used for coping with extreme heat risk, and how they could be integrated for more accurate spatial and temporal understanding of extreme heat risk
Solar and Wind Forecasting: Energy Application
Organized by the AMS Committees on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology, as well as jointly with the Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather and 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
The session will focus on science and applications of remote sensing in land surface hydrologic sciences. The remotely sensed measurements related to hydrological parameters are from satellite, radar, airborne, or other platforms. We are hoping to increase the discussions on:
(1) the current and future requirements for the data sets;
(2) the current state of the science for measuring hydrologic parameters using remote sensing platforms;
(3) how hydrological models or downstream applications use the remotely sensed data products for decision support;
(4) areas where current science methodology does not adequately address the needs of the broader hydrologic community; and
(5) new methods and/or new remote sensing technologies that offer potential for improving hydrologic (including land surface parameter) remote sensing.
For additional information about the session, please contact the session chairs Xiwu Zhan (xiwu.zhan@noaa.gov) and John Eylander (john.b.eylander@usace.army.mil), or the program organizer, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).
9:00 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
9:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Spouses and guests are invited to meet and to renew acquaintances.
9:30 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Book Signing
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Come visit with authors during book signings at the AMS Resouce Center!
Bob Henson: The Thinking Person's Guide to Climate Change
Bill Hooke: Living on the Real World: How Thinking and Acting Like Meteorologists Will Help Save the Planet
Bill Gail: Climate Conundrums: What the Climate Debate Reveals About Us
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
This joint poster session was organized by the AMS Committees on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology, as well as jointly with the Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather and 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment.
Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session may include but are not limited to: (1) estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets; (2) operational ET estimation; (3) land surface-atmosphere feedbacks; (4) future remote sensing missions and needs for ET; (5) Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability.Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
A number of new regional and national real-time flood forecasting systems are emerging for a variety of applications. These new systems are taking advantage of new national hydrologic data standards, new advances in supercomputing availability and improvements in model parameterizations and meteorological forcing datasets. This session encourages contributions from academic, government and the private sector groups who have built and deployed such systems. Additionally, contributions are welcome from researchers who have developed novel methodologies to sense and model fast response dynamics including very high resolution hydraulics models. Presentations on hydrologic data assimilation methodologies for flood prediction and presentations summarizing results from recent real-time flood prediction projects such as the NOAA Flash Flood and intense Rainfall (FFaiR) experiment and National Flood Interoperability Experiment (NFIE) among others are also encouraged. Please contact the Program Chairs, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu), J.J. Gourley (jj.gourley@noaa.gov) and Thomas Adams (thomas.adams@noaa.gov) for additional information.
Same as parent oral session
Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
This session highlights advances in development and applications of land data assimilation systems (LDAS), which merge ground- or satellite-based land surface observations with estimates from coupled or off-line land surface models, and can be used to initialize weather and seasonal climate forecasts, monitor and predict extreme events, provide improved background information for atmospheric data assimilation, improve process understanding, and support model development. Contributions may include studies that evaluate or improve land DA methods, assess the impact of the assimilation on the quality of theLDAS products, or use LDAS for the above-mentioned applications. Moreover, contributions may address the simultaneous assimilation of multiple observation types, use of current and planned hydrology satellite missions, or focus on operational and other routinely-run systems for land-hydrology analysis, forecasting and related purposes.
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
This session focuses on the major events and their associated impacts that started in the winter of 2014-2015.
Abstract: Cities in the world’s developing countries are experiencing dramatic growth. The United Nations estimates the world’s urban population will increase from about half to nearly 60% of the world’s population within just two decades. This growth is stressing the ability of resource infrastructure needed to support that growth. Despite the extension of improved water supplies to more than a billion urban residents over the past two decades, the development of water resources infrastructure is lagging the explosive population growth, particularly in Africa and Asia. This is true especially for sanitation and waste water management, but also for both domestic water quantity and quality. Furthermore, droughts and floods disproportionately affect cities in the developing world, with impacts falling most heavily on the poor because slums are frequently located in flood-prone areas and not connected to centralized water supply and waste-water networks. Water supplies for many of these cities are also vulnerable to international boundary water resource management issues where multiple countries have jurisdiction over a watershed or an aquifer.
Trans-boundary water resource management issues, exacerbated by population growth, geographic redistribution, and climate change, add a layer of complication to problems faced by cities of developing and developed nations. Further, water resource management challenges are exacerbated by extremes and changes in weather and climate, such as changes in evapotranspiration and in the frequency and intensity of precipitation. Improved understanding and predictions of these changes are key to addressing better water resource management.
The Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Eperiment (HEPEX), an international project to advance technologies for hydrological forecasting, has the potential to provide needed forecasts to mitigate problems suffered by urban populations in developing countries and others.
The AMS science community could support this growing population with the science enterprise it represents. Application of environmental forecasts and data such as atmospheric and hydrologic variables has considerable potential to inform sustainable water management and effective infrastructure investment in these areas
This session invites presentations in the above areas, specifically forecasting and mitigating impacts of floods and droughts faced by urban poor, HEPEX products and services, and trans-boundary water management issues. Both U.S. and non-U.S. authors are encouraged to submit abstracts.
Both private and public-sector entities are involved in the development, deployment, use, and consumption of hydrological/hydro-meteorological products and services provided via decision-support systems (DSS's). Such DSS's span a wide variety of water resources applications including impoundments, reservoir/hydro-power, regional water supply management, drought response strategies, irrigation/agriculture, urban runoff/drainage, potable water, and water pollution mitigation. They also include heavy precipitation and flash-flood/river-flooding awareness and forecast services. DSS's range in complexity from highly-sophisticated to consumer-oriented and include products for emergency management, broadcast television and smart-phone application developers (e.g. Web data services/API's), while also covering a broad range of both space and time scales. On the other hand, consumers of such products and services desire to minimize impacts -- often within very specialized niche exposure to hydro-meterologically generated threats -- while looking to both commercial and government suppliers to generate the needed information. We invite contributions that document working decision support systems with specific case study analyses across this wide spectrum of applications consistent with the overall meeting theme of earth-system-science in service to society. Please contact John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com) for additional information.
Presentations will involve various disciplinary research methods and policies that are currently used for coping with extreme heat risk, and how they could be integrated for more accurate spatial and temporal understanding of extreme heat risk.
Wind Forecasting: Energy Application Part 1
Detection and attribution of climate signals and distinguishing natural variability from anthropogenic forcing of climate variations and trends are two key climate science challenges, and are foci of the new US CLIVAR strategic plan. For over 15 years the US CLIVAR program has fostered the understanding, monitoring, and prediction of climate variability and change on intraseasonal-to-centennial timescales through coordinated research activities. Distinctions between natural and forced climate variations are important for natural resource managers, who are responsible for planning for an uncertain future, and for whom the differences between historic and projected ranges of variability underlie important management decisions. This session invites talks on US CLIVAR-related science to improve distinctions between the manifestation of natural and anthropogenic forcing of climate and weather phenomena that affect society. The session also invites talks on insights about this science that can inform efforts of climate science translators to convey information to a resource management world that is hungry for a foundation of useful and usable scientific insight.
4B
Extreme Events
Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Analysis of specific heat waves, drought, flooding, polar air outbreaks, and other extreme events; insights into predictability of extremes.
Organized by the AMS Committees on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology, as well as jointly with the Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather and 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
This session highlights advances in development and applications of land data assimilation systems (LDAS), which merge ground- or satellite-based land surface observations with estimates from coupled or off-line land surface models, and can be used to initialize weather and seasonal climate forecasts, monitor and predict extreme events, provide improved background information for atmospheric data assimilation, improve process understanding, and support model development. Contributions may include studies that evaluate or improve land DA methods, assess the impact of the assimilation on the quality of theLDAS products, or use LDAS for the above-mentioned applications. Moreover, contributions may address the simultaneous assimilation of multiple observation types, use of current and planned hydrology satellite missions, or focus on operational and other routinely-run systems for land-hydrology analysis, forecasting and related purposes.
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
The Board on Women and Minorities is pleased to sponsor the 2016 Women in Atmospheric Science Luncheon. This year’s luncheon will feature Ms. Wendy Schreiber-Abshire as our keynote speaker. Through personal anecdotes and in-room sharing this session will focus on the power of positivity in the workplace. Ms. Abshire will discuss how to find "it", create "it", and maintain "it" as well as including some reflections on her own career journey. She also promises the curious title will be explained.
Ms. Abshire serves as the UCAR/COMET Program Senior Program Manager and UCAR Ombudsperson. She was elected as an AMS Councilor in 2014.
Please plan to attend and for more information contact AMS Board on Women and Minorities Chair,
Melissa Burt. RSVP is not required.
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Please join us for a panel of four publication experts as they and the audience discuss the hottest topics in scientific publishing and how they affect authors and readers of AMS publications. You won’t want to miss this entertaining and informative session! Stay tuned for further details.
For additional information, please contact
Mike Friedman.
NASA Earth Science Division Town Hall meeting
Location: Room 242 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
This Town Hall session will provide an opportunity for the earth science community to interact with members of the leadership team and staff of the Earth Science Division (ESD) of NASA’s Science Mission Directorate. Brief presentations by the ESD leadership will precede a longer opportunity for audience questions. Topics to be addressed in the Town Hall session include scientific accomplishments and programmatic milestones from the past year, current programmatic directions, and upcoming milestones. Recent developments in the Venture Class program and the non-flight parts of the NASA program (research and analysis, applied sciences, technology), NASA's involvement in interagency and international programs and NASA’s response to and preparation for guiding documents, including the prior (2007) and forthcoming (2017) decadal survey from the National Academy of Sciences will all be reviewed and discussed in this session.
For additional information, please contact Jack Kaye Jack.A.Kaye@nasa.gov.
NOAA Town Hall
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Through its long-standing mission of science, service, and stewardship, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) generates tremendous value for the Nation—and the world—by advancing our understanding of and ability to anticipate changes in the Earth’s environment, by improving society’s ability to make scientifically informed decisions, and by conserving and managing ocean and coastal resources. At this Town Hall, NOAA leadership will discuss key strategic issues related to important topics for the broader weather, water, and climate enterprise. Representatives from both inside and external-to NOAA are encouraged to attend and engage in a conversation with NOAA leadership on current and future initiatives.
For additional information, please contact Christina Crowe Christina.crowe@noaa.gov.
Presidential Town Hall Meeting: The Historical Development of Meteorology over the Last 100 Years or so, as Seen from Norway
Location: Room 245 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Vilhelm Bjerknes initiated the era of modern meteorology around 1900 when he proposed that weather prediction be treated as an initial value problem of mathematical physics. In the subsequent development of dynamic meteorology, Nordic and American scientists have played key roles. Their scientific interaction produced results that form today’s theoretical basis for our understanding of the behavior of the atmosphere and numerical weather prediction. Dr. Eliassen (speaker) will highlight selected parts of this transatlantic interaction from a scientific but also personal perspective since he met many of these scientists in his youth, being the son of one of those who played a key role in this period. Dr. Eliassen will also present the development of atmospheric chemistry and its relationship with dynamic meteorology based on personal experience. Finally he will have a look at whether the general public has received its fair share of present-day, high-quality weather forecasting.
For additional information, please contact Annie Reiser ann.m.reiser@noaa.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: Contributions of environmental satellites to societal weather readiness and environmental intelligence and security
Location: Room 252/254 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
NOAA leadership has stated on several occasions that basic tenets of a rigorous National environmental strategy are: (1) societal weather readiness, (2) environmental intelligence and (3) environmental security. The Town Hall will convene a distinguished panel of experts with broad expertise in environmental satellites to address how the new generation of operational environmental satellites have and will contribute to achieving the objectives of the NWS Weather Ready Nation program and make our Nation better prepared for and responsive to a range of natural disasters. Impacts from severe storms in the United States cost billions of dollars and claim thousands of lives per year. “Becoming a Weather Ready Nation means not just providing timely, accurate, and reliable weather forecasts, but it also means communicating that information in a way that compels people to act to protect themselves and their interests. NOAA’s global observing systems are the foundation of the environmental intelligence NOAA provides. The FY 2016 budget includes critical investments in weather satellite systems and the NOAA fleet to preserve — and improve — the U.S. ability to generate environmental intelligence.”* Ensuring communities and businesses have the necessary information, products, and services to prepare for and prosper in a changing environment leads to environmental security. The current and new generation of operational polar-orbiting and geostationary environmental satellite systems (e.g., S-NPP, JPSS, GCOM-W, Metop, DMSP, Sentinels, GOES-R, MeteoSat and Himawari) with their new and improved sensor capabilities are being accompanied by novel and enhanced user applications. Such new capabilities as VIIRS Day-Night Band (DNB), GOES-R Global Lightning Monitor (GLM) lightning data, the satellites improved temporal and spatial resolution, and reduced data latencies combine to greatly advance our environmental situational awareness, intelligence, readiness, and security.
*Source: Statement from Dr. Kathryn Sullivan on NOAA’s Fiscal Year 2016 Budget Request
For additional information, please contact Gary McWilliams gary.mcwilliams@noaa.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: Strategic DOE Investments for Data in the Atmospheric and Climate Sciences
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Currently available systems to disseminate observations and model-generated data to atmospheric and climate scientists are varied, and funding agencies are exploring ways to harmonize data inventories into a form where researchers can access information in a seamless and efficient manner. We will summarize DOE efforts towards unification of sponsored data inventories, including investments to provide server side analysis, multi-dimensional visualization, federated data nodes, and options to overcome the growing data storage challenge. Within this Town Hall we hope to facilitate a forum whereby attendees can help shape our future plans.
For addiitonal information, please contact Justin Hnilo Justin.hnilo@science.doe.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: “What if the water can’t be stopped?” Tribal Resilience in an Age of Sea Level Rise
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Can't Stop the Water (http://www.cantstopthewater.com) is a film that tells the story of Isle de Jean Charles, Louisiana, and the Native American community fighting to save its culture as its land washes away. For 170 years, the Isle de Jean Charles band of Biloxi-Chitimacha-Choctaw Indians has occupied the island deep in the bayous of south Louisiana. They have fished, hunted, and lived off the land. Now the land that has sustained them for generations is vanishing before their eyes. Years of gas and oil exploration have ravaged the surrounding marsh, leaving the island defenseless against the ocean tide and hurricanes that will eventually destroy it. Chief Albert Naquin is actively working to implement a sustainable community-driven relocation plan to bring his tribe together on higher ground, while still maintaining the Isle and its cultural significance. We will screen this film and hear from those supporting the community.
For additional information, please contact Randy Peppler rpeppler@ou.edu or Heather Lazrus hlazrus@ucar.edu.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:15 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Louisiana Bayou tribal communities face critical challenges from shifting climate, extreme weather, hydrologic processes, and man-made environmental disaster. As a result, sea levels rise, storms surge, and coastlines shift. Community members are observing and experiencing changes that affect livelihoods, cultural practices, locally-produced environmental knowledges, and plans for their communities’ futures. This panel brings participatory researchers and thought leaders from the Isle de Jean Charles Tribe and Pointe au Chien Tribe of the lower Terrebonne and Lafourche Parishes, Louisiana into conversation about weather and climate impacts and responses. Panelists will draw from their experience to address questions about integrating scientific and local knowledge, community resilience, and adaptation in the 10 years since Hurricane Katrina and other events forever changed the bayou and coastlines.
This session will look at the major wildfire and flood impacts in 2015.
A number of new regional and national real-time flood forecasting systems are emerging for a variety of applications. These new systems are taking advantage of new national hydrologic data standards, new advances in supercomputing availability and improvements in model parameterizations and meteorological forcing datasets. This session encourages contributions from academic, government and the private sector groups who have built and deployed such systems. Additionally, contributions are welcome from researchers who have developed novel methodologies to sense and model fast response dynamics including very high resolution hydraulics models. Presentations on hydrologic data assimilation methodologies for flood prediction and presentations summarizing results from recent real-time flood prediction projects such as the NOAA Flash Flood and intense Rainfall (FFaiR) experiment and National Flood Interoperability Experiment (NFIE) among others are also encouraged. Please contact the Program Chairs, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu), J.J. Gourley (jj.gourley@noaa.gov) and Thomas Adams (thomas.adams@noaa.gov) for additional information.
Inter-basin links; internally-generated vs. externally-forced basin variability; ocean-atmosphere structure and mechanisms in observations and climate simulations; progress prospects of seasonal-to-interannual prediction.
Wind Forecasting: Energy Application Part 2
Ensemble postprocessing methods
Organized by the AMS Committees on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology, as well as jointly with the Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather and 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Presentations will involve various disciplinary research methods and policies that are currently used for coping with extreme temperature risk, and how they could be integrated for more accurate spatial and temporal understanding of this risk
Large uncertainties exist in the effects of atmospheric gases and aerosols on weather and climate which impair our predictive capabilities. This session will focus on studies showing new developments and assessing these effects on multiple spatial and temporal scales. Studies including, but not limited to, aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions, ozone and chemistry impacts, and effects of performing data assimilation for atmospheric composition will be considered. Studies based on observations, models and both are welcome.
Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
This session highlights advances in development and applications of land data assimilation systems (LDAS), which merge ground- or satellite-based land surface observations with estimates from coupled or off-line land surface models, and can be used to initialize weather and seasonal climate forecasts, monitor and predict extreme events, provide improved background information for atmospheric data assimilation, improve process understanding, and support model development. Contributions may include studies that evaluate or improve land DA methods, assess the impact of the assimilation on the quality of theLDAS products, or use LDAS for the above-mentioned applications. Moreover, contributions may address the simultaneous assimilation of multiple observation types, use of current and planned hydrology satellite missions, or focus on operational and other routinely-run systems for land-hydrology analysis, forecasting and related purposes.
How does our community expect to continue to improve climate services to help society mitigate and adapt to climate variability and change? (NIDIS, IPCC, lessons learned from high impact events)
2:15 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Alexander “Sandy” MacDonald has focused on two basic themes as AMS President. The first, Earth System Science in Service to Society, is reflected in his annual meeting that highlights the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina and lessons learned to better serve society in the event of a similar natural disaster. Dr. MacDonald continues to strengthen AMS’ international ties, as this serves society on a greater scale. Second, Dr. MacDonald emphasizes the value of the AMS to its members when faced with finding a job or if they are in the midst of a career change. New college graduates, mid and seasoned professionals looking for a change all benefit from the wide-ranging contacts in diverse sectors of government, academia, and private industry that constitute AMS membership. Dr. MacDonald invites all to come learn more about these topics, share their thoughts and concerns, or just to say hello during the traditional “Meet the President” sessions. These are scheduled on Tuesday through Thursday, at different times each day to maximize opportunities for a one-on-one with Dr. MacDonald. See the schedule below:
Tuesday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
Wednesday 10:00–10:30 A.M.
Thursday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
3:30 PM-4:45 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
A number of new regional and national real-time flood forecasting systems are emerging for a variety of applications. These new systems are taking advantage of new national hydrologic data standards, new advances in supercomputing availability and improvements in model parameterizations and meteorological forcing datasets. This session encourages contributions from academic, government and the private sector groups who have built and deployed such systems. Additionally, contributions are welcome from researchers who have developed novel methodologies to sense and model fast response dynamics including very high resolution hydraulics models. Presentations on hydrologic data assimilation methodologies for flood prediction and presentations summarizing results from recent real-time flood prediction projects such as the NOAA Flash Flood and intense Rainfall (FFaiR) experiment and National Flood Interoperability Experiment (NFIE) among others are also encouraged. Please contact the Program Chairs, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu), J.J. Gourley (jj.gourley@noaa.gov) and Thomas Adams (thomas.adams@noaa.gov) for additional information.
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
(e.g., financial, insurance, transportation, agricultural, health, energy, etc.)
3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
This session will look at some of the major events and impacts from them in 2015 across North America.
Many shallow cloud systems are sensitive to changes in aerosol properties, which modulate cloud microphysical properties and can influence precipitation formation and cloud scale dynamics. In addition, absorbing aerosols can modulate the thermodynamic environment experienced by clouds. Ultimately, these controls may alter low cloud radiative properties and climate. Aerosol particles, in turn, are impacted by shallow cloud processes. Together, these interactions result in a coupling of the aerosol-cloud system whose coupling strength is highly variable and is poorly understood in terms of basic process understanding. Correctly representing this coupling has proven challenging to represent in large scale models. In this session, we invite presentations on all topics related to aerosol-cloud coupling in shallow clouds, including those addressing basic physical understanding, the quantification of aerosol indirect effects, cloud effects on aerosols, and the coupling between aerosols and boundary layer turbulence, cloud dynamics, and precipitation.
Studies on operational air quality predictions and prediction systems with an emphasis on advances in aerosol/contaminant prediction and chemical data assimilation and improvements in emissions for air quality prediction.
Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session may include but are not limited to: (1) estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets; (2) operational ET estimation; (3) land surface-atmosphere feedbacks; (4) future remote sensing missions and needs for ET; (5) Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability.Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
Wind Forecasting: Energy Application Part 3
GCM simulations of contemporary climate change under greenhouse gas forcing predict significant adjustments in the large-scale circulation, including the Hadley and Walker cells and the mid-latitude storm tracks. This session brings together modeling and observational studies of changes in the large-sale circulation in the 20th and 21st centuries to promote direct comparison between models and observations and an improved physical understanding.
Organized by the AMS Committees on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and Satellite Meteorology, Oceanography, and Climatology, as well as jointly with the Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather and 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Understanding how to live on other planets first begins with understanding life interactions on Earth. The NASA and R2O session explores concepts and applications that utilize NASA satellites and instruments to improve our understanding of environment and human health.
5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: Broadcast Meteorologists & The Work Behind The Scenes
Location: Room 225 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Some of the hardest work by our most recognized meteorologists doesn’t get recognized. Many broadcast meteorologists are involved in side research projects that other AMS members may not be aware of. Publishing the work in BAMS may not be a priority to some broadcasters as they already get plenty of recognition from being on TV, but that doesn’t mean the AMS community shouldn’t hear about it. While this will be a good opportunity for the broadcasters to gather at the annual meeting, the hope is this won’t be just a small AMS Broadcast Conference. Instead, we welcome all AMS members who are interested in learning from broadcasters and vice-versa.
For additional information, please contact Rob Eicher eicher.rob@gmail.com or Maureen McCann maureen.mccann@gmail.com.
6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: Communicating Probabilities, Uncertainties and Confidence in Weather and Climate Outlooks
Location: Room 242 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
More and more weather forecasts and warnings are being communicated by categorical statements or simple graphic emojis. The public knows forecasting involves uncertainty but is increasingly left to evaluate uncertainty from personal experience before making a weather or climate related decision. Should there be a statement for the media and media messengers explaining the value of quantitative uncertainty information to aid in better public decision making in the use of weather and climate information? What and how should this information be communicated so the public is left feeling confident in their understanding of probabilities and uncertainties.
Invited panelist include members from National Weather Association, Media Companies, Academia and Industry Risk Managers…all who are responsible for for communicating weather and climate information for the general public.
For additional information, please contact Jenny Dissen jennydissen@cicsnc.org or Bob Ryan rtryan@cox.net.
6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: Spirituality and the Atmospheric Sciences--Ethics and Climate Change from the Perspective of Religion and Faith
Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
While science can tell us what is true, it cannot answer the question of what is moral and just. Representatives from major faith groups will discuss the moral implications of the science of climate and climate change, and how we should frame our responses to the science. There will a special representative from the Roman Catholic Church to discuss the moral implications expressed in the Pope’s recent encyclical on climate change. Presentations will be relatively short allowing for maximum discussion with and between AMS attendees on how they are spiritually called to respond.
For additional information, please contact Tim Miner tminer@alliedpilots.org (tel: 571.212.0804).
7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016
Wednesday, 13 January 2016
7:00 AM-8:15 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Town Hall Meeting: The Weather Coalition: Organizational Status and Recent Activities
Location: Room 242 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The Weather Coalition (WC) welcomes new and returning members, as well as non-members interested in learning about the Weather Coalition and its activities, to this Town Hall event. The Weather Coalition Co-Chairs will provide a status of the organization, summarize activities associated with weather-related advocacy and legislation that took place across the past year, and discuss expected activities during 2016.
For additional information, please contact Pam Emch pam.emch@ngc.com.
7:40 AM-8:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
8:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Poster Hall Open
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
First Session of the ASLI Program to Introduce Chair and Program Chair, and present members.
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
This session identifies and discusses several aviation weather hazards and how they impact usable areas in the National Airspace System.
