Session 8 Quantifying and Communicating Risk

Thursday, 14 January 2016: 8:30 AM-9:45 AM
Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs:
Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS, Strategic Planning and Policy, Silver Spring, MD and Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, Florida, Miami, FL

Papers:
8:30 AM
8.1
Hurricane Decision-Making: Risk Tolerance and the Safety Margin Forecast
David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and D. P. Santos
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
8.2
A New Hurricane Impact Level Ranking System: A Multivariable Approach to Forecasting Loss Using Artificial Neural Networks for Communicating Risk to the Public
Stephanie F. Pilkington, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and H. N. Mahmoud
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
8.3
A Diagnostic and Predictability Case Study: Was the Atlanta 2014 Snowmaggedon Rare?
Robert Daniel Haynes Jr., Georgia Institute of Technology, Tucker, GA; and V. Toma, J. I. Belanger, and L. G. Belanger
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
8.4
Double Impact: When both Tornadoes and Flash Floods Threaten the Same Place at the Same Time
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. R. Herman, R. Tournay, J. M. Peters, and R. S. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
8.5
Spatially Generalized Model for Predicting Power Outages Caused by Tropical Cyclones
D. Brent McRoberts, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and S. D. Guikema and S. M. Quiring
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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