14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment

Program Chairs: Andre Van der Westhuysen , NOAA/NWS/NCEP ; Michael J. DeFlorio , SIO/Univ. Of California ; Hyodae Seo , WHOI

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Sunday, 10 January 2016

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Moderator: Maureen McCann, News 13
Panelists: Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Kerry Emanuel, MIT; Shirley Laska, University of New Orleans; Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former NOAA/National Hurricane Center Director
9:00 AM
Presidential Forum on Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future
9:05 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Alexander E. “Sandy” MacDonald)

9:15 AM
Introduction of Moderator McCann (MacDonald)

9:16 AM
Introduction of Speakers (McCann)

9:20 AM
Opening Remarks of Speakers

10:05 AM
Q&A

10:30 AM
Concluding Remarks

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 1
Synoptic-scale Ensemble Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis in the Coastal Zone (Including Meteorology, Physical Oceanography and Ecology): Part I
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ.
11:00 AM
1.1
11:15 AM
1.2
11:30 AM
1.3
Towards Ensemble Based Flood Forecasting
Alan Blumberg, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and I. Florescu, A. Yakubovskiy, P. Orton, Z. Ye, N. Georgas, P. Ludlow, J. Doyle, P. A. Reinecke, and J. Pullen
11:45 AM
1.4
Forecasting Wind Set-up in a Coastal Estuary
Jeff Colvin, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, and B. P. Holman

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Recording files available
Session 2
Synoptic-scale Ensemble Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis in the Coastal Zone Including Meteorology, Physical Oceanography and Ecology: Part II
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Nickitas Georgas, Stevens Institute of Technology; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ.
1:30 PM
2.1
Implementing the Nearshore Wave Prediction System as a Centralized, On-demand Marine Hazard Guidance System
Roberto Padilla-Hernandez, IMSG@NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and A. Van der Westhuysen, P. Santos, A. Gibbs, D. Gaer, G. Dusek, J. W. Long, H. F. Stockdon, J. Notchey, D. King, and H. L. Tolman
2:15 PM
2.4
Collaborative Development of a Forecast Capability for Water Levels in the Lower Pearl River Basin, LA/MS
Cheryl Ann Blain, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. K. Cambazoglu, E. D. Smythe, S. Van Cooten, D. P. Brunet, A. Roberts, R. J. Moorhead II, K. M. Dresback, and R. L. Kolar

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Poster Session 1
CE Posters
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
316
An Analysis of the 22 November 2014 Gulf Coast Seiche
Timothy W. Humphrey, NOAA/NWSFO, Lake Charles, LA; and J. Brazzell

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 3
Novel Oceanographic Observational Techniques
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ.; Gregory Dusek, NOAA
4:00 PM
3.1
Measuring Wind-driven Wave Properties in a Coastal Estuary
Jeff Colvin, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Lazarus, M. Splitt, and B. P. Holman
4:45 PM
3.4
The Effects of Chronic Salinity on the Carbon Cycle of Strawberry Swamp, SC
Alexandria McCombs, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and A. L. Hiscox, S. T. Allen, K. W. Krauss, J. Duberstein, and W. H. Conner
5:15 PM
3.6
Salinity and Hydrology Control Evapotranspiration From a Degraded Coastal Swamp
Scott T. Allen, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and A. McCombs, A. L. Hiscox, K. W. Krauss, J. Duberstein, W. H. Conner, and R. F. Keim

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016


Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Patrick A. Harr, NSF
8:30 AM
Panel

8:45 AM
Joint Session 7 - Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina
9:00 AM
Opening Remarks by AMS President Sandy MacDonald

9:15 AM
Keynote Presentation by Former National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield

9:45 AM
Keynote Presentation by Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Craig Fugate

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session 1
Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina Monday/Tuesday Posters
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Kenneth Carey, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.; Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS; Patrick A. Harr, NSF; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University
477
Development and Evolution of Convective Bursts in WRF Simulations of Dean (2007) and Bill (2009)
Andrew Todd Hazelton, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and R. F. Rogers