Clouds affect the distributions and abundance of atmospheric constituents in many ways. This session seeks abstracts that address 1) vertical transport and redistribution of trace gases and aerosols by clouds; 2) wet scavenging; 3) aqueous chemistry; 4) lightning NOx production; 5) modification of photolysis rates; and 6) resulting downwind effects on new particle formation and photochemistry. Results from both field measurement programs (such as SOAS, SENEX, DC3, SEAC4RS, CONTRAST) and modeling studies are sought.
In the face of increased public and Federal awareness and concern over high-impact weather and ocean events globally and the changing climate environment, a number of calls have appeared in the literature seeking revolutionary collaboration among research sponsors and operational environmental prediction agencies and between the weather and climate communities to significantly advance our prediction capability to benefit mitigation, response and policy. Two partnership have been combined: National Unified Operational Prediction Capability (NUOPC and Earth System Prediction Capability have been combined in the National Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC). National EPSC represents part of the U.S. response to this need for improved coordination of research towards more skillful and extended range operational environmental prediction. Synoptic/sub-seasonal to seasonal global earth system models are under development at several U.S. centers consisting of high-resolution atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land, and near space components with the goal of seamless prediction at lead times from a few hours to months or years in operations by 2025. The National ESPC addresses the scientific, technical, computational, and organizational challenges to meet this ambitious goal.
Advances in the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) and atmospheric evaporative demand (Eo) are made across a broad range of scales and techniques, from in-situ observations to remote sensing and modeling. Specific topics for this session may include but are not limited to: (1) estimating ET from various perspectives: remote sensing platforms, ground-based point observations and parameterizations, plant-based experimentation, and water budgets; (2) operational ET estimation; (3) land surface-atmosphere feedbacks; (4) future remote sensing missions and needs for ET; (5) Eo as an input to operational LSMs to derive ET, schedule crop irrigation, and as a metric of hydroclimatic trends and variability.Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
The last three decades have been marked by major shifts in a number of climate modes of variability including the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation – shifts that have been linked to changes in drought and weather extremes throughout the world, as well as the recent hiatus in long-term surface temperature trends. Reanalyses offer a dynamically and physically consistent global interdisciplinary framework for assessing and understanding the nature of such regional changes. This session seeks contributions that take advantage of reanalyses of observations to address various aspects of climate variability and change as outlined above. This includes comparisons between the multi-disciplinary set of reanalyses of the Earth System(e.g. land, ocean, aerosol and cryosphere) and observations, downscaling of reanalyses including an assessment of changes in weather extremes, modeling (e.g., AGCM) studies that put the reanalysis results in the context of underlying climate uncertainty, as well as studies that seek to assess, understand and/or correct inhomogeneities that limit the usefulness of reanalyses for assessing low frequency variability and trends including efforts to improve the ability to produce consistent reanalyses of the coupled climate system.
The recent development of multi-¬‐model ensemble (MME) databases containing real-¬time and historical forecasts, such as the North American Multi-¬‐model Ensemble (NMME) and the WCRP/WWRP Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) project, provides an ideal opportunity to explore predictability and prediction on subseasonal to seasonal timescales. Furthermore, the multi-¬‐model ensemble approach has been shown to have superior average skill to any single model. We invite contributions that explore predictability and prediction using multiple models, including initialization strategies, optimal combination strategies, methods for calibration and correcting biases, skill assessments, predictability studies, understanding sources of skill, and identifying forecasts of opportunity.
Extreme precipitation estimates used for engineering design of runoff control structures in the United States are largely based on a series of Hydrometeorological Reports by the National Weather Service which include storm data up to the 1970s. While the scientific community now has a better understanding of the physical processes responsible for extreme storms than it did in the 1970s, the application of this understanding to estimating design values has been lagging. Furthermore, given observed and future projected changes in precipitation extremes in a changing climate, the engineering design of hydraulic structures based solely on statistics of past observations is no longer defensible. Regional climate models (RCMs) can play an important role in downscaling global climate model information to the regional and local scale - at which local stakeholders and decision makers operate. In this session we solicit talks related to understanding historical characteristics/trends and future changes in extreme precipitation of relevance to engineering design, with a particular focus on the most extreme values - from 50-100-year return periods to Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) values. We welcome talks focusing on historical observations and new observational analyses, modeling (including mesoscale and cloud-resolving models), theoretical/dynamical constraints, and methods to convey uncertainty including actionable information for stakeholders. More general application of RCMs to hydrological, ecological, agricultural and water resources management problems, including the prediction of hydrologic extremes, are also welcome. Please contact the Program Organizers, Francina Dominguez (francina@illinois.edu), Kelly Mahoney (kelly.mahoney@noaa.gov), Kenneth Kunkel (kekunkel@ncsu.edu), David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).
Precipitation patterns across the nation are changing, but not in the same way everywhere. Some places are experiencing new record extreme precipitation events, while others are coping with drought. As the climate continues to warm it is expected that historical precipitation patterns can no longer be reliably used to plan for the future. The uncertainty about future precipitation places new risks on community infrastructure essential for the livelihoods and safety of its residents.This session will explore how communities are using hydrological information in the context of a changing climate to prepare for an uncertain future for their water, either too much or too little. Presentations should focus on direct applications of climate and hydrological information and tools that inform decision making for community preparedness. Community preparedness can include:(1) Improvements to the built environment, including land use changes, to address changing water resources based on climate information; (2) Policy changes, such as updates to emergency response protocols, water utility planning, and water restriction measures; (3) Help to decision makers to communicate their water related risk management decisions to the public and improve community support and compliance for their decisions. In addition to showing how current information and tools can be used, it is encouraged to demonstrate what additional information would be useful, but is not readily available. Public, academic, and private sector decision support services and tools are welcomed.
Key questions each presentation should address include:(a) How is hydrological information in the context of a changing climate being used to inform risk management decisions that improve community preparedness for water too much, and/or water too little? (b) What lessons learned or best practices emerged from your example that could be applied to other communities? (c) Who did you partner with and were these the right partners to improve community preparedness? (4) What additional information could the decision makers in your example have used that is not yet available?
For more information, please contact the Program Organizers, Nancy Beller-Simms (nancy.beller-simms@noaa.gov) or Stephanie Herring (stephanie.herring@noaa.gov.
8:45 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
9:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Spouses and guests are invited to meet and to renew acquaintances.
9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Alexander “Sandy” MacDonald has focused on two basic themes as AMS President. The first, Earth System Science in Service to Society, is reflected in his annual meeting that highlights the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina and lessons learned to better serve society in the event of a similar natural disaster. Dr. MacDonald continues to strengthen AMS’ international ties, as this serves society on a greater scale. Second, Dr. MacDonald emphasizes the value of the AMS to its members when faced with finding a job or if they are in the midst of a career change. New college graduates, mid and seasoned professionals looking for a change all benefit from the wide-ranging contacts in diverse sectors of government, academia, and private industry that constitute AMS membership. Dr. MacDonald invites all to come learn more about these topics, share their thoughts and concerns, or just to say hello during the traditional “Meet the President” sessions. These are scheduled on Tuesday through Thursday, at different times each day to maximize opportunities for a one-on-one with Dr. MacDonald. See the schedule below:
Tuesday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
Wednesday 10:00–10:30 A.M.
Thursday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
Space Weather Coffee Break—Sponsored by Space Environment Technologies
Location: Room 352 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
The sessions will address the interconnectedness of urban growth, climate, and health, and novel research and methods employed to accurately understand these connections. This session will bring in concepts of urban climate from small to large scales.
This session offers six perspectives on how weather issues impact the National Airspace System and offers opportunities to explore mitigations to the hazards.
On 29 October, 2015, the White House released the National Space Weather Strategy and the National Space Weather Action Plan. The Strategy and Action Plan were developed by the Federal interagency via that National Science and Technology Council, with input from stakeholders outside of the Federal government, to clearly articulate how the Federal government will work to address risks associated with space weather by coordinating, integrating, and expanding existing policy efforts; engaging a broad range of sectors; and collaborating with international counterparts. The Strategy identifies goals and establishes guiding principles, while the Action Plan identifies specific activities, outcomes, and timelines that the Federal government will pursue.
The Strategy and Action Plan will facilitate the integration of space-weather considerations into Federal planning and decision making to enhance national preparedness and the resilience of critical infrastructures to the potentially debilitating effects of space weather on the people, economy, and security of the United States.
Often climate models and data are complex and built for use by climate scientists, but what about the decision makers looking for climate information to make decisions? Creating information from climate data and models involves making the data easy to understand and useful to citizen scientists and non-scientists alike. How can climate experts provide outlooks on climate useful for decisions on policy, infrastructure, resources, and life and safety? Some issues related to providing this information include data/model uncertainty, sampling errors, spatial resolution, model down-scaling, visualization, liability, and risk management, to name a few. This panel will discuss plans, strategies, challenges, perspectives, technologies, and the future of climate change information and services for society.
Joint with the Board for Global Strategies
Aerosol effects on cirrus clouds are highly uncertain both in terms of magnitude and sign
of the effective radiative forcing (IPCC, 2013). The key uncertainties of aerosol effects
on cirrus clouds are tied to the limited understanding of the properties (e. g., size
distribution, chemical composition) of ice nucleating aerosols in the upper troposphere as
well as limited knowledge of the environmental conditions (e. g., ice supersaturation,
vertical velocity) leading to the formation of cirrus clouds through homogeneous or
heterogeneous ice nucleation and affecting their evolution and life cycle.
Recent observational studies indicate that heterogeneous ice nucleation could be the
dominant freezing mechanism operating in cirrus clouds because heterogeneous ice
nucleation requires lower values of ice supersaturation whereas recent GCM simulations
find aerosol effects on cirrus clouds smaller than previously estimated and of opposite
sign.
This session will discuss results from new observational and modeling studies relevant to
aerosol effects on cirrus clouds, including laboratory studies on ice nucleation,
observations from recent field campaigns (e. g., ATTREX, DC3, SEAC4RS, AIRTOSS,
ML-CIRRUS), remote sensing (ground-based and space-borne), process-oriented
modeling, and geoengineering of cirrus clouds. Specific topics of interest are (but not
limited to) the formation, life cycle, microphysical and radiative properties of cirrus
clouds as well as the physiochemical properties of ice nucleating aerosols in the upper
troposphere.
To better understand and model the observed variability of the earth system, one can rapidly expand the available record by objectively combining disparate observations with numerical model-generated guesses. The "reanalyses" or "syntheses" of atmospheric, oceanic, land, and cryospheric observations generated by such a data assimilation process provide comprehensive physically consistent descriptions of evolving system states. Such widely used datasets have become essential to the study of the earth system on timescales from hours to a century. However, they are not without room for improvement. This session welcomes all contributions on applications of reanalysis data, on comparisons of reanalyses and observations, on advancing reanalysis methodology, and on issues in using reanalysis for weather and climate problems.
Atmospheric convection and its impacts on chemical tracer distribution and transport present a significant challenge to modeling of both climate and atmospheric composition. The global and regional impacts of convection on clouds, water vapor and trace gases are large and poorly quantified especially in the upper troposphere, leading to significant uncertainties in radiative forcing and in the impact on global air quality. The goal of this proposed session is to solicit recent global observations from satellite and their applications for improving model simulations of convective transport and associated atmospheric composition.
We encourage abstract submissions to the following topics:
Topic 1: Modeling of convection in global, regional, and process level models
Topic 2: Modeling convective influence on atmospheric composition in global and regional chemistry models
Topic 3: Using satellite observations to diagnosis convective influence on global and regional atmospheric composition.
Land-climate interactions play a key role in the climate system. The land’s role in the climate system – its impact on atmospheric means and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the subject of much recent exploratory research. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, ecosystem processes and the boundary-layer processes that underlie the connections between climate and soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and frozen soil, however, are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved make the necessary investigations challenging. This session focuses on (1) interfaces between climate, ecosystems, and the land branches of the energy, water, and carbon cycles and the impact of land processes on climate variability and change as well as on extreme events (such as droughts and flooding); (2) dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by which the land surface (e.g., soil moisture and temperature, albedo, snow, frozen soil, vegetation) influences atmospheric processes and climate; (3) predictability associated with land-surface/atmosphere/ocean interaction and land initialization; (4) impacts of land-cover and land use change on climate; (5) land-climate interactions in the context of climate variability and change, and (6) application and analyses of large scale field data and observational networks (such as FLUXNET) for land/atmosphere studies.. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
Adapting to Climate Variability and its Impact on Energy Sector Resilience Part 2
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Presidential Town Hall on Demystifying Careers in the Atmospheric Sciences
Location: Room 252/254 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The rapid growth of atmospheric, weather, and climate science applications in industry, finance, and the corporate sector opens a range of career opportunities for AMS members beyond the better known careers in academia and the federal government. In this Presidential Town Hall, weather enterprise leaders will share concepts, thoughts, and perspectives on how their industries operate and what skill sets they value. In addition, they will share thoughts on employment trends, changes, and areas of future growth. Whether you are a mid-career professional, freshly graduated, or looking for your next adventure, this discussion will raise your awareness of opportunities in our field, and the skills and competencies that employers are looking for. In the current ever-fluxing employment climate, when mid-career job changes are common and new directions and opportunities are emerging in our field, AMS is committed to supporting our members in bringing their skills to the service of society.
Panelists: Heidi Centola, Manager of Business Development at Schneider Electric, Dr. Michael Farrar, Director, Meteorological Development Laboratory, and Dr. Kevin Petty, Chief Science Officer at Vaisala
Moderator: Rebecca Haacker
For additional information, please contact Scott Mackaro scott.mackaro@vaisala.com.
Town Hall Meeting: NASA’s Earth Science – Flight Program Investments in and Planning for the Next-Generation Earth Observatories
Location: Room 338/339 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
NASA Earth Science Division has made some significant additions to its fleet of satellites, with the recent launches of GPM, OCO-2, RapidScat, CATS, and SMAP. This brings the total number of operating NASA Earth science research missions to nineteen. In addition, the Division has ten Earth science missions currently in formulation and development, with six scheduled to launch before the end of 2018. These include SAGE III (2016), CYGNSS (2016), TEMPO (2017), GRACE FO (2017), ICESat-2 (2017), and ECOSTRESS (2018). NASA also has the responsibility for defining and implementing, in coordination with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the nation’s Sustainable Land Imaging (SLI) program to follow the currently flying Landsat 7 and Landsat 8 missions. Taking the next step in this process, NASA has initiated the planning for the Landsat 9 project. Another major project NASA is kicking off in 2016 is the PACE mission, to perform radiometric and possibly polarimetric ocean and atmosphere data collection, returning a range of geophysical data from which properties of the ocean and atmosphere can be determined to add to other critical climate and Earth system records. Additionally, NASA has been directed to continue the fundamental climate measurements of solar irradiance, Earth radiation budget, and Ozone profiling to extend these data records into the future. How will NASA meet these demanding measurement objectives? NASA’s Earth Science Division is working now, in collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USGS, DOE, international partners, and with the industrial community on science studies, technology investments, and mission definition studies to prepare the next generation of satellites and observations for launch in 2019 and beyond. At this Town Hall meeting we will present the progress and plans for these next generation missions, including mission concepts from the 2007 NRC Decadal Survey (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/decadal-surveys/) and from the 2010 NASA Climate Plan (http://science.nasa.gov/earth-science/). We will identify opportunities for greater interaction with the NASA missions already in formulation and development, as well as opportunities for future collaboration as we move forward with this next generation of missions and measurements.
For further information, please contact Eric Ianson eianson@nasa.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: NOAA’s Research and Development Enterprise
Location: Room 245 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
At this town hall we will discuss NOAA’s strategic developments in managing the agency’s research portfolio. Specific areas of focus include strategic research guidance, transitioning research to operations, and managing our partnerships with academia and industry.
For additional information, please contact Rick Spinrad rick.spinrad@noaa.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: NSF Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences Strategies and Frontiers in Research: 2016-2020
Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The mission of the National Science Foundation (NSF) Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences (AGS) is to extend the intellectual frontiers in atmospheric and geospace sciences by making responsible investments in fundamental research, technology development, and education to enable discoveries, nurture a vibrant, diverse scientific workforce, and help attain a prosperous and sustainable future. In this Town Hall meeting, the philosophies and strategies that will be applied to address the AGS mission during the coming years will be discussed. Specific topics include the framework in which AGS operates, interdisciplinary research, facilities, the role of broader impacts, and research frontiers that map to initiatives within the Geoscience Directorate and NSF overall.
For additional information, please contact Patrick Harr pharr@nsf.gov.
