Session 1 |
| | Probabilistic Hydrometeorological forecasting part II |
| | Chair: Ana P. Barros, Duke University, Durham, NC
|
| 4:00 PM | 1.1 | Uncertainties in estimating the impacts of complex climatic events: Revisiting the case(s) of drought
Russell Bigley, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Pulwarty and M. J. Hayes |
| 4:15 PM | 1.2 | Spatial Scaling of Simulated Streamflow Uncertainty
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center and SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos |
| 4:30 PM | 1.3 | Recursive Bayesian Model Combination for Streamflow Forecasting  
Newsha K. Ajami, University of California at Irvine (UCI), Irvine, CA; and Q. Duan, H. Moradkhani, and S. Sorooshian |
| 4:45 PM | 1.4 | On the scaling and limits of predictability, using a physics-based distributed hydrologic model and assimilated quantitative precipitation estimates from radar
Baxter E. Vieux, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. Mazroi and V. Chandrasekar |
| 5:00 PM | 1.5 | Using NWSRFS ESP for Making Early Outlooks of Seasonal Runoff Volumes into Lake Powell
David G Brandon, Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, Utah |
| 5:15 PM | 1.6 | A preliminary method for cool season flash flood and heavy snow forecasting using a moisture depth/duration/flux flash flood potential index (FLINDEX)
Ivory J. Small, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA |