Poster Session 1 Posters, 11-12 January

Monday, 11 January 2016: 2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Host: 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences

Papers:
217
Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Vectors and Their Potential Application in Ensemble Prediction
Jie Feng, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Li, R. Ding, and D. Liu

218
Application of the Analog Ensemble Methodology to Land Surface Conditions
Laura Harding, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and A. Fisher

219
Improvement of Anomaly Forecast for Extreme Weather Events
Hong Guan, Systems Research Group Inc./EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD; and Y. Zhu, Y. Luo, and B. Cui

220
Quantification of Forecast Uncertainty Using Polynomial Chaos Expansion
Junjun Hu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Lakshmivarahan and J. Lewis

221
Impacts of Physics Parameterization and Data Assimilation on Synoptic Feature Modeling in Severe Weather Outbreaks
Erin A. Thead, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and A. E. Mercer and J. L. Dyer

Handout (1.4 MB)

222
Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting using Bayesian Model Averaging
Steven Beale, Amec Foster Wheeler Environment & Infrastructure, St. John's, NF, Canada; and T. Bullock

223
A Probabilistic Statistical Climatological Relationship between Precipitable Water Vapor and Precipitation for Near-Real Time Forecasting Applications
Jacola A. Roman, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and R. Knuteson, S. Hubbard, S. Ackerman, and H. Revercomb

224
Using FRiskNH Model to Determine Freeze in New Mexico Vineyards
Elizabeth Arleen Smith, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM

225
Modeling Range-Dependent Biases in Long-Term Radar-Based Precipitation Estimates
John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and D. B. McRoberts

Handout (2.4 MB)

226
A High-Wind Prediction Model for Bordeaux, Wyoming
Zach Finch, NOAA/NWS, Cheyenne, WY; and D. T. Lindsey
Manuscript (701.4 kB)

Handout (731.9 kB)

227
Diagnostic Variables Governing Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones Revealed Through Composite Analysis
Alexandria D. Grimes, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and A. E. Mercer

228
Clustering of Multi-model Hurricane Sandy Track and Cyclone Phase Space Forecasts using a Regression Mixture Model
Alex Kowaleski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

229
Examining Intensity Trends During Extratropical Transition
Justin Alexander Baldizon Stark, CMMAP, Miami, FL

230
Benchmarking and Verification of Rapid Intensification/Weakening of Tropical Cyclone Forecasts by HWRF Model
Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, T. Fowler, and L. R. Bernardet

231
Statistical Drought Forecasting in South Central Oklahoma
Virginia G. Silvis, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. D. Hunter, R. McPherson, H. Lazrus, and M. B. Richman

232
Short Term Forecasting of Solar Irradiance using Data Analytics and Probabilistic Cloud Cover Forecasts
Peter J. Isaacson, The Aerospace Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and G. J. Bloy, E. B. Wendoloski, and C. N. Mutchler

233
Bayesian Analysis of Lightning Data Sets
Phillip M. Bitzer, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Burchfield

234
Mitigating the Impact of Weather Forecast Error in Electric and Natural Gas Load Forecasting
Wes Hyduke, Schneider Electric, Minneapolis, MN

Handout (470.4 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>