480
Tropical Cyclone (TC) Intensity Change Caused by Binary TC Interaction
Lianshou Chen, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Yu and Z. Zeng

481
Hurricane Katrina in the Courtroom
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

482
Short-Fuse Hurricanes: Time to Landfall and the Influence of ENSO
Coryn Collins, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and J. Nielsen-Gammon and T. M. Hall

483
On the Multiple Intensity Changes of Hurricane Earl (2010)
Daniel P. Nielsen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. H. Shin and D. L. Zhang

Handout (2.1 MB)

485
Non-equilibrium Multi-fluid Model of a Marine Boundary Layer Laden with Evaporating Ocean Spray under High-wind Conditions
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State Univ., Greensboro, NC; and S. A. Suslov

486
Probabilistic Prediction of Hurricane Intensity with an Analog Ensemble
Stefano Alessandrini, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Delle Monache, C. M. Rozoff, and W. E. Lewis

487
The Arbitrary Definition of the Current Atlantic Major Hurricane Landfall Drought
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and D. R. Chavas and M. P. Guishard

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Innovations and Improvements in Hurricane Preparedness, Communication and Resilience Since Katrina
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Joshua Hacker, NCAR; Andrew L. Molthan, NASA/MSFC
11:00 AM
J8.1
Taking Katrina Storm Surge Resilience Lessons to Galveston Bay
William Read, Former Director, National Hurricane Center, League City, TX
11:15 AM
J8.2
11:30 AM
J8.3
Communicating Hurricane and Storm Surge Risks in the Modern Information Environment
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, C. Snyder, K. Fossell, D. A. Ahijevych, K. M. Anderson, C. M. Barton, J. L. Demuth, H. Lazrus, L. Palen, J. Watts, and O. Wilhelmi

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 2
Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture
Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Innovations in Observing Tropical Cyclones and Aspects of Storm Surge
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Unviersity of Wisconsin; Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Geosystems Research Institute, Mississippi State University; Douglas Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS; Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC
2:15 PM
J9.4
Storm Surge Then and Now: Improvements since Hurricane Katrina
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; and N. Hardin, W. Booth, C. Forbes, C. L. Fritz, E. Gibney, T. Sharon, and B. C. Zachry

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Advances in Modeling and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones and Associated Hazards
Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Hurricane Katrina: Progress in Leveraging Science, Enhancing Response and Improving Resilience; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the AMS Committee on Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones; and the AMS Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting )
Cochairs: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/NWS/NHC; Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML
3:30 PM
J10.1
4:30 PM
J10.5
4:45 PM
J10.6
Impact of Atmospheric and Ocean Initial Conditions on the Intensity Prediction of Hurricane Katrina with the GFDL Hurricane Model
Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, M. J. Morin, J. A. Knaff, and C. R. Sampson
5:00 PM
J10.7
Ensemble Hurricane Flood Forecasting with Atmosphere and Wind Stress Uncertainties
Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ; and J. Doyle, A. Reinecke, N. Georgas, A. F. Blumberg, and J. Pullen
5:15 PM
Closing Remarks -- AMS President Sandy MacDonald

Wednesday, 13 January 2016

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 4
Earth System Science and Interacting Processes in the Coastal Environment: Part I
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Nickitas Georgas, Stevens Institute of Technology; Gregory Dusek, NOAA
8:30 AM
4.1
Evolution of High Fidelity Surge and Wave Models of Southern Louisiana since Hurricane Katrina (2005)
Joannes Westerink, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN; and J. Smith, J. C. Dietrich, and R. A. Luettich
8:45 AM
4.2
Sea State Dependent Surface Stress in ADCIRC for Storm Surge Predictions
Jie Gao, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Morehead City, NC; and R. Luettich, B. Reichl, I. Ginis, and T. Asher
9:30 AM
4.5
Hindcast Validation of Shallow Water Wave Processes in the Great Lakes using Unstructured Spectral Models
Jian Kuang, IMSG@NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and A. J. Van der Westhuysen, G. Mann, E. J. Anderson, A. Fujisaki, and J. G. W. Kelly
9:45 AM
4.6