Town Hall Meeting: The 2017-2027 National Academy of Sciences Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space
Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
In 2007, the National Research Council issued its inaugural “decadal survey” of all Earth sciences that could benefit from spaceborne observations (http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11820). The next survey, covering a 10-year period starting in late 2017, is again sponsored by NASA, NOAA, and the USGS. Some 100 community members are expected to serve on the survey’s steering committee or one of its study panels, and many more will participate via white paper submissions and outreach events. The survey occurs against a backdrop of both highly constrained budgets and ever-increasing national needs for Earth observations and information products. A key element of the survey will be a canvas of the community for new ideas about missions, programs, and capabilities to advance Earth system science and ensure the nation maintains healthy, robust, and successful research and application programs. Representatives from the survey will be on hand to lead a discussion towards these objectives.
For additional information, please contact Art Charo acharo@nas.edu.
Town Hall Meeting: The Integrated Water Community
Location: Room 333-334 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
This panel and discussion will describe activities within NOAA and AMS to advance a comprehensive and integrated understanding of water. We will identify key challenges and opportunities for AMS and the broader community in collaboratively advancing the critical water issues facing our communities and business today.
For additional information, please contact Ya’el Seid-Green yseidgreen@ametsoc.org or Eileen Shea eshea@att.net.
Town Hall Meeting: The Weather Value Chain of the Future: From Commercial Satellites to Crowdsourcing, and Everything In Between
Location: Room 243 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
The world of weather and climate data collection is being transformed by the emergence of innovative data sources including commercial weather satellites, sensors on commercial aircraft, crowdsourced data via mobile phones and automobiles, and even drones. This panel will showcase key players in the weather value chain of the future, and discuss the opportunities and challenges of merging diverse data streams with advances in modeling, computing and data mining, in order to drive a dramatically better weather forecast and fuel a next generation of analytics and risk management solutions for various industries.
For additional information, please contact Dan Stillman dstillman@planetiq.com.
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:15 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Integration of In-situ and Satellite-derived Observations into Data Assimilation and Weather, Water and Climate Modeling Systems for the Improvement of Forecasts
Weather & Energy: Efficiency and Decision Support
8
Climate Services
Location: Room 245 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
This session will discuss ideas for the development and choices of new climate scenarios for the National Climate Assessment (NCA), based on experience in producing the Third NCA report and needs identified during and since the preparation of that report. The Sustained Assessment process is ongoing, and the Fourth NCA is tentatively scheduled for release in 2018. Both activities have a need for state of the art climate scenarios using the most recent generation of climate models and downscaling techniques.
Spatiotemporal structure in the troposphere (and stratosphere); link with teleconnection patterns and MJO; dynamical and thermodynamic mechanisms; hydroclimate impacts; predictability and prediction; representation in climate simulations.
New technological information services that will assist in the timely and accurate weather information at our fingertips (what are they, how are they used, examples of best practices, how to transition these to the public)
2:15 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Book Signing
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Come visit with AMS authors for book signings at the AMS Resource Center:
Joe Bassi: A Scientific Peak: How Boulder Became a World Center for Space and Atmospheric Science
Oswaldo Garcia: Father Benito Vines: The 19th-Century Life and Contributions of a Cuban Hurricane Observer & Scientist
Lourdes Aviles: Take by Storm, 1938: A Social and Meteorological History of the Great New England Hurricane
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
How can the National Airspace System identify usable regions of airspace from those impacted by hazards? Are there mitigations to the hazards that give access to more area?
Extreme temperatures, air pollution & health; Education and health.
This is for Wednesday and Thursday sessions
Land-climate interactions play a key role in the climate system. The land’s role in the climate system – its impact on atmospheric means and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the subject of much recent exploratory research. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, ecosystem processes and the boundary-layer processes that underlie the connections between climate and soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and frozen soil, however, are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved make the necessary investigations challenging. This session focuses on (1) interfaces between climate, ecosystems, and the land branches of the energy, water, and carbon cycles and the impact of land processes on climate variability and change as well as on extreme events (such as droughts and flooding); (2) dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by which the land surface (e.g., soil moisture and temperature, albedo, snow, frozen soil, vegetation) influences atmospheric processes and climate; (3) predictability associated with land-surface/atmosphere/ocean interaction and land initialization; (4) impacts of land-cover and land use change on climate; (5) land-climate interactions in the context of climate variability and change, and (6) application and analyses of large scale field data and observational networks (such as FLUXNET) for land/atmosphere studies.. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
Extreme precipitation estimates used for engineering design of runoff control structures in the United States are largely based on a series of Hydrometeorological Reports by the National Weather Service which include storm data up to the 1970s. While the scientific community now has a better understanding of the physical processes responsible for extreme storms than it did in the 1970s, the application of this understanding to estimating design values has been lagging. Furthermore, given observed and future projected changes in precipitation extremes in a changing climate, the engineering design of hydraulic structures based solely on statistics of past observations is no longer defensible. Regional climate models (RCMs) can play an important role in downscaling global climate model information to the regional and local scale - at which local stakeholders and decision makers operate. In this session we solicit talks related to understanding historical characteristics/trends and future changes in extreme precipitation of relevance to engineering design, with a particular focus on the most extreme values - from 50-100-year return periods to Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) values. We welcome talks focusing on historical observations and new observational analyses, modeling (including mesoscale and cloud-resolving models), theoretical/dynamical constraints, and methods to convey uncertainty including actionable information for stakeholders. More general application of RCMs to hydrological, ecological, agricultural and water resources management problems, including the prediction of hydrologic extremes, are also welcome. Please contact the Program Organizers, Francina Dominguez (francina@illinois.edu), Kelly Mahoney (kelly.mahoney@noaa.gov), Kenneth Kunkel (kekunkel@ncsu.edu), David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).
Same as parent oral session
3:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Hydrometeorological disasters are the most recurring and devastating natural hazards in the world, directly impacting human lives and causing severe economic damage through property loss. The US and Asia face similar challenges in observing, understanding and forecasting hydrometeorological events, in particularly associated with extremes and high-impact events. This session is aimed at fostering and promoting communications and collaborations among US and Asian countries through information exchange on science advances, technology and infrastructure capabilities, data, and common practices. We invite contributions dealing with all aspects of hydrometeorological studies including in-situ and satellite observation, data assimilation, atmospheric and hydrologic process studies and modeling, and weather and hydrologic forecasting on timescales from days to seasons. We particularly welcome US-Asian joint research in those areas.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
The Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations (6R2O) will hold a panel discussion on Considerations and Best Practices for Transition of Research to Operations along the theme of connecting research to societal benefits. The panel will be composed of leaders in R2O from government, academia, and industry. The panel of experts will each make a brief presentation on their experience with R2O leadership and their understanding of best practices. Many challenges are common to R2O programs across sectors, and best practices from one agency will likely prove applicable in another. Funding is a well known challenge, and frequently cited as the limitation, but often is only part of a solution in combination with other factors such as coordinating policies and process to support transition. Many of the most successful institutes or companies relative to R2O cultivate a culture of transition with close ties and good communication between their research teams and operations teams. Our panel of experts will present their lessons learned and best practices for successful transition across agencies, sectors, and operational scales.
Across the U.S., and globally, there is an ever-increasing availability of immense quantities of climate data. This data reveals how our climate has been shifting and also projects changes on the horizon. However, making climate data accessible to businesses, decision-makers, and the public remains a challenge. Visualizing climate data in easy-to-understand and compelling ways helps people understand the changes taking place around them, and can help them better plan for the future.
This session will bring together specialists in climate data and visualization in service of many different audience. The discussion will focus on best practices and tools for data visualization, considering your audience when designing visualizations, reviewing remaining challenges and future opportunities with climate data.
Recent increases in oil and gas extraction and production activities have raised questions about the ambient impact of the emissions from these processes and facilities, which have been known to emit a variety of compounds to the atmosphere that can affect local, regional and possibly global air quality. As future plans for the increase of oil and gas production are considered in the United States, the overall effect on air quality is an important consideration. Research conducted on qualifying and quantifying these emissions is relatively new, and many more experiments and modeling studies are needed to provide a clear understanding of them and their impact on air quality. This session will allow scientists to showcase their observational and modeling studies concerning emissions from oil and gas development and their impacts on air quality. The session will include invited talks and submitted oral and poster presentations. Student participation will be especially encouraged. Student presentations are particularly encouraged. Students are eligible to compete for cash prizes and certificates from AMS awarded to outstanding first author student presentations.
