Session 5 Ensemble Forecasting Part 2

Tuesday, 12 January 2016: 11:00 AM-12:00 PM
Room 226/227 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Michael Scheuerer, NOAA, Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO

11:00 AM
Improving Ensemble Forecasting in the Global Forecast System by Better Accounting for Additional Sources of Uncertainty
Philip Pegion, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Bates, M. Gehne, T. Hamill, and J. S. Whitaker
11:15 AM
New Mesoscale Multimodel Ensemble Prediction System in Spain
Jose A. Garcia-Moya, Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia AEMET, Madrid, Spain; and A. Callado, P. Escriba, and C. Santos
11:30 AM
A Combined Method for Forecasting Extreme Monthly Precipitation in Europe
Christophe Lavaysse, European Commission, Ispra, Italy; and J. Vogt, A. Torreti, J. Thielen, and G. Masato
11:45 AM
The Impacts of Ensemble Size and Initial Perturbation Calibration on the probabilistic forecast performance
Mozheng Wei, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. Rowley, C. Barron, and P. Martin
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