Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events

Program Chairs: Douglas Hilderbrand , NOAA/NWS ; Dave Jones , StormCenter Communications, Inc. ; Jennifer Sprague , NOAA/NWS ; Kenneth Carey , Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 10 January 2016

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Moderator: Maureen McCann, News 13
Panelists: Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Kerry Emanuel, MIT; Shirley Laska, University of New Orleans; Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former NOAA/National Hurricane Center Director
9:00 AM
Presidential Forum on Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
9:05 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Alexander E. “Sandy” MacDonald)

9:15 AM
Introduction of Moderator McCann (MacDonald)

9:16 AM
Introduction of Speakers (McCann)

9:20 AM
Opening Remarks of Speakers

10:05 AM
Q&A

10:30 AM
Concluding Remarks

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 1
Building a Weather-Ready Nation Kickoff
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
11:00 AM
NOAA/NWS New Orleans WFO Meteorologist-in-Charge - Keynote Speaker: Ken Graham
11:30 AM
1.2
Building a Weather Ready Nation: External Engagement and Effective Communication
Macy E. Howarth, Hobart and William Smith Colleges, Geneva, NY; and D. Hilderbrand
Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 4
Urban Studies that Support the Understanding of Urban Growth and Climate Variability Impacts on Health, Adaptation, and Resilience—Part I
Location: Room 228/229 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Speaker: Karen DeSalvo, National Coordinator for Health Information Technology (ONC), Acting Assistant Secretary for Health
Chair: John Balbus, National Institute of Health
11:00 AM
Panel

11:15 AM
Themed Joint Session 4 - Urban Studies that Support the Understanding of Urban Growth and Climate Variability Impacts on Health, Adaptation, and Resilience—Part I
11:30 AM
Urban Health, Resiliency, and Adaptation: What We Learned from Katrina (Invited Presentation)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Recording files available
Session 2
Evolving the NWS to Become Second to None
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
1:30 PM
2.1
Update on the NWS Operations and Workforce Analysis
Joanne Swanson-Kagan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Ten Hoeve III, A. Bleistein, S. Pavlow, J. Morrow, and C. Draggon
1:45 PM
2.2
Recording files available
2
Urban Studies that Support the Understanding of Urban Growth and Climate Variability Impacts on Health, Adaptation, and Resilience—Part II
Location: Room 228/229 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Moderator: Jennifer Vanos, Texas Tech University
Panelists: Kristie L. Ebi, ClimAdapt, LLC; Roger Pulwarty, NOAA; John Balbus, National Institute of Health
1:30 PM
Health and Cascading Systems Failure -- John Balbus
1:30 PM
1:30 PM
Roger Pulwarty

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 3
Building a WRN Through Innovative Partnerships
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.; Shawn Freeman, Northrop Grumman
4:00 PM
3.1
Unlocking the Future of Wireless Emergency Alerts
Michael Gerber, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Bunge and H. L. White
5:00 PM
3.5
Western Illinois University Outreach Events
Zachary Riel, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 4
Evolving the Warning Paradigm to Better Inform Individuals
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Lanz Rothfusz, NSSL
8:45 AM
4.2
Forecaster Decision-Making with Automated Probabilistic Guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Christopher D. Karstens, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and G. J. Stumpf, C. Ling, D. M. Kingfield, J. Correia Jr., D. LaDue, K. M. Kuhlman, T. C. Meyer, T. M. Smith, J. L. Cintineo, C. J. Melick, and L. P. Rothfusz
9:15 AM
4.4
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Patrick A. Harr, NSF
8:30 AM
Panel

8:45 AM
Joint Session 7 - Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
9:00 AM
Opening Remarks by AMS President Sandy MacDonald

9:15 AM
Keynote Presentation by Former National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield

9:45 AM
Keynote Presentation by Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Craig Fugate

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina Monday/Tuesday Posters
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS; Patrick A. Harr, NSF; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University
477
Development and Evolution of Convective Bursts in WRF Simulations of Dean (2007) and Bill (2009)
Andrew Todd Hazelton, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and R. F. Rogers

480
Tropical Cyclone (TC) Intensity Change Caused by Binary TC Interaction
Lianshou Chen, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Yu and Z. Zeng

481
Hurricane Katrina in the Courtroom
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

482
Short-Fuse Hurricanes: Time to Landfall and the Influence of ENSO
Coryn Collins, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and J. Nielsen-Gammon and T. M. Hall

483
On the Multiple Intensity Changes of Hurricane Earl (2010)
Daniel P. Nielsen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. H. Shin and D. L. Zhang

Handout (2.1 MB)

485
Non-equilibrium Multi-fluid Model of a Marine Boundary Layer Laden with Evaporating Ocean Spray under High-wind Conditions
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