In order to meet the growing needs of a diverse range of information users and constituents, the delivery of timely and effective climate services frequently requires collaboration across geopolitical boundaries. This session will explore the opportunities, obstacles, and evolving solutions associated with transboundary climate services, drawing upon concrete experiences within the North American Climate Services Partnership (NACSP). A panel of international climate services practitioners, including both government and academic, will provide their perspectives on the challenges and benefits of transboundary work, and session attendees will also be invited to share their transboundary experiences in a dialogue with the panel. Specific examples and lessons learned from sectoral and user engagement in the weather, water and climate enterprise will be highlighted - at both the continental and regional/boundary geographic scales - drawn from the portfolio of NACSP activities in Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Outcomes from the session will be used to foster a broader dialogue on the unique nature of cross-boundary collaborations, refine the priorities of NACSP going forward, and provide a framework for reporting these opportunities, obstacles, and evolving solutions in the climate services literature.
This session gives the opportunity for major United States government and international organizations to comment and showcase their contributions.
Research with focus on how early warnings systems, as applied to weather-health impacts, are developed, implemented, and tested to provide increased resiliency to extreme weather.
Demand for education at all levels that integrates health and climate change science is growing, from the commitments by medical, nursing and public health school deans to incorporate climate change into their curricula to the integration of health in the teaching of earth sciences to K-12 students. There are both challenges and benefits to integrating health and earth science concepts. In joint sessions, the Boards on Education and Environment and Health will explore ideas and best practices.
Despite substantial progress in the last decades, the climate impact of anthropogenic aerosols is still highly uncertain, especially at regional scale. One key area were improvements are much needed is the understanding of the physical pathways linking aerosol emissions-radiative forcing-climate variations, both regionally and remotely, via, for example, atmospheric circulation changes. This session welcomes contributions from observations and modelling studies that contribute to advancing the understanding of the mechanisms for the aerosol impact on regional climate worldwide, from the Tropics to high latitude regions, and its interactions with other climate forcing factors and natural variability. Studies focusing on aerosol-induced changes in variability, long-term trends, and extremes in the hydrological cycle, in the recent past as well as the coming decades, are particularly solicited.
Both aerosol properties and meteorology conditions in the Amazon Basin vary significantly among different seasons. Amazon Basin represents one of the most pristine and natural continental sites but polluted situations occur with the perturbations of tropical megacity pollution and biomass burning emissions. Past studies showed very complex interactions between chemistry, aerosols, clouds, and meteorology, and therefore, a challenge to understand and model convection and precipitation in the region. Very recent field experiments, including GoAmazon2014/15 and ACRIDICON-CHUVA, have been conducted over the Amazon region to reveal new insights in the complex interactions in Amazonia. This special session will discuss the new observational and modeling studies on meteorology, aerosols, clouds, convection and precipitation and the associated interactions related to the GoAmazon2014/15 and ACRIDICON-CHUVA. We will have invited talks, contributed oral and poster presentations. Student presentations are particularly encouraged. Cash prizes and a certificate from AMS will be awarded to outstanding first author student presentations.
Land-climate interactions play a key role in the climate system. The land’s role in the climate system – its impact on atmospheric means and variability across a broad range of timescales, ranging from hours to centuries, for past, present, and future climates – has been the subject of much recent exploratory research. The meteorological, hydrological, biophysical, biogeochemical, ecosystem processes and the boundary-layer processes that underlie the connections between climate and soil moisture, soil temperature, vegetation, snow, and frozen soil, however, are not yet fully understood. The scarcity of relevant observations, the complexity of the underlying processes and feedbacks, and the wide range of scales involved make the necessary investigations challenging. This session focuses on (1) interfaces between climate, ecosystems, and the land branches of the energy, water, and carbon cycles and the impact of land processes on climate variability and change as well as on extreme events (such as droughts and flooding); (2) dynamic, physical, and biogeochemical mechanisms by which the land surface (e.g., soil moisture and temperature, albedo, snow, frozen soil, vegetation) influences atmospheric processes and climate; (3) predictability associated with land-surface/atmosphere/ocean interaction and land initialization; (4) impacts of land-cover and land use change on climate; (5) land-climate interactions in the context of climate variability and change, and (6) application and analyses of large scale field data and observational networks (such as FLUXNET) for land/atmosphere studies.. Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information.
4:15 PM-4:45 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
4:45 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016
Thursday, 14 January 2016
7:40 AM-8:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Poster Hall Open
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
8:15 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
8:30 AM-9:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
8
AMS Update
Location: Room 340/341 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Hydrometeorological disasters are the most recurring and devastating natural hazards in the world, directly impacting human lives and causing severe economic damage through property loss. The US and Asia face similar challenges in observing, understanding and forecasting hydrometeorological events, in particularly associated with extremes and high-impact events. This session is aimed at fostering and promoting communications and collaborations among US and Asian countries through information exchange on science advances, technology and infrastructure capabilities, data, and common practices. We invite contributions dealing with all aspects of hydrometeorological studies including in-situ and satellite observation, data assimilation, atmospheric and hydrologic process studies and modeling, and weather and hydrologic forecasting on timescales from days to seasons. We particularly welcome US-Asian joint research in those areas.
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
The focus will be to address how various earth observations, such as satellite, remote sensing, or in-situ, can be implemented to improve earth warning systems specific to disease monitoring. Topics can focus on implementation at various spatiotemporal scales to prepare the nation for the risks of weather and climate health impact.
This session focuses on precipitation observation, modeling, estimation, and applications of in situ and remotely sensed precipitation products. Topics include, but are not limited to (1) precipitation processes and modeling; (2) advances in remote sensing of precipitation from satellite and radar platforms; (3) recent development pertaining to fusion and down-scaling of precipitation products; (4) assimilation of precipitation and precipitation related variables in NWP models; and (5) impacts of improving precipitation estimates on hydrologic and land surface modeling. We particularly encourage novel work related to assimilation of precipitation products into numerical weather prediction models. Please contact the session organizers: Yu Zhang (yu.zhang@noaa.gov), Paul Kucera (pkucera@ucar.edu) and/or Emad Habib (habib@louisiana.edu).
Weather and Energy: Efficiency and Decision Support Part 2
Improvements in model parameterizations and their impact on climate; innovative model diagnostics and numerical experiments.
Ocean surface/subsurface structure; ocean-atmosphere-land-cryosphere interactions; hydroclimate impacts (e.g., droughts) and mechanisms; potential predictability; experimental prediction (statistical/ dynamical).
Detection and attribution of temperature and precipitation variations; role of greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols, land use, and multidecadal natural variability; high-resolution regional climate projections.
Joint session
9:00 AM-9:15 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
9
Springer Update
Location: Room 340/341 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
9:15 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Posters for 2nd Annual HPC Symposium
Same as parent oral session
This session focuses on precipitation observation, modeling, estimation, and applications of in situ and remotely sensed precipitation products. Topics include, but are not limited to (1) precipitation processes and modeling; (2) advances in remote sensing of precipitation from satellite and radar platforms; (3) recent development pertaining to fusion and down-scaling of precipitation products; (4) assimilation of precipitation and precipitation related variables in NWP models; and (5) impacts of improving precipitation estimates on hydrologic and land surface modeling. We particularly encourage novel work related to assimilation of precipitation products into numerical weather prediction models. Please contact the session organizers: Yu Zhang (yu.zhang@noaa.gov), Paul Kucera (pkucera@ucar.edu) and/or Emad Habib (habib@louisiana.edu).
11:00 AM-11:30 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
use of cloud systems to promote "elastic" systems for model runs; cloud storage techniques to improve the concept of data locality
Monsoon is the most distinct climate regime that affects the well-being for more than two thirds of the world population, chiefly in the developing and undeveloped countries. The majority of the monsoon regions happen to have heavy aerosol loading such as south and east Asia, Africa, South America, etc. Any interactions between aerosol and monsoon are likely to have profound impact on the weather and climate in these and downstream regions.
