Session: Synoptic-scale Ensemble Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis in the Coastal Zone (Including Meteorology, Physical Oceanography and Ecology): Part I (96th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Monday, 11 January 2016: 11:00 AM-12:00 PM

Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment

Cochairs:

Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California, Climate Science, San Diego, CA and Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS

Papers:

11:00 AM

1.1

Bias Correction of 10m Wind Forecasts near a Coastal Estuary in East Central Florida

Bryan P. Holman, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, J. Colvin, R. J. Weaver, P. Taeb, and A. Saberi

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

1.2

Development of Operational Unstructured Model Storm Surge Guidance: Demonstration of Skill for Katrina

Sergey Vinogradov, ERT, Inc., Laurel, MD; and J. C. Feyen, Y. Funakoshi, and L. Kuang

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

1.3

Towards Ensemble Based Flood Forecasting

Alan Blumberg, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and I. Florescu, A. Yakubovskiy, P. Orton, Z. Ye, N. Georgas, P. Ludlow, J. Doyle, P. A. Reinecke, and J. Pullen

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

1.4

Forecasting Wind Set-up in a Coastal Estuary

Jeff Colvin, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, and B. P. Holman

Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

- Indicates an Award Winner

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Session 1 Synoptic-scale Ensemble Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis in the Coastal Zone (Including Meteorology, Physical Oceanography and Ecology): Part I