486
Probabilistic Prediction of Hurricane Intensity with an Analog Ensemble
Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Delle Monache, C. M. Rozoff, and W. E. Lewis

487
The Arbitrary Definition of the Current Atlantic Major Hurricane Landfall Drought
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and D. R. Chavas and M. P. Guishard

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Integrating Social Science Methods into Decision Support Tools to Enhance Community Resilience
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Chair: Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS
11:45 AM
J1.4
The Sustainability Challenge — Developing More Resilient Electrical Infrastructure Systems
James Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and V. M. Thomas
Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Innovations and Improvements in Hurricane Preparedness, Communication and Resilience Since Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Joshua Hacker, NCAR; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
11:00 AM
J8.1
Taking Katrina Storm Surge Resilience Lessons to Galveston Bay
William Read, Former Director, National Hurricane Center, League City, TX
11:15 AM
J8.2
11:30 AM
J8.3
Communicating Hurricane and Storm Surge Risks in the Modern Information Environment
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, C. Snyder, K. Fossell, D. A. Ahijevych, K. M. Anderson, C. M. Barton, J. L. Demuth, H. Lazrus, L. Palen, J. Watts, and O. Wilhelmi

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 5
Building a WRN Through More Effective Communications
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Chair: Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.
1:30 PM
5.1
Communicating Storm Surge Forecast Uncertainty
John A. Troutman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and J. Rhome
1:45 PM
5.2
2:00 PM
5.3
Extreme Weather Experience
Erik Salna, FIU Extreme Events Institute, Miami, FL
2:30 PM
5.5
2:45 PM
5.6
Targeted Safety Messaging during Hazardous Weather Situations at the Daytona International Speedway
William A. Ulrich, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and T. Sedlock, D. S. Kelly, S. Spratt, D. Sharp, F. Johnson, L. LaHue, and T. Willrick
Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Innovations in Observing Tropical Cyclones and Aspects of Storm Surge
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Unviersity of Wisconsin; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University; Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC
2:15 PM
J9.4
Storm Surge Then and Now: Improvements since Hurricane Katrina
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; and N. Hardin, W. Booth, C. Forbes, C. L. Fritz, E. Gibney, T. Sharon, and B. C. Zachry

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Working Toward a More Weather, Water and Climate-Ready World—Issues and Opportunities: Part 1 (Joint with The Board on Global Strategies)
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Melinda Marquis, NOAA
3:30 PM
J3.1
The Weather Ready Nations Initiative
Sezin A. Tokar, United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC

3:45 PM
J3.2
4:15 PM
J3.4
5:15 PM
J3.8
Providing Impact-based Decision Support Services through the Applied Climate Information System (ACIS)
Arthur T. DeGaetano, Northeast Regional Climate Center, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and W. Noon
Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Advances in Modeling and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones and Associated Hazards
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/NWS/NHC; Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML
3:30 PM
J10.1
4:30 PM
J10.5
4:45 PM
J10.6
Impact of Atmospheric and Ocean Initial Conditions on the Intensity Prediction of Hurricane Katrina with the GFDL Hurricane Model
Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, M. J. Morin, J. A. Knaff, and C. R. Sampson
5:00 PM
J10.7
Ensemble Hurricane Flood Forecasting with Atmosphere and Wind Stress Uncertainties
Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and J. Doyle, A. Reinecke, N. Georgas, A. F. Blumberg, and J. Pullen
5:15 PM
Closing Remarks -- AMS President Sandy MacDonald

Wednesday, 13 January 2016

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 15
Understanding Urban Growth and Climate Variability Impacts on Health, Adaptation, and Resilience: Part 3
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; and the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health )
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, NOAA/NWS
8:30 AM
TJ15.1
Coastal Resilience to Extreme Weather and Climate: A Case Study of Applications on Long Island New York
Minghua Zhang, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and B. A. Colle, E. K. M. Chang, H. Bowman, S. G. Jang, W. Lin, and P. Liu

8:45 AM
TJ15.2
Hot in Baltimore: Urban Form's Impact on Fine-scale Temperature Differences
Anna A. Scott, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and D. W. Waugh, B. F. Zaitchik, and S. D. Guikema
9:30 AM
TJ15.5
Urban Heat Island Reduction Strategies in Neighborhoods in Northern Manhattan, New York City
Juan Declet-Barreto, Natural Resources Defense Council, Washington, DC; and K. Knowlton, A. Huang, J. White-Newsome, C. D. Corbin-Mark, and O. Dotson-Newman
9:45 AM
TJ15.6
The Potential Impacts of 21st Century Climatic and Population Changes on Human Exposure to the Virus Vector Mosquito Aedes aegypti
Andrew J. Monaghan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Sampson, D. F. Steinhoff, K. C. Ernst, K. L. Ebi, B. Jones, and M. H. Hayden

