Joint Session 1 Drought Analysis and Prediction, Part I

Monday, 11 January 2016: 11:00 AM-12:00 PM
Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Joshua Roundy, University of Kansas, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Lawrence, KS and Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, CEE, Princeton, NJ

Drought is a multi-faceted phenomenon that challenges our current prediction capabilities. Taking drought prediction and hydrological applications to the next level requires advances in understanding, monitoring, communications and water resources management. Specific topics addressed by presenters could include but are not limited to: Current drought prediction science and skill at various lead times; innovative management uses of that science; and case studies illustrating advances in understanding, monitoring and prediction of drought and drought impacts. Further, papers addressing gaps and deficiencies in our current methods for predicting droughts and estimating its effects on vegetation, water resources, and human populations are also invited. Please contact the program Co-Chairs, Joshua Roundy ( for additional information.

11:00 AM
Seasonal Scale Water Deficit Forecasting in East Africa and the Middle East Region Using the NMME Models Forecasts
Shraddhanand Shukla, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. C. Funk, B. F. Zaitchik, B. Narapusetty, K. R. Arsenault, and C. Peters-Lidard

11:15 AM
Identifying the drivers of drought onset and cessation
Danielle C. Verdon-Kidd, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia; and B. R. Scanlon, T. Ren, and D. N. Fernando
11:30 AM
Can large scale sea ice cover changes affect precipitation patterns over California?
Ivana Cvijanovic, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and C. Bonfils, D. D. Lucas, B. D. Santer, and J. C. H. Chiang
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner