Poster Session 1 Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction and Predictability Posters

Thursday, 14 January 2016: 9:45 AM-11:00 AM
Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction�Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability

Papers:
894
Practical and Intrinsic Predictability of Warm-Core Mesoscale Vortex Formation with the 8 May 2009 �Super Derecho� Event
Caleb Grunzke, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans

895
Relative Skill of Forecasts of Downslope Windstorms in the Owens Valley, CA
Craig M. Smith, DRI, Reno, NV

896
The Influence of Assimilating Targeted Observations upon Ensemble Forecasts of Convection Initiation
Alexandra M. Keclik, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and C. Evans, P. J. Roebber, G. Romine, and R. D. Torn

897
Predictability of Mid-Latitude Extreme Weather Changes in Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss
Hans W. Chen, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang and R. B. Alley
Manuscript (48.1 kB)

898
The Sensitivity of Supercell Simulations to Initial Condition Resolution: Implications for Warn-on-Forecast
Elisa M. Murillo, University of Louisiana, Monroe, LA; and C. K. Potvin

899
On The Limits Of Predictability Of Day To Day Weather Forecasts For Melbourne Australia
Harvey Stern, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and N. E. Davidson
Manuscript (476.9 kB)

Handout (704.0 kB)

900
Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles to Understand the Predictability of Extreme Rainfall
Erik R. Nielsen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

901
Roles of Synoptic to Quasi-Biweekly Disturbances in Generating the Summer 2003 Heavy Rainfall in East China
Hong-Bo Liu, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and J. Yang, D. L. Zhang, and B. Wang

902
An Investigation of the Skill of Week Two Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts in the Context of Two Recent Extreme Weather Events
Andrew C. Winters, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and D. Keyser

Handout (20.9 MB)

903
Study of High Resolution Ensemble and Extend Range (Week 3 and 4) in the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System
Xiaqiong Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, M. Pena, W. Li, and D. Hou

904
Predictabilities and uncertainties of tracer trajectories and Lagrangian Coherent Structures with ensemble system
Mozheng Wei, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. Rowley, C. Barron, G. Jacobs, P. Hogan, O. M. Smedstad, and P. L. Spence

905
Atmosphere-Sea Ice Coupling in the Navy's Global Coupled Modeling System: Diagnosing Polar Prediction using the sea ice models, CICE4 and CICE5, coupled with the NAVGEM Atmospheric Model
Neil Barton, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Chen, M. Peng, and T. R. Whitcomb

906
Seamless Enhancement of Climate Prediction over Land by Increasing the Model Sensitivity to Vegetation Variability
Andrea Alessandri, Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Santa Maria di Galeria - Rome, Italy; and F. Catalano, M. De Felice, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, P. Miller, S. Boussetta, and G. Balsamo

907
Predictability of Precipitation over the Conterminous U.S. In the CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensembles
Mingkai Jiang, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA; and B. Felzer

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