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Working Toward a More Weather, Water and Climate-Ready World—Issues and Opportunities: Part 2 (Joint with The Board on Global Strategies)
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; and the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships )
Cochairs: Owen H. Shieh, National Disaster Preparedness Training Center; Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.
11:00 AM
J4.3
Interagency Science and Service: Vertical Farming in Hawaii and Taiwan
Owen H. Shieh, National Disaster Preparedness Training Center, Honolulu, HI; and C. Hyde
11:30 AM
J4.5
The Most Effective Methods for Delivering Severe Weather Early Warnings to Fishermen on Lake Victoria
Richard Tushemereirwe, African Centres for Lightning and Electromagnetics, Kampala, Uganda; and D. Tuhebwe, M. A. Cooper, and F. M. D'Ujanga
11:45 AM
J4.6
African Centres for Lightning and Electromagnetics
Mary Ann Cooper, African Centres for Lightning and Electromagnetics, River Forest, IL; and R. Tushemereirwe, C. Gomes, E. Ataremwa, J. B. Ngamini, and F. C. Lubasi

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Horton Lecture
Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the Fourth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; the 13th Conference on Space Weather; the 19th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 30th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships; the 25th Symposium on Education; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fourth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA); the Peter Lamb Symposium; the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 18th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 14th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Events; the 18th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th History Symposium; the Eighth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; and the Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction—Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability )
1:30 PM
L3.1
Recording files available
Session 6
NWS Foundational Data and Modeling Advances
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Kari Sheets, NOAA/NWS
1:30 PM
6.1
Planned Upgrades to the NCEP Operational Modeling Suite
William Lapenta, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and H. L. Tolman
2:00 PM
6.3
Weather Ready Nation: NWS Exploitation of New Satellite Data
Mike W. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. K. Zajic, E. Guillot, W. Cambell, and L. Byerle
Recording files available
Joint Session 16
Emergency Management: Education and Outreach to Better Prepare the Public
Location: Room 353 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Symposium on Education; the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Cochairs: Owen H. Shieh, National Disaster Preparedness Training Center; Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Mark W. Seefeldt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado
2:00 PM
J16.3
The National Disaster Preparedness Training Center: Training for a Weather-Ready Nation
Owen H. Shieh, National Disaster Preparedness Training Center, Honolulu, HI; and T. Bedard
2:15 PM
J16.4
Web-based Learning: Interpreting and Communicating Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Guidance
Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and R. Berg, D. P. Brown, A. Devanas, S. White, D. Sharp, M. J. Moreland, D. P. Santos, J. Koch, V. M. Vincente, and P. J. Brown

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Poster Session 1
Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
864
Weather Ready Nation Ambassadors Program at the Bureau of Indian Affairs
Harold Peterson, Bureau of Indian Affairs Eastern Region Office, Nashville, TN; and C. McGhee, J. Blackhair, L. Rawlings, M. Kelley, K. Bluecloud, R. Harjo, A. Ruth, and D. Saunders
Manuscript (500.0 kB)

866
Optimization of Stormwater management practices under Climate Change and continued Urbanization in the US Mid-Atlantic region
Ibraheem M. P. Khan, University of Maryland, College Park, Hyattsville, MD; and G. Moglen and K. Hubacek

873
Recent Changes of the Urban Local Climate using Satellite Data and In-situ Measurements
Judit Bartholy, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongrácz, Z. Dezső, C. Dian, and C. Fricke
Manuscript (3.0 MB)

876
National Weather Service Decision Support Tools: Communicating Impacts Effectively
Holly M. Allen, NOAA/NWSFO Birmingham, Calera, AL; and M. L. Grantham, M. E. Anderson, E. E. Carpenter, M. R. Wilson, and L. Myers

877
Use of Live Google Traffic Maps to Assess Weather Impacts on Roads
Barry R. Bowers, NOAA/NWS Amarillo, TX, Amarillo, TX; and C. B. Elsenheimer

880
Military vs NWS weather warning process: Case study of 28 May 2015 New Mexico hailstorm
Calvin Elkins, United States Air Force, Davis-Monthan AFB, AZ; and T. C. Richmond

881
The Winter 2014-2015 Probabilistic Storm Total Snowfall Forecast Experiment
David B. Radell, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and J. S. Waldstreicher, J. Watson, R. Watling, S. M. Zubrick, J. W. Dellicarpini, A. M. Cope, and J. S. Tongue

Handout (1.2 MB)

884
Diagnosing the Meteorology of 'Double Impact' Tornado/Flash Flood Events
Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. R. Nielsen, R. Tournay, J. M. Peters, and R. S. Schumacher

