Research on Prediction and Predictability at the Weather-Climate Continuum

The NOAA mission of enhancing community resilience hinges upon the capability to provide early warnings of the potential for impending extremes such as heat waves, drought, and flooding so that emergency managers, water resource managers, and other stakeholders have sufficient time to prepare. Making progress on this issue requires that NOAA make significant research investments to help bridge so-called “weather” and “seasonal” predictions.

This presentation will describe how the Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program of the NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) uses grant competitions, the Climate Test Bed, and NOAA Task Forces to advance NOAA's prediction capability at the weather-climate continuum. MAPP's strategic approach to research investments in this area and its coordination with partners as part of U.S. Global Change Research Program and Earth System Prediction Capability activities, including the Next Generation Global Prediction System initiative, will be discussed; case studies of MAPP-sponsored research projects that have been transitioned into NWS operations will be presented.