25th Agricultural and Forest Meteorology/12th Air Pollution/4th Urban Environment

Session 5: concentration fluctuations, model uncertainty and evaluation

Wednesday, 22 May 2002: 9:00 AM-1:30 PM
Organizer:  Eugene Yee, Defense Research Establishment Suffield
Papers:
  9:00 AM
5.1
Estimating uncertainties of air quality modeling systems using Monte Carlo approaches
Steven R. Hanna, George Mason University, Farifax, VA; and J. Wilkinson, A. G. Russell, J. Vukovich, and H. C. Frey

  9:15 AM
5.2
Comparison of Dispersion Model Uncertainty Components
Joseph C. Chang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

Poster PDF (229.4 kB)
  9:30 AM
5.3
Design of Emission Data Processing for Including Emissions Uncertainties
Marc R. Houyoux, MCNC, Research Triangle Park, NC; and C. Frey, D. Loughlin, A. Holland, and G. Cano

  9:45 AM
5.4
Assessing Dispersion Model Performance to Simulate Average Centerline Concentration Values
John S. Irwin, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and D. J. Carruthers, J. Paumier, and J. Stocker

Poster PDF (80.2 kB)
  10:00 AM
5.5
Evaluation of theoretical profiles of vertical potential temperature gradient and their impact on dispersion modeling results
Roger W. Brode, Pacific Environmental Services, Inc., a MACTEC Company, Research Triangle Park, NC

  10:15 AM
5.6
Vertical dispersion at short-range from near-ground continuous sources in a neutral boundary layer
Rex Britter, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and S. R. Hanna

  10:30 AM
5.7
A quasi-one-dimensional Lagrangian stochastic model of relative dispersion in turbulent flows
Pasquale Franzese, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and M. S. Borgas

Poster PDF (131.2 kB)
  10:45 AM
5.8
The Use of Concentration Fluctuation Variance Predictions in Model Evaluation
R. Ian Sykes, Titan Research and Technology, Princeton, NJ

  11:00 AM
5.9
Uncertainty and Variability Analysis of the National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment
William Battye, EC/R Incorporated, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. Touma, R. Battye, and N. Jones

  11:15 AM
Uncertainty Analysis with MACCS2 using Data based on Expert Elicitation
Robert D. Waters, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; and S. R. Hanna, J. Mitchell, D. Whitehead, and N. Bixler

Poster PDF (30.8 kB)
  11:30 AM
Coffee Break

  12:00 PM
Lunch Break