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Development, Implementation, and Evaluation of Health Early Warning Systems
Location: Room 228/229 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; and the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Chair: Mary H. Hayden, NCAR/RAL
4:00 PM
J5.1
The Science Basis for Heat-Health Early Warning Systems
Wayne Higgins, NOAA/OAR/Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD; and H. M. Jones, R. S. Pulwarty, and J. Trtanj
4:15 PM
J5.2
Some Validation Results of a Spatially Fine Scale Air Temperature Statistical Model in New York City
Brian L. Vant-Hull, NOAA/City College, New York, NY; and M. Karimi, A. sossa, L. Waxman, E. Guiterez, and R. Khanbilvardi
4:30 PM
J5.3
A Framework to Conceptualize Environmental and Social Vulnerability to High Temperatures in Urban Landscapes
Rouzbeh Nazari, Rowan University, Glassboro, NJ; and M. Karimi, C. Goins, A. Musilli, M. Ghandehari, and R. Khanbilvardi

5:00 PM
J5.5
Space and Time—Impacts on Modeling Extreme Heat Warning Systems
Austin C. Stanforth, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN
Recording files available
Session 7
Impact-based Decision Support Services
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Chair: Wendy Marie Thomas, NOAA/NWS
4:00 PM
7.1
NOAA's Impacts Catalog: Through the Eyes of a Storm
Matthew W. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Thomas and D. Feltgen
4:15 PM
7.2
Enhancing Impact-Based Decision Support Services in the GOES-R Era
Chad M. Gravelle, NWS Operations Proving Ground/CIMSS, Kansas City, MO

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


96th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Great Hall ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Thursday, 14 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Earth Observations that Support Health Early Warning Systems and Monitoring of Disease Risks
Location: Room 228/229 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; and the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events )
Chair: Juli Trtanj, NOAA/OAR/Climate Program Office
8:30 AM
J6.1
9:00 AM
J6.4
9:15 AM
J6.5
Seasonal Mapping of Inhalation-Level Urban Aerosol in Washington, DC
Vernon R. Morris, Washington, DC; and N. A. Greene, M. Fayissa, J. M. Tirado, and S. Abegaz
Recording files available
Session 8
Quantifying and Communicating Risk
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Jennifer Sprague, NOAA/NWS; Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS
9:00 AM
8.3
A Diagnostic and Predictability Case Study: Was the Atlanta 2014 Snowmaggedon Rare?
Robert Daniel Haynes Jr., Georgia Institute of Technology, Tucker, GA; and V. Toma, J. I. Belanger, and L. G. Belanger
9:15 AM
8.4
Double Impact: When both Tornadoes and Flash Floods Threaten the Same Place at the Same Time
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. R. Herman, R. Tournay, J. M. Peters, and R. S. Schumacher
9:30 AM
8.5

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 9
Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Training and Outreach
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Cochairs: Matthew J. Moreland, NOAA/NWSFO; Kim J. Runk, NOAA/NWS
11:00 AM
9.1
A Potential Framework for Whole Office Training in National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices
Derrick W. Snyder, NWS Operations Proving Ground/CIMMS, Kansas City, MO; and K. J. Runk, C. M. Gravelle, and K. L. Crandall
11:15 AM
9.2
11:30 AM
9.3A
Wall of Wind Mitigation Challenge
Erik Salna, FIU Extreme Events Institute, Miami, FL

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 10
Decision Support Tools Part 1
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Chair: Steven Zubrick, NOAA/NWS
1:30 PM
10.1
1:45 PM
10.2A
Applications of Satellite Imagery Applications to Assist in Storm Damage Assessment
Lori A. Schultz, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL ; and K. Angle, T. Cole, K. Skow, J. Bell, A. L. Molthan, J. E. Burks, and K. M. McGrath

2:15 PM
10.4
Using Micronets to Direct and Facilitate Rapid Response*
Nicole L. Homeier, Understory Weather, Somerville, MA; and E. Hewitt, A. Kubicek, and A. Jacobs
2:30 PM
10.5
Conveying Potential Snow Threat in Days 4-7 Given Predictability Limitations Using Multi-Model Ensembles
Steven Zubrick, NWS Weather Forecast Office, Sterling, VA; and J. E. Lee, C. Strong, B. LaSorsa, M. Elliott, D. R. Novak, and M. J. Bodner

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 11
Decision Support Tools Part 2
Location: Room 255/257 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events
Chair: Michael J. Paddock, NWS
3:30 PM
11.1
DSS Full Throttle: NOLA Navy Week
Andrew J. Ansorge, NOAA/NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, Slidell, LA; and M. J. Hill
4:00 PM
11.4
5:00 PM
11.8

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


AMS 96th Annual Meeting Adjourns