Fundamentally, the monsoon climate is driven by heat sources and sinks in the atmosphere stemming from the strong thermal contrast between land and ocean induced by the seasonally varying incoming solar radiation. Aerosols, by reflecting and absorbing solar radiation, reduce surface insolation and weaken the land-ocean thermal contrast, thus inhibiting the formation of monsoons. The atmospheric thermodynamic state may also be altered by aerosol absorption, aerosol microphysical effect by serving as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) or ice nuclei (IN), etc. Many mechanisms have been put forth regarding how aerosols modulate cloud and precipitation, monsoon circulation, amplitude, frequency, intensity, and phase of monsoon changes. These mechanisms are complicated by feedbacks with large-scale moist environmental dynamics. There exist multi-scale interactions between aerosols and the monsoon system from the location-specific alteration of single-column stability to the organization of meso-scale cloud clusters, and to the modification of monsoon circulation and precipitation on continental scales. Climate-scale numerical model simulations have indicated strong sensitivities to aerosol loading and properties.
This special session invites papers on any aspects of aerosol-monsoon interactions including but not exclusive to:
(1) Aerosol properties in monsoon dominant regions;
(2) Monsoon phenomena that are likely affected by aerosol
(3) Fundamental mechanisms by which aerosol affect monsoon circulation, energy and water cycles;
(4) Long-term trends of changes in monsoon climate that may be linked with aerosol;
(5) Social and economic implications of aerosol-monsoon climate interactions.
This session focuses on precipitation observation, modeling, estimation, and applications of in situ and remotely sensed precipitation products. Topics include, but are not limited to (1) precipitation processes and modeling; (2) advances in remote sensing of precipitation from satellite and radar platforms; (3) recent development pertaining to fusion and down-scaling of precipitation products; (4) assimilation of precipitation and precipitation related variables in NWP models; and (5) impacts of improving precipitation estimates on hydrologic and land surface modeling. We particularly encourage novel work related to assimilation of precipitation products into numerical weather prediction models. Please contact the session organizers: Yu Zhang (yu.zhang@noaa.gov), Paul Kucera (pkucera@ucar.edu) and/or Emad Habib (habib@louisiana.edu).
Radar Session
The Hydrology Committee and the AMS Board on Urban Environment will jointly host a conference session that solicits papers on experimental measurements, numerical modeling, and theoretical advances in understanding hydrological processes with applications to urban environments. Topics of interests include urban hydroclimate forecasting, hydrological modeling in built environments, water resources management in cities, and water-energy nexus in sustainable urban development. Of particular interest, this joint session invites papers that address:
(1) The complex geographic effect due to the presence of heterogeneous land use land covers;
(2) The impact of engineered materials and structures on the coupled energy and water cycles;
(3) The regulating power of man-made hydrological/hydraulic systems on environmental sustainability, including green infrastructure, irrigation schemes, retention ponds, etc.; and
(4) Mitigation and adaptation strategies to emerging urban hydrometeorological patterns and extremes. For additional information please contact the program chairpersons: John Eylander (John.B.Eylander@usace.army.mil), Dev Niyogi (dniyogi@purdue.edu), or John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronams.com)
11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Anthropogenic emissions to the atmosphere can result in substantial adverse impacts to human health and the environment. Understanding the nature and magnitude of these impacts requires knowledge of pollutant source emissions, the transport and physical/chemical transformation of those emissions in the atmosphere, and sinks for their eventual removal. This session will focus broadly on these topics for primary and secondary gas and particle phase pollutants. Transport over local to global scales; transformations via gas phase, aqueous phase, and heterogeneous processes; and removal by dry and wet deposition processes are all of interest. Presentations that examine combinations of emissions, transport, transformation, and/or deposition processes are of particular interest. Student participation is especially encouraged. Students giving first author posters or platform presentations will be eligible to compete for cash prizes and certificates from AMS.
11:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
We invite submissions on topics related to machine learning and statistical methods applied to hydrologic problems, with a focus on real-world forecasting applications. We are also interested in submissions relating to the overall theme of Science in Service to Society as it applies to computational methods, hydrology, or hydrometeorology. Papers relating to the use of machine learning methods in creating hydrometeorological products and services, drought prediction, regional climate modeling, flood prediction and decision support tools are welcomed. The biennial AMS AI contest will also be held at the 2016 Annual AMS meeting as part of this joint session. The focus will be on estimating the probability of specific rainfall amounts given polarimetric radar observations. For more detail on the contest, see http://www.kaggle.com/c/how-much-did-it-rain. For additional information, please contact the program organizers, Valliappa Lakshmanan (lak@climate.com) or John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com).
We invite submissions on topics related to machine learning and statistical methods applied to hydrologic problems, with a focus on real-world forecasting applications. We are also interested in submissions relating to the overall theme of Science in Service to Society as it applies to computational methods, hydrology, or hydrometeorology. Papers relating to the use of machine learning methods in creating hydrometeorological products and services, drought prediction, regional climate modeling, flood prediction and decision support tools are welcomed. The biennial AMS AI contest will also be held at the 2016 Annual AMS meeting as part of this joint session. The focus will be on estimating the probability of specific rainfall amounts given polarimetric radar observations. For more detail on the contest, see http://www.kaggle.com/c/how-much-did-it-rain. For additional information, please contact the program organizers, Valliappa Lakshmanan (lak@climate.com) or John McHenry (john.mchenry@baronweather.com).
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Recent laboratory and field studies provided new insights into formation, growth, phase, viscosity, and volatility of secondary organic aerosols (SOA). The data indicate that under most atmospheric conditions SOA particles are significantly more viscous and orders of magnitude less volatile than assumed in traditional modeling approaches. In addition, recent SOA formation yield measurements cast doubt on previously reported values.
This session will broadly highlight new results of experimental and modeling studies that address these aspects of SOA and their effect on SOA atmospheric loadings, evolution, and effect on climate.
Research related to how the physical processes of climate variability and change are connected to changing patterns in heat and cold waves, and thus how we can better understand human health response to the increased variability and temperatures
Aerosols (both natural and anthropogenic) interact with clouds and precipitation in complicated ways and with large uncertainties. They not only change cloud/precipitation microphysical processes, but also modify precipitation through radiation and dynamical feedback. This session welcomes both observational and modeling studies that aim to reduce uncertainties in aerosol impact on precipitation. These can range from process-based studies of aerosol impacts on cloud microphysics, to ensemble simulations of precipitation systems and their responses to aerosol forcing, to model parameterization development leading to better representations of aerosol-precipitation interactions in cloud, regional and global models.
This session focuses on precipitation observation, modeling, estimation, and applications of in situ and remotely sensed precipitation products. Topics include, but are not limited to (1) precipitation processes and modeling; (2) advances in remote sensing of precipitation from satellite and radar platforms; (3) recent development pertaining to fusion and down-scaling of precipitation products; (4) assimilation of precipitation and precipitation related variables in NWP models; and (5) impacts of improving precipitation estimates on hydrologic and land surface modeling. We particularly encourage novel work related to assimilation of precipitation products into numerical weather prediction models. Please contact the session organizers: Yu Zhang (yu.zhang@noaa.gov), Paul Kucera (pkucera@ucar.edu) and/or Emad Habib (habib@louisiana.edu).
2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Registration Closes
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Coffee Break
Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center
Alexander “Sandy” MacDonald has focused on two basic themes as AMS President. The first, Earth System Science in Service to Society, is reflected in his annual meeting that highlights the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina and lessons learned to better serve society in the event of a similar natural disaster. Dr. MacDonald continues to strengthen AMS’ international ties, as this serves society on a greater scale. Second, Dr. MacDonald emphasizes the value of the AMS to its members when faced with finding a job or if they are in the midst of a career change. New college graduates, mid and seasoned professionals looking for a change all benefit from the wide-ranging contacts in diverse sectors of government, academia, and private industry that constitute AMS membership. Dr. MacDonald invites all to come learn more about these topics, share their thoughts and concerns, or just to say hello during the traditional “Meet the President” sessions. These are scheduled on Tuesday through Thursday, at different times each day to maximize opportunities for a one-on-one with Dr. MacDonald. See the schedule below:
Tuesday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
Wednesday 10:00–10:30 A.M.
Thursday 3:00–3:30 P.M.
3:30 PM-4:15 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
tuning codes for HPC improvement (including conversion of code to take full advantage of Phi or GPU accelerators; evolving interconnects to improve performance/decrease latencies (which affect large models
3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
4:15 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
AMS 96th Annual Meeting Adjourns
6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016
Tickets to attend the Geller Banquet are NOT included in the conference registration packages and must be purchased in additon. The cost is $50 per a person(ticket) and can be purchased during the registration process. Space is limited; tickets will be available until 10am the day before the symposium(or max quantity reached).