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 5
Earth System Science and Interacting Processes in the Coastal Environment: Part II
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Arthur J. Miller, SIO/Univ. Of California; Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California
10:45 AM
5.2
The CONsortium for Oil Spill Exposure Pathways in COastal River-dominated Ecosystems (CONCORDE) --- Year One Activities and Results
William Graham, University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS; and A. Shiller, J. Wiggert, F. Hernandez, S. Howden, K. Martin, R. Vandermeulen, J. Kastler, R. Arnone, P. Fitzpatrick, J. Davis, Y. Lau, A. Boyette, I. Church, C. Culpepper, A. Evans, A. Mojzis, S. Muffelman, L. Quas, J. Book, G. Jacobs, B. Cowen, B. Dzwonkowski, E. Hofmann, T. Miles, J. N. Moum, O. Schofield, and S. Warner
11:30 AM
5.6
How Can Active and Stabilized Coastal Dunes Coexist under the Same Climate Conditions?
Haim Tsoar, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, N/A = Not Applicable, Israel

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Lecture 3
Horton Lecture
Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the Fourth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; the 13th Conference on Space Weather; the 19th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 30th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships; the 25th Symposium on Education; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fourth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA); the Peter Lamb Symposium; the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 18th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 14th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Events; the 18th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th History Symposium; the Eighth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; and the Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction—Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability )
1:30 PM
L3.1
Recording files available
Session 6
Case Studies: Part I
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Gregory Dusek, NOAA; Arthur J. Miller, SIO/Univ. Of California
1:30 PM
6.1
1:45 PM
6.2
Impacts of Bias Correction of Wind Forecasts on Hydrodynamic and Wave Model Predictions
Robert J. Weaver, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. Taeb, A. Saberi, S. M. Lazarus, M. E. Splitt, B. P. Holman, and J. Colvin
2:00 PM
6.3
Coastal Fog along the NE United States and E Canada Based on 58 years of Ship Observations
Clive E. Dorman, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. F. Mejia, D. Koracin, and I. Gultepe
2:15 PM
6.4
The 30th Anniversary of Surfline Highlighted by Once in a Decade Swell Event
Mark C. Willis, Surfline/Wavetrak Inc., Nags Head, NC; and K. S. Wallis and R. Starr

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 7
Case Studies: Part II
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Nickitas Georgas, Stevens Institute of Technology; Gregory Dusek, NOAA
4:30 PM
7.3
Case Study Analysis of RTMA in the Northern Gulf of Mexico
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau
4:45 PM
7.4
A Comparison of 1D Vs. 2D Hydraulic Models for a Coupled Model System in the Tar River and Pamlico Sound
Samuel T. Bush, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Dresback, K. L. Nemunaitis, and R. L. Kolar

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016


96th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Great Hall ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Thursday, 14 January 2016

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Recording files available
Session 8
Case Studies: Part III
Location: Room 342 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment
Cochairs: Michael J. DeFlorio, SIO/Univ. Of California; Gregory Dusek, NOAA
2:00 PM
8.3
Sensitivity of Modeled Wave Field to Temporal and Spatial Resolution of Meteorological Forcing
Peyman Taeb, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and R. J. Weaver, A. Saberi, S. M. Lazarus, M. E. Splitt, B. P. Holman, and J. Colvin
2:15 PM
8.4
U.S. Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Characteristics based on NCEP STIV and GFS data
Tristan J. Hall, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. E. Hart
2:30 PM
8.5
Marine Boundary Layer Effects on Gravity Wave Launching during DEEPWAVE
Brian J. Billings, Millersville University, Millersville, PA; and N. M. Carlyle, T. C. Osborne, and J. D. Doyle
2:45 PM
8.6
Effect of Wind Reduction Factors on Forecasting Circulation in an Estuary
Atousa Saberi, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and R. J. Weaver, P. Taeb, S. M. Lazarus, M. E. Splitt, B. P. Holman, and J. Colvin

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


Coffee Break
Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016


AMS 96th Annual Meeting Adjourns