Themed Joint Session 1 Development and Communication of High-Resolution, Ensemble Forecast Information for Forecasting Extreme Weather

Tuesday, 9 January 2018: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Room 5ABC (ACC) (Austin, Texas)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 34th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the 25th Conference on Probability and Statistics )
Chair:
Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS, OSTI/MDL/SMB, Silver Spring, MD

Papers:
8:30 AM
TJ1.1
Application of a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Prediction System in Southern China: Preliminary Results of QPF during SCMREX
Xubin ZHANG, Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, CMA, Guangzhou, China
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
TJ1.2
Development of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble (HRRRE) toward an Operational Convective-Allowing Ensemble Data Assimilation and Forecast System
Therese T. Ladwig, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell, C. R. Alexander, M. Hu, J. Beck, I. Jankov, T. Alcott, B. D. Jamison, J. A. Hamilton, J. M. Brown, S. S. Weygandt, and S. G. Benjamin
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
TJ1.3
Incorporating Time of UH Occurrence in the Generation of Ensemble-Derived Tornado Probabilities
Burkely T. Gallo, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, B. T. Smith, R. L. Thompson, I. L. Jirak, and S. R. Dembek
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
TJ1.4
NWS Forecasters’ Interpretations, Uses, and Needs Regarding High-Resolution, Ensemble-Based Guidance
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss, I. Jankov, C. R. Alexander, T. Alcott, D. Nietfeld, and T. Jensen
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
TJ1.5
Thorough Probabilistic Verification of Storm Prediction Center Forecasts
Gregory R. Herman, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. R. Nielsen and R. S. Schumacher
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
Discussion

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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